Spatial-temporal characteristics of land subsidence corresponding to dynamic groundwater funnel in Beijing Municipality,China

Due to long-term over-exploitation of groundwater in Beijing Municipality,regional groundwater funnels have formed and land subsidence has been induced.By combining a groundwater monitoring network,GPS monitor-ing network data,radar satellite SAR data,GIS and other new technologies,a coupled process model based on the dy-namic variation of groundwater and the deformation response of land subsidence has been established.The dynamic variation of groundwater funnels and the land subsidence response process were analyzed systematically in Beijing.Study results indicate that current groundwater funnel areas are distributed mainly in the southwest of Shunyi District,the northeast of Chaoyang District and the northwest of Tongzhou District,with an average decline rate of groundwa-ter level of 2.66 m/yr and a maximum of 3.82 m/yr in the center of the funnels.Seasonal and interannual differences exist in the response model of land subsidence to groundwater funnels with uneven spatial and temporal distribution,where the maximum land subsidence rate was about-41.08 mm/yr and the area with a subsidence rate greater than 30 mm/yr was about 1637.29 km2.Although a consistency was revealed to exist between a groundwater funnel and the spatial distribution characteristics of the corresponding land subsidence funnel,this consistency was not perfect.The results showed that the response model of land subsidence to the dynamic variation of groundwater was more revealing when combining conventional technologies with InSAR,GIS,GPS,providing a new strategy for environmental and hydrogeological research and a scientific basis for regional land subsidence control.     

Economic value evaluation of wetland service in Yeyahu Wetland Nature Reserve,Beijing

Based on multi-source data,this paper evaluated the economic value of ecological services in the Yeyahu Wetland Nature Reserve,Beijing,China.The ecological services of wetland included gas regulation,water quality im-provement,biodiversity maintenance,erosion control,water supply,recreational opportunity,raw material supply and existence value.Multiple conventional evaluation methods were used to calculate the value of eight wetland services.The results showed that significant values came from biodiversity maintenance and recreational opportunity.The main reasons were as follows.Firstly,Yeyahu Wetland Nature Reserve was the habitat for migrant birds,and government had payed more efforts to protect precious birds.Secondly,the population is large in Beijing.People enjoyed going outside and enjoyed the natural and artificial wetland scenes.At the same time,most people were prepared to pay for wetland conservation.The decline of vegetation cover made the economic value of erosion control the lowest.While the shrink of water resource and the deteriorative water quality caused the economic value of water supply lower.The evaluation results could help decision-makers understand the present status of the Yeyahu Wetland Nature Reserve and provide a scientific basis for strategic decision.     

塔里木地块新元古代冰期事件研究进展

新元古代冰碛岩地层记录了“雪球地球”极端气候事件重要的地质信息。塔里木地块东北缘库鲁克塔格地区、西北缘阿克苏地区和西南缘叶城地区新元古代冰碛岩地层露头发育,是研究新元古代冰期事件的理想基地。文章基于塔里木地块周缘新元古界详实的野外地质调查工作,综合了地层学、同位素年代学、岩石地球化学等研究,聚焦冰碛岩地层沉积时代这一核心问题,建立新元古代冰期格架。冰期事件对比显示,贝义西冰期(库鲁克塔格地区)相当于Kaigas冰期(国际),阿勒通沟冰期(库鲁克塔格地区)、巧恩布拉克冰期(阿克苏地区)、波龙冰期(叶城地区)相当于Sturtian冰期(国际),特瑞爱肯冰期(库鲁克塔格地区)、尤尔美那克冰期(阿克苏地区)、雨塘冰期(叶城地区)相当于Marinoan冰期(国际),汉格尔乔克冰期(库鲁克塔格地区)相当于Gaskiers冰期(国际)。同时基于冰期事件对比关系,建议根据国际地层委员会的最新划分方案将塔里木地块南华系底界调整为与全球性Sturtian冰期沉积底界相当的层位。通过探讨新元古代冰期事件与古老烃源岩发育的耦合关系,分析了新元古界优质烃源岩的发育潜力,指出塔里木地块新元古界具备良好的油气成藏地...     

塔里木盆地北部上震旦统葡萄状白云岩的发现及成因探讨*

“皮壳—葡萄状”白云岩是一种非常特殊结构的白云岩。文中报道了塔里木盆地西北缘东二沟及塔北星火101井上震旦统奇格布拉克组中皮壳—葡萄状白云岩特征,并对其成因进行了探讨。皮壳状—葡萄状白云石中发育明、暗纤状白云石或纹层条带的含少量细晶的纤状—细粒状白云石以及肾状和葡萄状粉细晶白云石;由球形、杆形、孢子形等蓝细菌构成泡沫状结构;明暗、环带状橙红色光或中等橙红色光、核部发光较暗或不发光;与基质白云石相比,葡萄—皮壳状白云石δ13CPDB相似;但δ18OPDB正偏, ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr 相对高(0.70887~0.70939)、但与震旦纪海水(0.7087~0.7094)相似,从皮壳边缘、暗色(蓝细菌)至核部,微区δ18OPDB、δ13CPDB显示了环带内变化较小、环带外的强烈负漂移;云化程度的增加,δ18OPDB、δ13CPDB负偏明显, ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr 增加。皮壳—葡萄状白云岩中Al₂O₃ 、Fe₂O₃ 、MnO、LREE/HREE值均低于基质泥粉晶云岩对应值、稀土总量介于基质与粉细晶云岩之间,而Na₂O+K₂O、P₂O₅、 Sr、Hg、Cu、Sr/Ba、Sr/Mn、δCe值均高于基质泥粉晶云岩对应值;且随着云化程度的提高,总体呈现出Mn含量增加,Al₂O₃ 、Fe₂O₃ 、Na₂O+K₂O、P₂O₅、Sr/Ba、Fe/Mn等值递减的趋势;由此判断皮壳状—葡萄状白云石可能是弱还原、保存较好的海水中形成,或在成岩早期或浅埋藏孔隙海水为主的流体中形成、部分经历了较强的大气水作用改造。     

