广西贺州地区气温和干旱的气候变化特征

利用近30年的实际观测资料,分析贺州地区年平均气温和干旱指数的变化特征,结果表明:(1)贺州地区年平均气温有增高趋势,冬季和春季较大幅度变暖,带来暖冬,夏季反而稍微降温,出现凉夏,秋季稍有增温,但不明显;(2)贺州地区的年平均气温存在11 a和4a左右的两个振荡周期;(3)在上世纪80年代初,贺州地区干旱指数有一次明显的年代际变化,由负值转为正值,干旱有加重的趋势,未来几年贺州地区干旱指数仍处于增强的趋势中,这与11～13 a左右的振荡周期处于正位相有关.贺州地区4个站的干旱指数都有一个11～13a左右的振荡周期和一个2～6 a左右的振荡周期.     

The first peak ground motion attenuation relationships for North of Vietnam

The first attenuation relationships of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and peak ground velocity (PGV) for northern Vietnam are obtained in this study. Ground motion data are collected by a portable broadband seismic network in northern Vietnam as a part of cooperation between the Institute of Geophysics, Vietnamese Academy of Science and Technology, Vietnam and Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taiwan. The database comprises a total of 330 amplitude records by 14 broadband stations from 53 shallow earthquakes, which were occurred in and around northern Vietnam in the period between 01/2006 and 12/2009. These earthquakes are of local magnitudes between 1.6 and 4.6, focal depths less than 30 km, and epicentral distances less than 500 km. The new attenuation relationships for PGA and PGV are:

log₁₀(PGA)=-0.987+0.7521M_L-log₁₀(R)-0.00475R,     

东亚温带气旋及其长期预报（一）—气候特征及其影响因素

本文分析了影响我国近海的温带气旋气候特征及其影响因素。分析得出：３－７月是温带气旋的盛季，４月份是全年中温带气旋最多的月份。赤道东太平洋海温异常增暖的年份，温带气旋增多。     

Compression studies of gibbsite and its high-pressure polymorph

Various X-ray diffraction methods have been applied to study the compression behavior of gibbsite, Al(OH)₃, in diamond cells at room temperature. A phase transformation was found to take place above 3 GPa where gibbsite started to convert to its high-pressure polymorph. The high-pressure (HP) phase is quenchable and coexists with gibbsite at the ambient conditions after being unloaded. This HP phase was identified as nordstrandite based on the diffraction patterns obtained at room pressure by angle dispersive and energy dispersive methods. On the basis of this structural interpretation, the bulk modulus of the two polymorphs, i.e., gibbsite and nordstrandite, could be determined as 85 ± 5 and 70 ± 5 GPa, respectively, by fitting a Birch-Murnaghan equation to the compression data, assuming their K_o ^′ as 4. Molar volume cross-over occurs at 2 GPa, above which the molar volume of nordstrandite is smaller than that of gibbsite. The differences in the molar volume and structure between the two polymorphs are not significant, which accounts for the irreversibility of the phase transition. In gibbsite, the axial compressibility behaves as c/c _o > a/a _o > b/b _o. This is due to the fact that the dioctahedral sheets along the c-axis are held by the relatively weak hydrogen bonding, which results in the greater compressibility along this direction. In nord- strandite, the axial compressibility is b/b _o > c/c _o > a/a _o, which can also be interpreted as resulting from the the existence of hydrogen bonds along the b-axis. Received: 28 September 1998 / Revised, accepted: 22 December 1998     

Numerical simulations of transport of non-ergodic solute plumes in heterogeneous aquifers

Transport of non-ergodic solute plumes by steady-state groundwater flow with a uniform mean velocity, μ, were simulated with Monte Carlo approach in a two-dimensional heterogeneous and statistically isotropic aquifer whose transmissivity, T, is log-normally distributed with an exponential covariance. The ensemble averages of the second spatial moments of the plume about its center of mass, <S _{i i} (t)>, and the plume centroid covariance, R _{i i} (t) (i=1,2), were simulated for the variance of Y=log T, σ _Y ²=0.1, 0.5 and 1.0 and line sources normal or parallel to μ of three dimensionless lengths, 1, 5, and 10. For σ _Y ²=0.1, all simulated <S _{i i} (t)>−S _{i i} (0) and R _{i i} (t) agree well with the first-order theoretical values, where S _{i i} (0) are the initial values of S _{i i} (t). For σ _Y ²=0.5 and 1.0 and the line sources normal to μ, the simulated longitudinal moments, <S ₁₁(t)>−S ₁₁(0) and R ₁₁(t), agree well with the first-order theoretical results but the simulated transverse moments <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) and R ₂₂(t) are significantly larger than the first-order values. For the same two larger values of σ _Y ² but the line sources parallel to μ, the simulated <S ₁₁(t)>−S ₁₁(0) are larger than but the simulated R ₁₁ are smaller than the first-order values, and both simulated <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) and R ₂₂(t) stay larger than the first-order values. For a fixed value of σ _Y ², the summations of <S _{i i} (t)>−S _{i i} (0) and R _{i i} , i.e., X _{i i} (i=1,2), remain almost the same no matter what kind of source simulated. The simulated X ₁₁ are in good agreement with the first-order theory but the simulated X ₂₂ are significantly larger than the first-order values. The simulated X ₂₂, however, are in excellent agreement with a previous modeling result and both of them are very close to the values derived using Corrsin's conjecture. It is found that the transverse moments may be significantly underestimated if less accurate hydraulic head solutions are used and that the decreasing of <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) with time or a negative effective dispersivity, defined as , may happen in the case of a line source parallel to μ where σ _Y ² is small.     

