附着生物对太湖常见的两种沉水植物快速光曲线的影响

在水草生长比较旺盛的季节(7-8月),以水草较丰富的贡湖湾作为采样区域,野外采样结合室内分析研究太湖常见的两种沉水植物马来眼子菜(Potamogeton malaianus)及穗花狐尾藻(Myriophyllum spicatum)叶上的附着生物的生物量;利用脉冲振幅调制叶绿素荧光仪研究去除附着生物前后两种沉水植物的光合作用的变化.结果表明,马来眼子菜和穗花狐尾藻两种沉水植物上的附着生物的现存量存在显著的差异,附着生物群落中自养生物与异养生物的比值没有显著差异;两种沉水植物在去除附着生物前后的光合参数有显著的变化,光合作用效率、半饱和光强、最大电子传递速率增加.这表明附着生物降低了沉水植物光合作用.     

亚洲夏季风各子系统主要变率相互关系初析

使用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和CMAP月平均降水资料分析了亚洲夏季风各个子系统的相互关系。结果表明亚洲夏季风子系统之间存在显著相关。从同期强度变化可知,当东亚季风偏强时,大尺度亚洲季风、东南亚季风、南亚季风均偏弱,相关区域降水偏少;而同时大尺度亚洲季风偏强时,东南亚和南亚季风偏强,相关区域降水偏多;东南亚季风偏强时,南亚季风偏弱,南亚地区降水偏少;反之亦然。从不同周期强度变化可知各个子系统相关仍然显著。      

2015年11月浙江省降水异常成因分析

利用NCEP/NCAR大气环流资料、NOAA ERSST.V3b海温资料以及浙江省66个台站1971年以来的降水资料,分析了浙江省11月降水偏多对应的高低层大气环流异常特征以及与热带海温异常的联系,并在此基础上对2015年11月浙江省降水异常偏多的事实进行梳理和个例诊断。结果显示,2015年11月浙江省处于降水偏多的气候背景,同时北半球北极涛动正位相异常偏强、中高纬地区经向环流偏弱,西北太平洋副热带高压强度异常偏强、位置偏西是造成降水异常偏多的主要原因;统计分析表明巴尔喀什湖地区500 hPa高度场和西太平洋副热带高压强度与浙江省11月份降水具有显著相关;厄尔尼诺是导致浙江省11月降水偏多的重要外强迫因子之一,2015年11月Niño3.4指数达历史峰值,是造成浙江省同期降水异常偏多的主要原因。     

新疆天山中部初秋罕见大暴雪成因分析

对新疆天山中部初秋2003年9月27—28日罕见大暴雪天气过程进行综合分析表明:天山中部初秋大暴雪发生在南亚高压双体型,伊朗副高东伸北挺,西太副高稳定,乌拉尔大槽不断南伸并缓慢东移的形势下;它是各种尺度系统及副热带与西风带系统共同作用的结果。大暴雪发生在低层偏东气流与中层西南气流和高层偏西气流交汇处;而低层东路水汽的输送对大暴雪的贡献极为重要。     

Assessment of surface air warming in northeast China, with emphasis on the impacts of urbanization

Based on homogenized land surface air temperature (SAT) data (derived from China Homogenized Historical Temperature (CHHT) 1.0), the warming trends over Northeast China are detected in this paper, and the impacts of urban heat islands (UHIs) evaluated. Results show that this region is undergoing rapid warming: the trends of annual mean minimum temperature (MMIT), mean temperature (MT), and mean maximum temperature (MMAT) are 0.40 C decade^?1, 0.32 C decade^?1, and 0.23 C decade^?1, respectively. Regional average temperature series built with these networks including and excluding “typical urban stations” are compared for the periods of 1954–2005. Although impacts of UHIs on the absolute annual and seasonal temperature are identified, UHI contributions to the long-term trends are less than 10% of the regional total warming during the period. The large warming trend during the period is due to a regime shift in around 1988, which accounted for about 51% of the regional warming.     

