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991.
Ismail Elkhrachy 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》2018,46(2):297-308
Flash flood assessment and management are necessary for municipal, urban growth planning and emergency action plans. By using the Hydrologic Engineering Centers River Analysis System software, we can model flash flood events and calculate water surface profiles over the length of the modeled stream. After collecting elevation points by using GPS method, the digital elevation model can be calculated for the study area. Najran city has main flood stream passes beside King Abdullah Road based on facts and previous works. A small study area including the mainstream of Wady Najran and King Abdullah Road has chosen as test site. The used methodology has also been proved efficiently for identifying flood inundation maps. Water extent area overlapped by 52–86% for both used methods. At discharge Q = 15 m3/s, the road needs to be protected from the flood. 相似文献
992.
XY Leo (BD+18° 2307, p = 0d .28) was observed each season from 1992 through 1995 at Yunnan Observatory with the 1 m telescope
and 37 new heliocentric times of minimum light were determined. The newly expanded database of the minimum times,including
these new epochs, definitely confirm the sine-like variation of its O–C values. Observations and analyses strongly supported
the viewpoint that the variation of the O–C values of the minimum times is mainly caused by the light- time effect. Based
on this newly expanded database, new light elements for the eclipsing system XY Leo and new light-time orbit for this complex
system have been obtained with much better accuracy than before by means of the least squares fitting to the light-time equation.
It's also noted that the additional period variation for XY Leo probably may not be ruled out besides the light-time effect.
The method of analysis and the discussion of the results are presented in this paper.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
993.
The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has been shown repeatedly to be an effective method for data assimilation in large-scale
problems, including those in petroleum engineering. Data assimilation for multiphase flow in porous media is particularly
difficult, however, because the relationships between model variables (e.g., permeability and porosity) and observations (e.g.,
water cut and gas–oil ratio) are highly nonlinear. Because of the linear approximation in the update step and the use of a
limited number of realizations in an ensemble, the EnKF has a tendency to systematically underestimate the variance of the
model variables. Various approaches have been suggested to reduce the magnitude of this problem, including the application
of ensemble filter methods that do not require perturbations to the observed data. On the other hand, iterative least-squares
data assimilation methods with perturbations of the observations have been shown to be fairly robust to nonlinearity in the
data relationship. In this paper, we present EnKF with perturbed observations as a square root filter in an enlarged state
space. By imposing second-order-exact sampling of the observation errors and independence constraints to eliminate the cross-covariance
with predicted observation perturbations, we show that it is possible in linear problems to obtain results from EnKF with
observation perturbations that are equivalent to ensemble square-root filter results. Results from a standard EnKF, EnKF with
second-order-exact sampling of measurement errors that satisfy independence constraints (EnKF (SIC)), and an ensemble square-root
filter (ETKF) are compared on various test problems with varying degrees of nonlinearity and dimensions. The first test problem
is a simple one-variable quadratic model in which the nonlinearity of the observation operator is varied over a wide range
by adjusting the magnitude of the coefficient of the quadratic term. The second problem has increased observation and model
dimensions to test the EnKF (SIC) algorithm. The third test problem is a two-dimensional, two-phase reservoir flow problem
in which permeability and porosity of every grid cell (5,000 model parameters) are unknown. The EnKF (SIC) and the mean-preserving
ETKF (SRF) give similar results when applied to linear problems, and both are better than the standard EnKF. Although the
ensemble methods are expected to handle the forecast step well in nonlinear problems, the estimates of the mean and the variance
from the analysis step for all variants of ensemble filters are also surprisingly good, with little difference between ensemble
methods when applied to nonlinear problems. 相似文献
994.
Evaluation of the seismic hazard for 20 cities in Romania using Monte Carlo based simulations 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This work focuses on the evaluation of the seismic hazard for Romania using earthquake catalogues generated by a Monte Carlo approach. The seismicity of Romania can be attributed to the Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic source and to 13 other crustal seismic sources. The recurrence times of large magnitude seismic events (both crustal and subcrustal), as well as the moment release rates are computed using simulated earthquake catalogues. The results show that the largest contribution to the overall moment release for the crustal seismic sources is from the seismic regions in Bulgaria, while the seismic regions in Romania contribute less than 5% of the overall moment release. In addition, the computations show that the moment release rate for the Vrancea subcrustal seismic source is about ten times larger than that of all the crustal seismic sources. Finally, the Monte Carlo approach is used to evaluate the seismic hazard for 20 cities in Romania with populations larger than 100,000 inhabitants. The results show some differences between the seismic hazard values obtained through Monte-Carlo simulation and those in the Romanian seismic design code P100-1/2013, notably for cities situated in the western part of Romania that are influenced by local crustal seismic sources. 相似文献
995.
