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771.
气候系统模式FGOALS_gl模拟的20世纪气温变化   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
满文敏  周天军  张洁  吴波 《气象学报》2011,69(4):644-654
分析了中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学国家重点实验室(LASG/IAP)发展的快速耦合气候系统模式FGOALS_gl对近100年气温变化的模拟,讨论了20世纪气温变化的机理。结果表明,在自然因素和人为因素的共同强迫作用下,FGOALS_gl能够合理再现20世纪全球平均和纬向平均地表气温随时间的演变。利用太阳辐照度等自然强迫、温室气体和气溶胶等人为强迫因子来驱动耦合模式,能够模拟出过去100年全球平均气温的增温趋势和年代际变化。耦合模式可以较好地模拟出20世纪全球气温变化趋势的空间分布。对区域气温变化模拟效果的分析表明,除北大西洋外,FGOALS_gl对其他地区具有较高的模拟技巧,表明外强迫是造成多数地区气温变化的主要原因。FGOALS_gl的主要缺陷在于模拟的变暖强度偏弱,大气模式自身的偏差以及耦合模式对温室气体响应的敏感度偏低是造成上述缺陷的主要原因。总体而言,FGOALS_gl对20世纪气温变化的模拟效果较为理想,特别是在全球、半球和大陆尺度上,该模式对过去100年气温变化的模拟较为合理。  相似文献   
772.
In accordance with the requirements of the National Key Technology R&D Program of the 11th "Five-year Plan",a densified seismic network consisting of 26 seismic stations was established at the Three Gorges Reservoir area in the section of Hubei Province in March 2009(21 short-period seismographs,5 broadband digital seismographs).From March to December,2009,a total of 2,995 ML-0.8~2.9 earthquakes were detected during the trial impounding of the Three Gorges Reservoir(water level rose from 145 m to 172.8m).Using the double difference earthquake location algorithm,2,837 earthquakes were precisely re-located.The results show that the pattern of small local earthquake swarms in the Three Gorges Reservoir area took on a linear distribution or mass-like cluster distribution,the mass-like clusters of events were generally within a distance of 5 km from waterfront,and the linear distribution of the earthquakes could be extended to a distance of 16 km away from the waterfront.In the Hubei section of the Three Gorges Reservoir,earthquakes were mainly concentrated in the northern end of the Xiannvshan and Jiuwanxi faults near the Xiangxihe River,and along the banks of the Yangtze River at the west of Xietan township and the Shenlongxi area on the northern bank in the Badong region,with focal depths less than 10km,and 4km in average.Earthquake frequency in the reservoir region had a positive correlation with reservoir water level fluctuations,indicating that the seismicity belongs to reservoir induced earthquakes.Along the Shenlong River in the reservoir area,earthquakes showed three linear distributions in the northern Badong county,and distributed according to Karst distribution.There are underground rivers in the carbonate strata.When the reservoir was impounded,water permeated into the underground rivers,thus inducing earthquakes.Earthquakes in the areas on the cross-river segment of Xiannvshan fault,the Jiuwanxi fault and at the areas west of Xietan,Shazhen and Xizhen,may be related to the softening of discontinuities,such as the Nukou fault,the Xiannvshan fault,or the bedding joints,which would lead to failure of rock masses,thus,inducing earthquakes.However,convincing conclusions about the triggering mechanism still need further study.Additionally,near the areas south of Wenhua and Yanglin of Zigui county and at Rangkou town east of Badong county,mining-induced earthquakes occurred at the mines nearby,and on the shores of the reservoir are some collapse earthquakes.  相似文献   
773.
We use interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and broadband seismic waveform data to estimate a source model of the 11th July, 2004 M W 6.2 Zhongba earthquake, Tibet of China. This event occurred within the seismically active zone of southwestern Tibetan Plateau where the east-west extension of the upper crust is observed. Because of limitations in one pair of InSAR data available, there are trade-offs among centroid depth, rupture area and amount of slip. Available seismic data tightly constrain ...  相似文献   
774.
To better understand repeatability of strong earthquakes in previously ruptured zones during one seismogenic period, we studied the rupture zones of the doublet of M6 earthquakes in Zhongba region of southcentral Tibet, China, in 11 July 2004 and 7 April 2005, respectively. We focused on the overlapping degree of two strong quakes’ aftershock areas one week after the mainshocks by using the SQH station in China Seismic Network and a 68-stations temporary broadband seismic array, a part of the international ...  相似文献   
775.
In this paper we use gravity data to study fine crustal structure and seismogenic environment beneath Beijing and its surrounding regions.Multi-scale wavelet analysis method is applied to separating gravity fields.Logarithmic power spectrum method is also used to calculate depth of gravity field source.The results show that the crustal structure is very complicated beneath Beijing and its surrounding areas.The crustal density exhibits laterally inhomogeneous.There are three large scale tectonic zones in ...  相似文献   
776.
近20年新疆中部明显增湿事实的进一步分析   总被引:3,自引:3,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
利用1951-2008年新疆中部15站的实测降水及博斯腾湖部分实测水文资料,用小波分析等统计方法,进一步分析了近20年新疆中部明显增湿的事实。结果表明:(1)新疆中部过去60年交替出现了3段约20年的干、湿期,近20年明显增湿期的平均雨量比气候值增加了约10%~20%。(2)近20年新疆中部的明显增湿主要出现在夏季。(...  相似文献   
777.
提出了一种基于空间微分块与动态球判定策略的k近邻快速搜索算法。该算法以空间包围盒为基础,首先对空间进行微分块,将离散点分配到子空间;然后,以计算点为球心建立动态球,确定k近邻候选点。球半径可根据空间包围盒的大小、离散点数量和k近邻点数进行估算和优化。实验结果表明,该算法可快速完成k近邻搜索,运行稳定可靠。  相似文献   
778.
许家窑遗址是中国旧石器时代中期的一处重要考古遗址,按照地层古生物学常规判断,其地层为上更新统下部.许家窑遗址是泥河湾盆地乃至东亚地区发现的上更新统包含古人类及古哺乳动物化石和旧石器时代考古遗物最丰富的一个地层剖面.许家窑遗址的古地磁测年的分析存在重大理念误区,其"早更新世晚期至中更新世早中期"的断代结论令人难以置信.  相似文献   
779.
通过铸体薄片鉴定、X射线衍射、扫描电镜以及镜煤等多种实验手段对乌石凹陷流沙港组砂岩成岩作用及孔隙演化做了详细研究.结果表明:乌石凹陷流沙港组二段、三段岩石类型主要为石英砂岩,少量长石石英砂岩,粒级分选中等偏差.砂岩的成岩强度均已达到中成岩阶段A期.孔隙类型以原生粒间孔和次生溶蚀孔隙为主,压实作用、胶结作用等减少原生粒间孔隙,溶蚀作用产生大量的次生溶孔,改善储集层物性.  相似文献   
780.
There are eighty sedimentary basins in five different types in African continent,i.e.craton sag basin,foreland basin,intermountain basin,passive margin basin and rift basin,which underwent the stress environment of stable depression-compression-extension.The first three types of basins had been intensely influenced by Hercynian and Alpine tectonic movement,while the later two types of basins always exist in a stable extension environment.Different basin evolution caused the obviously hydrocarbon distributio...  相似文献   
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