Characterizing land displacement in complex hydrogeological and geological settings: a case study in the Beijing Plain,China

Characterization of land displacement induced by long-term overexploitation of groundwater is necessary to ensure sustainable water supply in Beijing, China. The northern part of the Beijing Plain is an important water source area and is also designed for groundwater recharge from South-to-North Water Diversion Project. We aim to depict the process of characterizing land displacement under complex hydrogeological and geological context in the region using remote sensing and geographic information system. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar time-series analysis was used to detect land displacement from 2003 to 2010. Statistic linear regression equations between groundwater level and land displacement were built based on linear consolidation principle. The spatial difference of Pearson correlation coefficient (R) and slope (k) were discriminated to quantify the response of land displacement to groundwater level change. The results show that there are two major displacement cones with annual rates up to ?40 and ?24 mm year^?1. R and k had a negative and positive correlation with increasing land displacement, respectively. A larger R reflects that the groundwater level has a closer relation with the occurrence of land displacement. The weak correlation is due to the delay in the propagation of the pressure drawdown in the fine-sediment layers or lens from the pumped aquifers where the pressure is measured. Thick compressible layer has more potential for land displacement. Results of this study are necessary to clarify the land displacement characteristics, to make full use of abundant spatial–temporal dataset, and ultimately to support hazard prevention and mitigation decisions.     

陕西自动观测与人工观测相对湿度差异分析

分析运城市高温气候特征及环流特点,找出运城市高温天气预报指标,建立高温预报方法。采用模式误差订正、气候值消空订正、预报指标补漏订正相结合对中央台指导产品的极端最高气温作出订正。     

PC-1500A计算机在地下水水质模糊综合评判中的应用

模糊集理论应用于地下水污染综合评价,是现阶段国内比较先进的方法之一。该方法用隶属函数描述水质分级,使本来具有模糊性的水质级别有了比较清晰的数量标准,从而使地下水污染的水平分带和垂向分带更趋于合理。本文从建立地下水污染通用线性隶属函数数学模型出发,以长春市东郊地下水污染的模糊综合评判为例,并应用PC—1500A计算机进行模糊综合评判,比较系统地介绍了该方法的应用。     

金沙江金江街段河流阶地年代及对河谷水系演化历史的启示

100多年来,关于金沙江独特水系格局的形成历史一直是地学界争论的重要话题之一。多数学者认为,现代金沙江水系是古长江袭夺古红河上游发展过来的。红河海底扇5.5 Ma泥沙供给中断被认为与这一袭夺事件有关。然而,长期以来人们一直没有找到与这一时代相匹配的地貌证据。最近在金沙江金江街段找到了多达8级的河流阶地序列,ESR测年结果显示这些阶地的形成年代为1.07 Ma、0.70 Ma、0.65 Ma、0.51 Ma、0.47 Ma、0.44 Ma、0.30 Ma和0.18 Ma,结合GPS高程测量数据,推算最近1.0 Ma以来的河谷平均下切速率为147 mm/ka。以填充河谷地形为主要手段的古地形恢复结果（基于DEM数据）显示,古长江袭夺古红河上游形成现代金沙江水系发生在这一区域内海拔2000 m左右的古地形面解体之后,依照河谷平均下切速率外推,古地形面解体时代为5.5 Ma,即现代金沙江水系形成于5.5 Ma之后。我们的研究结果与红河海底扇的资料形成一个相互呼应的证据链,为重建现代金沙江水系格局形成历史提供重要依据。     

基于客源地的聚类-ARIMA模型的短期旅游需求预测--以天津欢乐谷主题公园为例

大多数旅游需求预测研究是基于目的地游客总数或消费总量开展的,尚未按不同的旅游目的或客源地细分进行预测.以天津欢乐谷主题公园为案例地,选择2014年第40周到2015年第26周为研究时段,利用通信大数据,提出了一种面向客源地的聚类-ARIMA组合预测模型.通过对不同客源地的时序数据进行聚类,选取各类别中的代表性客源地分别构建ARIMA预测模型.结果表明:对欢乐谷主题公园各客源地分别建模与聚类后通过6个代表客源地建模得到的结果一致;后者可以降低80%的预测成本.该方法具有较高的预测精度和较低的计算成本,适合面向客源地的短期旅游需求预测,可为旅游目的地提供更具针对性的旅游需求管理、分析与决策支撑.