基于层区带刻度区地质特点的资源评价方法适用性分析

针对新型的层区带刻度区进行资源评价方法的适应性研究是长庆四次资评一项重要内容。采用油藏规模序列法、油藏过程模型法、容积法和饱和探井法4种资源评价方法,对具不同成藏特点的刻度区进行了深入的方法适用性分析和参数研究。研究结果表明,过程类资源评价方法对低渗透、特低渗透连续性岩性油藏,在以储量提交单元作为统计单元进行油藏发现序列与规模序列模拟时,计算参数的合理性与计算结果认知度很难达到统一。而勘探程度类资源评价方法,在深入的地质分析基础上,选择合理适宜的关键参数,是可以求得较为可信的地质资源量。当然,评价者对评价对象的认识程度和对评价方法的掌握程度也影响着资源评价的结果。     

The effect of slight to minor biodegradation on C<Subscript>6</Subscript> to C<Subscript>7</Subscript> light hydrocarbons in crude oils: a case study from Dawanqi Oilfield in the Tarim Basin,NW China

Light hydrocarbons (LHs) are one of the main petroleum fractions in crude oils, and carry much information regarding the genetic origin and alteration of crude oils. But secondary alterations—especially biodegradation—have a significant effect on the composition of LHs in crude oils. Because most of the LHs affected in oils underwent only slight biodegradation (rank 1 on the biodegradation scale), the variation of LHs can be used to describe more the refined features of biodegradation. Here, 23 crude oils from the Dawanqi Oilfield in the Tarim Basin, NW China, eleven of which have been biodegraded to different extents, were analyzed in order to investigate the effect of slight to minor biodegradation on C₆–C₇ LHs. The study results showed that biodegradation resulted in the prior depletion of straight-chained alkanes, followed by branched alkanes. In slight and minor biodegraded oils, such biodegradation scale could not sufficiently affect C₆–C₇ cycloalkanes. For branched C₆–C₇ alkanes, generally, monomethylalkanes are biodegraded earlier than dimethylalkanes and trimethylalkanes, which indicates that branched alkanes are more resistant to biodegradation, with the increase of substituted methyl groups on parent rings. The degree of alkylation is one of the primary controlling factors on the biodegradation of C₆–C₇ LHs. There is a particular case: although 2,2,3-trimethylbutane has a relative higher alkylation degree, 2,2-dimethylpentane is more resistant to biodegradation than 2,2,3-trimethylbutane. 2,2-Dimethylpentane is the most resistant to biodegradation in branched C₆–C₇ alkanes. Furthermore, the 2-methylpentane/3-methylpentane and 2-methylhexane/3-methylhexane ratios decreased steadily with increasing biodegradation, which implies that isomers of bilateral methyl groups are more prone to bacterial attack relative to mid-chain isomers. The position of the alkyls on the carbon skeleton is also one of the critical factors controlling the rate of biodegradation. With increasing biodegradation, Mango’s LH parameters K1 values decrease and K2 values increase, the values of n-heptane and isoheptane decrease, and the indices of methylcyclohexane and cyclohexane increase. LH parameters should be applied cautiously for the biodegraded oils. Because biodegraded samples belong to slight or minor biodegraded oils, the values of n-heptane and isoheptane from Dawanqi Oilfield can better reflect and determine the “Biodegraded” zone. When the heptane value is 0–21 and the isoheptane value is 0–2.6, the crude oil in Dawanqi Oilfield is defined as the “Biodegraded” zone.     

东南极普里兹湾1990年1—2月大风过程与气旋和锋面活动分析

本文用澳大利亚墨尔本气象中心,苏联南极青年站地面天气图和NOAA-10,NOAA-11极轨卫星云图确定了东南极普里兹湾及其附近海域1990年1—2月份气旋中心位置;讨论了这些气旋的活动特征。分析了实测大风对应的天气系统,天气形势和卫星云图特征,指出普里兹湾沿海存在气旋、锋面以及锋面云和气旋先后相继的影响。锋面及锋面、气旋先后相继影响与500hPa上的强高压脊天气形势、强风与锋面带中纹理非常不均匀区域有密切关系。     

西园隧洞引水工程对滇池CODMn的影响分析

本文在滇池湖流特性研究的基础上,建立了滇池平面二维ＣＯＤＭｎ输移扩散数学模型, 模型对污染物进入滇池水体后的输移扩散规律进行模拟分析,对滇池周围西园隧洞引水工程第一系列污染控制工程措施对滇池主要污染指标ＣＯＤＭｎ的影响进行评价,为综合治理滇池提供了理论依据。     

Relationships between typhoons,climate and crime rates in Taiwan

The literature indicates climate change is likely to cause more frequent and intense extreme weather events along with higher temperatures and altered precipitation. Taiwan frequently suffers from extremes in the form of typhoons, and their effects threaten both social stability and public security. Temperature effects through climate change are also expected to alter crime rates. We examine the immediate and longer-run impacts of typhoons and other climate variables on crime rates in Taiwan. The immediate results suggest that typhoon intensity has a significantly negative influence on rates of crime, including all violent crimes and automobile thefts. They also show that warmer temperatures have a strong positive effect on all violent crimes and all the subtypes of violent crimes. In addition, longer duration typhoons increase the immediate rates of all violent crimes, automobile thefts and muggings while decreasing the rate of burglaries. In the long run, we find that typhoon intensity, duration and landfall have persistent, lagged effects on crime that vary from negative to positive. For example, strong-intensity typhoons have significantly negative lagged effects on crimes 3–5 months in the future but positive lagged effects on crimes in future months 6–9. Finally, projections under the IPCC climate change scenarios show all violent crimes will increase.     

