我省城市水资源紧缺问题及其对策探讨

解决我省城市水资源紧缺问题有以下对策：①建立水资源管理模型，实施最优化开采方案；②防治水污染，实行废水资源化，对城市工业废水净化处理再利用；③实行地表水地下水相互调剂；④拦蓄降水和地表弃水，开发人工补给，建立地下水库；⑤建立节水型社会生产体系。     

Evolution of Palaeoenvironment of the South Yellow Sea Since the Last Deglaciation

The sediments in core YS01 recovered from the South Yellow Sea mud deposit zone contain abundant benthic foraminifera, particularly shallow continental shelf species, but rare of planktonic foraminifera. The benthic foraminifera are dominated by stenohaline cold shallow-water species and euryhaline brackish-water species. In this paper, the palaeoenvironmental changes were discussed based on the grain-size compositions and benthic foraminiferal assemblages. Six different benthic foraminiferal assemblages were discriminated by species analysis from the foraminiferal fauna. According to AMS~(14)C dating data in core YS01, we identified four main stages of marine environmental changes since the last deglaciation: a near-shore depositional stage(13.1 – 9.5 kyr B.P.), a transitional stage from near-shore deposition to shallow-sea deposition(9.5 – 5.6 kyr B.P.), a high sea level stage with shallow-sea deposition(5.6–2.9 kyr B.P.), and a stable shallow-sea depositional stage(2.9 kyr B.P. to the present).     

Application of multivariate statistical approach to identify heavy metal sources in sediment and waters: a case study in Yangzhong,China

Multivariate statistical approach is used to identify the sources of heavy metals (Bi, Cd, Co, Cr, Mn, Pb, U, V, and Zn) in surface water and freshly deposited riverine sediment samples in Yangzhong city, China. The metal concentration data for the water and sediment samples are reported in terms of basic statistical parameters and metal-to-metal correlations. In both surface water and sediment samples, significant correlations are observed between some metals. Principal component analysis and cluster analysis distinguishes factors of lithogenic and anthropogenic origin. Bismuth, Cd, Co, and Pb (Co only for water samples) contents are controlled by the regional lithogenic high background factor; Co, Mn, U, and V (Co only for sediment samples) are interpreted to be mainly inherited from soil parent materials, while Cr, Zn, and Mn in the two kinds of samples are recognized as the tracer of industrial pollution. Obvious similarity between factor loadings of the two kinds of samples is observed, evidencing that metal variability in the two kinds of samples is controlled by the same sources. Statistical analysis agrees with discussion based on background value and field survey of point-source pollutant affected sediment, making this statistical discussion more convincing.     

塔里木盆地西秋里塔格构造带走滑双重构造与“三明治”构造地质建模

据地球物理、地质以及遥感图像解释,西秋里塔格构造带地面发育走滑双重构造,其形成受前古近系基底走滑构造影响。由于基底构造与地面构造之间发育巨厚的古近系蒸发盐,使得这种联系具有间接性。走滑双重构造是在喜马拉雅期南天山—塔里木前陆近南北向挤压和基底左行走滑的复合作用下形成的,具有松弛弯曲背景下的扭张性质。西秋里塔格构造带前古近系基底以花状构造变形为主;盐上盖层为倾滑变形的构造三角带,两者与其间的盐构造共同构成研究区的“三明治”构造地质模型。     

基于半参数最小二乘核估计的卫星精密钟差预报方法

研究半参数最小二乘核估计模型在精密钟差预报中的应用问题,提出一种基于时间自变量差值累加的窗宽参数计算模型,并通过实验验证该模型的有效性,讨论在不同预报时间长度和已知数据量的情况下模型预报精度。实验表明,与常规模型相比,半参数最小二乘核估计模型在预报精度与稳定性方面都取得较好的效果,可以满足精密单点定位对于精密钟差预报的精度要求。研究成果对于精密单点定位技术的推广普及具有一定的促进作用。     

