秦岭主峰太白山北麓降水化学特征分析

利用太白山北麓2011年12月-2013年7月共39次降水样品数据资料, 定量分析了该区域降水化学的特征和时间变化规律. 结果表明: 太白山北麓地区降水中, 除常量离子Na⁺、NH₄⁺、K⁺、Mg²⁺、Ca²⁺、F^-、Cl^-、SO₄^2-、NO₃^-外, CO₃^2-、HCO₃^-、PO₄^3-及低分子有机酸也占有相当比例. 研究区降水常量离子浓度的顺序依次为: NH₄⁺ > SO₄^2- > Ca²⁺ > NO₃^- > Na⁺ > Cl^- > Mg²⁺ > K⁺ > F^-, 离子总浓度表现出明显的季节变化: 夏季(轻度污染) < 秋季(中等污染) < 春季(严重污染) < 冬季(极重污染). 利用因子分析法得出太白山北麓地区降水组分主要有三种来源; Na⁺、Cl^-、Mg²⁺、Ca²⁺主要来自地壳源, SO₄^2-、NO₃^-、NH₄⁺主要来自人为源, K⁺和F^-主要由海盐源和人为源共同贡献. 根据Hysplit 后向气流轨迹分析, 得出不同路径气团降水离子组分不同: 受地形等因素影响, 北方路径的气团比南方路径气团离子总浓度较高; 受土壤类型影响, 西北方向气团降水Na⁺、Mg²⁺、Ca²⁺浓度较高; 受人为活动影响, 东北方向SO₄^2-、NO₃^-、NH₄⁺浓度较高.     

厚层河道砂体储层非均质性研究——以葡萄花油层组PI1-PI4小层为例

储层非均质性对油气田的勘探和开发效果影响很大.结合测井资料二次解释的孔隙度(Φ)、泥质含量(Vsh)、粒度中值(Md)、束缚水饱和度(Swi)等资料,借助BP网络对渗透率进行预测.对萨尔图油田中部葡萄花油层组的非均质性进行了定量半定量的研究,认为萨尔图油田中部葡萄花油层组PI2小层层内非均质性最严重,与沉积微相密切相关.单砂层垂向上渗透率的变化以正韵律和复合式韵律为主,局部发育反韵律模式.葡萄花油层组PI1-PI4小层层内非均质性强弱依次为PI2a,PI3,PI2b,PI1,PI4;层间非均质性在PI3和PI4间表现得最强,其他相对要弱;各小层平面非均质性相差无几,整体表现为较强的非均质性.     

铜镍尾矿砂微波加热硫酸溶解实验研究

通过尾矿砂微波加热硫酸溶解新方法的实验,研究了硫酸浓度、液固比及反应时间等因素对尾矿砂酸蚀率的影响。结果显示,在无需搅拌的情况下,微波加热实验的最佳条件酸浓度5mol/L、液固比5.0mL/g都较传统水热法有优势,在反应时间上,微波加热15min就能达到传统水热法2～3h的效果。在酸蚀率相同的情况下,微波加热所用时间仅为传统水热法的1/6,而所用的酸浓度、液固比都较传统水热法小很多。先对尾矿砂直接微波辐照一段时间,然后再加入硫酸进行微波辐照加热溶解,能够促进尾矿砂的溶解,提高尾矿砂的酸蚀率。微波加热条件下,尾矿砂在硫酸浓度8mol/L、液固比5.0mL/g条件下无需搅拌,反应1h后,除透闪石没有完全溶解外,绝大部分的矿物被溶解。与传统加热方式相比,微波加热可显著提高尾矿砂酸溶解速率。     

因子分类法在黑龙江塔河地区地质填图中的应用

利用因子分类法在黑龙江塔河地区进行地球化学单元识别,根据各单元的理论地球化学意义及其与地质单元的对应关系,进行浅覆盖区地质填图研究。充分提取区域化探资料中的地球化学信息,将研究区识别为具有特定地质、地球化学意义的5个地球化学单元。其中:Be、Nb、Sn、Y、Rb单元主要反映研究区古生代花岗岩和中生代酸碱性火山岩的分布;Co、TFe、Cr、Ni、V、Ti、MgO单元主要反映研究区早元古代侵入岩、变质岩和古生代基性岩体的分布;SiO2、K2O、Na2O单元反映的地质单元主要为古生代侵入岩、中生代酸碱性火山岩和沉积岩;Al2O3、Li、F单元主要反映中生代火山岩的分布;CaO、Sr、Ba单元反映的是中生代沉积岩,可能与生物沉积作用有关,代表比较稳定的沉积环境。同时,根据不同单元的分布形态和边界走向,识别和推断了研究区的北东、北西、南北及东西向断裂构造。     

考虑温度和密度影响的非饱和黄土土-水特征曲线研究

取扰动黄土进行试验研究,测试得到了不同密度和温度黄土土样的土-水特征曲线。试验资料揭示出：密度变化引起基质吸力的变化非常显著。相对而言,温度变化引起基质吸力的变化不显著。对于一定含水率的土样,温度变化引起的吸力变化值在高含水率时较小,可以忽略不计,而在低含水率时较大;温差越大,吸力变化越大。进一步基于试验资料的分析,得到了考虑密度和温度影响的土-水特征曲线的表达式,并通过计算和测试结果的对比分析,验证了表达式的合理性。     

