Cotidal charts and tidal power input atlases of the global ocean from TOPEX/Poseidon and JASON-1 altimetry

The global distributions of eight principal tidal constituents, M₂ , S₂ , K₁ , O₁ , N₂ , K₂ , P₁ , and Q₁ , are derived using TOPEX/Poseidon and JASON-1（T/P-J） satellite altimeter data for 16 a. The intercomparison of the derived harmonics at 7000 subsatellite track crossover points shows that the root mean square （RMS） values of the tidal height differences of the above eight constituents range from 1.19 cm to 2.67 cm, with an average of about 2 cm. The RMS values of the tidal height differences between T/P-J solutions and the harmonics from ground measurements at 152 tidal gauge stations for the above constituents range from 0.34 cm to 1.08 cm, and the relative deviations range from 0.031 to 0.211. The root sum square of the RMS differences of these eight constituents is 2.12 cm, showing the improvement of the present model over the existing global ocean tidal models. Based on the obtained tidal model the global ocean tidal energetics is studied and the global distribution of the tidal power input density by tide-generating force of each constituent is calculated, showing that the power input source regions of semidiurnal tides are mainly concentrated in the tropical belt between 30 S and 30 N, while the power input source regions of diurnal tides are mainly concentrated off the tropic oceans. The global energy dissipation rates of the M₂ , S₂ , K₁ , O₁ , N₂ , P₁ , K₂ and Q₁ tides are 2.424, 0.401, 0.334, 0.160, 0.113, 0.035, 0.030 and 0.006 TW, respectively. The total global tidal dissipation rate of these eight constituents amounts to 3.5 TW.     

1999-2007 年中国粮食安全的关键影响因素

选取耕地保护“新政”时期的1999-2007 年为研究时段,以耕地面积与粮食产量变化的分歧原因—耕地生产力变化为切入点,通过比较分析、空间与计量分析探寻粮食安全的关键影响因素。结果表明:农民种粮积极性变化决定着耕地集约利用是影响粮食安全的关键;2003-2007 年农民种粮积极性的持续提高主要来自市场粮价的上涨;粮食直补仅在开始实施的年份激发了农民对种粮收益的预期。此外,本文从提高农民种粮积极性、优化粮食生产投入及改进耕地保护模式3方面,提出了耕地保护发展的政策建议。     

农户对农村居民点整合的意愿及其驱动机制——以重庆市沙坪坝区曾家镇白林村为例

农村居民点整合作为乡村治理的重要内容,在时间上,既要与农村居民点建设相联系,又要真实反映未农户的居住意愿、需求与偏好;在空间上,既要满足不同农户的生产、生活需求,还要考虑农户所在村落的空间层次;尊重农户的整合意愿与发挥农村居民点整合效应间的耦合,已成为农村居民点整合和解决民生的重心。研究选取重庆市沙坪坝区曾家镇白林村为样点,采取“PRA(Participatory Rural Appraisal)+3S(GIS+RS+GPS)”的方法建立“农户—土地”空间特征与属性特征一体化数据库,按农户生计资产配置结构和未来生计发展趋势,剖析不同类型农户对农村居民点整合的意愿及其驱动机制。结果表明:农户农村居民点整合意愿各异,非农专业化发展型(72.82%)>非农多样化发展型(49.66%)>兼业发展型(44.44%)>农业专业化发展型(36.84%)>农业多样化发展型(37.33%)。农户农村居民点整合意愿受家庭经济、居住环境、社会交往及政策等多种因素的影响,而农户后顾生计来源及其收入变化、居住条件、邻里关系、社会地位感知是农户农村居民点整合意愿形成的重要驱动机制。     

