青藏铁路旅游线气候适宜性分析

本文利用10个气象站1991~2000年的气象观测数据,对青藏铁路旅游线的气候适宜性进行了评价。评价内容包括:生物气温指标、紫外辐射强度、大气含氧量以及障碍性天气等。得出如下结论:总的来看,青藏铁路沿线地区相对舒适的旅游气候条件集中出现于5~9月。该时段,生理气温舒适凉爽,空气含氧量比例较高,无炎热或热日,大风天气出现少。但是,紫外辐射较强,雷暴及冰雹出现的频率较高。旅游适宜期与适宜时段随海拔高度的上升而逐步缩短。位于铁路线两端的西宁、拉萨等地区的旅游气候条件最优,全年均较适宜旅游;五道梁、沱沱河、安多等高海拔地区的旅游适宜期较短,冬季的严寒和夏季(6、7月)的强紫外辐射对这些地区户外旅游活动的限制较大。     

中国大陆中上地壳剪切波速结构

为使已获得的中国大陆中上地壳结构更为可靠,本文搜集了很多对浅部结构分辨率较好的短周期面波资料. 与传统面波层析成像反演方法不同,本文在第二步由面波频散得到剪切波速的过程中不再对每个结点进行一维波速模型分别反演,而是直接将所有结点上的区域化频散转换成三维波速结构的线性化约束,实现了直接的三维反演. 检测板测试结果显示该方法可以得到理想的反演结果. 本文得到的波速模型显示,中国大陆中上地壳的速度分布存在明显的横向变化和分区特征. 较低的波速异常很好地勾勒出我国主要的沉积盆地,波速异常在不同深度上的变化在一定程度上反映了各盆地结晶基底的深度. 以东经95deg;为界,特提斯构造域西部具有明显的低速异常,而东部基本没有低速异常. 基于油气资源多存在于沉积层中,而沉积层表现低速异常,我们推测特提斯构造域西部油气前景比东部好. 另外, 由于特提斯构造域西部低速非常明显,这可能也说明了其地壳温度较高. 兴安造山带的低速异常可能也说明了其地壳温度较高. 20 km深度上鄂尔多斯盆地西侧的弱低速带, 很好地勾勒出中国大陆近似沿105deg;经线的强震带的走势.      

Characterization of Frequency and Aggregation of the Antarctic Krill (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Euphausia superba</Emphasis>) Using Acoustics

In this study, the dB difference and characteristics of krill swarms inhabiting Subarea 48.1, which includes the west and south of the South Shetland Island and the Elephant Island peripheries, were estimated to distinguish Antarctic krill, using acoustics. From April 13 to 24, 2016, acoustic data were collected along 24 survey lines using the frequencies 38 and 120 kHz, and middle trawling was performed at 7 stations. Using the difference between the dB values of two volume backscattering strength (Sv) frequencies (38 and 120 kHz), a clear acoustic distinction could be made between Antarctic krill (4.9 to 12.0 dB) and fish (?4.0 to ?0.2 dB). The distributions and mean Sv of krill swarms in the Elephant Island peripheries and south of South Shetland Island were higher than those in the west of South Shetland Island. The mean length/ height ratio of krill swarms in the west of the South Shetland Island (64.5) was higher than that in the south (35.9) and the Elephant Island peripheries (33.8), with the length of the aggregations exceeding their height. Most krill swarms were distributed between the surface layer (less than 10 m below sea level) and within 200 m of water depth. These results are expected to serve as baseline data for evaluating krill density and biomass by distinguishing them from fish, using acoustics.     

GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水文模型在青藏高原的适定性分析

利用2003-01~2016-06共162个月 GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1、GLDAS_NOAH_M.001新旧水文模型和GRACE卫星重力数据,计算青藏高原区域水储量及总质量变化,说明GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水文模型相对于旧模型可提升在青藏高原区域的精度。将研究区域分为6个部分,根据3种数据分别计算6个区域的平均质量变化时间序列,顾及年周期、半年周期对该时间序列进行最小二乘拟合,估计6个区域3种数据的年振幅、年相位及相关性。结果表明,GLDAS_NOAH_M.2.1水储量变化的年振幅、年相位与GRACE总质量变化的年振幅、年相位空间分布大体一致,在青藏高原北部区域与GRACE的相关性尤为明显;GLDAS_NOAH_M.001年振幅、年相位在青藏高原北部区域存在明显异常,与GRACE的相关性很低。从长趋势质量变化来看, GLDAS新、旧模型在不同区域的差异为-6.4~4.5 Gt/a量级,而在青藏高原主体区域,新模型的质量趋势偏低10.4 Gt/a。     

