产业有序转移与区域产业协调发展——基于广东产业有序转移的经验

阐明了产业有序转移、区域产业协调发展的内涵,构建了产业有序转移对区域产业协调发展作用机制的分析框架。根据这个分析框架,从理论和广东产业转移经验两个方面进一步揭示了产业有序转移促进区域产业协调发展的机制。结果表明,产业有序转移是在政府有效干预下所形成的有利于区域产业协调发展的一种产业转移形式。产业有序转移通过诱致或促进区域产业结构优化调整、区际产业合理分工、区际产业关联互动,以及提高区域产业发展总体效率等路径,促进区域产业协调发展。     

西北地区高填方地基沉降的预测模型研究及分析

沉降变形一直都是困扰填方工程的关键问题,原始地基中存在的湿陷性黄土与粉质黏土会导致沉降增大以及不均匀沉降等现象的发生.因此,做好工程的沉降监测和工后预测,对于保障高填方地基的稳定性至关重要.笔者以西北某机场迁建工程中高填方沉降监测数据作为依据,分别应用双曲线、对数和指数拟合曲线对填方地基的沉降进行预测、分析与对比,总结...     

应用泊松耿贝尔分布估算海上极端风速

采用泊松耿贝尔分布，基于中国气象局发布的《CMA-STI热带气旋最佳路径数据集》资料来估算海上极端风速，并以上川岛气象站多年实测资料通过概率评估来加以验证。结果表明，采用泊松耿贝尔分布可以得到较为保守的海上极值风速取值。对于海上的小面积区域的重现期风速估算，采用50 km半径区域进行评估，可以得到较为合理的估算结果，当评估区域较大时，则需考虑适当扩大评估半径。     

Minerogenic Theory of the Superlarge Lop Nur Potash Deposit, Xinjiang, China

Located in the eastern part of the Tarim basin, Xinjiang, the Lop Nur was an ultimate water catchment area of the Tarim basin during the Quaternary. Through nearly ten years of investigation and research, the authors have found a superlarge brine potash deposit in the Luobei subbasitv—a secondary basin of the Lop Nur depression. The deposit has been mined now. On that basis, the authors propose new theories on the genesis of the potash rock deposit. In the tectonic and geomorphologic contexts, the Tarim basin lies in a “high mountain-deep basin” environment. At the beginning of the Quaternary, influenced by the neotectonic movement, the Lop Nur evolved into a “deep basin” in the Tarim basin. At the end of the middle Pleistocene, neotectonic migration began to take place in the interior of the Lop Nur and a new secondary deep basin—the Luobei subbasin—formed gradually. Despite its small area, it is actually the deepest subbasin in the Lop Nur depression, where brines of the Lop Nur Salt Lake gather and evaporate, thus providing materials for the formation of a superlarge brine potash rock deposit. With respect to the phenomenon of brine concentration and change with deepening of the lake, the authors propose a model of “high mountain-deep basin” tectonic migration for potash concentration. In the sedimentological context, the honeycomb-shaped voids developed in glauberite rock in the subbasin are good space for potash-rich brine accumulation. Study indicates that the deposition of glauberite requires recharge of calcium-rich water.In the Tarim area the calcium-rich water might come from deep formation water or oilfield water, and the river water recharging the Lop Nur Salt Lake was rich in sulfate radicals and other components; in addition, the climate in the area was very dry and the brine evaporated steadily, thus resulting in deposition of substantial amount of glauberite, potash accumulation in intercrystal brine and final formation of the potash deposit. Generally, potash formation in a salt lake undergoes a three-stage process of “carbonates→sulfates (gypsum and glauberite)→chlorides (halite etc.)”, but in the study area there only occurred a two-stage process of “carbonates→sulfates (gypsum and glauberite)”. The authors call this new geological phenomenon the “two-stage potash formation” model. In conclusion, the superlarge Lop Nur potash deposit is the result of combined “high mountain-deep basin” tectonism and “two-stage potash formation”.     

