Study of the flood control scheduling scheme for the Three Gorges Reservoir in a catastrophic flood

The Three Gorges Project is the world's largest water conservancy project. According to the design standards for the 1,000‐year flood, flood diversion areas in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River must be utilized to ensure the safety of the Jingjiang area and the city of Wuhan. However, once these areas are used, the economic and life loss in these areas may be very great. Therefore, it is vital to reduce this loss by developing a scheme that reduces the use of the flood diversion areas through flood regulation by the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), under the premise of ensuring the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. For a 1,000‐year flood on the basis of a highly destructive flood in 1954, this paper evaluates scheduling schemes in which flood diversion areas are or are not used. The schemes are simulated based on 2.5‐m resolution reservoir topography and an optimized model of dynamic capacity flood regulation. The simulation results show the following. (a) In accord with the normal flood‐control regulation discharge, the maximum water level above the dam should be not more than 175 m, which ensures the safety of the dam and reservoir area. However, it is necessary to utilize the flood diversion areas within the Jingjiang area, and flood discharge can reach 2.81 billion m³. (b) In the case of relying on the TGR to impound floodwaters independently rather than using the flood diversion areas, the maximum water level above the dam reaches 177.35 m, which is less than the flood check level of 180.4 m to ensure the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. The average increase of the TGR water level in the Chongqing area is not more than 0.11 m, which indicates no significant effect on the upstream reservoir area. Comparing the various scheduling schemes, when the flood diversion areas are not used, it is believed that the TGR can execute safe flood control for a 1,000‐year flood, thereby greatly reducing flood damage.     

极地冰雪氢氧同位素指标及其指示意义

本文综述了水汽来源状况、降水季节变化、火山喷发、太阳活动等气候环境因素对极地冰雪中同位素含量的可能影响及其程度 ,以及降水区域不均衡性、降水年际不均衡性、逆温层和同位素在冰雪中的扩散迁移作用等几种不稳定因素可能对冰雪同位素分析造成的干扰 ;在此基础上 ,综述了极地冰雪中δ1 8O、δD和其差值d(d =δD - 8δ1 8O)与局部或全球气温之间的一些线性关系 (包括全球尺度 ,格陵兰地区 ,南极地区等 )及它们在空间分布上的变化规律     

毛乌素沙地东南缘全新世气候不稳定性

毛乌素沙地处于中国季风区的西北边缘,对气候变化敏感,是古气候演化和古环境变迁研究的理想场所。全新世气温回暖期,气候整体稳定但存在暖湿冷干的次级波动,不同类型沉积相组成的地层序列记录了全新世千年、百年尺度的气候不稳定性。对毛乌素沙地不同沉积序列的研究表明:(1)毛乌素沙地东南缘的沙漠/黄土边界带DLT、NB剖面粒度及Rb/Sr比值可作为气候变化的代用指标。>63 μm砂含量增加,Rb/Sr比值降低,揭示东亚冬季风增强,风成砂堆积,风沙活动加剧,气候干冷;反之,东亚夏季风增强,降水增多,风化成壤程度加大,气候暖湿。(2)毛乌素沙地东南缘沙漠/黄土边界带及低洼沟谷区年代概率密度函数的分析显示,全新世早期~8\^5 ka BP风成砂堆积,风沙活动加剧,气候表现为干冷;全新世中期8\^5 ka~3\^0 ka BP地势较高处古土壤广泛发育,地势低洼处发育湖沼相/泥炭层,但在6.0 ka BP左右存在气候转冷过程;全新世晚期3\^0 ka BP以来气候波动频繁。(3)毛乌素沙地气候变化与北大西洋冰筏冷事件、董哥洞石笋、季风边缘区湖泊、东部沙地等记录具有可对比性和相对一致性,反映出全新世千年和百年尺度上的气候变化主要受全球变化的影响,这对预测和模拟未来气候变化具有借鉴意义。     

内蒙古孟恩陶勒盖银铅锌矿床白云母Ar-Ar年龄及其意义

文章采用Ar_Ar同位素测年法对孟恩陶勒盖银铅锌矿云英岩化阶段形成的白云母进行了测试 ,获得白云母坪年龄为 (179.0± 1.5 )Ma ,等时线年龄为 (182 .3± 3.8)Ma。这组数据近似地代表了该矿床的形成年龄 ,同时也显示该地区除已知的晚侏罗_早白垩世构造_岩浆_成矿作用外 ,还有一期重要的早侏罗_中侏罗世构造_岩浆_热液成矿事件 ,这也是到目前为止所获得的大兴安岭中南段热液矿床最老的成矿年龄     