中国区域高空三种气温、湿度资料交叉对比

本文对比分析了2011—2013年中国区域L波段探空气温、湿度廓线,COSMIC掩星气温、湿度廓线和ERA-Interim再分析资料的气温、湿度廓线之间的差异。对比显示,从时间变化来看,三者之间有很好的正线性相关关系。除10 hPa以上的少数层次外,三种气温资料之间互相吻合较好,彼此偏差范围在±0.4℃之间,偏差标准差在1~2℃,对流层中高层,L波段探空气温受太阳辐射影响较大,气温偏高,与COSMIC相比,L波段探空偏高最高可达到0.64℃。而对于相对湿度,三种数据存在明显差异。对流层中低层到对流层顶L波段探空存在不同程度的偏干,且有较明显的昼夜、季节和区域差异:白天、春夏季和南方潮湿气候区域偏干更明显。一般来说,在对流层顶附近区域,L波段探空相对湿度偏干较明显,200 hPa附近及以上L波段探空相对湿度转为偏湿。在对流层顶以下,L波段探空与COSMIC掩星、ERA-Interim再分析相对湿度具有明显的正相关,对流层顶以上表现为负相关。     

强震下地铁车站结构动力响应特性

研究地下结构在地震中的动力响应,对地铁的建设和安全运营有重要的现实意义.根据试验条件和Bockingham定理,作者确定了试验相似比,针对北京地区的地质条件和典型的地铁车站结构进行了大型振动台试验,并对得到的加速度时程进行了分析.通过分析,发现土与地下结构间存在相互作用,但地下结构不会表现出其自振频率,而是随着土体一起振动;在低强度地震下,地下结构对土体影响较小;在高强度地震下,地下结构对土体影响较大;峰值加速度的放大倍数不会超过2,且同一点的放大倍数基本保持不变;随埋深的增加,卓越频率和其振幅会减小,且加速度峰值也有相似的规律.     

Two-layered, 2D unsteady eutrophication model in boundary-fitted coordinate system

The decline of water quality in Tolo Harbour in recent years is an example of eutrophication. This paper delineates a robust unsteady two-layered, 2D finite difference numerical model for eutrophication in coastal waters. The modelling is based upon the numerically generated boundary-fitted orthogonal curvilinear grid system and integrated with a hydrodynamic model. It simulates the transport and transformation of nine water quality constituents associated with eutrophication in the waters, i.e. three organic parameters (carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus), four inorganic parameters (dissolved oxygen, ammonia, nitrite + nitrate and orthophosphate), and two biological constituents (phytoplankton and zooplankton). Key kinetic coefficients are calibrated with the field data. The hydrodynamic, pollution source and solar radiation data in the model are real-time simulated. The computational results show that the present model mimic the stratification tendency for eutrophication phenomena during summer time in the Tolo Harbour successfully. The model running time for the long-term simulation is not excessive and it can be run on a microcomputer.     

Wheat straw burning and its associated impacts on Beijing air quality

Based on MODIS images, large-scale flow field charts and environmental monitoring data, we thor- oughly analyzed the spatial distribution of wheat straw burning in North China, with focus on its envi- ronmental impacts on the air quality of Beijing and pollution transport paths. And we anatomized changes of air quality in Beijing under the impacts of pollution generated by wheat straw burning around. The results indicate that: (1) The North China Plain, a winter-wheat growing area, is the main source of pollutants induced by wheat straw burning in Beijing. The direction of south-west is the dominant heavy pollution transport path. (2) Impacts of wheat straw burning on air quality are mainly manifested by significantly increasing CO concentration. (3) Precursors of O3 generated by wheat straw burning, combining with favorable meteorological conditions, can induce increasing O3 concentration greatly. NO concentration will be greatly increased due to decreasing O3 concentration at night. (4) Atmospheric particles, especially the fine ones, from wheat straw burning exert considerable influ- ence on Beijing air quality. (5) Different contributions of wheat straw burning to pollutants are identified. Ratios of PM10/SO2, CO/SO2, etc., can be applied to indicate pollution extent of wheat straw burning. High ratios of PM10/SO2 and CO/SO2 show that the air quality was heavily impacted by wheat straw burning and these ratios can be employed as indicators of contribution of wheat straw burning to the degradation of Beijing air quality. (6) Randomness of wheat straw burning activities renders random outbreak of air pollution of this type. Regional and extensive wheat straw burning activities can cause serious air pollution event.     

地震重现时间间隔概率分布函数选择的必要条件

地震重现时间间隔的分布规律研究对于短期和中长期地震预测、地震灾害预防和救援有着重要的理论和实际意义,如果能够确定地震重现时间间隔的概率密度函数(probability density function-pdf),则在统计学的意义上,能够对地震再次发生的概率进行评估和预测.在地震重现时间间隔的pdf研究中,一个核心问题是如何判断某个pdf是否能够有效地描述地震重现时间间隔分布特征.作者提出利用特征地震重现时间间隔数据的变化系数(COV)与其偏度(S),变化系数与其峰度(K)的相关关系对所选择的pdf的适用性进行判别.研究表明,常用的一些概率密度函数(对数正态分布、gamma分布、Weibull分布和指数分布)并不合适作为描述特征地震的重现时间间隔分布的数学模型.