Constructing personalized transportation networks in multi-state supernetworks: a heuristic approach

An integrated view encompassing the networks for public and private transport modes as well as the activity programs of travelers is essential for accessibility analysis. In earlier research, the multi-state supernetwork has been put forward by the authors as a suitable technique to model the system in such an integrated fashion. An essential part of a supernetwork involving multi-modal and multi-activity is the personalized transportation network, which is an under-researched topic in the academic community. This article attempts to develop a heuristic approach to construct personalized transportation networks for an individual's activity program. In this approach, the personalized network consists of two types of network extractions from the original transportation system: public transport network and private vehicle network. Three examples are presented to illustrate that the public transport network and private vehicle network can represent an individual's attributes and be applied in large-scale applications for analyzing the synchronization of land-use and transportation systems.     

Combining AHP with GIS in synthetic evaluation of environmental suitability for living in China's 35 major cities

There are nearly 700 cities in China, each with their own particular characteristics of natural environment quality and rates of economic development. When people are able to choose a city to live in, they will take into account these characteristics in order to improve their lifestyles. Based on geographic information system technology and the analytic hierarchy process method, a model of the living environment suitability index (LESI) for the larger cities of China was designed. The LESI was constructed by using the factors of economic condition, convenience and livable degree, natural environment and natural resources. The LESI model was then applied to compare the living conditions in 35 major cities in China in 2007, including 30 provincial capitals and 5 sub-provincial cities. LESI values were higher for cities in southeast China than for cities in the northwest. The highest LESI values were mainly distributed along the Chinese southeast coast and the Yangtze River Delta. Cities with the lowest LESI values were found in the centre and north of China. Of the 35 cities, 4 had highly suitable living environments and 7 had unsuitable living environments.     

不同采样率水位同震响应能力及其特征分析

分析同种仪器不同采样率水位资料同震响应记录情况,发现存在很大差异,不但形态上明显不同,响应能力及响应幅度上也差别很大.在此基础上认为,秒采样率数据能更好记录同震响应.指出,为了记录到真实完整可靠的同震响应,观测仪器应在采样率、数据存储容量、GPS授时、触发阈值、时值及分钟值取值方式等方面作改进.最后指出,同震响应分析可能是今后地震分析预报有所突破的一个研究方向.     

Comparison of ground motions from the 2010 Mw 7.2 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake with the next generation attenuation ground motion prediction equations

A total of 144 free-field ground motions with closest site-to-rupture distances (R_rup) less than 200 km recorded during the 2010 M_w 7.2 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake are used to investigate predictive capabilities of the next generation attenuation (NGA) ground-motion prediction equations (GMPE). The NGA GMPEs underpredict observed spectral accelerations at sites with shear wave velocity in the upper 30 m of the site (V_s30) between 180 and 366 m/s with R_rup from about 10 to 50 km and overpredict at sites with R_rup from about 50 to 200 km. Intra-event residuals of the NGA GMPEs exhibit a noticeable negative trend for peak ground acceleration and 0.3, 1.0, and 2.0 s periods. Comparison of the inter-event residual between the 2010 M_w 7.2 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake and the NGA dataset reveals that short-period inter-event residuals from the 2010 M_w 7.2 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake is within the scatter of inter-event residuals from the NGA dataset but long-period inter-event residuals do not appear within of the scatter of inter-event residuals from the NGA dataset. Spectral accelerations predicted by the NGA GMPEs are generally unbiased against V_s30 and periods of less than 4.0 s. Observed spectral accelerations show a stronger V_s30 dependence for both short and long periods compared with the NGA GMPEs. The Boore and Atkinson (Earthq Spectra 24(1):99–138, 2008) and Chiou and Youngs (Earthq Spectra 24(1):173–215, 2008) GMPEs perform better in predicting observed short-period spectral accelerations at the sites with V_s30 between 180 and 250 m/s than the Abrahamson and Silva (Earthq Spectra 24(1):67–97, 2008) and Campbell and Bozorgnia (Earthq Spectra 24(1):139–171, 2008) GMPEs.     

Convection in rotating annular channels heated from below. Part 2. Transitions from steady flow to turbulence

We report the results of fully three-dimensional numerical simulations of nonlinear convection in a Boussinesq fluid in an annular channel rotating about a vertical axis with lateral no-slip or stress-free sidewalls, stress-free top and bottom, uniformly heated from below, a problem first studied by Davies-Jones and Gilman (1971 Davies-Jones, RP and Gilman, PA. 1971. Convection in a rotating annulus uniformly heated from below.. J. Fluid Mech., 46: 65–81.  [Google Scholar]) and Gilman (1973 Gilman, PA. 1973. Convection in a rotating annulus uniformly heated from below. Part 2. Nonlinear results. J. Fluid Mech., 57: 381–400.  [Google Scholar]). A substantial range of the Rayleigh number R (R_c≤R≤O(100 R_c)), where R_c denotes the critical value at the onset of convection) is considered. It is found that the wall-localized convection mode, unaffected by the velocity boundary condition imposed on the sidewalls, is nonlinearly robust. Both directions of travelling waves, one propagating against the sense of rotation near the outer sidewall and the other propagating in the same sense as the rotation in the vicinity of the inner sidewall, are always present in the nonlinear solutions. In contrast to nonlinear convection in a rotating Bénard layer, neither convection rolls nor the Küpper–Lortz instability can exist in a rotating annular channel because of the effect of the sidewalls. It is the nonlinear interaction between the wall-localized modes and the internal mode that plays an essential role in determining the nonlinear properties of convection in a rotating annular channel. Our studies reveal systematically the various nonlinear phenomena, from steady travelling waves trapped in the vicinities of the sidewalls to convective turbulence exhibiting columnar structure.     