应用流体包裹体和自生伊利石测年重构鄂尔多斯盆地侏罗系油藏烃类充注史

中生界侏罗系是鄂尔多斯盆地重要的石油勘探与开发目的层之一,侏罗系油藏受前侏罗纪古地貌影响较为显著。本文通过流体包裹体特征分析、均一化温度测定和包裹体丰度（GOI）分析、定量颗粒荧光（QGF、QGF-E）研究以及储集层自生伊利石K-Ar定年等实验方法和手段的应用,对鄂尔多斯盆地侏罗系油气包裹体特征进行了精细描述及定量化分析研究,揭示了侏罗系油藏形成时间、充注过程及油气包裹体与油气运移、成藏的关系。研究结果表明：侏罗系油藏存在晚期充注,早期充注少或油藏遭受调整,早期生成的烃类现今仅以沥青的形式赋存,现今烃类流体主要为晚期成藏的产物。侏罗系石油大规模充注期为（108.3±2.0）~（116.5±2.0）Ma（早白垩世中期）,具有垂向运移聚集的特点。鄂尔多斯盆地侏罗系油藏早期受岩性和构造双重控制,晚期构造活动调整了油气藏的形态及局部富集。侏罗系在晚期成藏过程中没有形成过叠合连片的大规模的油藏,只在局部构造上形成规模较小的“小而肥”的独立油藏。     

华北地台晚古生代含煤地层多重划分

以６０个大体均匀分布于华北地台的地层剖面为基础,以晚古生代聚煤盆地的整体性为依托,对华北晚古生代地层进行多重划分研究,在岩石地层方面,研究了地层分区、划分了１８个岩石地层单位“组”,分析了组的穿时性,在生物地层方面,重点介绍了蜒、古植物和孢粉生物地层,划分了各个组合带、延限带和顶峰带,分析了生物演化系列,空间展布和对比,提出了多方面的新认识,在年代地层方面,应用界线层型概念以及与首要门类生物地层单     

鄂尔多斯盆地南部前侏罗纪古地貌对延安组下部油藏的控制作用

三叠纪末的印支运动使鄂尔多斯盆地整体抬升,上三叠统延长组顶部遭受到强烈风化及河流侵蚀等地质作用,形成水系广布、沟壑纵横、丘陵起伏的古地貌景观。通过对下侏罗统延安组延10油层组和富县组地层等厚图及延长组顶面起伏图的编绘,基本恢复了前侏罗纪古地貌形态,并将其划分为河谷、斜坡、阶地、高地、平原和潜丘6种古地貌单元。该种古地貌景观严格控制了下侏罗统富县组及延安组下部的沉积相类型、相带展布及压实披盖构造的形成。古河谷的下切作用不仅使延安组下部与油源层的接触距离缩短,又为油气运移提供了良好的通道,如遇到有利的储集体与背斜、鼻隆等构造,即可有机配置、富集成藏;同时地层水特征表明斜坡带保存条件最好。指出前侏罗纪古地貌斜坡带上的坡嘴、阶地及潜丘是勘探延安组下部油藏的有利地带。     

0509号台风麦莎的结构与外围暴雨分布特征

利用地面加密观测资料、FY-2C卫星TBB资料和NCEP再分析资料，对2005年8月6～8日0509号台风麦莎登陆后环流结构及暴雨分布特征进行了综合分析。结果表明：台风麦莎具有明显不对称结构，台风东侧和北侧的积云对流较为旺盛；台风环流地面正涡度中心位于台风东侧，并随着台风北上移向台风东北象限并加强。地面强辐合区随着倒槽发展向偏北方向伸展；850hPa台风环流场表现为东侧和北侧的环流强盛，偏东风低空急流在台风北上过程中从东南风急流转为东北风急流；台风东侧暖，西侧冷，其东北侧有强暖平流输送。200hPa高空急流发展，急流入口区右侧强辐散有利于台风登陆后长时间维持。500hPa强上升运动区与台风外围暴雨区有较好对应关系。     

SF6气体的辐射强迫和全球增温潜能的研究

IPCC(2007)指出, 六氟化硫(SF6) 作为臭氧消耗物质 (ODSs) 的部分替代物质, 近年来排放量大大增加。它作为控制排放的人造长寿命温室气体之一已经被列入《京都议定书》。但是, 目前在臭氧消耗物质替代品中, 对SF6的辐射强迫和全球增温潜能的研究较少, 而且所用的谱吸收资料陈旧。本文采用最新的分子吸收数据库HITRAN2004中的SF6的吸收截面数据, 利用Shi(1981) 的吸收系数重排法, 建立了SF6的相关k分布的辐射计算方案, 在此基础上研究了SF6在晴空大气下的辐射效率和全球增温潜能, 并首次计算了SF6的全球温变潜能, 与其全球增温潜能进行了比较。本文的研究表明: SF6的辐射效率为0.512 W/m2, 经过大气寿命调整之后的辐射效率为0.506 W/m2, 二者差别不大; 根据IPCC (2007) 给出的排放情景, 到2100年, SF6在大气中的体积分数将达到35×10-12～70×10-12, 引起的相应辐射强迫将在0.004～0.028 W/m2之间变化; 相对于二氧化碳的100年全球增温潜能为2.33×104, 比IPCC(2007)的结果大2.2%; 100年的持续排放的全球增温潜能为2.26×104, 与其他长寿命人造温室气体一道, 其对全球变暖的长期影响不容忽视。