基于合成速率法的青藏块体东北缘断裂活动分析

基于合成速率法、趋势累积率法与跨断层资料等的结合,从时空的不同角度分析了青藏块体东北缘主要断裂应变积累的运动特征。结果显示:(1)2010～2016年,祁连山断裂带呈微弱拉张的运动态势,海原断裂带由张转压,六盘山断裂带在门源地震前显示张性运动,震后发生转折;(2)长期来看,基于趋势累积率D_c的计算结果显示了祁连山断裂带中、西段累积应变略高于东段,从量值上看整个青藏块体东北缘D_c高值区位于六盘山断裂带附近。     

时域最小二乘配置求定点形变特征曲线与异常识别的应用研究

将最小二乘配置方法的高斯型经验协方差函数模型应用于定点形变特征曲线的异常辅助识别,通过两个不同算例说明最小二乘配置滤波、内插和外推可以进行定点形变曲线的趋势模拟和辅助查找其短期、中长期的异常特征,对于定点形变曲线异常识别有一定的意义。     

南北地震带流体资料趋势性转折与强震的关系

对南北地震带及附近的108项流体资料进行趋势性转折变化分析,筛选出变化相对稳定、持续时间3年以上的趋势性转折72次,以2000年为界分2个时段根据转折时间点和形态进行时空特征分析.针对南北地震带北段流体资料在2个时段中存在的突出的群体性特征,结合跨断层水准测量资料,得出北段由2000年之前构造应力状态相对松弛转为2000年之后构造应力大范围增强的初步认识,以期为未来强震趋势判断提供一定的参考.     

Temporal and spatial variation characteristics of present stress field in the northern area of North China

From focal mechanism solutions of the earthquakes in the northern part of North China during the period of 2002～2006,the directions of principal stress axes in 4 stress sub-districts are analyzed using a grid test method.The characteristic of present crustal stress directions is discussed.Based on this result and on the focal mechanism solutions calculated for some events in the period of 1977～1998,in combination with some other study results,the temporal variation of present crustal stress directions in the northern part of North China is investigated.The re-sults confirm that the direction of crustal principal stress in some regions had somewhat rotated after the 1976 Tangshan M7.8 earthquake.The mean P axes of the focal mechanism solutions rotated clockwise not only in Tangshan sub-district,but also in Beijing and Xingtai sub-districts after the Tangshan earthquake.In Beijing and Xingtai sub-districts the orientations of principal stress axes in the period of 2002～2006 are consistent with that before the Tangshan earthquake,implying that the stress orientations has rotated back to the state before the Tang-shan earthquake in these two sub-districts.The directions of the mean P axes are nearly E-W in Tangshan sub-dis-trict since the M7.8 earthquake.The present stress field in the sub-district northwest to Beijing,or in the western part of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone,is relatively stable during the time period concerned in this study.Because of the limitation of data,this paper only states a possible variation of stress field in the northern part of North China in the recent decades.     

门源6.4级地震前跨断层水准前兆性指标异常与震后变化

利用2016-01-21门源6.4级地震前祁连山断裂带跨断层短水准观测资料以及震后数天的加密复测结果,综合观测曲线、异常时空演化特征及特征强度指标,分析门源震前断层形变异常及震后变化。结果显示,2015年该断裂带中东段集中、增多且以突跳为主的断层形变短期群体性异常与这次门源强震有一定关联,具有中短期-短期前兆意义;震后复测结果以转折特性为主,同震变形不是很大。