青藏工程走廊活动层厚度预测模型与分布特征研究

为探究青藏工程走廊沿线多年冻土区活动层厚度分布情况,结合青藏公路、青藏铁路沿线300个钻孔点的活动层厚度监测数据,基于年平均地表温度、平均植被指数、等效纬度、纬度、高程和含冰量等参数建立了活动层厚度的经验公式、随机森林和径向基函数（radial basis function, RBF）神经网络预测模型。各预测模型结果表明,活动层厚度与各预测因子间具有极强的非线性关系;RBF神经网络预测模型具有最高的预测精确度,拟合优度R²达到0.84。运用RBF神经网络预测模型和高精度遥感数据绘制活动层厚度分布图,分布图显示研究区内活动层厚度主要为2~4 m,总面积为5 468.3 km²,面积占比为47.27%,主要分布于楚玛尔平原至北麓河盆地和唐古拉山区南部至头二九山区;活动层厚度大于4 m次之,总面积为3 382.3 km²,面积占比为29.24%,整体分布偏向南部地区,主要分布于布曲河谷地至头二九山区。并对研究区活动层厚度与含冰量、地温关系进行了研究,结果表明活动层厚度随含冰量增加而减小、随地温升高而增加。     

Formation of the modern current system in the East China Sea since the early Holocene and its relationship with sea level and the monsoon system

The Okinawa Trough is a natural laboratory for the study of air-sea interaction and paleoenvironmental change. It has been demonstrated that present offshore export of particles in the bottom nepheloid layer occur primarily with downwelling from the northeast winter monsoon, which is inhibited by a transverse circulation pattern in summer. This current system was very different during the Last Glacial Maximum owing to low sea level(-120 m) and exposure of a large shelf area. We collected sediment core Oki01 from the middle Okinawa Trough during 2012 using R/V K exue No. 1 to elucidate the timing and cause of the current system transition in the East China Sea. Clay mineral, dry density, and elemental(Ti, Ca) composition of core Oki01 was analyzed. The results indicate that clay minerals derived mainly from the Huanghe(Yellow) and the Changjiang(Yangtze) Rivers during 16.0–11.6 ka, and the modern current system in the East China Sea formed beginning in the early Holocene. Therefore, mixing of East China Sea continental shelf, Changjiang River and partially Taiwan Island sediment are the major contributors. The decrease of log(Ti/Ca) and alternating provenance since the early Holocene indicate less sediment from the East China in summer because of resistance of the modern current system, i.e., a "water barrier" and upwelling. Conversely, sediment delivery persists in winter and log(Ti/Ca) indicates the winter monsoon signal since the early Holocene. Our evidence also suggests that sediment from Taiwan Island could be transported by the Kuroshio Current to the middle Okinawa Trough, where it mingles with winter monsooninduced export of sediment from the Changjiang River and East China Sea continental shelf. Although the present research advances understanding of the evolutionary history of paleoenvironmental change in the Okinawa Trough, more sediment cores should be retrieved over wide areas to construct a larger scenario.     

桩的垂直静载试验极限承载力判定方法综述

桩的垂直静载试验极限承载力（或极限荷载）的确定是试验数据处理的关键。本文汇集编录了极限承载力的各种判定方法，但需指出的是：在具体应用判定试桩的极限承载力时，应以现行规范规定的方法为准，必要时可用其它方法进行校验。     

城市桥梁地震碰撞反应研究与发展

地震时城市桥梁会因邻跨之间的碰撞而发生灾害.本文从桥梁碰撞的模拟模型、发生条件、影响因素、碰撞对桥梁抗震性能的影响以及防止碰撞的措施等方面,对国内外有关城市桥梁碰撞地震反应研究的成果进行了系统的总结和分析,得出以下结论：桥梁碰撞是多因素共同作用所导致的,并使得桥梁的地震反应更加复杂、呈现非线性;要准确评价桥梁地震碰撞反应需要建立更精确的模拟模型;选择合理的邻跨间距和支座宽度以及安装合适的消能减震装置,可有效地减小桥梁的地震碰撞反应.     

