DYNAMIC VARIATIONS OF WATER QUALITY IN TAIHU LAKE AND MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF ITS INFLUENTIAL FACTORS

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Application of discovery process models in estimating petroleum resources at the play level in China

Discovery process modeling has gained wide acceptance in the Chinese exploration community. In recent years, a variety of discovery process models have been applied to the prediction of undiscovered petroleum resources at the play level in sedimentary basins in China. However, challenging problems have been encountered, particularly when one method alone has been applied to small plays in nonmarine sedimentary basins or in plays with an unusual order of discovery wells. This paper presents results gotten by using the lognormal discovery process model of the Geological Survey of Canada and the geoanchored method for three petroleum plays in basins with different geologic settings. Although the predicted shapes of the parentsize distributions which use these two models, were not always similar, the expected values of the total resources and the number of fields (pools) to be discovered are comparable. The combined use of two discovery process models in the same play compensates for the weaknesses in one method compared with the other and vice versa. Thus, more reliable estimates are the result.     

Fully normalized spherical cap harmonics: application to the analysis of sea-level data from TOPEX/POSEIDON and ERS-1

We introduce two sets of fully normalized harmonics for the spectral analysis of functions defined on a spherical cap. The harmonics are the products of Fourier functions and the fully normalized associated Legendre functions of non-integer degree. Using Sturm-Liouville theory for boundary-value problems, we present two convenient and stable formulae for computing the zeros of the associated Legendre functions that form two sets of orthogonal functions. Formulae for the stable numerical evaluation of the fully normalized associated Legendre functions of non-integer degree that avoid the gamma function are also derived. The result from the expansions of sea-level anomaly from altimetry into Set 2 fully normalized cap harmonics shows fast convergence of the series, and the degree variances decay rapidly without aliasing effects. The zero-degree coefficients (Set 2) of sea-level anomaly from TOPEX/ POSEIDON (T/P) and ERS-1 indicate an El Niño event during 1993 January-1993 July, and a La Niño event during 1993 November-1994 July, although the ERS-1 result is less obvious. Ocean circulations over the South China Sea and the Kuroshio area are clearly identified with the low-degree expansions of sea-surface topography (SST) from T/P and ERS-1. A cold-core eddy of 4° in diameter centred at 17.5°N, 118 E was detected with the expansion of SST from T/P cycle 47, and a property of the cap harmonics is used to compute this eddy's kinetic energy. The kinetic energy is at a low in winter and high in summer, and its variation seems to be periodic with an amplitude of 0.4 m² S^-2.     

西南极菲尔德斯GPS形变网监测数据的误差特性分析与处理

本文对西南极菲尔德斯形变网ＧＰＳ监测数据的误差特性进行分析，利用数理统计原理检验了数据中的系统误差，提出了削弱这类系统误差的方法。该方法有３个特点：１．以监测网中两个稳定点为基准；２．对监测网数据进行尺度因子改正与坐标变换迭代计算；３．归算后监测网点位结构不变。经改化处理后的数据，基本上消除了系统误差的影响。     

天山北坡降水对河流水沙情势影响

以天山北坡头屯河流域为例，在对山区不同海拔的降水特征、侵蚀产沙情势以及河流水沙运移特点分析的基础上，详尽就山区降水对河流水沙情势的年际变化、年内变化以及月变化的影响进行了分析研究，并就降水对不同海拔的河流水沙情势的影响强度及相互关系作了探讨．     

三峡工程永久船闸边坡岩体卸荷特性

从地貌学角度,分析了三峡工程永久船闸边坡岩体的自然及人为卸荷特性,指出了地表侵蚀、河流下切、开挖船闸等自然及人为地貌过程诱发了岩体的基本卸荷过程,构筑了一个三峡工程永久船闸边坡岩体卸荷特性的宏观模式。实地调砥及数值计算成果均表明,地貌分析法在分析实际岩体工程中,岩体卸荷特性方面具有较强的应用价值。     

重庆市云阳县开发荒山资源,发展经济林木

根据县内荒山资源特点,通过因地制宜,树立生态经济学观点,把开发荒山资源与保护生态环境密切结合,加以发展经济林木,促进了当地经济发展。     

亚太地区经济区域化及其地理研究

本文针对亚太地区经济区域化发展趋势，阐明了该地区经济合作形式的主要特征，同时，对其进行地理研究的可行性及其意义提出自己的见解。     

法国巴黎区的规划与整治及其对上海建设的启示

本文对法国巴黎区城市膨胀扩展过程、城市规划指导思想由同心圆模式向轴线发展模式、由单个要素转移到郊区城市综合功能开发转变的原因进行了分析，并对以巴黎城市副中心和郊区新城建设等为主要内容的城市规划经验教训进行了介绍和总结。在此基础上，结合上海市经济社会发展的条件和目标，分析了上海市规划中存在的郊区城市规模小、城市工业“空洞化”、城市建设政策措施协调配套以及浦东建设项目利用效益低下等几个城市建设面临的主要问题，并提出了相应的改进建议。     

南极中山站近岸海冰生态学研究Ⅲ.冰藻优势种的季节变化及其与冰下浮游植物的关系

自１９９２年４月１２日至１２月３０日对中山站以西内拉峡湾海冰和冰下水柱中藻类优势种组成和丰度进行了测定。４月份和１１月中旬至１２月中旬冰柱和水柱（０～５０ｍ）藻类丰度高达１０８～１０９ｃｅｌｓ／ｍ２。冰藻的普遍或季节性优势种主要包括Ａｍｐｈｉｐｒｏｒａｋｊｅｌｍａｎｉ、Ｂｅｒｋｅｌｅｙａｒｕｔｉｌａｎｓ、Ｎａｖｉｃｕｌａｇｌａｃｉｅｉ、Ｎｉｔｚｓｃｈｉａｂａｒｋｌｅｙｉ、Ｎ．ｃｙｌｉｎｄｒｕｓ、Ｎ．ｌｅｃｏｉｎｔｅｉ和Ｎｉｔｚｓｃｈｉａｓｐ．。由于藻类结合入冰后自身的演替，春－夏季海冰剖面中所记录的优势种组成并不能准确反映冰底优势种的季节演替过程。从冰底和水表藻种组成的对比表明，两者仅在春末冰底冰藻水华期间具有较强的相似性。秋、春季冰底冰藻水华的形成以现场生长为主，夏初冰藻释放入水后对冰下浮游植物的播种作用不明显。