我国西北部分地区地壳-上地幔电性横向变化特征与地震活动的关系

由50余个测点的大地电磁测深资料,讨论了该区的地壳-上地幔电性横向变化特征。按照上地幔第一低阻层顶面埋深,将测区划分为四类地区:浅埋深(55-90公里)、中浅埋深(90-110公里)、中深埋深(110-160公里)和深埋深(160-250公里)。讨论了本区六次大震例的深部电性背景。指出了上地幔顶部的梯度带地区、地壳内电性横向变化剧烈的地区和地壳内存在局部特殊增厚的低阻层地区将可以作为潜在震源区的深部电性判据之一     

1989 Datong-Yanggao Earthquake with Ms=6.1

In this paper,the basic conditions and characteristics of the Datong-Yanggao earthquake are described in detail.The type of the earthquake,the aftershock activity,the earthquake trend,the characteristics of damage are analyzed and discussed.This earthquake belongs to a sequence of earthquake swarm type and is of the concentratedly occurring characteristics of several main shocks in a time sequence,and the aftershock activity was normally attenuated.Because of the unreasonable design of buildings and repeated vibration by several destructive main shocks within a short period,the damage in the high intensity region was aggravated.The analysis and the prediction procedure of the 1991 Datong-Yanggao earthquake(Ms=5.8)are also briefly given.     

An object-oriented knowledge representation structure for exploration data integration

Knowledge representation structure and reasoning processes are very important issues in the knowledge-based approach of integrating multiple spatial data sets for resource exploration. An object-oriented knowledge representation structure and corresponding reasoning processes are formulated and tested in this research on the knowledge-based approach of integrating spatial exploration data. The map-based prototype expert system developed in this study has self-contained knowledge representation structure and inference mechanisms. It is important to distinguish between lack of information and information providing negative evidence for a map-based system because the spatial distribution of data sets are uneven in most cases. Error and uncertainty estimation is also an important component of any production expert system. The uncertainty propagation mechanisms developed here work well for this type of integrated exploration problem. Evidential bellef function theory provides a natural theoretical basis for representing and integrating spatially uneven geophysical and geological information. The prototype system is tested using real mineral exploration data sets from the Snow Lake area, northern Manitoba, Canada. The test results outline the favorable exploration areas successfully and show the effectiveness of the knowledge representation structure and inference mechanisms for the knowledge-based approach.     

大同—阳高6.1级地震活动背景

本文从较大时空范围研究了１９８９年大同－阳高６．１级地震的地震活动性背景，认为大同－阳高地震不是一次孤立的地震事件，是大同盆地历史６级以上地震活动的继续和必然。在时间进程中它们受华北地震区和山西地震带强震活动周期的制约，空间上与北三省交汇区中强地震成丛活动密切相关。大同－阳高６．１级、５．８级地震以及此期间的侯马４．９级、析州５．１级地震是山西地震带中强地震即将活跃的一个迹象，也是华北区域应力场增     

分形与混沌理论在地震学中的应用与探讨

分形与混沌理论的研究与发展，揭示了自然界中一大类无规几何形体物理过程的内在规律性及其动力演化过程的内在随机性。这给我们探索自然界中分形客体的几何形态及其与内部物理本质的关系提供了一条暂新的途径。特别是这一理论给我们探讨地震问题，例如：探讨地震活动时空分布的确定性图像、地震演化过程的动力学行为、临界特征以及未来大地震的发生等问题，带来了某些希望。本文较详细地综述了近年来分形与混沌理论在地震学中的应用研究。全文共分５部分。第１部分是孕震过程的一般概述。第２部分描述单分形与多分形在地震学中的某些应用．文中第３部分介绍了混沌动力学中的某些研究在测震学与模型中的应用。第４部分综述了自组织临界现象和闪变噪声的研究．最后，第５部分是分形理论与混沌动力学在地球科学中的应用前景与展望．     

大同断陷盆地及其大震危险性

以最新研究成果，全面、系统地阐述了大同断陷盆地的地貌特征、晚新生代地层、火山与玄武岩、主要活动断裂、新构造单元与地震活动的空间分布、大同－阳高两次地震的地震构造。在此基础上探讨了今后10年左右的时间内，大同断陷盆地的地震危险性。