大型堆载条件下桩土性状的试验研究

叙述了堆载条件下桩的受力特性和沉降特征。根据实测资料,分析了桩侧摩阻力和端承力随上部堆载的变化关系,并由此研究了大型堆载条件下的桩土性状。对堆载试验结果的可靠性进行了论证。     

嵌岩桩静载试验结果的研究与讨论

根据１９个工程７１根嵌岩桩静载试验的实测资料，论述了嵌岩桩静载试验结果的特点，对Ｐ－Ｓ曲线进行了分区；提出了嵌岩桩质量分类体系表；研究了嵌岩桩的变形与破坏特点，并对破坏类型作了划分；同时，还讨论了嵌岩深度和嵌固力的测定。     

The paleosol complex S5 in the China Loess Plateau — A record of climatic optimum during the last 1.2 Ma

Having investigated the loess-paleosol sequence in various loess deposition basins in the China Loess Plateau, authors have found that the paleosol complex S₅ is of special significance in terms of Pleistocene paleoclimate. Paleopedological, micromorphological, palynological and paleomagnetic evidences indicate that this paleosol complex formed in the interval of 460,000 to at least 560,000 years BP, which was a climatic optimum.     

Review of Chinese atmospheric science research over the past 70 years: Synoptic meteorology

Synoptic meteorology is a branch of meteorology that uses synoptic weather observations and charts for the diagnosis,study,and forecasting of weather.Weather refers to the specific state of the atmosphere near the Earth's surface during a short period of time.The spatial distribution of meteorological elements in the atmosphere can be represented by a variety of transient weather phenomena,which are caused by weather systems of different spatial and temporal scales.Weather is closely related to people's life,and its development and evolution have always been the focus of atmospheric scientific research and operation.The development of synoptic meteorology is closely related to the development of observation systems,dynamical theories and numerical models.In China,observation networks have been built since the early 1950 s.Up to now,a comprehensive meteorological observation systembased on ground,air and space has been established.In particular,the development of a new generation of dense radar networks,the development of the Fengyun satellite series and the implementation of a series of large field experiments have brought our understanding of weather from large-scale environment to thermal dynamics,cloud microphysical structure and evolution characteristics of meso and micro-scale weather systems.The development of observation has also promoted the development of theory,numerical model and simulation.In the early days,China mainly used foreign numerical models.Lately,China has developed numerical model systems with independent intellectual property rights.Based on the results of high-resolution numerical simulations,in-depth understanding of the initiation and evolution mechanism and predictability of weather at different scales has been obtained.Synoptic meteorology has gradually changed from an initially independent development to a multidisciplinary approach,and the interaction between weather and the change of climate and environment has become a hot and frontier topic in atmospheric science.This paper reviews the important scientific and technological achievements made in China over the past 70 years in the fields of synoptic meteorology based on the literatures in China and abroad,from six aspects respectively including atmospheric dynamics,synoptic-scale weather,typhoon and tropical weather,severe convective weather,numerical weather prediction and data assimilation,weather and climate,atmospheric physics and atmospheric environment.     

改进权重的京津冀可达性时空变化对比分析

以2000年和2015年两个时间断面京津冀地区最省时的交通网络为基础数据,利用ArcGIS网络分析模块,分析节点城市可达性的时空变化规律。在研究方法上突出强调某一时间断面最省时的交通网络体系和通过节点中心度改进的加权平均旅行时间。结果显示：京津冀区域的可达性格局变化较大,可达性整体提升的同时,处于第一阶梯的区域大幅扩张;总体而言,区域内可达性从优到差排序依次为：中心城市、东部和南部城市、北部城市;交通方式的变革极大地改善了区域可达性,各城市的加权平均旅行时间普遍缩减50%以上,中部和南部城市的变化率要远远大于北部城市;张家口和承德两市受山地地形和交通基础设施的限制,可达性一直处于较低水平。