1995-2010年山东省粮食单产变化空间分异及均衡增产潜力

以县域为基本空间单元,采用GIS 空间分析和ESDA方法,对山东省1995-2010 年间县域粮食单产空间格局变化进行了分析,在此基础上,结合全国农业生态区划,分析山东省粮食均衡增产潜力。结果表明:① 山东省县域粮食单产水平之间的差异整体上呈现出先增大后减小的趋势。鲁北和鲁西北平原农业生产基础差,单产增长速度最快;鲁西南平原农业生产基础差,单产增长速度较慢;鲁中南丘陵和山东半岛农业生产基础好,单产增长速度较慢;② 县域粮食单产变化的Global Moran's I 值为0.5708,表明单产变化的区域分布并非完全随机,而是表现出明显的空间集聚特征,4 种集聚类型中,“H-H”类型区和“L-L”类型区占主导,“H-H”类型区主要分布在鲁北和鲁西北平原,“L-L”类型区主要分布在鲁西南平原、鲁中南丘陵和山东半岛;③ 全省可划分为4 个一级、9 个二级均衡增产类型区,粮食单产增产潜力鲁北和鲁西北平原>鲁中南丘陵>山东半岛>鲁西南平原;总产量增产潜力约为9.50×10⁶ t,其中鲁中南丘陵>鲁北和鲁西北平原>鲁西南平原>山东半岛。     

尼泊尔8.1级地震建筑物震害遥感提取与分析

2015年4月25日尼泊尔发生的8.1级地震,造成重大人员伤亡与经济损失。在地震前、后灾区高分遥感影像分析处理基础上,结合现场实地调查,对灾区房屋建筑及其震害程度进行了遥感解译,编制了地震灾区房屋建筑震害分布图。结果分析表明:尼泊尔地震灾区影像上显示的建筑物震害分布与该区域房屋结构类型、主余震位置和区域活动构造分布密切相关。其中,房屋较为严重倒塌区域主要分布在8.1级主震和7.5级余震震中附近,但这两个区域并没有相连;居民点建筑物个别倒塌的居民地则连成一个区域。影像上显示的建筑物倒塌区域,与多数8级巨大地震比较,总体上极震区震害偏轻,但在南南西(垂直于破裂方向)上展布较宽。这一特征与引发该地震的印度与欧亚大陆板块边缘活动断裂在深部呈近似于平行地表的低角度断层面破裂引起的地震动能量在地表相对较宽而低的分布特征是一致的。     

汶川震区狭陡型泥石流典型特征与防治

汶川MS 8.0强震发生6年来,震区暴发了数量众多、类型多样的泥石流灾害,其中一类可总结为"狭陡型泥石流",其特征指标及防治对策与震前常规泥石流存在显著差异,给灾后重建和灾害防治技术提出了新的命题。在对(极)重灾区泥石流活跃的五大片区(汶川、都江堰、绵竹、北川、安县)进行大量现场调查和资料分析的基础上,提出了强震区狭陡型泥石流的概念并给出定义,提炼了其在形成、活动及危害等方面的典型特征;通过工程实践,分析了其独特的治理难点及相应的防治对策,介绍了几项极具适应性和有效性的防治新技术,可为强震扰动区泥石流治理研究和工程设计提供一类新的思路和借鉴。     