一种多因子相关计算方法

采用分析与图解相结合的方法解决多因子非线性相关计算,求回归方程问题。先从多个因子中找出对倚变量影响最大的一个因子,作单相关曲线,求残差;再从余下的因子中找出对残差影响最大的因子,作相关曲线,求残差,直到剩余各因子对残差影响相当;最后用剩余因子线性分解残差,从而求得多因子非线性回归方程。     

The Seasonal Prediction of the Exceptional Yangtze River Rainfall in Summer 2020

During June and July of 2020, the Yangtze River basin suffered from extreme mei-yu rainfall and catastrophic flooding. This study explores the seasonal predictability and associated dynamical causes for this extreme Yangtze River rainfall event, based on forecasts from the Met Office GloSea5 operational forecast system. The forecasts successfully predicted above-average rainfall over the Yangtze River basin, which arose from the successful reproduction of the anomalous western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH). Our results indicate that both the Indian Ocean warm sea surface temperature (SST) and local WNP SST gradient were responsible for the westward extension of the WNPSH, and the forecasts captured these tropical signals well. We explore extratropical drivers but find a large model spread among the forecast members regarding the meridional displacements of the East Asian mid-latitude westerly jet (EAJ). The forecast members with an evident southward displacement of the EAJ favored more extreme Yangtze River rainfall. However, the forecast Yangtze River rainfall anomaly was weaker compared to that was observed and no member showed such strong rainfall. In observations, the EAJ displayed an evident acceleration in summer 2020, which could lead to a significant wind convergence in the lower troposphere around the Yangtze River basin, and favor more mei-yu rainfall. The model forecast failed to satisfactorily reproduce these processes. This difference implies that the observed enhancement of the EAJ intensity gave a large boost to the Yangtze River rainfall, hindering a better forecast of the intensity of the event and disaster mitigation.     

FY2海面温度产品质量检验方法与误差分析

主要介绍了风云二号静止气象卫星海面温度产品的质量检验方法及检验流程,给出了FY2E业务海面温度产品和FY2F海面温度算法的质量检验结果,并从误差统计、反演算法、系统设计等方面分析了目前FY2海面温度产品与国外卫星海面温度产品差异大的原因。现场海面温度质量检验和分析场海面温度交叉检验各有优缺点。现场海面温度质量检验能够对FY2 SST产品给于客观的评价。国外分析场海面温度具有时效性好、全球覆盖且质量均一的优点,分析场海面温度交叉检验能满足FY2 SST质量检验的时效性,是对FY2 SST的相对检验。通过静止卫星海面温度产品质量检验信息可以为产品研发人员和相关用户提供参考。     

Weakening of Interannual Variability in the Summer East Asian Upper-tropospheric Westerly Jet since the Mid-1990s

In this study,we found that the intensity of interannual variability in the summer upper-tropospheric zonal wind has significantly weakened over Northeast Asia and the subtropical western North Pacific(WNP) since the mid-1990s,concurrent with the previously documented decrease of the westerly jet over North China and Northwest China.Corresponding to this weakening of zonal wind variability,the meridional displacement of the East Asian westerly jet(EAJ) manifested as the leading mode of zonal wind variability over the WNP and East Asia(WNP-EA) before the mid-1990s but not afterward.The energetics of the anomalous pattern associated with the meridional displacement of the EAJ suggests that barotropic energy conversion,from basic flow to anomalous patterns,has led to the weakening of the variability in the EAJ meridional displacement and to a change in the leading dominant mode since the mid-1990s.The barotropic energy conversion efficiently maintained the anomalies associated with the variability in the EAJ meridional displacement during 1979-1993 but acted to dampen the anomalies during 1994-2008.A further investigation of the energetics suggests that the difference in the patterns of the circulation anomaly associated with either the first leading mode or the meridional displacement of the EAJ,i.e.,a southwest-northeast tilted pattern during 1979-1993 and a zonally oriented pattern during 1994-2008,has contributed greatly to the change in barotropic energy conversion.     

基于加密探空资料对不同海拔高度台站边界层大气的对比分析

本文利用中国气象局成都高原气象研究所西南涡加密观测试验获取的探空资料及地面台站资料,对比分析了高原东侧的四川省境内不同海拔高度台站的边界层特征,结果表明:高海拔地区地表大气受陆面的影响更为剧烈,日变化幅度更大,且极值出现时间更早。温度/比湿/风速的差异都主要体现在低层边界层大气中,越靠近地面,差异越显著。其中,温度递减率在02:00（北京时,下同）最小,14:00最大,高海拔测站受陆面影响的大气层厚度比低海拔测站大,低海拔测站在近地层300 m以下大气中存在明显的逆温现象。14:00近地层大气的比湿最小,午夜02:00近地层大气的比湿最大,高海拔地区低层大气的平均比湿递减率小于低海拔地区。高海拔地区风速日变化幅度大,4个时次的风速廓线形态差异也大;低海拔地区风速变化幅度小,4个时次的风速廓线形态也比较一致。高海拔台站地表大气的日变化幅度大,极值出现时间略早。