基于NCEP CFSv2模式的黑龙江省夏季降水预测研究

基于1982-2017年NCEP_CFSv2（NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2）模式预测资料对黑龙江省夏季降水进行降尺度预测。通过分析黑龙江省夏季降水与同期环流因子的关系、模式对关键区环流因子的预测,选取模式模拟与再分析资料相关较好、黑龙江降水实况与再分析资料关系较好的环流因子作为预测因子,结合最优子集回归法筛选因子,建立降尺度预测模型,最后采用交叉检验法进行预测效果检验和独立样本预测。结果表明：模式降尺度预测与实况的距平符号-致率为69%,6 a独立样本预测中有5 a预测正确,优于目前的业务预测效果。进-步研究发现,在模式能够准确预测环流因子的情况下,模式降尺度可以较好地预测黑龙江省夏季降水的趋势。此外,模式降尺度在拉尼娜年预测效果较好。     

2017-2018年冬季黑龙江省气温异常成因分析

2017-2018年冬季全省平均气温为-19.7℃,较历年同期偏低2.2℃,为1981年以来的第3位,仅次于2000年和2012年。本文利用NCEP再分析资料,对2017-2018年黑龙江省冬季气温异常成因进行分析,结果表明大气环流的异常是造成黑龙江省冬季气温异常偏低的直接原因。东亚季风环流系统表现为:东亚冬季风强度偏强,西伯利亚高压偏强,500hPa东亚大槽异常偏深。分析下垫面外强迫因素,2017-2018年赤道中东太平洋出现拉尼娜事件,分析显示拉尼娜事件发生可能导致冬季风偏强,从而也是造成全省气温偏低的主要原因之一。     

油气包裹体的显微红外光谱测试技术及应用

单一油气包裹体的成分一直是地质学家关注的焦点,它能为油气成藏研究提供最直接的证据。显微红外光谱技术可以测定单个油气包裹体的成分、分子结构和其中油气包裹体的成熟度。本文应用显微红外光谱技术、包裹体的鉴定和均一温度测定技术,分析了大庆探区海拉尔盆地乌27井、巴16井、希3井等样品的包裹体。研究表明,乌27井有过两期成藏,并以第二期为主;巴16井也有过两期主要成藏,且第二期具混源的特点;希3井只有一次主要成藏期。同时利用红外光谱的CH2/CH3值、Xinc、Xstd划分了三口井的油气成藏期次,结果与镜下鉴定结论相一致,并确定了其中油气包裹体的成熟度。本文还探讨了显微-红外光谱测试单一油气包裹体的发展方向。     

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寻路地图设计中相关问题研究

以郑州市街头的寻路地图为例,对其设计现状进行了分析,指出了这些地图的特点和其在设计上存在的不足之处.根据寻路地图的目的和用户的特殊性,制作了寻路地图样图,并就其在定向和路线选择等方面进行了试验,对实验结果进行了分析和研究.结果表明地图内容、参考方向和地图符号是影响用户定向和路线选择的主要因素.以此为基础,得出了寻路地图设计中应当遵循的一些规律.     

西大明山-大瑶山隆起带金银成矿元素地球化学特征

通过对西大明山-大瑶山构造-岩浆隆起带的系统观测,获得了各区域地质体金银成矿元素的初始丰度,文章利用最近完成的区域内各1:5万区调地层剖面数据并补充实测的若干区域地化剖面数据,给出了区域基岩地球化学场及其结构的基本面貌,结合区域地质背景对金银成矿元素地球化学特征及地质意义进行分析总结.     

Exploring spatial-temporal change and gravity center movement of construction land in the Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration

Urban agglomeration is caused by the continuous acceleration of the urbanization process in China. Studying the expansion of construction land can not only know the changes and development of urban agglomeration in time, but also obtain the great significance of the future management. In this study, taking Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan (Chang-Zhu-Tan) urban agglomeration in Hunan province as a study area, Landsat images from 1995 to 2014 and Autologistic-CLUE-S model simulation data were used. Moreover, several factors including gravity center, direction, distance and landscape index were considered in the analysis of the expansion. The results revealed that the construction area increased by 132.18%, from 372.28 km² in 1995 to 864.37 km² in 2014. And it might even reach 1327.23 km² in 2023. Before 2014, three cities had their own respective and discrete development directions. However, because of the integration policy implementation in 2008, the Chang-Zhu-Tan began to gather, the gravity center moved southward after 2014, and the distance between cities decreased, which was in line with the development plan of urban expansion. The research methods and results were relatively reliable, and these results could provide some reference for the future land use planning and spatial allocation in the urbanization process of Chang-Zhu-Tan urban agglomeration.

     

对山东省绿色矿山建设与发展的思考

绿色矿山建设是矿业健康持续发展的时代要求,是矿产资源管理制度改革发展的重要方向,是建设生态文明、矿业转型升级的必然选择,是山东省矿业发展的必由之路。该文重点论述绿色矿山的内涵、基本条件、重要意义,分析了山东省绿色矿山建设面临的数量偏少、地方标准不健全、各职能部门协同机制有待进一步完善等多方面问题。并在此基础上,提出下步山东省绿色矿山建设的几点建议,包括严格规划管控、坚持试点引路及推进标杆企业建设、加快标准制定及出台相关管理办法、积极推动绿色矿业发展示范区建设等多项建议。     

宣城地区龙潭组页岩沉积环境与有机质富集

安徽宣城地区上二叠统龙潭组海陆过渡相页岩不仅是我国下扬子区重要的烃源岩,也是目前我国页岩气勘探的重要层位之一.为研究海陆过渡相页岩沉积环境与有机质富集的关系,以港地1井和两个露头剖面为研究对象,系统开展了有机地球化学测试、有机岩石学研究、氩离子抛光—扫面电镜观察、元素地球化学分析等工作.结果表明:下扬子宣城地区龙潭组页...     

Subsurface target recognition in Utopia Planitia of Mars by Tianwen-1 FP-SPR simulation

As a cold and dry planet, Mars contains water resources in the form of water ice, so that the electromagnetic waves can be transmitted to the deep underground to get the information of the topography and subsurface geological structure. Subsurface penetrating radar(SPR) can be widely used in deep space exploration for a long time because of its non-destructive detection mode and its working characteristics not limited by visible light. It is an important type of equipment for detecting the subsurface structure of planets. Orbiter radar is mainly used in Mars exploration. However, because of its low resolution, it is difficult to describe the near surface structure, so there is a lack of radar data which can reflect the shallow information. In this paper, a three-dimensional near surface model of Utopia Planitia on Mars is established. In order to make the simulation results more reasonable, the key factors such as topographic relief, subsurface rocks and water ice, and the variation of dielectric constant in different layers are taken into account. Then the full polarization forward modeling is carried out by using the three-dimensional finite-difference time-domain method. The acquired full polarimetric subsurface penetrating radar(FP-SPR) data with noise is preprocessed and further processed by Pauli decomposition. The underground reflection can be picked up more clearly from the Pauli decomposition results. This work is helpful to identify more details of subsurface structures and provides a reference for the measured data in the future.