300年来中国森林的变化 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:3
Based on historical documents, modern survey and statistics, as well as the result of predecessor studies, the trend and main process of forest dynamics are recognized. The forest area and forest coverage rates for each province of China from 1700 to 1949 are estimated backward by every 50 years. Linking the result with modern National Forest Inventory data, the spatial-temporal dynamics of Chinese forest in recent 300 years (AD 1700-1998) is quantitatively analyzed. The study shows that in recent 300 years, the forest area in current territory of China has declined by 0.95×10^8 hm^2 (or 9.2% of the coverage rate) in total, with a trend of decrease and recovery. Before the 1960s, there was a trend of accelerated descending. The forest area was reduced by 1.66×10^8 hm^2 (or 17% of the coverage rate) in 260 years. While after the 1960s, there has been a rapid increase. The forest area increased by 0.7×10^8 hm^2 (or 8% of the coverage rate) in 40 years. The study also shows that there is a significant spatial difference in the dynamics of forest. The amplitudes of increasing and decreasing in western China are both smaller than the ones in eastern China. During the rapid declining period from 1700 to 1949, the most serious decrease appeared in the Northeast, the Southwest and the Southeast, where the coverage rate in most provinces dropped over 20%. In Heilongjiang Province, the coverage rate dropped by 50%. In Jilin Province, it dropped by 36%. In Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality, it dropped by 42%. In Yunnan Province, it dropped by 35%. During the recovery period 1949-1998, the western provinces, municipality and autonomous regions, including Ningxia, Gansu, Inner Mongolia, Sichuan-Chongqing, Yunnan, Tibet, Xinjiang and Qinghai, etc, the increase rates are all below 5%, while the eastern provinces, municipality and autonomous regions (except Heilongjiang, Hubei, Jiangsu-Shanghai) have achieved an increase over 5%, among which the Guangdong-Hainan, Guangxi, Anhui, Beijing-Tianjin-H 相似文献
996.
Hydrogeochemistry of Groundwater and Its Suitability for Drinking and Agricultural Use in Nahavand,Western Iran 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mohsen Jalali 《Natural Resources Research》2011,20(1):65-73
Groundwater is the major source of drinking water in Nahavand city. However, the groundwater quality at the agricultural areas
has been deteriorating in recent years. Ground water quality monitoring is a tool which provides important information for
water management and sustainable development of the water resources in Nahavand. Hydrochemical investigations were carried
out in an agricultural area in Nahavand, western Iran, to assess chemical composition of groundwater. In this study, 64 representative
groundwater samples were collected from different irrigation wells and analyzed for pH, electrical conductivity, major ions,
and nitrate. The results of the chemical analysis of the groundwater showed that concentrations of ions vary widely and the
most prevalent water type is Ca–Mg–HCO3, followed by other water types: Ca–HCO3, Ca–Na–HCO3, and Na–Cl, which is in relation with their interactions with the geological formations of the basin, dissolution of feldspars
and chloride and bicarbonate minerals, and anthropogenic activities. Thirty-seven percent of the water samples showed nitrate
(NO3
−) concentrations above the human affected value (13 mg L−1). The phosphorous (P) concentration in groundwater was between 0.11 and 0.90 mg L−1, with an average value of 0.30 mg L−1, with all of the samples over 0.05 mg L−1. The most dominant class C2-S1 (76.5%) was found in the studied area, indicating that sodicity is very low and salinity is
medium, and that these waters are suitable for irrigation in almost all soils. Agronomic practices, such as cultivation, cropping,
and irrigation water management may decrease the average NO3
− concentration in water draining from the soil zone. 相似文献
997.