准噶尔盆地东部中二叠统平地泉组具“斑状”结构热水喷流沉积岩的成因及地质意义*

准噶尔盆地东部中二叠统平地泉组(相当于芦草沟组)发育一套陆内裂谷背景下的湖泊相砂岩、泥岩、灰岩、白云岩、凝灰岩互层以及它们的过渡岩石,是区内最主要的烃源岩和储集层。近年来,在帐北断褶带、石树沟凹陷和吉木萨尔凹陷中二叠统平地泉组暗色泥岩、泥晶白云岩中发现了一类特殊的沉积岩,该类岩石发育类似火山岩的斑状结构。“斑晶”主要为粗晶白云石、方解石、黄铁矿及方沸石等,在岩心标本上呈“树枝状”或“雪花状”散布于基质中;基质则主要由泥晶白云石或泥质沉积物构成,富含有机质,发育水平层理及小型变形层理等。岩石学和矿物学分析表明,“斑晶”往往为粗晶方解石或白云石的集合体,也常见黄铁矿、方沸石与碳酸盐矿物共生,“斑晶”方解石发育环带,而白云石未见明显环带。电子探针分析表明“斑晶”方解石具有低镁、低铁及锶分布不均匀的特点,而“斑晶”白云石(FeO含量介于7.272%~11.086%之间)与“基质”泥晶白云石(FeO含量为1.027%)相比具有明显富铁的特点。流体包裹体分析表明“斑晶”方解石均一温度平均为180.68,℃,“斑晶”白云石均一温度平均为320.95,℃。这种特殊 “斑状”白云岩和“斑状”泥质岩很可能是湖底热液喷流作用的结果。当湖水沿深大断裂下渗至地下深处,与围岩发生物质交换并被加热后再沿断裂返回地表喷涌而出,热液流体携带的离子达到过饱和后就会析出方解石、白云石及黄铁矿等集合体,随热液的喷涌作用上升并破碎散落于湖底细粒沉积物内。“斑状”白云岩的发现对新疆北部中二叠统热水喷流沉积作用及该区油气的成因研究具有重要的意义。     

大地测量学家 周江文教授

周江文教授是我国著名的大地测量学家和误差理论专家,八十有三的周老精神瞿铄,思维敏捷,充满着对我国大地测量事业和年轻同志成长的关心.他对我国大地测量的贡献更为学术界所赞赏.正如大地测量和固体地球物理学家许厚泽院士所评价:"周江文教授是我国大地测量和测量误差理论研究领域中最有造诣的一位优秀科学家.60多年来,他为大地测量学的发展作出了巨大贡献.他自1958年到中科院测地所工作,为我所科技事业发展和人才培养呕心沥血,作了很多贡献".他以严肃的态度治学育人,60年如一日,为我国大地测量学术界树立了一座丰碑.     

A review of advances in China’s flash flood early-warning system

This paper summarizes the main flash flood early-warning systems of America, Europe, Japan, and Taiwan China and discusses their advantages and disadvantages. The latest development in flash flood prevention is also presented. China’s flash flood prevention system involves three stages. Herein, the warning methods and achievements in the first two stages are introduced in detail. Based on the worldwide experience of flash flood early-warning systems, the general research idea of the third stage is proposed from the viewpoint of requirements for flash flood prevention and construction progress of the next stage in China. Real-time dynamic warning systems can be applied to the early-warning platform at four levels (central level, provincial level, municipal level, and county level) . Through this, soil moisture, peak flow, and water level can be calculated in real-time using distributed hydrological models, and then flash flood warning indexes can be computed based on defined thresholds of runoff and water level. A compound warning index (CWI) can be applied to regions where rainfall and water level are measured by simple equipment. In this manner, flash-flood-related factors such as rainfall intensity and antecedent and cumulative rainfall depths can be determined using the CWI method. The proposed methodology for the third stage could support flash flood prevention measures in the 13th 5-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China (2016–2020). The research achievements will serve as a guidance for flash flood monitoring and warning as well as flood warning in medium and small rivers.     

State of the climate in the Three Gorges Region of the Yangtze River basin in 2020

2020年,长江三峡地区年平均气温17.2℃,接近常年;年平均降水量1530.8毫米,偏多29％,为1961年以来第二多,仅次于1998年.6月,7月降水量及年平均暴雨日数均为1961年以来第二多.平均风速较常年偏大;相对湿度略偏高;各月均无酸雨出现,近十余年酸雨强度呈现明显减弱趋势.2020年,三峡地区夏季暴雨洪涝灾...     

Plant drought tolerance trait is the key parameter in improving the modeling of terrestrial transpiration in arid and semi-arid regions

陆面过程蒸腾作用的模拟制约着天气,气候降水预测的精确度.近几十年来,为了更好地描述植被蒸腾的水力约束,陆面过程模式发展了基于植物性状的植物水力胁迫方案.然而,我们对于植物性状在蒸腾模拟中的地位仍然缺乏了解,植物性状对蒸腾的重要性仍需进一步量化.本研究利用Morris方法评估植物性状参数在通用陆面模式植物水力胁迫方案(CoLM-P₅₀HS)中的重要性,针对17种植物性状,筛选出最为重要的:耐旱性状(P₅₀),气孔性状,和光合作用性状.在12个FLUXNET站点中,参数的重要性由归一化敏感度来衡量.P₅₀的重要性随着降水的减少而增加,而气孔性状和光合作用性状的重要性则随着降水的减少而减少.在干旱或半干旱地区,P₅₀比气孔性状和光合作用性状更重要,这意味着当植物经常经历干旱时,水力安全策略比植物生长策略更关键.而耐旱性状的巨大变异性进一步暗示了多种植物水力安全策略的共存.忽视P₅₀的变异性可能会对陆面过程模式蒸腾作用的模拟造成严重误差.因此,为了更好地表示植物水力功能的变异性,需要增加对耐旱性状的观测并耦合到陆面模式中.     

南秦岭凤凰山地区元古代构造基底特征

依据在原划武当岩群中获得的 1 6 86± 4 5Ma (锆石U -Pb)同位素测年资料 ,结合岩石学、岩石地球化学及区域地层对比 ,从中解体出姚坪岩组。通过岩石学、岩石地球化学、构造特征、变质变形特征研究及形成环境探讨认为 :南秦岭凤凰山元古代武当岩群 (包括姚坪岩组、杨坪岩组 )变质火山岩系为古—中元古代时期多岛洋构造环境过渡基底建造 ;耀岭河岩组浅变质火山岩为本区Rodina事件的产物。该成果对南秦岭构造基底的组成、发展、演化研究具有重要意义。