Convection in rotating annular channels heated from below. Part 1. Linear stability and weakly nonlinear mean flows

Convection in a Boussinesq fluid in an annular channel rotating about a vertical axis with lateral rigid sidewalls, stress-free top and bottom, uniformly heated from below is investigated. The sidewalls are assumed to be either perfectly insulating or conducting. Three different types of convection are identified when the channel is rotating sufficiently fast: (i) global oscillatory convection preferred for small Prandtl numbers in channels with intermediate or large aspect ratios (width to height ratio), (ii) wall-localized oscillatory convection representing the most unstable mode for moderate or large Prandtl numbers in channels with intermediate or large aspect ratios and (iii) global stationary convection preferred in channels with sufficiently small aspect ratios regardless of the size of the Prandtl number. The corresponding weakly nonlinear problem describing differential rotation and meridional circulation is also examined, showing that geostrophic, multiple-peaked (two prograde and two retrograde) differential rotation can be maintained by the Reynolds stresses in wall-localized convective eddies in a rapidly rotating channel.     

Impacts of strong El Niño on summertime near-surface ozone over China

The influences of strong El Niño events (1997/98 and 2015/16) on summertime near-surface ozone (O₃) concentrations over China are investigated using the GEOS-Chem model. The results show that near-surface O₃ concentrations increased by a maximum of 6 ppb (parts per billion) during the summer of the developing phase of the 1997/98 El Niño in northeastern China, mainly due to the increased chemical production related to the hot and dry conditions. Besides, the O₃ concentration increased by 3 ppb during the developing summer of both the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño in southern China. It was linked to the weakened prevailing monsoon winds, which led to the accumulation of O₃ in southern China. In contrast, in the summer of the decaying phase of the two El Niño events, O₃ concentrations decreased over many regions of China when the El Niño reversed to the cooling phase. This highlights that El Niño plays an important role in modulating near-surface O₃ concentrations over China.摘要利用全球大气化学三维模式 (GEOS-Chem) 模拟研究两次强厄尔尼诺事件 (1997/98和2015/16) 对中国夏季近地面臭氧 (O₃₎ 浓度的影响. 结果表明1997/98年厄尔尼诺事件发展期夏季中国东北区域O₃浓度升高, 最大值超过6ppb, 这主要归因于高温晴朗低湿等气象因素导致O₃化学生成升高. 此外, 两次厄尔尼诺事件发展期夏季O₃浓度在中国南部均增加了3ppb, 这与盛行季风减弱导致中国南方O₃局地积累有关. 相反, 在两次强厄尔尼诺衰减期夏季, 中国大部分地区O₃浓度下降伴随着海温模态转变为拉尼娜事件. 这表明厄尔尼诺在调节中国近地面O₃浓度中发挥着重要作用.     

气象业务系统融入“天擎”“天镜”的技术要点分析

随着气象业务系统的集约化程度越来越高,“云”+“端”的业务构建模式将成为主流,省级气象部门新的业务系统构建直接基于“天擎”作为数据和算力支撑,“天镜”提供统一实时业务监控的模式开展。而原来研发的气象业务系统则要通过“云化”改造融入“天擎”“天镜”。本文通过分析融入“天擎”“天镜”技术要点,总结贵州前期系统融入过程中的经验,为今后各单位业务系统顺利融入提供借鉴和指导。     

Spatial and temporal changes in flooding and the affecting factors in China

Spatial and temporal changes in flood events in China are becoming increasingly important due to the rapid climate warming that is occurring. This study was conducted to consider changes in flood events and the factors affecting such changes. To accomplish this, China was divided into natural and social-economic flood regions: north China, northwest China, northeast China, southwest China, central China, east China, south China, and Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau. Spatial and temporal changes in flood patterns were rebuilt during 1980?C2009, and Fast Fourier Transform Filtering was then employed to stimulate the changes in floods during this period. The factors affecting flooding were then analyzed quantitatively. The results showed that, based on the time series for China as a whole, flooding was more serious during 1990?C1999 than 1980?C1989 and 2000?C2009. However, in different regions, the trends in flooding differed greatly. Based on spatial changes, the areas hardest hit by floods were northeast China in the 1980s, northeast China, central China and east China in the 1990s, and central China after 2000. In China, the main flood-affecting factors were meteorological, ecological, population, water conservation facilities, and policy factors. However, the main affecting factors differed by region. Overall, the complex spatial and temporal features of flood variations and various affecting factors demand proper national and regional governmental action in the face of the changing flood patterns in China. The results of the present study provide valuable information to flood policymakers and flood disaster researchers.     

西天山CuNi-VTiFe复合型矿化镁铁-超镁铁杂岩 ——哈拉达拉岩体成岩成矿背景特殊性讨论

西天山哈拉达拉镁铁-超镁铁杂岩为一CuNi-VTiFe复合型矿化岩体,主要由橄长岩、橄榄辉长岩、角闪辉长岩、辉长岩和辉绿岩组成。获得岩体中橄榄辉长岩SHRIMP锆石U-Pb年龄为308.8±1.9Ma,辉长岩SHRIMP锆石U-Pb年龄307.3±8.2Ma。岩石具堆晶结构、辉长-辉绿结构,岩体韵律层发育;各类岩石稀土和微量元素配分曲线模式相似,多具Eu,Sr正异常,它们可能为同一岩浆结晶分异演化的产物;Sr-Nd同位素特征(87Sr/86Sr初始比值=0.703913～0.705259,εNd(t)=4.00～8.42)表明原始岩浆来自于亏损地幔源区。推测哈拉达拉岩体形成于后碰撞造山早期伸展环境、叠加近同期地幔柱活动的特殊地质背景中。