模糊模式识别模型及其应用

依据环境污染与评价属于模糊概念这一客观实际,探讨了确定污染指标权重的新方法,并尝试运用模糊模式识别理论与模型对某水源地供水井群的水质动态进行综合评价,得到了比较满意的结果。     

湖相沉积岩中的同生变形构造及其地质意义

本文以渤海湾周缘地区的东濮凹陷下第三系沙三沙四段湖相沉积岩中出现的同生变形构造为例,讨论其命名、分类、主要类型、形成机理及其在分析古沉积环境、古地理和古构造等方面的意义。这项讨论为研究陆相含油气盆地的同生变形构造提供了对比依据。     

温度与天气对IGS跟踪站联测的残差影响分析

针对一年中全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)服务(IGS)跟踪站联测残差影响较大等问题,总结平均温度变化、雨雪天气情况与IGS站联测残差的关系,判断影响IGS跟踪站联测残差的因素.适合我国境内及周边IGS站联测的基准站的稳定性检测,并使用标准化均方根误差平均值(NRMS)进行评价,在避免影响精度因素的情况下进行联测,提高精度.最后选取2018年CHAN站作为未知站点,对我国东北地区周边4个IGS站(BJFS、DAEJ、SHAO、ULAB)进行联测,利用GAMIT/GLOBK软件进行高精度基线处理,并选择2017年数据进行检核.实验结果表明平均温度变化与雨雪天气是影响IGS跟踪站联测残差的两项因素,平均温度与NRMS值呈负相关趋势,相关性大于60%.雨雪天气联测效果较差,较非雨雪天气NRMS值相差0.5mm左右,其中降雪天气联测精度最低,不建议雨雪天气进行联测任务.     

湖北省震情速报微信公众平台

在“互联网+”大背景下,利用微信公众平台接口技术和第三方代码托管技术,设计湖北省震情速报微信公众平台。该系统对EQIM数据库时时监听,产出权威地震信息;实现地震查询、科普宣传等功能,为地震工作者和普通大众提供交互平台;地震自救、灾情上报等功能可为防震减灾工作带来便利。     

波流共同作用下海底人工边坡动态响应分析

为了研究波流共同荷载作用下开挖基槽附近海床动态响应和液化破坏情况,提出一个二维耦合计算模型,采用雷诺时均纳维-斯托克斯（RANS）方程描述波浪运动情况,通过设定侧边界条件实现稳定流场。海床部分通过求解Biot固结方程,得到波流荷载下海床中的应力和位移情况。将模型计算结果与水槽试验数据和解析解进行比较,验证了波流模型和海床模型的有效性。在此模型基础上,分析得到了开挖之后海床新的应力和固结状态。同时,通过参数分析得到了波流耦合情况下波浪形态的变化,以及海流对海床液化情况和孔压情况的影响。最后,通过线性回归计算得到最大液化深度与流速的拟合关系曲线。计算结果可用于判断基槽开挖后不规则海床的液化情况,对相关研究和实际工程具有一定参考意义。     

The critical rainfall characteristics for torrents and debris flows in the Wenchuan earthquake stricken area

Critical rainfall assessment is a very important tool for hazard management of torrents and debris flows in mountainous areas. The Wenchuan Earthquake 2008 caused huge casualties and property damages in the earthquake-stricken area, which also generated large quantities of loose solid materials and increased occurrence probabilities of debris flows. There is an urgent need to quantify the critical rainfall distribution in the area so that better hazard management could be planned and if real time rainfall forecast is available, torrent and debris flow early-warning could be issued in advance. This study is based on 49-year observations （1954-2003） of up to 678 torrent and debris flow events. Detailed contour maps of 1 hour and 24 hour critical rainfalls have been generated （Due to the data limitation, there was insufficient 10 minute critical rainfall to make its contour map）. Generally, the contour maps from 1 hour and 24 hours have similar patterns. Three zones with low, medium and high critical rainfalls have been identified. The characteristics of the critical rainfall zones are linked with the local vegetation cover and land forms. Further studies and observations are needed to validate the finding and improve the contour maps.