上海市旅游住宿业房价空间分异规律及其影响因素

以上海市主城区住宿业为研究对象,采用Arc GIS10.3、GeoDa分析软件,通过绘制等价格圈,研究房价空间分异规律及其影响因素。结果表明：① 上海市住宿业客房等价格圈圈层结构明显,在迪士尼度假区和南京东路–陆家嘴区域形成价格峰值,以此为中心,客房等价圈呈现中心–外围的渐次梯度分布特征。② 一级等价圈围绕市中心、副中心、一级商业中心、主题街区、核心景区、高校科技园区等圈层分布;二级等价圈主要沿城市核心交通枢纽、交通干道,以及区级行政中心周围分布;三级等价圈主要沿主城区边界向外围扩展分布,在传统工业区、物流园区等形成“价格洼地”。③ 在中心城区、迪士尼度假区、虹桥商务区、闵行环高校科创带等典型区域形成“多中心”“单中心”“带状”“组团式”相对价格高值区。④ 房价与企业到旅游吸引物、交通枢纽、商业中心、行政中心、高校园区、会展中心距离呈显著负相关,此外还受到企业规模、网络评分、经营周期等内部因素的综合影响。     

增强气候诊断及预测程序通用性的一种方法

针对现有气候统计诊断与预测程序在通用性方面的不足,以线性趋势估计的源程序为例,介绍了在微机平台上,利用Fortran 90的动态数组特性,通过增加参数控制文件增强该程序通用性的思路和方法,并利用V isualBasic语言对改进后的程序进行可视化设计,增强了程序的易用性。     

Target selection and accessibility for rendezvous with a Near-Earth asteroid mission

Mission to asteroids and comets has been the hot spot of deep space exploration in the new century. The choice of a suitable target, which involves both scientific value and technical feasibility, becomes a difficult task to accomplish due to limited energy and technology. The aim of this paper is to provide an approach to selecting a target and evaluating accessibility for rendezvous with a Near-Earth Asteroid mission, taking into account scientific value and engineering feasibility. Firstly, according to the orbital characteristics and physical properties of Near-Earth asteroids, we make a summary of some of the most frequent factors influencing the target selection of scientific significance. When selecting the target for a space mission, these factors can be regarded as the scientific motivations. Then in order to avoid the possibility that some high priority targets for science would be discarded due to requiring too high an energy budget by using a classical direct transfer strategy, we calculate the transfer trajectory for rendezvous with candidates by using the planetary swingby technique and the global optimal two-impulse method. Finally, through a comparison between the scientific relevance of each possible target and the corresponding estimate of energy needed for rendezvous missions, the ranking of some candidates is identified.     

历次核试验进入海洋的~(137)Cs对中国近海影响的模拟研究

1945年以来,世界各主要核国家进行了数千次核试验,这些核试验产生的绝大部分放射性物质通过多种途径进入海洋,对海洋环境造成放射性污染。本文建立了一个准全球海洋的放射性物质输运和扩散数值模式,通过数值模拟手段评估了历史核试验释放的放射性物质137 Cs对中国近海海洋环境的影响。本文借助前人工作评估了核试验释放137Cs进入海洋的途径和总量;通过比较模拟结果与观测资料,表明本文建立的放射性物质模式能够较好地模拟出137Cs在中国近海及其邻近海域的分布情况和随时间演变特征;模拟结果表明中国近海里的137Cs浓度在20世纪50年代中期达到最大,其中吕宋海峡海域137Cs浓度最高,达80.99Bq/m3;进一步分析了2011年3月份日本福岛核事故前中国近海137Cs浓度分布状况,2011年整个中国近海137Cs浓度介于1.0~1.6Bq/m3间,且其浓度垂向分布较均匀,相对封闭的南海浓度略高于其他海域。     

FIO-ESM v2.0 CORE2-forced experiment for the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project

