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71.
Incorporating uncertainty of future sea-level rise estimates into vulnerability assessment: A case study in Kahului, Maui 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Accurate sea-level rise (SLR) vulnerability assessments are essential in developing effective management strategies for coastal systems at risk. In this study, we evaluate the effect of combining vertical uncertainties in Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) elevation data, datum transformation and future SLR estimates on estimating potential land area and land cover loss, and whether including uncertainty in future SLR estimates has implications for adaptation decisions in Kahului, Maui. Monte Carlo simulation is used to propagate probability distributions through our inundation model, and the output probability surfaces are generalized as areas of high and low probability of inundation. Our results show that considering uncertainty in just LiDAR and transformation overestimates vulnerable land area by about 3 % for the high probability threshold, resulting in conservative adaptation decisions, and underestimates vulnerable land area by about 14 % for the low probability threshold, resulting in less reliable adaptation decisions for Kahului. Not considering uncertainty in future SLR estimates in addition to LiDAR and transformation has variable effect on SLR adaptation decisions depending on the land cover category and how the high and low probability thresholds are defined. Monte Carlo simulation is a valuable approach to SLR vulnerability assessments because errors are not required to follow a Gaussian distribution. 相似文献
72.
2.5-D modeling and inversion techniques are much closer to reality than the simple and traditional 2-D seismic wave modeling
and inversion. The sensitivity kernels required in full waveform seismic tomographic inversion are the Fréchet derivatives
of the displacement vector with respect to the independent anisotropic model parameters of the subsurface. They give the sensitivity
of the seismograms to changes in the model parameters. This paper applies two methods, called ‘the perturbation method’ and
‘the matrix method’, to derive the sensitivity kernels for 2.5-D seismic waveform inversion. We show that the two methods
yield the same explicit expressions for the Fréchet derivatives using a constant-block model parameterization, and are available
for both the line-source (2-D) and the point-source (2.5-D) cases. The method involves two Green’s function vectors and their
gradients, as well as the derivatives of the elastic modulus tensor with respect to the independent model parameters. The
two Green’s function vectors are the responses of the displacement vector to the two directed unit vectors located at the
source and geophone positions, respectively; they can be generally obtained by numerical methods. The gradients of the Green’s
function vectors may be approximated in the same manner as the differential computations in the forward modeling. The derivatives
of the elastic modulus tensor with respect to the independent model parameters can be obtained analytically, dependent on
the class of medium anisotropy. Explicit expressions are given for two special cases—isotropic and tilted transversely isotropic
(TTI) media. Numerical examples are given for the latter case, which involves five independent elastic moduli (or Thomsen
parameters) plus one angle defining the symmetry axis. 相似文献
73.
Mineral-bituminous matrix(MBM) makes up a major part of source rocks,but its potential in hydrocarbon generation is uncertain,Mineral and organic (Maceral and kerogen) compositions,organic maturity and fluorescence of MBM are studied based on source rock samples from eastern Jiuquan(Jiudong)Basin.The results show that MBM is dominated by inorganic minerals and among the small percentage of organic components those of secondary origins are predominant over the primary species.This strongly indicates that the significance of MBM in hydrocarbon generation is limited. 相似文献
74.
A multi-equation spatial econometric model,with application to EU manufacturing productivity growth 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Bernard Fingleton 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(2):119-144
A multi-equation spatial econometric model is used to explain variations across EU regions in manufacturing productivity growth
based on recent theoretical developments in urban economics and economic geography. The paper shows that temporal and spatial
parameter homogeneity is an unrealistic assumption, contrary to what is typically assumed in the literature. Constraints are
imposed on parameters across time periods and between core and peripheral regions of the EU, with the significant loss of
fit providing overwhelming evidence of parameter heterogeneity, although the final model does highlight increasing returns
to scale, which is a central feature of contemporary theory.
相似文献
75.
