山东洞体应变观测质量分析

选取山东省3个洞体应变台2007-2011年观测数据,分析资料的完整性、内在质量及干扰因素.结果表明：①观测资料连续性和完整性较好;②仪器零漂满足设计指标要求;③M2波振幅因子相对误差和相对噪声水平达到Ⅰ类应变台标准;④仪器更新后观测质量提升;⑤洞体应变观测主要受仪器调修、气压、降雨和观测环境变化等因素影响.     

Evolution of permafrost in China during the last 20 ka

The formation and evolution of permafrost in China during the last 20 ka were reconstructed on the basis of large amount of paleo-permafrost remains and paleo-periglacial evidence, as well as paleo-glacial landforms, paleo-flora and paleofauna records. The results indicate that, during the local Last Glacial Maximum(LLGM) or local Last Permafrost Maximum(LLPMax), the extent of permafrost of China reached 5.3×106-5.4×106 km2, or thrice that of today, but permafrost shrank to only0.80×106-0.85×106 km2, or 50% that of present, during the local Holocene Megathermal Period(LHMP), or the local Last Permafrost Minimum(LLPMin). On the basis of the dating of periglacial remains and their distributive features, the extent of permafrost in China was delineated for the two periods of LLGM(LLPMax) and LHMP(LLPMin), and the evolution of permafrost in China was divided into seven periods as follows:(1) LLGM in Late Pleistocene(ca. 20000 to 13000-10800 a BP)with extensive evidence for the presence of intensive ice-wedge expansion for outlining its LLPMax extent;(2) A period of dramatically changing climate during the early Holocene(10800 to 8500-7000 a BP) when permafrost remained relatively stable but with a general trend of shrinking areal extent;(3) The LHMP in the Mid-Holocene(8500-7000 to 4000-3000 a BP)when permafrost degraded intensively and extensively, and shrank to the LLPMin;(4) Neoglaciation during the late Holocene(4000-3000 to 1000 a BP, when permafrost again expanded;(5) Medieval Warming Period(MWP) in the late Holocene(1000-500 a BP) when permafrost was in a relative decline;(6) Little Ice Age(LIA) in the late Holocene(500-100 a BP), when permafrost relatively expanded, and;(7) Recent warming(during the 20 th century), when permafrost continuously degraded and still is degrading. The paleo-climate, geography and paleopermafrost extents and other features were reconstructed for each of these seven periods.     

东北地区春季首场透雨的变化特征及与青藏高原地面加热场强度的关系

利用1958—2012年4—5月东北地区(39°~55°N、118°~135°E)101个站点逐日降水资料、青藏高原地区(25°~40°N、73.75°~103.75°E)JRA-55的地面感热和潜热通量月平均再分析资料以及NCEP/NCAR-I大气环流场的月平均再分析资料,分析了春播期首场透雨出现日期的时空变化特征及其与透雨量和播种期降水量间的关系,以及对青藏高原地面加热场强度异常的响应及其可能机制。结果表明:透雨日期自1958年以来在东北地区的西北和东南大部分区域呈现略微偏晚的趋势;中部有略微偏早的趋势。春播期首场透雨出现时间偏早(晚)的地方,首场透雨量小(大),春播期总降水量多(少)。同时,4月青藏高原地面加热场强度增强(减弱),有利于(不利于)来自北方的冷空气和南方的暖湿气流在东北上空交汇,且上升气流增强(减弱),水汽输送充沛(减少),导致该地区春季首场透雨出现的时间偏早(晚)。     

Impacts of TRMM SRR assimilation on the numerical prediction of tropical cyclone

1 IntroductionObservation of the tropical rainfall is crucial forthe research on tropical weather and climate. Nu-merous studies have shown that the ingestion of rain-fall data into a numerical model can have considera-ble impacts on simulation results(Kr…     