We introduced the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Ocean Model Intercomparison Project CORE2-forced (OMIP-1) experiment by using the First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model version 2.0 (FIO-ESM v2.0), and comprehensively evaluated the simulation results. Unlike other OMIP models, FIO-ESM v2.0 includes a coupled ocean surface wave component model that takes into account non-breaking surface wave-induced vertical mixing in the ocean and effect of surface wave Stokes drift on air-sea momentum and heat fluxes in the climate system. A sub-layer sea surface temperature (SST) diurnal cycle parameterization was also employed to take into account effect of SST diurnal cycle on air-sea heat ?uxes to improve simulations of air-sea interactions. Evaluations show that mean values and long-term trends of significant wave height were adequately reproduced in the FIO-ESM v2.0 OMIP-1 simulations, and there is a reasonable fit between the SST diurnal cycle obtained from in situ observations and that parameterized by FIO-ESM v2.0. Evaluations of model drift, temperature, salinity, mixed layer depth, and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation show that the model performs well in the FIO-ESM v2.0 OMIP-1 simulation. However, the summer sea ice extent of the Arctic and Antarctic is underestimated.     

梅雨期及其前后东亚地区的经向环流结构

本文分析了1983年江淮流域入梅前、梅雨期以及出梅后东亚地区各期平均的经向环流结构及其演变特征。在不同时期,印度热带季风环流和东亚热带及副热带季风环流具有显著差异。研究指出,江淮流域梅雨是亚洲夏季三个季风系统相互作用的结果,是东亚副热带季风系统中经向环流上升支中的产物,同时又与其它两个季风系统密切相关,梅雨结束则与印度热带季风环流减弱南撤、西太平洋高压加强西伸、东亚副热带季风环流北上有关。      

遥感图像融合方法研究

利用遥感图像专业处理软件ENVI与ERDAS IMAGINE,对珠海市2002年的Landsat 7 ETM+遥感数据进行了图像融合方法试验,包括IHS变换、Brovey变换、K-L变换和Gram Schmidt波谱锐化等。然后利用定性和定量方法对各种方法的融合结果进行了光谱特征和统计参数等方面的评价。研究结果表明:Gram Schmidt波谱锐化在纹理信息、亮度信息和光谱信息等方面都优于其他几种融合方法。     

五环路对北京观象台气温的影响分析

利用1998—2009年北京观象台、大兴和丰台站气温小时观测资料,分析了五环路建设前后气温的变化以及气温变化的季节差异;利用2008—2009年北京观象台及其周边20km范围内站点的气温分钟资料,分析了观象台与其他台站气温资料的相关关系。结果表明,五环路建成后的5年比建设前5年年平均气温有0.98℃的升幅。五环路对观象台气温资料的影响存在季节性变化,气温升幅春季最小,秋季最大。北京观象台气温资料与周边台站气温资料存在较明显差异,气温绝对差平均值为0.57~1.92℃。     

基于SD-GIS的突发水污染事故水质时空模拟

将一维河流水质系统动力学模型用于水质模拟,建立了系统动力学(SD)和GIS关联的概念框架,并基于组件式GIS和SD模型开发了水污染事故水质模拟实验系统。以2005年11月发生的松花江水污染事故为例,对特征污染物硝基苯浓度的时空变化进行了动态仿真模拟。结果显示,通过建立SD和GIS的关联,能够实现水污染事故中污染物的时空分布模拟,以及基于模型参数的模型调控与情景分析,为突发水污染事故应急方案的优选提供科学、可行的依据。     

Definitions of natural-language spatial relations: Combining topology and directions

Because SQL for querying data from spatial databases is ineffective, the query based on natural or visual language becomes an attractive research field gradually. However, how to define and represent natural languages related to spatial data are still gigantic problems. Because existing models of direction relations can't describe by use of some common concepts. First of all, detailed direction relations are proposed to describe the directions related to the interior of spatial objects, such as “east part of a region”, “east boundary of a region”, and so on. Secondly, by integrating the detailed directions with exterior direction relations and topological relations, several NLSRs are defined, such as “a road goes across the east part of a lake”, “a river goes along the east boundary of a province”, etc. Finally, based on the NLSRs abovementioned, a natural spatial query language (NSQL) is formed to retrieve data from spatial databases.