Assessing landslide movements in volcanic islands using near-shore marine geophysical data: south Pico island,Azores 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Marine geophysical data from around the submarine flanks of volcanic islands can potentially help to resolve whether large-scale
instability of an edifice has been geologically recently active. We use geophysical data to investigate part of the coast
of Pico Island of the Azores where, above sea-level, a major slump of Topo volcano has been interpreted previously from arcuate
escarpments and a rugged irregular topography seaward of them. Multibeam echo-sounder data collected offshore of this feature
show remarkably little evidence for slump fault movements in the island's submarine slope. Mid-slope benches, like those associated
with the Hilina Slump of Kilauea, are absent. The high-resolution data extends onto the island's shelf, allowing us to evaluate
evidence for continuing activity there. In particular, as the shelf's rock platform will have been last modified by surf erosion
during the postglacial period of sea-level transgression, it provides a reference surface of intermediate age (7–19 ka) that
can potentially reveal whether any movements occurred in pre-historic times. Where the arcuate escarpments are continued offshore,
the modern seabed shows no bathymetric evidence for active faults where the shelf rock platform crops out in the multibeam
data. Elsewhere, mobile shelf sediments could be disguising evidence for active faulting so we examined boomer profiles able
to image the rock platform beneath them. The data reveal a platform that is steep (6.6°) compared with the dips of platforms
that we have studied previously around the coast of adjacent Faial Island and steeper than the platform outside the proposed
slump. This suggests that it was created by coastal erosion over a shorter period and hence is consistent with a younger age
of the coastline. As with the multibeam data, where escarpments are continued offshore onto the shelf, the rock surface imaged
with these boomer data also shows no clear evidence of major slump-related fault displacements. This study therefore illustrates
how high-resolution boomer seismic and multibeam data could usefully contribute to hazard assessment of volcanic islands,
by helping to evaluate areas with no historical movements. Explanations to reconcile the onshore and offshore data here are
also put forward. 相似文献
76.
华北山地多成因壶穴初步研究——对华北山地“冰臼”等“冰川地貌”的讨论 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
华北山地"距今二、三百万年"的"冰臼"绝大部分位于第四纪河谷内,"距今1~2万年"的"冰川壶穴"位于全新世河谷内,与华北山地地貌演化相矛盾;所谓的"冰川地貌"组合不是真正的地貌组合,而是不同时代、不同成因地貌的混合,因此,华北山地不存在冰臼。所谓的"冰臼"是不同时代、多种成因的壶穴——距今2.50Ma前后的河蚀壶穴,距今10~20ka的雪蚀壶穴,距今10ka以来的溶蚀穴、溶蚀—河蚀壶穴、风化—风蚀壶穴、现代壶穴和水潭。 相似文献
77.
普里兹湾及其邻近海域是中国南大洋调查研究的传统优势海域与重点区域。围绕夏季表层水、冬季水、陆架水、绕极深层水、南极底层水、普里兹湾底层水、冰架水等研究海区主要水团的特征和分布,总结了前人在南极普里兹湾及其邻近海域基于调查资料开展的水团研究中所取得的成果。研究表明,前人在对陆架水的示性指标界定上,将陆架水是否区分为高盐陆架水和低盐陆架水存在较大争议,在高盐陆架水和普里兹湾底层水的定义上存在重叠;目前尚没有证据表明绕极深层水向南可以伸展到普里兹湾的陆架区域,也没有发现在普里兹湾附近海域生成南极底层水的直接证据。 相似文献
78.
Spheroidal weathering of granite porphyry with well‐developed columnar joints by oxidation,iron precipitation,and rindlet exfoliation 下载免费PDF全文
Spheroidal weathering, one of the important rock weathering styles, has been attributed to chemical weathering by the water from joint surfaces, and mechanical aspects of the weathering have not been well addressed. We made an investigation on spheroidal weathering of Miocene granite porphyry with well‐developed columnar joints and found that this spheroidal weathering proceeds through chemical processes and accompanying mechanical processes. The investigation of the textures, physical properties, mineralogy, and chemistry of the porphyry revealed the presence of a brown band on the surface margins of corestones, representing the oxidation of pyrite and chlorite, and the precipitation of iron hydroxides, and the consequent generation of micro‐cracks within the band. During weathering, oxidation progresses inwards from joints that surround the rindlets, including both high‐angle columnar and low‐angle planar joints, and causes rounding of the unweathered interior portion of the rock. Microscopic observations of the brown band embedded with fluorescent resin show that pores are first filled with iron hydroxides, and that micro‐cracks then form parallel to the oxidation front in the outer portion of the brown band. Iron hydroxide precipitation increases the P‐wave velocity in the brown band, while micro‐crack formation decreases the tensile strength of the rock. Where the brown band has thickened to ~6 cm, the micro‐cracks are connected to one another to create continuous cracks, which separate the rindlets from the corestone. Micro‐crack formation parallel to the corestone surface may be attributed to compressive stresses generated by small amounts of volumetric expansion due to the precipitation of iron hydroxides in the brown band. Earth surface is under oxidizing environments so that precipitation of iron hydroxides commonly occurs; the spheroidal weathering in this paper is a typical example of the combination of chemical and mechanical processes under such environments. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
79.
