长江河口盐水入侵对大通枯季径流量变化的响应时间

应用河口海岸三维数值模式, 计算区域包括大通至长江河口及其邻近海域, 设计高分辨率网格, 数值模拟和分析不同潮型下长江河口盐水入侵对大通径流量变化的响应时间。计算结果表明, 不同潮型期间大通径流量的增加, 河口盐度响应的时间在4.0～6.2 d之间, 但小潮期的响应时间明显长于其他潮型期的响应时间。本文给出了长江河口盐水入侵对大通枯季径流量变化的响应时间, 可为河口水文、泥沙和环境等研究中取何时径流量提供了依据。     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF INTERANNUAL AND INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY OF SURFACE WIND OVER THE TROPICAL PACIFIC

A global atmospheric general circulation model (L9R15 AGCMs) forced by COADS SST was integrated from 1945 to 1993. Interannual and interdecadal variability of the simulated surface wind over the tropical Pacific was analyzed and shown to agree vey well with observation. Simulation of surface wind over the central-western equatorial Pacific was more successful than that over the eastern Pacific. Zonal propagating feature of interannual variability of the tropical Pacific wind anomalies and its decadal difference were also simulated successfully. The close agreement between simulation and observation on the existence of obvious interdecadal variability of tropical Pacific surface wind attested to the high simulation capability of AGCM.     

A THREE-DIMENSIONAL TIME-DEPENDENT MODEL ON COASTAL UPWELLING

Hu (1979) proposed a two-dimensional, unsteady . homogeneous coastal upwelling model with finite constant depth . Lu and Zhao (1985) extended Hu's model by specifying a linear bottom slope. A three-dimensional .unsteady .homogeneous .coastal upwelling model on f- plane with arbitrarily linear bottom slope is suggested in this paper as an extension of Lu and Zhao's model. The solution for such a problem has been obtained . and the properties of upwelling and horizontal current are examined .     

冬季北风风速对长江河口盐水入侵的影响

本文应用三维数值模式ECOM-si,研究冬季不同北风风速对长江河口盐水入侵和青草沙水库取水的影响。数值实验结果表明,北风驱动苏北高盐水向南往长江口输运,在埃克曼输运作用下,长江河口形成北港进南港出水平环流,加剧北港盐水入侵。在枯季平均径流(11 900 m3/s)条件下,当北风风速超过10 m/s,北港口门水通量朝陆净输运,当风速超过11 m/s,北港盐水倒灌至南港。无风时,北港半月平均盐度仅为0.97,北港口门半月平均水位仅为0.13 m;当风速增加到14 m/s时,盐度和水位分别增长到27.4和0.42 m。北风减少了青草沙水库的取水天数。无风时青草沙水库30 d内可取水天数共有29.7 d;当风速高于10 m/s,30 d内可取水天数降为0 d。北风风速增强能够显著增加北港盐水入侵,不利于青草沙水库取水。     

近60年来长江河口河势变化及其对水动力和盐水入侵的影响Ⅱ.水动力

本文基于本系列论文Ⅰ中数值化的长江河口20世纪50年代、70年代海图获得的岸线和水深资料,以及2012年水深实测资料,设置不同年代模式网格,考虑径流量、潮汐和风应力作用,建立长江河口水动力和盐水入侵三维数值模式,模拟和分析不同年代潮汐潮流、单宽余通量、分汊口水通量和分流比,及其河势变化对它们的影响。最大潮差在3个年代间的变化主要在北支区域,50年代至70年代,北支潮差减小,减小区域集中在北支中段,2012年相比70年代北支潮差增大。单宽水通量在50年代北港大于南港,北支下段向上游输运、上段量值较小,在70年代南港大于北港,北支下段量值较小、上段向下游,在2012年南北港水通量较为接近,北港稍大,整个北支水通量向上游。定量给出了50、70年代和2012年南北支、南北港大潮期间和小潮期间涨潮、落潮和净水量和分流比,结合河势变化分析了不同年代间的变化原因。     

长江河口青草沙水库最长连续不宜取水天数

为解决上海日益增长的用水需求, 保障淡水资源安全, 需要建设长江河口避咸蓄淡特大型水库。本文应用改进的三维长江河口盐水入侵数值模式, 采用2007和2008年10个水文站盐度资料对模式进行验证, 计算青草沙水库最长不宜取水天数。本文以径流量特枯的1978—1979年作为水文计算年, 考虑三峡工程、南水北调东线工程和沿江引排水对大通实测逐日径流量的修正, 考虑潮汐、风应力和混合等作用。根据2003年地形计算得出青草沙水库的最长连续不宜取水天数为68天, 这个水库设计的重要参数已在水库建设中采用。根据2008年地形计算得出青草沙水库的最长连续不宜取水天数为54天, 已被水库调度采用。2003年至2008年北支上段河势发生了明显变化, 导致北支盐水倒灌减弱, 因此这期间的最长不宜取水天数减少。     