Effect of non‐moment braced frame seismic deformations on buckling‐restrained brace end connection behavior: Theoretical analysis and subassemblage tests

In‐plane buckling‐restrained brace (BRB) end rotation induced by frame action is a commonly observed phenomenon in buckling‐restrained braced frames (BRBFs). However, its effect on BRB end connection behavior has not yet been clear. In this study, four BRB end deformation modes for quick determination of end rotational demand are proposed for non‐moment BRBF considering different BRB arrangements, installing story of BRBs, and boundary condition of corner gussets connected with column base. Key factors affecting BRB end rotation and flexural moments are examined theoretically by parametric analysis. Subassemblage tests of seven BRB specimens under horizontal cyclic loading were conducted by adopting two loading frames to impose the expected BRB end deformations. It shows that BRB end rotation subjected BRB ends to significant flexural moments, leading to premature yielding of BRB ends or even tendency of end zone buckling. The deformation modes, the flexural rigidity of BRB ends, and the initial geometric imperfections of BRBs were found to have significant influence on BRB end connection behavior. The triggering moment induced by BRB end rotation was the main contributor to end flexural moment. However, the moment amplification effect induced by flexure of BRB end zones became prominent especially for small flexural rigidity of BRB ends. Implications and future research needs for design of BRB end connections are provided finally based on the theoretical and experimental results. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Assessment of ENSO Stability in CAMS Climate System Model Simulations

We present an overview of the El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation(ENSO) stability simulation using the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences climate system model(CAMS-CSM). The ENSO stability was quantified based on the Bjerknes(BJ) stability index. Generally speaking, CAMS-CSM has the capacity of reasonably representing the BJ index and ENSO-related air–sea feedback processes. The major simulation biases exist in the underestimated thermodynamic damping and thermocline feedbacks. Further diagnostic analysis reveals that the underestimated thermodynamic feedback is due to the underestimation of the shortwave radiation feedback, which arises from the cold bias in mean sea surface temperature(SST) over central–eastern equatorial Pacific(CEEP). The underestimated thermocline feedback is attributed to the weakened mean upwelling and weakened wind–SST feedback(μ_a) in the model simulation compared to observation. We found that the weakened μ_a is also due to the cold mean SST over the CEEP.The study highlights the essential role of reasonably representing the climatological mean state in ENSO simulations.     

1975-2006年西藏羊卓雍错流域内湖泊水位变化对气候变化的响应

根据1975年地形图、1988年至2006年的TM、CBERS卫星遥感资料和1962-2006年逐年平均气温、降水量、蒸发量、相对湿度、风速和日照时数等气象资料以及1974-2005年的湖泊水位水文资料,对西藏羊卓雍错及其流域内的空姆错、沉错和巴纠错等4个湖泊的水位变化以及对气候变化的响应作了分析.结果表明:该区湖泊面积在近30 a来呈缓慢下降趋势,2005年与1975年相比,分别减少了46.55 km2、1.73km2、0.03 km2、6.01 km2,减少幅度分别为7.2%、4.3%、0.1%、13.6%.其主要原因是,由于羊卓雍错的湖水主要以降水补给为主,在降水增加、气温上升的情况下由于升温引起的湖泊蒸发效应超过降水增加导致的补给影响,是湖泊面积下降的主要原因.     

济南市破损山体治理方法优化探讨

破损山体治理在全国范围内缺少成熟可借鉴的经验,该文通过对济南已完成的58座破损山体治理方案的研究,总结出如何选取破损山体最合理的治理方法,为类似地区破损山体治理方法的选取提供了理论依据。