Gutenberg-Richter公式和灰色理论GM模型在地震预测中的联合应用

以华北地区 (33°～ 4 3°N ,10 9°～ 12 4°E)地震为例 ,用Gutenberg -Richter公式研究了地震均匀分布情况。结果表明 :自 1970年到 2 0 0 1年以来 ,本地区 2 0≤M <4 0的地震偏少、 4 0≤M <6 0的地震偏多、 6 0≤M<7 0的地震偏少、M≥ 7 0的地震偏多 ;然后择其将导致本地区较大社会影响、人员伤亡、经济损失的偏少地震——— 6 0≤M <7 0级地震进行灰色理论GM模型预测。通过上面的应用 ,使两理论优点在地震预测中得到结合 ,地震预测更有的放矢 ,预测结果更可信、更有效。     

地震灾害现场救援搜索策略与搜索方法有关问题的讨论

对地震灾害现场的搜索策略和搜索方法等有关问题进行了讨论，推荐了常用的搜索策略，对不同搜索方法的利弊进行了分析；对搜索方法的使用也做了讨论。通过讨论，文章就搜索分队的组成、任务、装备和部署等提出了建议。     

地震视应力用于震后趋势快速判定的可能性

对多次强震的地震视应力进行了计算，将各次强震的地震视应力的高低与强震发生后的后续地震的强度进行联系，探索它们之间的关系，进而提出将地震视应力用于强震震后趋势预测的可能性。对多次强震的地震视应力与其后续地震强度的关系的分析结果表明，低视应力的强震的后续地震的强度一般较低，即低视应力的强震发生后，震区发生较强的后续地震的可能性较小。     

The crustal fluid evolution and the causes of earthquakes(Ⅲ)

Ｔｈｅｃｒｕｓｔａｌｆｌｕｉｄｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎａｎｄｔｈｅｃａｕｓｅｓｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓ（Ⅲ）ＣＨＡＮＧ－ＦＡＮＧＸＵ（徐常芳）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｌｏｇｙ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１０００...     

Analysis and study of the large earthquake risk in Yanqing-Huailai basin

ＡｎａｌｙｓｉｓａｎｄｓｔｕｄｙｏｆｔｈｅｌａｒｇｅｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｒｉｓｋｉｎＹａｎｑｉｎｇＨｕａｉｌａｉｂａｓｉｎＣＨＡＮＧＱＵＡＮＬＩＵ（刘昌铨）ＳＨＩＸＵＪＩＡ（嘉世旭）ＭＩＮＧＪＵＮＬＩＵ（刘明军）ＣＨＡＮＧＦＡＬＩ（李长发...     

SEDIMENTATION STUDY ON PUMPED-STORAGE POWER STATION OF PUSHI RIVER

I.INTRODUCTIONThePtlmped-storagepoll,erprojectofPushiriverisconsistedofupperreservoir,lobal-erreset'oir.watertransmissionSystemandpotvergeneratingsystem.ThelowerreservoirIviththecatchmentbasinareaof1141kmZisthewatersupplierl-c'hichislocatedonthedownstreamofthePushiriverinthesouthernpactofNortheastChina.Theupperreservoirisabout300-400metershigherthanthelowerresen!oirattheleftsideoftheriverwithcatchmentbasinareaof1.12km2.Thecharacteristicsoftheprojectandreservoirareshottviintablel-l.Ino…     

MODELING STUDY ON SEDIMENTATION CONFIGURATION IN FRONT OF THE DAM AND IN THE PRESSURE CONDUIT OF BOTTOM OUTLETS BY FLUME EXPERIMENT

I.INTRODUCTIONReseri,oirsonoverloadedriverswillreachthestateofrelativeequilibriumwithcontinuousdevelopmentofsedimentation.Insuchcase,thereisdePOsitinfrontofthedam.Thereforethesiltpressureonthedambodyisconsiderablylarge.Sedimentationelevationinfrontofthedamisoneofthefactorsofcalculatingthesiltpressure.Inaddition,tokeeplong-termworkingstorageinreservoif,itisnecessarytoinstallbottomoutlets.Asthereisapressureconduitinfrontoftheoperatinggateofthebottomoutlet,thesedimelltenteredtheconduitwill…     

Synthesis of accelerations of the 1976 Tangshan earthquake(M_S 7.8)in near-and far-field by using semi-empirical method

Ｓｙｎｔｈｅｓｉｓｏｆａｃｃｅｌｅｒａｔｉｏｎｓｏｆｔｈｅ１９７６Ｔａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅ（ＭＳ７．８）ｉｎｎｅａｒａｎｄｆａｒｆｉｅｌｄｂｙｕｓｉｎｇｓｅｍｉｅｍｐｉｒｉｃａｌｍｅｔｈｏｄＱＩＦＥＮＧＬＵＯ１）（罗奇峰）ＹＵ?..     

RELATIONSHIP OF ECO-ENVIONMENTAL CHANGE WITH NATURAL EROSION AND ARTIFICIALLY ACCELERATED EROSION

Ｆｏｒｌｏｎｇｔｉｍｅ,ｔｈｅｐｒｏｂｌｅｍａｂｏｕｔｎａｔｕｒａｌｅｒｏｓｉｏｎａｎｄａｒｔｉｆｉｃｉａｌｌｙａｃｃｅｌｅｒａｔｅｄｅｒｏｓｉｏｎｉｓｉｎｄｉｓｐｕｔｅ.ＨｉｓｔｏｒｉｃａｌｇｅｏｇｒａｐｈｅｒｓｃｏｎｓｉｄｅｒｔｈａｔｈｕｍａｎｉｎｄｕｃｅｄｅｃｏｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔａｌｄｅｓｔｒｕｃｔｉｏｎｉｓａｃｃｏｕｎｔａｂｌｅｆｏｒｔｈｅｓｅｖｅｒｅｓｏｉｌｅｒｏｓｉｏｎａｎｄｅｃｏｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔｄｅｔｅｒｉｏｒａｔｉｏｎｏｎＬｏｅｓｓＰｌａｔｅａｕ[7,8].Ｓｏｍｅｇｅｏｌｏｇ…     

THE LIFE-CYCLE OF MINERAL CONSUMPTION IN REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND ITS IMPLICATION

Ｉ.ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＴｈｒｏｕｇｈｏｕｔｈｉｓｔｏｒｙｍｉｎｅｒａｌｓｈａｖｅｂｅｅｎａｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎａｎｔｆａｃｔｏｒｉｎｔｈｅｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｏｃｉｅｔｉｅｓａｎｄｃｉｖｉｌｉｚａｔｉｏｎ.ＴｈｅｖｅｒｙｏｂｖｉｏｕｓｉｍｐａｃｔｏｆｍｉｎｅｒａｌｓｏｎＭａｎ’ｓｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｃａｎｂｅｔｒａｃｅｄｉｎｔｅｒｍｓｏｆＭａｎ’ｓａｃｑｕａｉｎｔａｎｃｅｗｉｔｈｍｉｎｅｒａｌｓ—ｔｈｅＰｒｅｓｔｏｎｅＡｇｅ,ｔｈｅＳｔｏｎｅＡｇｅ,ｔｈｅＢｒｏｎｚｅＡｇｅ,ｔｈｅＩｒｏｎＡｇｅ,…