内蒙古阿拉善地区几次中等强度地震震源深度测定

震源深度对发震构造研究具有重要意义,内蒙古阿拉善地区近年来地震活动频繁,发生数次中强地震和大量中小地震。选取阿拉善地区8个中等强度地震,使用Pn、Pg联合测定深度方法(PTD)、sPn和Pn走时差方法和CAP方法测定震源深度,3种方法计算结果的一致,重新测定的震源深度范围为(18±7)km。     

Major advances in studies of the physical geography and living environment of China during the past 70 years and future prospects

The natural environment provides material essentials for human survival and development. The characteristics,processes, regional differentiation and forcing mechanisms of the elements of the natural environment(e.g. geomorphology,climate, hydrology, soil, etc.) are the main objects of research in physical geography. China has a complex natural environment and huge regional differentiation and therefore it provides outstanding reserach opportunities in physical geography. This review summarizes the most important developments and the main contributions of research in the physical geography and human living environment in China during the past 70 years. The major topics addressed are the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau and the evolution of its cryosphere, the development of fluvial systems, the acidification of the vast arid region of the Asian interior, variations in the monsoon and westerly climate systems on multiple timescales, the development of lakes and wetlands, the watershed system model, soil erosion, past human-environment interactions, biogeography, and physical geographic zonality. After briefly introducing international research developments, we review the history of research in physical geography in China, focusing on the major achievements and major academic debates, and finally we summarize the status of current research and the future prospects. We propose that in the context of the national demand for the construction of an ecological civilization, we should make full use of the research findings of physical geography, and determine the patterns and mechanisms of natural environmental processes in order to continue to promote the continued contribution of physical geography to national development strategies, and to further contribute to the theory of physical geography from a global perspective.     

领域与地盘:中西方权地观之比较

通过对中西权地观中情感属性、权力属性、空间属性对比,提出地盘作为关系的空间投影发挥作用。根据塑造地盘的关系属性的不同,将地盘分为情感型地盘、工具型地盘及混合型地盘3类。地盘体系中讲究人情、信任与求和,通过模糊正规权力的空间边界对抗空间阻力,形成缓冲我与非我的圈层结构。     

河北省休闲农业的空间分布及影响机制

以河北省436家休闲农业品牌主体为研究样本,采用最邻近指数、核密度估算、近邻分析等方法,对其空间分布类型、空间结构演化、空间分布特征进行了分析。在此基础上进一步利用地理探测器量化分析了不同因素对休闲农业空间分布的影响作用。结果表明,河北休闲农业品牌总体呈显著的聚集型空间分布,并逐步演化为南部聚集连片、北部环绕京津、局部组团化聚集的高密度空间分布格局;休闲农业品牌呈现“沿路”“傍水”“环城”“近景”“依产”分布特征;休闲农业品牌的空间分布受到多种因素的综合作用影响,旅游市场条件是影响休闲农业空间分布的最主要的影响因素,其次为交通条件和自然资源。针对河北省休闲农业提出发展建议。     

基于可持续性晴雨表的北方农牧交错区可持续发展评价——以盐池县为例

因重要的生态屏障功能和生态系统的脆弱性,中国北方农牧交错区可持续发展是一个重要科学问题。以典型北方农牧交错区——宁夏盐池县为例,借鉴"可持续性晴雨表"理论和方法,采用熵值法确定指标权重,对盐池县的可持续发展进行定量评价,并对影响可持续发展的因素进行了分析。结果表明:(1) 1990—2015年盐池县区域发展成就显著,人类福利指数保持持续增长的趋势,但生态系统福利指数稳定增长则始于2005年禁牧等生态政策的生态效益显现以后。(2)改善教育等公共服务水平、优化产业结构可以进一步提高人类福利,经济发展可以直接改善人类福利,经济发展的成果也可以通过生态政策加大对生态环境的投入从而改善生态系统福利。在此基础上提出了盐池县可持续发展的建议。     

精细化地震海啸波流实时预警系统研究与应用

基于Okada模型和非线性浅水波模型,结合高精度多层嵌套网格针对我国浙江沿海的温州和台州地区建立了越洋–近海–局部的精细化地震海啸波流实时预警系统,近岸的分辨率为900 m。该预警系统包括了并行化的数值计算模块,基于Python 2D绘图库的计算结果可视化处理模块,以及通过Python语言将所有经过数值计算的图形与动画产品集成在一个网页上的产品集成模块。一旦地震发生,该系统可根据地震的震源参数信息在10 min内完成数值计算、可视化处理,以及产品集成。选取2011年日本东北9.0级地震海啸结合实测数值对该系统进行模拟验证,进一步应用该系统模拟计算了日本南海海槽和琉球海沟潜在极端海啸的影响规律。结果表明,该预警系统可有效地提高地震海啸实时预警的时效性和准确度,为海啸的预警、减灾,以及辅助决策提供科学依据。     

