前兆起伏加剧与短临地震预报

起伏加剧是相态突变前的一种临界现象,本文应用这一观点探讨了强地震前小震活动频次和地下流体、气体、地应力等前兆变化的起伏加剧现象,并得到以下初步结果: 1.临近强地震前较大范围内超过平均日活动水平的小震活动的空间分布具有有序性,即出现穿过未来大震区的小地震活动条带,条带的交汇区为未来大震区。2.强地震前的小震高频次活动日大多与外因出现时间同步,目前发现的外因有塑望、节气、中强以上磁暴以及大气压力下降等。这种小震的高频次活动一般出现在震前当天至一个月时间内。3.前兆的起伏时间和小震频次的起伏时间大致同步。它们在成因上有联系。     

地震危险区的确定和检验方法

区域应力场在一定时期内是比较稳定的。尽管大陆地壳存在着不均匀性,存在着断裂带和破碎区,但在稳定的区域应力场作用下,很难由地震活动显示出局部介质强弱区的差异。但是,在一次大地震发生之后,它的能量就会向邻近地区传递,在这种附加力源的作用下,周围不同地区就会显示出地震活动的差异。在介质强度低、岩石较破碎的地区就会发生较多的中、小地震,而在介质强度高、岩石较完整的地区就不容易发生中、小地震,这样就可能形成地震空区或空段。根据这些地震空区或空段我们可以初步确定未来大震的危险区。地震危险区确定之后,我们还可以利用附近再次发生的中、强地震对空区或空段进行检验,以检查地震空区或空段存在的真实性,提高可信程度。本文总结了1966年邢台地震之后中国发生的几次大地震资料,结果表明,用上述方法确定地震危险区比较客观,可靠性较强。     

滇西实验场两次中强地震前后尾波衰减的区域特征分析

本文在地方震尾波散理论模式的基础上，研究了１９９２年１２月发生在滇西地震预报实验场永胜期纳地区的两次Ｍｓ５．４，５．１地震前后的序列地震尾波振幅衰减率β和尾波Ｑ＾－１值随时间和空间变化的衰减特征。结果表明，尾波衰减率在空间分布上表现出明显的小区域范围的非均匀性，在主震震中附近的近场区内，主震期间的β值是０．００７６ｓ＾－１，相应的Ｑｃ＾－１值是０．００５６；余震期间的β值是０．０２０９ｓ＾－１，相     

全球旋回地层学

全球旋回地层学是指在对全球沉积岩进行综合系统研究之基础上，通过估算沉积盆地中源于物源区的沉积物类型和沉积环境条件变化，来预测地层学特征的一种过程一结果模型。其研究内容包括对全球地质演化时期全球海平面变化、全球气候条件、全球构造运动、全球古地理背景、全球沉积环境特征、全球古生物事件及全球矿产形成过程进行动态模拟，强调古气候在地质记录中的意义，注重沉积记录的全球同时性研究；强调各种事件在沉积作用中的意     

热带太平洋地区SSTA和风应力场的海气耦合模态

按国家气象局“八五”攻关力专家组提出的有关近海热带气候强度突变的标准，对１９７０－１９９１年在我国的近海发生强度突为的热带气旋进行了分类统计，发现如下气候特征：平均每年有８－９个热带气旋移到我国近海时发生强度突变，其中突然减弱的居多，占总个数的７９．６％，突然增强的只占总个数的２０．４％，突然增强只发和天５－１０月，而突然减弱到５－１２月均可发生；突然增强主要出现在浙闽沿海、南海中部，珠江口外西侧     

Discovery of lipitobiolite in suqiao area—On the discrimination of coal-generated gases and oils and their prospects

Based on the fluorescence microscopic study, organic compositional analysis and simulating experiments on core samples and cuttings in the Suqiao area, it is found that the Carboniferous-Permian coal-bearing formations have substrata rich in spore, cuticle, resin and bark. These substrata have high potential for hydrocarbons, with S₁ + S₂ high up to about 200, high productivity of liquid hydrocarbons (73.5 mg / g or more) and natural gases (up to 194 ml / g). The substrata are thought to be an important source for natural gases and condensates found in this area. According to biomarker compounds and carbon and hydrogen isotope data from the Suqiao natural gas-condensate field, the coal and its simulating products, characteristics of coal-generated gases and oils from a special kind of coal and their correlation methods are discussed in the paper. In terms of the geochemical conditions of formation the distribution regularities of paralic coal rich in hydrogen, the commercial prospects of Carboniferous-Permian coal-generated oils have been evaluated as well.     

