基于组合统计降尺度的华西南部地区冬季气温预测技术研究

利用1982—2017年华西南部地区冬季气温和NCEP再分析资料以及CFS模式实时预测资料,通过SVD诊断分析,选取影响华西南部地区冬季气温的同期关键区大气环流和前期海温及OLR因子场,建立预测与观测场相结合的组合统计降尺度预测模型。该统计降尺度预测模型对1982—2017年的回报结果显示：与观测场的空间相关系数较CFS模式原始预测结果有显著提高,多年均值从-0.06提升到0.38,最高可达0.85。同时,此降尺度预测模型可较好地回报出华西南区冬季气温的空间分布型。     

Characterizing the hydraulic properties of unsaturated sand considering various porosities and drying‐wetting paths of the retention curve

Previous studies have shown that water retention curve (WRC) and the hydraulic conductivity vary because of changes of the void ratio or porosity of soil. However, limited documents pointed out the change of hydraulic properties of soil when compacted to different porosities while considering both of the drying and wetting processes of the WRC. This information is sometimes necessary for research like finger flow analysis or the occurrence of wetting and drying cycles as what would be seen in the field. Therefore, this study aims to examine the change of WRC characteristics with varied porosity considering both of the drying and wetting path in WRC by conducting a sand box experiment. Results show that the same type of sand compacted to various porosities have different hydraulic parameters. Hydraulic conductivities generally decrease with reduced porosities; shape parameter α of the van Genuchten equation (1980) linearly decreases with declining porosity and shape parameter n in a reversal manner for the sands of interest whether in the drying process or wetting process. The unsaturated properties of sand are further characterized by inspecting the variations of moisture content, matric suction and vertical displacement of soil body subject to periodic changes of the water level by another sand box experiment. The outcomes suggest that the saturated water content and residual water content are changing during the wetting–drying process, which can be an implication of the changed properties of WRC. The characteristics of volumetric deformation might be varied as well because of the observation of the dissimilar patterns of the changing vertical displacements among each wetting–drying process. Infiltration patterns of the sands also are identified through numerical modelling by introducing a constant infiltration flux from the surface followed by a no‐influx condition. Results indicate that less water accumulates in the sand near the surface for the sand compacted to higher porosity, but water can move deeper. Hydraulic conductivity is found as the prime factor dominating the evolvement of wetting fronts. However, shape parameters of water retention curves also affect the infiltration pattern to some extent. In addition, different sands with similar porosities can have quite different infiltrating characteristics. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Trends,drivers and impacts of changes in swidden cultivation in tropical forest-agriculture frontiers: A global assessment

This meta-analysis of land-cover transformations of the past 10–15 years in tropical forest-agriculture frontiers world-wide shows that swidden agriculture decreases in landscapes with access to local, national and international markets that encourage cattle production and cash cropping, including biofuels. Conservation policies and practices also accelerate changes in swidden by restricting forest clearing and encouraging commercial agriculture. However, swidden remains important in many frontier areas where farmers have unequal or insecure access to investment and market opportunities, or where multi-functionality of land uses has been preserved as a strategy to adapt to current ecological, economic and political circumstances. In some areas swidden remains important simply because intensification is not a viable choice, for example when population densities and/or food market demands are low. The transformation of swidden landscapes into more intensive land uses has generally increased household incomes, but has also led to negative effects on the social and human capital of local communities to varying degrees. From an environmental perspective, the transition from swidden to other land uses often contributes to permanent deforestation, loss of biodiversity, increased weed pressure, declines in soil fertility, and accelerated soil erosion. Our prognosis is that, despite the global trend towards land use intensification, in many areas swidden will remain part of rural landscapes as the safety component of diversified systems, particularly in response to risks and uncertainties associated with more intensive land use systems.     

