Analysis of foreshock sequence of the 1975 Haicheng earthquake of M S 7.3

The “earthquake nucleation” is discussed in this paper. The acceleration is a property of the nucleation phase and is a necessary condition of earthquake instability too. If the acceleration property of this nucleating process is described by the equation dΘ/dt=C/(t _f−t) ⁿ , the process can be summarized briefly that the rate of cumulative seismic release is proportional to the inverse power of the remaining time to failure. Based on this principle, the foreshock sequence of the 1975 Haicheng earthquake withM _S7.3, was analysed backward. It is stated clearly that the time-to-failure and magnitude of the mainshock can be predicted successfully if the coefficientr ² attains to the maximum. In the estimation of mainshock time, the error can generally be less than, or far less than, one-half the remaining time between the time of the last used data point and the mainshock. Contribution No. 95A0024, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China. This study is the "Eighth-Five" contract project ofSSB.     

一次台风后部中尺度暴雨的动力机制分析与模拟试验

利用常规气象资料、区域自动站资料和1°×1°的NCEP再分析资料,对1209"苏拉"台风后部暴雨的动力机制进行分析,并用WRF模式进行地形模拟数值试验,结果表明:"苏拉"后部暴雨具有明显的中尺度特征,低层流场的汇合促进暴雨区上升运动的发展,超低空偏南风急流为暴雨区提供充足的水汽条件,急流在强降水发生前增强北推;陆地摩擦使近岸一带生成风速辐合线(岸风锋)是触发暴雨的中尺度系统,其强弱对暴雨强度有直接影响。     

琼东南盆地深水区中央峡谷黄流组储层特征及主控因素

在利用钻井和岩心资料基础上,结合铸体薄片、常规物性、压汞实验等分析测试手段,对琼东南盆地深水区中央峡谷黄流组储层特征及其影响因素进行了分析。研究表明,中央峡谷黄流组砂岩以岩屑石英砂岩为主,砂岩粒级较细且分选好,成熟度较高。原生粒间孔为主要孔隙类型,孔隙结构普遍为中孔细喉型。储层物性总体表现为中孔-特高孔、中渗-特高渗的特征。沉积微相和成岩作用是影响黄流组储层物性的主要因素,深水浊流沉积的水道砂岩是发育优质储层的前提,同时中央峡谷特殊的水深和温压条件是影响储层成岩作用的重要因素。海水深度大,而实际地层埋深浅,储层总体处于低温常压环境中,以致成岩作用程度普遍不强,但中央峡谷黄流组储层物性的内在差异仍主要受控于压实作用,中央峡谷自西向东,水深增加,实际地层埋深变浅,压实作用减弱,储层孔隙度和渗透率较好,总体上峡谷东部气层含气饱和度也较西部高。     

热带东风中经向扰动与纬向扰动的非线性相互作用

根据非线性的动量方程,利用多时间尺度分析方法,探讨由经向扰动与纬向扰动相互作用在热带东风中所造成的一类正压不稳定。分析表明:在零级近似下,给出了两个扰动传播的频率表达式,在一级近似下,得到了两个零级扰动振幅的解析表达式。鉴于方程中散度项的存在,当不同尺度的三个波相作用而发生共振时,仅总动能守恒,而总位拟能不守恒,这一点与无辐散大气的结论不同。两种扰动动能相互转换的机制则是涡度场与散度场的相互作用。     

Water Wave Refraction and Diffraction over Frictional Topography

- This paper considers the effects of wave energy dissipation induced by sea-bottom friction on the computational results of water wave refraction and diffraction with the parabolic equation method. The presented results show that the friction factor formula adopted in this paper is of higher numerical accuracy than that introduced by Dalrymphe (1984), and it can be used to compute wave propagation over large open areas.     

The CMEKF Method for Sub-Sea Pipeline Monitoring and Leak Detection

1 .IntroductionIdentificationofaleakingflowlinerepresentsaspecialchallengetoboththeoilandgasindustryandregulators .While ,historically ,thenumberofcasesofshallowwaterreleasefromflowlinesisex tremelysmall,deepwaterflowlinesoperateunderconditionsrarelyencounteredinpreviousdevelopmentschemes .Theremotenessofthedeepwaterpipeline ,coupledwithanumberofcomplexinteractionsbe tweenthereleasedfluidsandthedeepwaterenvironment,effectivelyeliminatesmostexternaldetectionmethods (Scott,1 999) .Thecauseoflea…     

关于平均海面变化研究的若干问题

论述平均海平面、海面、潮面、平均潮面和海拔的概念、定义。提出研究平均海平面的一些基本问题，以及尚待深入探讨的几个问题。给出国内外的若干研究成果     

Late Jurassic intraplate extension in southern Central Asian Orogenic Belt: Evidence from Beidashan mafic rocks in AlxaSCIEI北大核心CSCD

阿拉善地块北缘晚中生代(晚侏罗世-早白垩世)时期发育有广阔的伸展盆地体系,其形成可能与陆内伸展作用有关。本文首次在阿拉善地块西北缘北大山陶来地区识别出一套晚侏罗世镁铁质-超镁铁质岩,对其进行系统的岩石学、年代学和地球化学研究,从而为该地区陆内伸展提供岩浆作用方面的证据。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年结果表明,北大山陶来地区角闪辉长岩形成时代为155.7±4.6Ma(MSWD=1.5),即晚侏罗世。角闪辉长岩显示出高铝基性岩的地化特征,如低SiO 2(48.0%~52.5%),高Al 2O 3(15.3%~18.2%)、MgO(8.78%~10.6%)和CaO(12.8%~16.7%)。此外,它们还显示出高的Mg#(72~82)、Cr(295×10^(-6)~960×10^(-6))和Ni(97.4×10^(-6)~186×10^(-6)),N-MORB型和平坦的HREE配分形式、Eu正异常,较高的Nb/La比值,这些都表明其可能为软流圈地幔减压熔融产生的原始岩浆与壳幔过渡带中含斜长石堆晶岩相互作用后分离结晶的产物。富铝和富钙源区以及岩浆中高的水含量抑制斜长石早期成核与生长共同控制了高铝角闪辉长岩的形成。辉长岩表现出N-MORB型全岩地球化学特征和板内成因岩浆锆石特征(高Nb/Hf及低Hf/Th、Th/Nb),均揭示了阿拉善西北缘陶来地区晚侏罗世镁铁质-超镁铁质岩体是板内岩石圈伸展作用的产物。在古亚洲洋最终碰撞闭合后伸展基础上,蒙古-鄂霍茨克洋闭合与古太平洋俯冲后撤叠加作用引发了岩石圈伸展,并沿中亚造山带南缘多个古生代缝合带产出了194~124Ma多期镁铁质-超镁铁质岩。