青海湖水量平衡及水位变化预测

青海湖是我国最大的内陆湖泊,流域面积29661km~(2),水面高程超过3000m,受人为活动影响相对较少,基本上还处于半自然状态。水量平衡计算结果表明,有观测资料的近30年来,青海湖处于负平蘅状态,水位下降了2.96m,平均每年下降10.2cm。如果未来湖区的气候大体保持过去的情况,水位将再下降5.8m,经过57年才能平衡。如果考虑“温室效应”所引起的西北地区未来气候变化,水位亦将下降,每年平均下降10.1cm。     

“十三五”国家重点研发计划“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项科技布局及评述

本文旨在介绍和评估国家重点研发计划“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项在渔业领域科技创新方面的实施情况,并展望我国渔业发展的未来趋势。通过对重点专项的任务布局、项目经费概况、项目分布情况、承担与参与单位(人员)情况进行详细梳理和分析,概括和评述专项实施特点和项目成效。分析显示,该专项具有系统性布局、重点领域突破、产业链协同创新、产业环节差异性布局等特点。在种质创制、健康养殖、资源养护、友好捕捞、流通加工等五大产业需求上取得了系列重要成果,显著提高了我国渔业科技创新水平。基于“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项的实施成效,我国渔业科技创新在“十四五”期间及以后将更加注重拓展水产养殖新空间,发展生态健康养殖模式和智慧渔业,提高养殖设施和装备水平,提升加工综合水平,加快冷链物流建设,高标准建设现代化海洋牧场等领域。这将有助于进一步优化优质蛋白食品产业结构,合理开发和综合利用淡水和海洋资源,推动我国渔业持续健康发展。     

Assessment of calanchi and rill–interrill erosion susceptibilities using terrain analysis and geostochastics: A case study in the Oltrepo Pavese,Northern Apennines,Italy

Soil erosion is one of the most important environmental problems distributed worldwide. In the last decades, numerous studies have been published on the assessment of soil erosion and the related processes and forms using empirical, conceptual and physically based models. For the prediction of the spatial distribution, more and more sophisticated stochastic modelling approaches have been proposed – especially on smaller spatial scales such as river basins. In this work, we apply a maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) to evaluate badlands (calanchi) and rill–interrill (sheet erosion) areas in the Oltrepo Pavese (Northern Apennines, Italy). The aim of the work is to assess the important environmental predictors that influence calanchi and rill–interrill erosion at the regional scale. We used 13 topographic parameters derived from a 12 m digital elevation model (TanDEM-X) and data on the lithology and land use. Additional information about the vegetation is introduced through the normalized difference vegetation index based on remotely sensed data (ASTER images). The results are presented in the form of susceptibility maps showing the spatial distribution of the occurrence probability for calanchi and rill–interrill erosion. For the validation of the MaxEnt model results, a support vector machine approach was applied. The models show reliable results and highlight several locations of the study area that are potentially prone to future soil erosion. Thus, coping and mitigation strategies may be developed to prevent or fight the soil erosion phenomenon under consideration. © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

青藏高原的形成和隆升机制综述

青藏高原的形成和降升问题是十分复杂的热点问题,受到了全球地质学者的普遍关注。高原的形成是印度板块和欧亚板块碰撞挤压导致地壳增厚、挤压抬升、地面剥蚀均衡和深部热作用的共同结果。目前青藏高原隆升过程是多阶段、非均一、隆升速率由慢到快、更新世（约3Ma）以来进入快速隆升期的认识日趋达成共识,但在隆升机制方面存在着多种模式（三阶段模式、叠加压扁热动力模式、拆沉模式、陆内俯冲模式和人隆升模式等）。随着来自地质、地球物理和地球化学等方面的资料积累、测量仪器精度的提高以及数学模拟方法的改进,以高原的形成和隆升机制将会有更为合理的解释。     