长江三角洲人口与经济空间格局演变及影响因素

人口与经济是反映区域差异的两大主要指标,其空间分布与区域差异的形成有密切关联。产业作为经济发展的基本载体,产业结构是影响人口与经济空间分布协调性的重要因素。在产业转移加快的背景下,长三角人口与经济空间分布格局也出现了一定的变化,对二者空间演变协调性研究具有重要的现实意义。本文运用重心、不一致指数及不均衡指数等方法,分析2000-2013年长三角人口与经济空间格局演变趋势及影响因素。结果表明,核心区经济增长有所放缓、边缘区经济增长加快,但人口向核心区集聚态势依然存在;基于不一致指数与不均衡指数的分析表明,与边缘区GDP快速增长导致区域GDP格局显著变化不同,边缘城市的人口增长并不显著且集中在部分城市;尽管人口与经济不一致指数分布格局呈现相对稳定的“核心—边缘”格局,但人口与经济增长不协调性增强推动了长三角人口与经济总体协调性的提高。本文尝试从市场、政府及人均GDP等因素对长三角人口与经济分布不协调的现象进行了解释。     

栖霞市马耳夼石英脉型金矿地质特征及找矿方向

马耳夼金矿产于栖霞序列回龙夼单元,岩性主要为英云闪长质片麻岩。区内矿脉受断裂控制明显,成群成带产出,区域性断裂构造与后夼穹形构造交会部位或断裂构造产状变化处是矿体富集的有利部位。NE向断裂、新太古代侵入岩、石英脉是该区金矿成矿的主要控制因素,石英脉为其主要找矿标志,为中低温热液石英脉型金矿床。     

Zonal differences in correlation patterns between soil organic carbon and climate factors at multi-extent

Studying the relationship between climate factors and soil organic carbon (SOC) is vitally important. However, how SOC responses to climate (temperature and precipitation) at cohesive extents is poorly studied. Two transects of approximately the same length (transect P and transect T) were selected to examine the variation of SOC content in relation to mean annual temperature (MAT) and mean annual precipitation (MAP). The coefficients of partial correlation between SOC density and MAT (Rt) and MAP (Rp) were determined to quantify the relationships between SOC density and the two climate factors. The results indicated that for transect T, Rt was statistically significant once the extent level was greater than or equal to two fundamental extent units, while for transect P, Rp showed statistical significance only at extent levels which were greater than two fundamental extent units. At the same extent levels but in different transects, Rts exhibited no zonal difference, but Rps did once the extent level was greater than two fundamental extent units. Therefore, to study the relationship between SOC density and different climate factors, different minimum extent levels should be examined. The results of this paper could deepen the understanding of the impacts that SOC pool has on terrestrial ecosystem and global carbon cycling.     

太平洋几种海面要素的升降趋势及其对海平面上升的影响

对ＣＯＡＤＳ资料中１９５０－１９９２年太平洋４°×８°方区的海水表层温度及海面气温、气压、风速序列数据，进行了时间序列分析。分析结果表明：太平洋海表气温和水温年上升率分别为０．００６３℃·ａ（－１）和０．００２６℃·ａ（－１）。两者的变化趋势在赤道太平洋都有一个年上升率高值区；而在东海以北的西北太平洋广大海区，都有一个年下降率的低值区。西太平洋海面气压呈上升趋势，东太平洋则相反。气温和水温的升降区域分布特征与风速分量增强和减弱的变化趋势有关。文章还指出，中国和日本沿岸今后几十年海平面变化趋势的预测模式，应以太平洋或全球海平面上升趋势的预测为基础，加上本海区海平面的局地变化订正。     

带乘性噪声系统在加性噪声相关时的最优固定域平滑及反褶积算法

最优平滑及最优反褶积在石油地震勘探、通讯工程、语音处理等应用领域都具有十分重要的意义。以往的带乘性噪声系统的平滑及反褶积大都对系统模型的噪声特性有着较强的限制条件 ,要求动态噪声及观测噪声互相独立或只能在同时刻相关。该文给出了一种在动态噪声为有色噪声及动态噪声和量测噪声在有限时间段上相关的情形下带乘性噪声系统的固定域平滑及反褶积算法 ,该算法在线性最小方差意义下是最优的。通过仿真计算 ,说明了该算法的有效性。