贵州省矿业开发引起的环境问题及其成因探讨

矿业开发给贵州省造成严重的生态环境问题,主要包括环境污染,矿业荒漠化和环境地质灾害。虽然贵州省矿产开发的历史比较悠久,但解放前的生态破坏和矿业污染仅局限在个别地区,解放后出现的三次大规模资源环境破坏,给贵州省矿业可持续发展带来严重影响,特别是改革开放以来矿山资源的无序开发对环境的危害最重。导致贵州省矿业环境问题的主要因素包括：矿产资源价值的严重扭曲,乡镇企业的超常规发展,部分政府官员的权力寻租,以及资源导向型的脱贫模式等。     

地表热辐射方向性研究进展

地表热辐射方向性是基于多角度热红外遥感数据反演组分温度的基本问题 ,论文分析了国内外近来从等效比辐射率和热辐射模型两个角度研究非同温热辐射方向性所取得的进展和存在的问题 ,并指出今后应继续基本概念的探讨 ,加强遥感基础实验和热辐射理论模型简化和验证工作 ,进一步探讨基于热红外多角度遥感数据反演组分温度的新方法。     

苏州市乡村旅游发展的竞合分析

由地缘关系、区域联系、区域战略、旅游者行为、乡村旅游地属性等方面确定苏州市主要竞合对象.在分析环太湖旅游圈、长三角旅游圈沿沪线乡村旅游发展的竞合关系后,提出苏州乡村旅游发展应致力于打造"文化太湖"、借助古村落发展农俗文化、重视主要客源地、建立环太湖乡村旅游联盟、建立乡村旅游共生机制等.     

High-resolution climate variability of southwest China during 57-70 ka reflected in a stalagmite δ18O record from Xinya Cave

A 26-cm-long stalagmite (XY2) from Xinya Cave in northeastern Chongqing of China has been ICP-MS ²³⁰Th/U dated, showing a depositional hiatus at 2.3 cm depth from the top. The growth of the 2.3–26 cm interval determined by four dates was between 57 ka and 70 ka, with a linear growth rate of 0.023 mm/a. We have analyzed 190 samples for δ ¹⁸O and δ ¹³C, mostly in the 2.3–26 cm part. The δ ¹⁸O and δ ¹³C values between 57 ka and 70 ka reveal decadal-to-centennial climatic variability during the glacial interval of Marine Isotope Stage 4 (MIS4), exhibiting much higher resolution than that of the published Hulu and Dongge records during this interval. Speleothem δ ¹⁸O in eastern China, including our study area can be used as a proxy of summer monsoon strength, with lighter values pointing to stronger summer monsoon and higher precipitation, and vice versa. Two decreases in the δ ¹⁸O signature of XY2 record around 59.5 and 64.5 Ka are argued to correspond to the Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events 17 and 18 respectively. The Heinrich event 6 (H6) can be identified in the record as a heavy δ ¹⁸O peak around 60 ka, indicating significant weakening of the monsoon in Chongqing during the cold period. The XY2 δ ¹⁸O record shows very rapid change toward to the interstadial condition of the D-O event, but more gradual change toward to the cold stadial condition. This phenomenon found in the Greenland ice core records is rarely observed so clearly in previously published speleothem records. According to SPECMAP δ ¹⁸O record, the glacial maximum of MIS 4 was around 64.5 ka with the boundary of MIS 3/4 around 60 ka. Unlike the marine record, the speleothem record of XY2, China, exhibits much high frequency variations without an apparent glacial maximum during MIS 4. However, the timing of MIS 3/4 boundary seems to be around 60 ka when the H6 terminated, in agreement with the marine chronology. The growth period of sample XY2 during glacial times probably reflects a local karstic routing of water, rather than having climatic significance. Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40672165, 90511004, 40672202) and the Academician Special Project of Chongqing Science Committee (Grant No. 2003-7835)