蔚县矿区岩溶水供排结合研究

本文从系统观点出发,分析了矿区岩溶水供排结合的水文地质条件,提出了以供代排,合理的规划蔚县矿区地下水资源的供排结合方案。应用有限元数值模拟与最优化技术建立供排结合水量规划的教学模型,求出了蔚县矿区最佳水源地位置和最佳的供水开采量与疏干量,实现了较好的经济效益。     

The Application of Computerized Pattern Recognition to the Prediction of Mineral Resources

The technique of mineral prediction by pattern recognition has been developed through the applicationof computerized pattern recognition to geological exploration. The principles and computing method of thistechnique as well as some characteristics of its application in geological exploration are expounded in thispaper. Some of the study results gained by the authors in this aspect are also given. which include classifica-tion of oil-field waters. evaluation of gossans of main ore deposits in China, prediction of ore resources inthe Dachang Sn-polymetallic field. and appraisal of Pb and Sn anomalies and prediction of mineral re-sources in southern Hunan. Some of the prediction results have been proved correct.     

烃类微渗漏的地物波谱探测原理与方法研究

通过对新疆塔里木盆地北缘油气谱的实测和分析，结合烃类微渗漏理论，讨论油气信息的波谱特征和遥感直接探测的机理。运用遥感技术探测油气信息，一是探测烃类微渗漏产生的地表理化异常，二是直接探测渗漏运移到地表的烃类物质或土壤吸烃信息。在塔北试验区，烃类组分异常是最直接，最有意义的标志，２．３２－２．３６μｍ的烃类吸收双谷位置，被确定为塔北地区油气遥感探测波段。     

郴州地区煤田地质特征及找煤远景区

本区地槽型煤田,主要是下寒武统牛蹄塘组,由一套浅海相碳质板岩为主组成的含钒石煤岩系,与下伏地层呈整合关系。地台型煤田有下石炭统测水煤系和上二叠统斗岭煤系,它们是以一套海陆交互相的细碎屑岩为主,夹菱铁矿或黄铁矿结核及煤组成,与下伏地层呈整合关系。其中斗岭煤系的煤层分布广,煤层及煤质较好,是本区找煤的对象。地洼型煤田,为上三叠—下侏罗统煤系,呈零星小块分布,是一套以陆相,杂色粗碎屑岩为主,夹泥岩及煤组成,与下伏地层呈不整合关系。主要发育在资兴市和宜章县一带,找煤条件次于斗岭煤系。     

遥感特征信息提取的综合分析——以红外细分波段新疆铁木尔特航带矿化特征信息提取为例

本文以红外细分波段新疆铁木尔特航带为例,依据不同地质体各自的光谱特征,运用主成分分析、多种信息复合等技术与综合分析方法,使该地段的矿化特征提取收到了良好效果。 本航带的矿化特征信息在图像处理结果中表现为黄色异常色调。它反映了当地多金属成矿带中二氧化硅含量低、全铁含量较高的岩矿矿化特征。团块状黄色异常色调表示出地表出露的铁帽、磁铁矿化和矽卡岩化的分布状况。野外验证表明,黄色调的分布地域与实地的地表矿化范围相吻合。 遥感特征信息提取的综合分析方法包括信息基本特征分析、图像处理、后验分析和机理解释等四个相互联系的步骤。研究表明,只有经过综合分析,才能揭示出特征信息的内在规律性,使特征信息具有较好的实用价值。     

吉林省北部A型花岗岩的初步认识

分布在吉林省北部的香水、治安一带的正长花岗岩、碱长花岗岩，研究后认为属Ａ型花岗岩。其行征钾长石为微斜长石一条纹长石，斜长石大部分为奥长石Ａｎ＝１３－１７。并有碱性碱物无辉石。     

兴1井水位的映震特征

兴1井是辽宁省内最早建成的静水位观测井，已有近20年的观测历史。系统分析预测以来的资料，发现该井水位有很强的映震能力并有一定的映震规律，可进行单井水位异常预报地震震级与发震时间的科学试验。