Guofeng Zhu Dahe Qin Huali Tong Yuanfeng Liu Jiafang Li Dongdong Chen Kai Wang Pengfei Hu 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2016,26(5):687-702
The Thornthwaite moisture index, an index of the supply of water(precipitation) in an area relative to the climatic demand for water(potential evapotranspiration), was used to examine the spatial and temporal variation of drought and to verify the influence of environmental factors on the drought in the Hengduan Mountains, China. Results indicate that the Thornthwaite moisture index in the Hengduan Mountains had been increasing since 1960 with a rate of 0.1938/yr. Annual Thornthwaite moisture index in Hengduan Mountains was between –97.47 and 67.43 and the spatial heterogeneity was obvious in different seasons. Thornthwaite moisture index was high in the north and low in the south, and the monsoon rainfall had a significant impact on its spatial distribution. The tendency rate of Thornthwaite moisture index variation varied in different seasons, and the increasing trends in spring were greater than that in summer and autumn. However, the Thornthwaite moisture index decreased in winter. Thornthwaite moisture index increased greatly in the north and there was a small growth in the south of Hengduan Mountains. The increase of precipitation and decrease of evaporation lead to the increase of Thornthwaite moisture index. Thornthwaite moisture index has strong correlation with vegetation coverage. It can be seen that the correlation between Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) and Thornthwaite moisture index was positive in spring and summer, but negative in autumn and winter. Correlation between Thornthwaite moisture index and relative soil relative moisture content was positive in spring, summer and autumn, but negative in winter. The typical mountainous terrain affect the distribution of temperature, precipitation, wind speed and other meteorological factors in this region, and then affect the spatial distribution of Thornthwaite moisture index. The unique ridge-gorge terrain caused the continuity of water-heat distribution from the north to south, and the water-heat was stronger than that from the east to west part, and thus determined the spatial distribution of Thornthwaite moisture index. The drought in the Hengduan Mountains area is mainly due to the unstable South Asian monsoon rainfall time. 相似文献
998.
Global sea level rise (SLR) will significantly alter coastal landscapes through inundation and erosion of low-lying areas. Animals that display area fidelity and rely on fringing coastal habitats during multiple life stages, such as diamondback terrapins (Malaclemys terrapin Schoepff 1793), are likely to be particularly vulnerable to SLR-induced changes. We used a combination of empirical nest survey data and results from a regional SLR model to explore the long-term availability of known nesting locations and the modeled availability of fringing coastal habitats under multiple SLR scenarios for diamondback terrapin in the MD portion of Chesapeake Bay and the MD coastal bays. All SLR scenarios projected the rapid inundation of historically used nesting locations of diamondback terrapins with 25%–55% loss within the next 10 years and over 80% loss by the end of the century. Model trajectories of habitat losses or gains depended on habitat type and location. A key foraging habitat, brackish marsh, was projected to decline 6%–94%, with projections varying spatially and among scenarios. Despite predicted losses of extant beach habitats, future gains in beach habitat due to erosion and overwash were projected to reach 40%–600%. These results demonstrate the potential vulnerability of diamondback terrapins to SLR in Chesapeake Bay and underscore the possibility of compounding negative effects of SLR on animals whose habitat requirements differ among life stages. More broadly, this study highlights the vulnerability of species dependent on fringing coastal habitats and emphasizes the need for a long-term perspective for coastal development in the face of SLR. 相似文献
999.
Sébastien Couvidat S. P. Rajaguru Richard Wachter K. Sankarasubramanian Jesper Schou Philip H. Scherrer 《Solar physics》2012,278(1):217-240
The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) instrument onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory produces line-of-sight (LOS) observables (Doppler velocity, magnetic-field strength, Fe i line width, line depth, and continuum intensity) as well as vector magnetic-field maps at the solar surface. The accuracy of LOS observables is dependent on the algorithm used to translate a sequence of HMI filtergrams into the corresponding observables. Using one hour of high-cadence imaging spectropolarimetric observations of a sunspot in the Fe i line at 6173 Å through the Interferometric Bidimensional Spectrometer installed at the Dunn Solar Telescope, and the Milne–Eddington inversion of the corresponding Stokes vectors, we test the accuracy of the observables algorithm currently implemented in the HMI data-analysis pipeline: the MDI-like algorithm. In an attempt to improve the accuracy of HMI observables, we also compare this algorithm to others that may be implemented in the future: a least-squares fit with a Gaussian profile, a least-squares fit with a Voigt profile, and the use of second Fourier coefficients in the MDI-like algorithm. 相似文献
1000.
利用傅立叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)分析技术,对乌达矿区低温氧化和新鲜煤样进行了红外光谱测试,通过两类煤样的特征官能团吸光度的对比分析.揭示了煤在氧化前后特征官能团的变化规律:氧化后的煤样中脂肪族和芳烃CH减少,酸酐C=O从无到有,芳烃骨架C=C基本不变,进而研究了其对煤自燃倾向性的影响。结果表明脂肪族和羟基含量越高,煤自燃倾向性越大。 相似文献