1997年的强ENSO事件

根据目前的海洋－大气资料,对普遍关注的１９９７年３月在热带太平洋开始形成的一次新的强ＥＮＳＯ事件进行了诊断研究,结果表明：赤道中、东太平洋大范围持续增温１－４℃、热带印度海洋温也同步增暖。ＳＯＩ持续异常低值,但还不及１９８２／１９９３年的工。赤道太平洋对流层低层信风异常减弱,高层东风加强。ＯＬＲ低值中心和最大负距平中心东移,赤道中太平洋对流活动加强。环太平洋沿岸热带地区出现明显旱涝异常。此次ＥＮＳ     

浅谈多传感器融合技术在气象观测中应用

多传感器融合技术现阶段在气象观测中的应用主要体现在气温降水多传感器上,多传感器的正式运行减轻了地面气象观测人工维护工作量,确保气温与雨量数据的完整性,但在使用中发现多传感器融合观测存在的一些问题,如果能完善解决这些问题,则能进一步提高气温降水观测数据的准确性,实现全方位地面观测自动化。     

副热带高压活动与日月运行的关系

依据公开发表的资料，系统地研究了副热带高压活动与日月运行的关系，证实了各类副高活动均与日月运行的某些周期活动有关，主要表现形式为周期性泊松联系和与天文奇异蹼同步效应两种，并且指出，副高活动类型不同，则所对应的联系对象和联系方式也不同。     

AN OBSERVATIONAL STUDY OF THE MESO-β SCALE MOVING SYSTEMS IN THE MEIYU FRONT

The new concept and analysis method for the rainfall peak are introduced in this paper,and an obser-vational study of a heavy rain case in the Meiyu front has been made with finer radiosonde and precipitationdata.It has found in this case that there are a lot of meso-β scale systems associated with the rainfall peaksin the Meiyu front.Meso-β scale systems can be divided into two kinds,i.e.,the moving and standing types.The moving type is characterized by the unstable gravity wave and has a path corresponding to the meso-α scalerain belts in the direction.The discussion about the meso-β systems is made by using the symmetric andtransversal wave instability theory.     

NO<Subscript><Emphasis Type="Italic">x</Emphasis></Subscript> change over China and its influences

A 3-D chemical transport model (OSLO CTM2) is used to investigate the impact of the increase of NOx emission over China. The model is capable to reproduce basically the seasonal variation of surface NOx and ozone over eastern China. NOx emission data and observations reveal that NOx over eastern China increases quite quickly with the economic development of China. Model results indicate that NOx concentration over eastern China increasingly rises with the increase of NOx emission over China, and accelerates to increase in winter. When the NOx emission increases from 1995 to its double, the ratio of NO2/NOx abruptly drops in winter over northern China. Ozone at the surface decreases in winter with the continual enhancement of the NOx level over eastern China, but increases over southern China in summertime. It is noticeable that peak ozone over northern China increases in summer although mean ozone changes little. In summer, ozone increases in the free troposphere dominantly below 500 hPa.Moreover, the increases of total ozone over eastern China are proportional to the increases of NOx emission.In a word, the model results suggest that the relationship between NOx and ozone at the surface would change with NOx increase.     

ADTD雷击探测仪的硬件结构及故障判断

主要介绍了ADTD雷击探测仪的模块组合及结构,阐述了利用指示灯工作状态判断故障的基本思路及检查、排除故障的方法。     

Operative short-range hydrodynamic weather forecasting at the points and its efficiency

Efficiency is discussed of operative hydrodynamic forecasts of meteorological quantities and weather characteristics at the points. Efficiency of hydrodynamic forecasts exceeds that of synoptic forecasts. This allows introducing detailed operative hydrodynamic forecasting of weather at the points.     

Impact of stratospheric variability on tropospheric climate change

An improved stratospheric representation has been included in simulations with the Hadley Centre HadGEM1 coupled ocean atmosphere model with natural and anthropogenic forcings for the period 1979–2003. An improved stratospheric ozone dataset is employed that includes natural variations in ozone as well as the usual anthropogenic trends. In addition, in a second set of simulations the quasi biennial oscillation (QBO) of stratospheric equatorial zonal wind is also imposed using a relaxation towards ERA-40 zonal wind values. The resulting impact on tropospheric variability and trends is described. We show that the modelled cooling rate at the tropopause is enhanced by the improved ozone dataset and this improvement is even more marked when the QBO is also included. The same applies to warming trends in the upper tropical troposphere which are slightly reduced. Our stratospheric improvements produce a significant increase of internal variability but no change in the positive trend of annual mean global mean near-surface temperature. Warming rates are increased significantly over a large portion of the Arctic Ocean. The improved stratospheric representation, especially the QBO relaxation, causes a substantial reduction in near-surface temperature and precipitation response to the El Chichón eruption, especially in the tropical region. The winter increase in the phase of the northern annular mode observed in the aftermath of the two major recent volcanic eruptions is partly captured, especially after the El Chichón eruption. The positive trend in the southern annular mode (SAM) is increased and becomes statistically significant which demonstrates that the observed increase in the SAM is largely subject to internal variability in the stratosphere. The possible inclusion in simulations for future assessments of full ozone chemistry and a gravity wave scheme to internally generate a QBO is discussed.     

东印度洋水体输运的季节变化及相关盐度变化

利用20年（1992-2012年）的ECCO2模式模拟数据,主要研究了东印度洋（EIO）水体输运的季节变化.在EIO选取3个断面,分别为赤道、80°E和6°N.研究结果表明,跨赤道和80°E的季节输运主体部分大致相补偿.跨赤道的大部分水体输运局限在上层100 m,80°E的水体输运具有复杂结构,与显著的季风流、Wyrtki Jets（WJs）、赤道潜流（EUC）等有关.6°N上层水体净输运较小,但存在较强的边界流和相对较弱的内区流.纬向流的显著变化发生在80°E.在季风盛行季节,由于WJs减弱,赤道附近的水体输运以西向的梯度流为主,上层100 m的其余区域则主要受季风流控制.同样,由于EUC减弱,西向的梯度流与次表层东向的EUC之间也存在转换.在季风转换季节,季风流减弱,WJs与EUC分别在上层100 m和次表层占主导地位.此外,本研究还讨论了与季风流、WJs和EUC相关的盐水和暖水交换,有助于了解研究区域内温度和盐度的水平和垂直结构.     

基于scPDSI的东北地区气象干旱时空特征分析

干旱已成为全球陆地生态系统面临的普遍问题,其发展具有明显的地域特征,了解区域干旱的时空分布特征是防灾减灾、应对气候变化的基础。基于scPDSI数据集,采用经验正交函数和统计分析方法,分析2002-2017年东北地区气候干湿状况的时空分布和演变特征,探讨了干湿状况的季节变化对年际变化的贡献率,结果表明:东北地区4个季节的干旱面积为52.27%-62.03%,虽然季节和年际尺度的干旱均有减弱趋势,其中冬季干旱程度显著减弱,但干旱仍然是东北地区的主要气候背景;春季和夏季scPDSI的协同作用对年际scPDSI变化的贡献率达88.64%,夏季的贡献率达86.13%;东北地区的西部干旱程度高于东部的,其中呼伦贝尔草原中部和浑善达克沙地东部以严重干旱和中等干旱为主;EOF分析表明,东北地区4个季节和年度的干湿状况呈现一致的正变化趋势,高值中心主要出现在南部地区。