德州市浅层地温能资源潜力评价

随着我国社会经济的快速发展,对能源的需求大幅增加,供需矛盾越来越突出,煤炭、石油、天然气等常规能源的大量消耗对环境造成的压力也越来越大。浅层地温能是一种可再生的新型环保能源,逐步受到各级政府及社会各界的重视。通过对德州城区浅层地温能赋存条件的分析,利用试验测试数据对浅层地温能热容量进行了计算,并在适宜性分区在基础上,进行了浅层地温能资源潜力评价。结果表明,德州城区120 m深度内浅层地热容量为8.525×10~(13)k J/℃,相当于291万t标准煤。整个德州城区为地下水换热系统不适宜区,而适宜地埋管换热系统。在地埋管换热系统适宜区内,120 m深度范围内考虑土地利用系数,计算得出夏季换热功率为339.18万k W,冬季换热功率为343.22万k W。夏季可制冷面积4.845×10~7m~2,冬季可供暖面积6.240×10~7m~2。     

我国全新世泥炭α纤维素稳定碳同位素记录的对比与分析

泥炭是古气候研究的宝贵材料,α纤维素稳定碳同位素（δ¹³C_cell）是泥炭古气候研究的常用代用指标。我国已有数个地点报道了全新世泥炭全样或单种植物δ¹³C_cell记录,对这些记录的古气候解译存在明显冲突。结合相应的孢粉和植物残体证据,对这些记录进行综合对比,结果发现：高山草地植被带和内陆干旱区荒漠草原植被带当中的泥炭地,全新世期间的原地植物种属构成相对稳定且未发生显著变化,因此其δ¹³C_cell记录具有较为明显的长期变化趋势,其古气候解译也更为可靠;森林植被带和林草交互带当中的泥炭地,全新世期间的原地植物种属构成发生过显著变化（如木本植物入侵）,这可能是造成其全新世δ¹³C_cell记录长期趋势不明显或其古气候指示意义复杂难解的主要原因。这些结果显示了泥炭地的原地植物种属构成,对相应δ¹³C_cell记录的古气候解译的重要影响。同时也表明,无论是泥炭δ¹³C_cell研究地点的选择,还是泥炭δ¹³C_cell记录的古气候解译,都需重视其来源植物种属构成和变化。对于全新世泥炭δ¹³C_cell古气候研究,建议开展针对性的现代过程研究,尤其是优势泥炭植物种属的δ¹³C_cell在时间序列上的现代过程研究,以提供可靠的古气候解译基础。

     

Simulation experiment on hydrocarbon generating potential of various source rocks on the northern margin of the Qaidam Basin,Qinghai, China

The northern margin of the Qaidam Basin is one of the main oil-gas exploration areas in western China, where source rocks are composed mostly of Middle and Lower Jurassic dark mud shale, carbargillite and coal. A large number of subsurface and outcrop samples differing in lithology with different types of organic matter were selected for resource evaluation, research and calculation. And among them, 13 samples were used for simulation experiment on hydrocarbon generating potential of various source rocks. At first, two kinds of heating modes were compared through simulation experiment, including single temperature-step heating and continual heating. Perhaps, the process of hydrocarbon generation and expulsion occurred naturally between a close system and an open system. In addition, the first heating mode was convenient, and all its reaction products were involved in the whole thermal evolution, and the final simulation experimental results were basically in consistency with the natural evolution trend Therefore, the first heating mode was adopted and the hydrocarbon yield of every sample was worked out. According to the type and lithology of organic matter and the hydrocarbon yield of samples for simulation experiment, hydrocarbon generation and expulsion mode with three kinds of lithology and five types of source rock has been established to provide the basis for hydrocarbon generation evaluation, research and resource calculation.     

卫星遥感结合地面观测资料对中国西北干旱区地表热力输送系数的估算

本文利用黑河野外试验 (HEIFE) 地面观测资料, 采用空气动力学方法计算了干旱区内不同下垫面的地表热力输送系数CH, 结合由美国国家海洋和大气局 (NOAA) 系列卫星遥感观测的反映地表植被特征的归一化差值植被指数 (NDVI) 资料, 经拟合得到了针对我国西北干旱区不同下垫面的CH-NDVI参数化关系式, 并对此关系式进行了合理性检验。结果表明: 对于区域尺度而言, 在缺乏用其他方法获得较准确的区域CH值的情况下, 利用卫星遥感结合地面观测资料对其估算是较为可靠的方法。     

基于力学思想的空间聚类有效性评价

从力学的角度来考虑空间聚类问题,并结合地理学基本规律提出了一种基于力学思想的空间聚类有效性评价指标(简称SCV)。实验分析表明,本文提出的评价指标能够更准确、高效地对二维地理空间数据的硬聚类结果进行有效性评价。