Sea surface height variations in the Mindanao Dome region in response to the northern tropical Pacific winds

Sea surface height (SSH) variability in the Mindanao Dome (MD) region is found to be one of the strong variations in the northern Pacific. It is only weaker than that in the Kuroshio Extension area, and is comparable to that in the North Pacific Subtropical Countercurrent region. Based on a 1.5-layer reduced gravity model, we analyzed SSH variations in this region and their responses to northern tropical Pacific winds. The average SSH anomaly in the region varies mainly on a seasonal scale, with significant periods of 0.5 and 1 year, ENSO time scale2-7years, and time scale in excess of 8 years. Annual and long-term variabilities are comparably stronger. These variations are essentially a response to the northern tropical Pacific winds. On seasonal and ENSO time scales, they are mainly caused by wind anomalies east of the region, which generate westward-propagating, long Rossby waves. On time scales longer than 8 years, they are mostly induced by local Ekman pumping. Long-term SSH variations in the MD region and their responses to local winds are examined and discussed for the first time .     

Impact of seasonal tide variation on saltwater intrusion in the Changjiang River estuary

An improved 3-D ECOM-si model was used to study the impact of seasonal tide variation on saltwater intrusion into the Changjiang River estuary, especially at the bifurcation of the North Branch (NB) and the South Branch (SB). The study assumes that the river discharge and wind are constant. The model successfully reproduced the saltwater intrusion. During spring tide, there is water and salt spillover (WSO and SSO) from the NB into the SB, and tidally averaged (net) water and salt fluxes are 985 m3/s and 24.8 ton/s, respectively. During neap tide, the WSO disappears and its net water flux is 122 m3/s. Meanwhile, the SSO continues, with net salt flux of 1.01 ton/s, much smaller than during spring tide. Because the tidal range during spring tide is smaller in June than in March, overall saltwater intrusion is weaker in June than in March during that tidal period. However, the WSO and SSO still exist in June. Net water and salt fluxes in that month are 622 m3/s and 15.35 ton/s, respectively, decreasing by 363 m3/s and 9.45 ton/s over those in March. Because tidal range during neap tide is greater in June than in March, saltwater intrusion in June is stronger than in March during that tidal period. The WSO and SSO appear in June, with net water and salt fluxes of 280 m3/s and 8.55 ton/s, respectively, increasing by 402 m3/s and 7.54 ton/s over those in March. Saltwater intrusion in the estuary is controlled by the river discharge, semi-diurnal flood-ebb tide, semi-monthly spring or neap tide, and seasonal tide variation.     

Effect of low-frequency Rossby wave on thermal structure of the upper southwestern tropical Indian Ocean

We investigate the influence of low-frequency Rossby waves on the thermal structure of the upper southwestern tropical Indian Ocean (SWTIO) using Argo profiles, satellite altimetric data, sea surface temperature, wind field data and the theory of linear vertical normal mode decomposition. Our results show that the SWTIO is generally dominated by the first baroclinic mode motion. As strong downwelling Rossby waves reach the SWTIO, the contribution of the second baroclinic mode motion in this region can be increased mainly because of the reduction in the vertical stratification of the upper layer above thermocline, and the enhancement in the vertical stratification of the lower layer under thermocline also contributes to it. The vertical displacement of each isothermal is enlarged and the thermal structure of the upper level is modulated, which is indicative of strong vertical mixing. However, the cold Rossby waves increase the vertical stratification of the upper level, restricting the variability related to the second baroclinic mode. On the other hand, during decaying phase of warm Rossby waves, Ekman upwelling and advection processes associated with the surface cyclonic wind circulation can restrain the downwelling processes, carrying the relatively colder water to the near-surface, which results in an out-of-phase phenomenon between sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) and sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) in the SWTIO.     

太平洋北赤道流表层的分叉

利用1993～2006年间的网格化高度计数据,通过经验正交函数（EOF）方法研究了北赤道流在表层分叉的变化规律．包括过去研究的季节和年际变化,研究结果发现一些较短周期的信号（6个月,4个月,3个月和2个月）．除在年际时间尺度上,局地的风应力旋度可能是控制分叉纬度变化的重要原因．计算的年平均分叉纬度约为13．3°N,1月份最北在14．0°N,7月份最南在12．5°N．分叉纬度的变化幅度为1．5°,这主要是来自年信号的贡献（1．2°）和半年信号的贡献（0．3°）．