Comparative study of surface energy and land-surface parameters in different climate zones in Northwest China

Based on observational data of arid, semi-arid and semi-humid areas in Northwest China, the characteristics of surface-water heat transfer and land-surface parameters were compared and analyzed. The results show that the annual mean net radiation was largest in the semi-humid area, followed by the semi-arid area, and then the arid area: 77.72 W/m~2, 67.73 W/m~2,and 55.47 W/m~2, respectively. The annual mean sensible heat flux was largest in the arid area, followed by the semi-arid and semi-humid areas, while latent heat flux showed the reverse. The annual mean sensible heat flux in arid, semi-arid,and semi-humid areas was 85.7 W/m~2, 37.59 W/m~2, and 27.55 W/m~2, respectively. The annual mean latent heat flux was 0 W/m~2, 26.08 W/m~2, and 51.19 W/m~2, respectively. The annual mean soil-heat flux at the 5-cm soil layer in arid, semi-arid,and semi-humid areas was 1.00 W/m~2, 0.82 W/m~2, and-1.25 W/m~2, respectively. The annual mean surface albedo was largest in the arid area, followed by the semi-humid area; and the smallest was in the semi-arid area: 0.24, 0.21, and 0.18, respectively. The annual mean Bowen ratio in the semi-arid area was about 2.06, and that in semi-humid area was about -0.03.The annual mean soil thermal conductivity in the arid, semi-arid, and semi-humid areas was 0.26 W/(m?k), 1.15 W/(m?k),and 1.20 W/(m?k), respectively.     

主动声呐目标实时航迹解算算法仿真研究

由于水中声速较低,主动声呐完成量程范围的探测往往需要花费几秒甚至几十秒的时间,这个时间即为主动声呐的扫描周期。 主动声呐对目标的搜索、跟踪等处理都是按扫描周期进行的,目标信息刷新率较低,其上报系统进行目标诸元解算时同样具有这一特点。 为了提高声呐效能及系统解算效率,提出了一种无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF) 与野值剔除相结合的目标实时航迹解算算法:首先在以声呐扫描周期为间隔获取的目标信息基础上,采用 UKF 预测出目标每秒方位、距离信息,并对野值点进行处理,实时地调整滤波增益或者进行野值计算,最后利用目标的位置信息解算出目标每秒的航速和航向信息。 通过目标在不同航向、 航速下的仿真实验,验证了本文算法的有效性和正确性。     

基于专家打分法的自航水雷使用可用度评估方法

战备完好性是衡量武器装备能否担负战备任务的重要战技指标。 针对当前自航水雷战备完好性水平系统性评估需求,适应试验鉴定模式改革背景下评价自航水雷综合保障情况的问题,在对自航水雷寿命任务剖面分析的基础上,对影响其战备完好性的重要参数使用可用度进行了研究,给出了基于专家打分法的评估方法和模型,该方法可有效分析评估自航水雷使用可用度。     

南大洋净初级生产力的时空变化及影响因素分析

南大洋作为全球大洋中重要的碳汇区,分析其净初级生产力(NPP)的分布及变化趋势对气候变化研究具有重要的意义。利用2003—2016年的南大洋NPP数据分析其空间分布情况、季节变化特征及近期变化,并结合海表面温度(SST)和海冰覆盖率(SIC)数据分析两者对NPP的影响。结果表明:①南大洋不同海域年均NPP的范围为64.0—2.26×10^5 mg C·m^–2·a^–1,印度洋扇区、大西洋扇区和太平洋扇区的NPP分别为0.568Gt C·a^–1、0.431 Gt C·a^–1和0.262 Gt C·a^–1;②南大洋NPP在南极大陆近岸海域及威德尔海海域较低,在低纬度岛屿附近和南极大陆部分冰架前缘海域较高;③由于太阳辐射的季节变化,南大洋NPP具有明显的季节变化规律,1月份最高(293.27 Tg C),6月份达到最低值(0.004 Tg C);④2003—2016年大西洋扇区及太平洋扇区的NPP总量变化不具有统计学上的显著性,只在印度洋扇区具有显著的上升趋势;⑤不同扇区NPP的变化趋势主要与SST和SIC的变化有关。