基于组合统计降尺度的华西南部地区冬季气温预测技术研究

利用1982—2017年华西南部地区冬季气温和NCEP再分析资料以及CFS模式实时预测资料,通过SVD诊断分析,选取影响华西南部地区冬季气温的同期关键区大气环流和前期海温及OLR因子场,建立预测与观测场相结合的组合统计降尺度预测模型。该统计降尺度预测模型对1982—2017年的回报结果显示：与观测场的空间相关系数较CFS模式原始预测结果有显著提高,多年均值从-0.06提升到0.38,最高可达0.85。同时,此降尺度预测模型可较好地回报出华西南区冬季气温的空间分布型。     

受污染湖泊沉积物中氮素转化对有机污染物降解的促进效应与机制

目前有关硝化反应动力学及其共代谢降解有机污染物的研究多为实验室微生物纯培养体系,来源于野外环境样品的很少.以受污染湖泊严家湖1号塘沉积物为研究对象,野外钻探采样,并选取不同深度沉积物进行室内外加氮源的硝化实验.结果表明:表层土和钻井一处50～100 cm沉积物发生明显的硝化反应,同时有机污染物中六氯苯含量降低最多,分别...     

两种体色三疣梭子蟹亲缘关系的PCR-SSCP分析

三疣梭子蟹作为重要的海洋经济动物,其常见体色为茶绿色。近年来在我国东部沿海海域海捕三疣梭子蟹中开始出现体色为紫色的一类梭子蟹,除体色不同外,二者表型特征并无显著差异。为确定两种体色三疣梭子蟹之间的关系,本文对两种体色三疣梭子蟹不同个体的线粒体COl和16srRNA基因进行了比较分析以判定体色的差异是否由于种属的差异引起的。通过对以上两个基因部分序列的SSCP和相关序列测定分析,发现在紫色和茶绿色群体中这两个线粒体保守序列基因的SSCP电泳条带图谱相似,序列分析表明COl和16srRNA基因在两种体色三疣梭子蟹群体中的核苷酸序列相似度分别为99．81％和99．91％。以上结果表明,紫色三疣梭子蟹并未发生亚种的分化,即紫色和茶绿色群体属于同一个种。此外,紫色梭子蟹群体的线粒体DNA序列在进化关系上较茶绿色群体更为保守。     

夏季黔东南州局地暴雨与西太副高环流的关系

通过对黔东南州1996-2005年夏季发生局地暴雨的主要影响系统、各种物理量场的特征、地形等的综合分析,得出9次局地暴雨都与西太平洋副热带高压位置变化密切相关,西太平洋副热带高压外围的SW气流均增强为急流,并输送大量水汽和不稳定能量,而且特别有利的地形的强化作用,造成黔东南暴雨的落区不同.根据暴雨的不同落区,将其归纳为四种类型,即西部型暴雨、南部型暴雨、中部型暴雨、东部型暴雨.但中、南部型暴雨还有中低层低涡切变线配合产生.     

Temporal variations of <Emphasis Type="Italic">δ</Emphasis><Superscript>18</Superscript>O of atmospheric water vapor at Delingha

Oxygen stable isotope of atmospheric water vapor is widely used to study the modern process of climate. Atmospheric water vapor samples were collected at Dlingha, northeast of Tibetan Plateau during the period from July 2005 to February 2006. The variation of δ ¹⁸O and the relationships between δ ¹⁸O and both the temperature and specific humidity are analyzed in this paper. Results show that the seasonal variation of δ ¹⁸O of atmospheric water vapor at Delingha is remarkable with higher δ ¹⁸O in summer and lower δ ¹⁸O in winter. The temporal variation of vapor δ ¹⁸O shows obvious fluctuations, with magnitude of over 37‰ The daily variation of the δ ¹⁸O is highly correlated with air temperature. The relationship between δ ¹⁸O and atmospheric water vapor content is complex. Study shows that δ ¹⁸O of atmospheric water vapor is positively correlated with specific humidity in winter in seasonal scale and inversely correlated with specific humidity in summer rainy period. The δ ¹⁸O values of atmospheric water vapor are lower than those of precipitation at Delingha, and the average difference is 10.7‰ Variations of δ ¹⁸O of atmospheric water vapor is also found to be affected by precipitation events, The model results show that the precipitation effect could have caused the vapor δ ¹⁸O in the raining season to lower by 7% in average in July and August. Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40671043, 40571039 and 40771048) and National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2005CB422002)