为在露天矿山恢复治理过程监督管理中提供技术支撑,通过文献阅读,结合重庆实际,提出了基于多源遥感技术的露天矿山恢复治理综合监测方法,主要包括:利用高分辨率遥感影像结合矿山遥感样本特征以及其他专题数据,识别矿山损毁土地范围;利用中分辨率遥感影像(Landsat数据、高分数据)对植被光谱的响应特征,构建植被指数进行矿山恢复治理植被动态监测;利用星载雷达数据(哨兵数据)通过干涉分析,对矿山范围内地表形变动态监测。此外,还可结合无人机采集数据,开展矿山恢复治理倾斜摄影数据查看和分析。 相似文献
80.
The Valhalla uranium deposit, located 40 km north of Mount Isa, Queensland, Australia, is an albitite-hosted, Mesoproterozoic
U deposit similar to albitite-hosted uranium deposits in the Ukraine, Sweden, Brazil and Guyana. Uranium mineralisation is
hosted by a thick package of interbedded fine-grained sandstones, arkoses and gritty siltstones that are bound by metabasalts
belonging to the ca. 1,780 Ma Eastern Creek Volcanics in the Western Succession of the Mount Isa basin. Alteration associated
with U mineralisation can be divided into an early, main and late stage. The early stage is dominated by laminated and intensely
altered rock comprising albite, reibeckite, calcite, (titano)magnetite ± brannerite. The main stage of mineralisation is dominated
by brecciated and intensely altered rocks that comprise laminated and intensely altered rock cemented by brannerite, apatite,
(uranoan)-zircon, uraninite, anatase, albite, reibeckite, calcite and hematite. The late stage of mineralisation comprises
uraninite, red hematite, dolomite, calcite, chlorite, quartz and Pb-, Fe-, Cu-sulfides. Brannerite has U–Pb and Pb–Pb ages
that indicate formation between 1,555 and 1,510 Ma, with significant Pb loss evident at ca. 1,200 Ma, coincident with the
assemblage of Rodinia. The oldest ages of the brannerite overlap with 40Ar/39Ar ages of 1,533 ± 9 Ma and 1,551 ± 7 Ma from early and main-stage reibeckite and are interpreted to represent the timing
of formation of the deposit. These ages coincide with the timing of peak metamorphism in the Mount Isa area during the Isan
Orogeny. Lithogeochemical assessment of whole rock data that includes mineralised and unmineralised samples from the greater
Mount Isa district reveals that mineralisation involved the removal of K, Ba and Si and the addition of Na, Ca, U, V, Zr,
P, Sr, F and Y. U/Th ratios indicate that the ore-forming fluid was oxidised, whereas the crystal chemistry of apatite and
reibeckite within the ore zone suggests that F− and were important ore-transporting complexes. δ18O values of co-existing calcite and reibeckite indicate that mineralisation occurred between 340 and 380°C and involved a
fluid having δ18Ofluid values between 6.5 and 8.6‰. Reibeckite δD values reveal that the ore fluid had a δDfluid value between −98 and −54‰. The mineral assemblages associated with early and main stages of alteration, plus δ18Ofluid and δDfluid values, and timing of the U mineralisation are all very similar to those associated with Na–Ca alteration in the Eastern
Succession of the Mount Isa basin, where a magmatic fluid is favoured for this style of alteration. However, isotopic data
from Valhalla is also consistent with that from the nearby Mount Isa Cu deposit where a basinal brine is proposed for the
transport of metals to the deposit. Based on the evidence to hand, the source fluids could have been derived from either or
both the metasediments that underlie the Eastern Creek Volcanics or magmatism that is manifest in the Mount Isa area as small
pegmatite dykes that intruded during the Isan Orogeny. 相似文献