城市效应对登陆热带气旋妮妲降水影响的模拟

运用中尺度数值模式WRF耦合城市冠层模式（urban canopy model,UCM）,对2016年登陆深圳的热带气旋妮妲（1604）（以下简称妮妲）进行数值模拟。高分辨率数值模拟较好地再现了妮妲登陆前后的强度、路径和累积降水。利用城市化过程当中城市冠层对热带气旋降水的敏感性试验结果表明:城市冠层会减弱对流运动和水汽的输送,导致热带气旋登陆后珠江口城市群区域累积降水量略减少。应用最新的土地利用资料进行的城市下垫面敏感性试验结果表明:由于城市下垫面粗糙度增加,造成登陆地面风的减速,强度减弱,潜热通量与2 m高度比湿相应减小;城市下垫面粗糙度增加会加强该区域垂直对流运动以及不稳定能量增加,有利于降水增强,尤其在城市化下垫面处,热带气旋登陆后6 h累积降水增加量最大可超过20 mm。总体而言,对登陆热带气旋降水而言,耦合城市冠层使城市区域热带气旋降水减少,但在数值模拟中城市冠层影响作用不显著。城市化下垫面对登陆热带气旋暴雨的增幅作用明显,在登陆热带气旋降水预报中应重视。     

几种雷电灾害风险评估计算方法应用对比分析

雷电灾害风险评估中,雷击风险的计算方法有人工计算、Excel表格计算和软件计算3种。选取石嘴山一油库为案例,依据风险管理标准(GB/T 21714.2 -2015),分别采用人工、Excel和软件方法,计算该油库雷电风险总量和风险分量。计算结果显示,软件计算风险总值相对人工计算值总是偏高,特别是对于易燃易爆场所,比人工计算、Excel计算值高20~30倍;人工方法、Excel方法风险总值计算结果较为一致。造成差别的原因是,人工计算主观性大,不同的评估人员在风险分量的选取及计算过程中会出现较大的差别,容易忽略部分风险分量,从而造成风险总量的减少。在风险分量的组成上,对第三类防雷建筑物,人工计算结果更符合实际;对第一、二类防雷建筑物,软件计算结果更符合实际。     

The Bifurcation of the Topological Structure in the Sunspot's Electric Topological Current with Locally Gauge-invariant Maxwell-Chern-Simons Term

The topological structure of the electric topological current of the locally gauge invariant Maxwell-Chern-Simons Model and its bifurcation is studied. The electric topological charge is quantized in term of winding number. The Hopf indices and Brouwer degree labeled the local topological structure of the electric topological current. Using Φ-mapping method and implicit function theory, the electric topological current is found generating or annihilating at the limit points and splitting or merging at the bifurcate points. The total electric charge holds invariant during the evolution. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

关于风景区规划的几个问题

对在风景区规划中如何评价风景资源,分析区位因素,把握人流空间移动规律,调控风景区容量和探求空间层序体系等问题进行了分析。     

化肥在农业生产中的地位与作用

化肥是提高作物产量的物质基础, 在过去的几十年中, 它在世界农业建设中起过巨大作用。近百年的肥料试验表明, 化学肥料具有和有机质一样的持续增产效果, 在提高作物产量、品质的同时, 还可培肥土壤。随着化肥工业的发展, 化肥的负作用会逐渐减小。     

ESTIMATION OF ARTIFICIAL PRECIPITATION ENHANCEMENT RESOURCE CONDITION AND CLOUD SEEDING POTENTIAL BY GROUND-BASED REMOTE SENSING DATA*

In this paper,the data of continuous atmospheric vertical integral vapour and liquid water content during April-June of 1992-1994 obtained by a ground-based dual-channel microwave radiometer are used to analyse the statistical characteristics of atmospheric vapour and liquid water content,and the relative distribution characteristics of vapour and liquid water content in cloudy atmosphere,the correlative relation of integral liquid water content L and ground precipitation intensity I.and precipitation transform rate of precipitation system.Finally,the weather modification condition of precipitus stratiform clouds and seeding potential is analyzed and discussed.     

近40年湖南洪涝灾害的演变趋势及其成因

利用湖南５２个代表站１９５８￣１９９８年４￣９月的降水资料,确定了洪涝年,分析了近４０年湖南洪涝的特征和演变趋势。在此基础上,探讨了近期洪涝灾害日益严重的原因。它们是：气候背景因素,大气环流异常,厄尔尼诺的影响,洞庭湖的水文特性和面积锐减,社会因素。     

GMS实时资料识别冰雹研究

利用１９９７￣１９９８年３￣４月ＧＭＳ－５的红外亮温和水汽亮温资料,根据云南春季冰雹和非冰雹的红外、水汽亮温值二维概率分布,建立数学判别式、结果表明,我必 非冰雹的识别率为９４％,冰雹判虽准确率为３０．８％。     

High resolution UAV image acquisition method and modeling practice for geological outcrop with a large slope

The observation on the outcrop in the field is one of the most direct and efficient methods to obtain the underground formation information, which provides the most direct first-hand geological data for geological science research. However, the traditional outcrop investigation, especially for the outcrop with a large slope and unreachable area, mainly relies on the inspection, measurement of the slope bottom, and photos to record outcrop information, making it difficult to accurately characterize the whole geological body. Consumer unmanned aerial vehicle (UAVs) with the advantages of good mobility, strong adaptability and low cost, can obtain outcrop images from a short distance, multiple perspectives and varying heights. In this paper, the image acquisition method and model construction accuracy without control points available for the geological outcrop with a large slope are discussed. Consumer UAVs is used to capture images through vertical route and then the geological model is set up. The results show that oblique photogrammetry technology combined with consumer UAVs can effectively build a large slope geological outcrop model with millimeter resolution. The model has the characteristics of high resolution, uniform resolution and high measurement accuracy up to millimeter, which can effectively reduce the difficulty of field investigation and the personnel safety risk, thus it accurately reproduces the outcrop situation with large slope in the field, providing a real and reliable data basis for the section interpretation, analysis and measurement of large slope outcrop.     

云南暴雨涡散场动能转换函数的动态分析

对1996年云南主汛期（6－8月）逐日散度风动能和旋转风动能之间的转换函数C（KD,KR）特征进行深入研究,同时分析了C（KD,KR）各项Af、Az、B、C在动能转换函数中所起的作用。研究结果表明,对流层内C（KD,KR）＞0,同时对流层低层的C（K,KR）＞中高层的C（KD,KR）之和．极易出现暴雨过程;Af项在整个动能转换中起主要作用,71％的Af与C（KD,KR）具有相同的符号,Az项和B项在动能转换中起振荡作用,Az＋B控制着29％的动能转换方向。