西安地区S4古土壤剖面中古水分指标与水环境研究

通过野外调查和实验分析,在西安蓝田安村黄土剖面S_4古土壤剖面中发现了具有指示当时土壤水分含量、地下水富集和水分循环的铁锰结核、针铁矿[α-FeO(OH)],在西安地区确定了风化淋滤黄土层和显著迁出了土壤黏化层的CaCO_3结核淀积层。针铁矿呈褐黄色薄膜分布于土体表面,含量可达3.3%。铁锰结核呈黑褐色球形,电镜下多呈结晶粒状,铁锰成分含量很高。针铁矿和铁锰结核富集层厚0.6m,形成于紧靠地下水的位置。通过研究提出了铁锰结核和风化淋滤黄土层及CaCO_3结核淀积层可作为恢复土壤古水分含量的重要指标。针铁矿、铁锰结核和风化淋滤黄土层的形成以及CaCO_3结核与红色铁质胶膜的迁移深度指示,在S_4古土壤发育时期,西安地区为亚热带气候,当时年平均气温为15~16℃,年平均降水量在900~1000mm之间。那时秦岭失去了亚热带与温带气候分界线的作用。在S_4古土壤发育时期,西安地区土壤重力水分布深度达到了3.3m,当时土壤水在经过蒸发与蒸腾消耗之后,3.3m深度范围内剩余的土壤平均含水量一般为25%左右,在针铁矿和与铁锰结核发育层位含水量接近饱和(50%左右)。当时土壤水分非常充足,水分循环正常,水分平衡为正,有较多水分补给地下水,适于茂盛森林植被发育。本文所确定的古含水量指标为国内外第四纪土壤含水量、水分存在形式与水循环研究提供了标准和方法。     

Analysis of social vulnerability of residential community to hazards in Tianjin,China

Flood management consists many aspects such as hazard assessment, vulnerability assessment, exposure assessment, risk assessment, early warning system, damage assessment as well as risk mitigation planning. Conventional flood management are depending on the ground based monitoring of rainfall and river discharge. Many parts of the world are not covered by these sensor networks in one hand and these ground based systems are costly. Most of the tropical countries have high flood risk and low financial and institutional capacity to afford ground based system. While conventional flood management is time and cost intensive, spaceborne remote sensing provides timely and low-cost data in comparison to field observation, and is the obvious choice for most developing countries affected by flooding. Many aspects of flood management are being aided with the advancement of remote sensing technology. More precise and near real time flood detection, lead time in flood early warning system, accurate and advance inputs of hydrological models are now blessed by space technology. Many methods and approaches have been developed to overcome the constrains in the application of spaceborne remote sensing in flood management. Application of satellite remote sensing in flood hazard assessment is well documented, however, the application of space technology in other aspects of the flood management is also promising. Therefore, this review paper focuses on the applicability of spaceborne remote sensing and in most of the aspects in flood management.

     

Variational Laws of Debris Flow Impact Force on the Check Dam Surface Based on Orthogonal Experiment Design

Debris flow impact force is an important factor for controlling structural damage, and it is the key factor for engineering design and risk assessment. Variation laws of debris flow impact force play an important role in preventing check dam impact damage and providing technology, data and support for check dam construction. Many influencing factors exist in debris flow impact force with different influencing magnitudes. The three main factors, i.e. the debris flow bulk density, the drainage channel slope and the upstream surface gradient of the check dam, were selected to be analyzed. The purpose of the study was to analyze the influencing degree of the three factors. Three levels were set for each factor and nine text schemes were established based on the theory of orthogonal experimental design. What is more, the related miniaturized flume experiment was carried out to measure impact force of debris flow. Finally, taking the impact force mean values of key point as the evaluation index, the flume experiment results were analyzed in detail by extreme difference analysis and variance analysis. Research results indicate: among the three factors, the drainage channel slope has the most significant influence, the upstream surface gradient of the check dam is in the second place and the debris flow slurry density is the third. The form of impact force mean with the maximum value: the drainage channel slope is 15°, the debris flow bulk density is 18.1 kN/m³ and the upstream surface gradient of the check dam is 1:0.     

化学分析中雪冰样品采集和预处理应注意的问题

雪冰是重建过去时段甚至几十万年尺度气候环境状况的重要载体,其环境记录成为反演气候环境变化的重要依据。雪冰化学分析是实现这一目标的重要手段,其中雪冰样品的采集、运输及冰芯样品的提取和分割等过程是研究冰雪环境记录的关键环节。鉴于此,就上述过程的注意事项做了详细的阐述,并针对目前常规冰融系统中存在ICP-SMS样品颗粒溶解不完全、微量元素不精确等问题,引入了连续融解离散采样（CMDS）方法。