基于土壤-小麦系统的河南黄淮平原As生态安全评价

在研究河南省黄淮平原经济区土壤As对小麦籽实As含量影响的基础上,分析了土壤及籽实As的数据特征,并利用单项污染指数法,对研究区小麦籽实As的安全状况进行了评价,发现研究区小麦籽实中As的含量远远低于不安全标准。还进一步研究了土壤As全量与小麦籽实As含量之间的响应关系,同时根据提供的资料,对小麦籽实的As含量与土壤中As的某些形态的含量建立多元线性回归模型,从而通过食品质量标准推算出土壤中As的安全临界浓度。     

Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making

This paper interprets differences in flood hazard projections over Europe and identifies likely sources of discrepancy. Further, it discusses potential implications of these differences for flood risk reduction and adaptation to climate change. The discrepancy in flood hazard projections raises caution, especially among decision makers in charge of water resources management, flood risk reduction, and climate change adaptation at regional to local scales. Because it is naïve to expect availability of trustworthy quantitative projections of future flood hazard, in order to reduce flood risk one should focus attention on mapping of current and future risks and vulnerability hotspots and improve the situation there. Although an intercomparison of flood hazard projections is done in this paper and differences are identified and interpreted, it does not seems possible to recommend which large-scale studies may be considered most credible in particular areas of Europe.

EDITOR D. Koutsoyiannis

ASSOCIATE EDITOR not assigned     

Recent evaluation of the assessment seismic hazards for Nuweiba, Gulf of Aqaba

The Gulf of Aqaba is considered seismically as one of the most active zones of the Dead Sea Transform region. The main shock of the 1995 Gulf of Aqaba earthquake sequence is considered as the largest shock in the (surface wave magnitude Ms?=?7.2) since the sixteenth century. The present study is a trial to detect the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for Nuweiba site. Data used for this study was a combination of both historical and recent instrumental data. Results of the hazard assessment, expressed as in the worst case scenario, reveal that Nuweiba is exposed to the occurrence of a maximum credible earthquake of magnitude $ m_{{\max }} ~ = ~7.4 \pm 0.31 $ , at hypocentral distance of 15.6?±?10 km. For structure with the return period of 100 years, with a 90% probability of exceedance, the maximum expected earthquake magnitude (M_L) is 5.9 in this lifetime. The possibility of the maximum peak ground acceleration at the Nuweiba site is 0.41 g. Results of the hazard assessment can be used as an input data to assess the seismic risk for site of interest.     

Structure,Matter Composition,and Deep Structure of the Oceanic Slope of the Central Kuril Islands: New Evidence

The results of reinterpretation of the geophysical data obtained during the study of the central sector of the Kuril Island Arc (2005–2010) are reported. The new boundaries of the shallow bedding of the basement and its block uplifts of varied composition are defined within the previously discovered zone of tectonic stretching and destruction of the Vityaz submarine ridge and interarc trough. Interblock depressions filled with sedimentary and volcanogenic-sedimentary rocks are distinguished. Areas represented by volcanoplutonic complexes including basic and sialic series (up to granite) are distinguished within the unbroken basement of the Vityaz Ridge. Intrusions and volcanic edifices composed of basic rocks are registered on the whole area studied. The relationship between the formation of the destruction zone and the geodynamic processes in the mantle is illustrated by the map of the Moho relief and structural-density model of the Earth’s crust.     

On the impact of cloudiness on the characteristics of nocturnal downslope flows

The effects of cloud cover amount and the height of cloud base on nighttime thermally induced downslope flow were investigated using analytical and numerical model approaches. The conclusions obtained with the analytical and the numerical model evaluations agreed. It was concluded that, (i) as cloud cover increases and/or the height of cloud base decreases, the depth and the intensity of nighttime thermally-induced downslope flows may decrease by a factor reaching one sixth and one tenth, respectively, in the case of overcast low cloud; (ii) when skies suddenly cloud over around midnight, the development of the downslope flow is altered in different ways: a reduction in intensity; or a cessation of further development, depending on the fraction of cloud coverage, and (iii) with a sudden clearing of overcast low cloud around midnight, the depth and the intensity of the downslope flow increases significantly.On leave from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, Beijing, China.On leave from CSIRO, Division of Atmospheric Research, Private Bag No. 1, Mordialloc, Victoria 3195, Australia.     

A note on the performance of the multiply-upstream semi-Lagrangian advection schemes for one-dimensional nonlinear momentum conservation equation

Summary Two-time-level multiply-upstream semi-Lagrangian schemes were examined in the case of the self-advecting, one-dimensional nonlinear momentum conservation equation. The shock formation process was analyzed. It is pointed out that the shocks cannot be created in the truncated systems satisfying the Pudykiewicz, Benoit and Staniforth criterion.The numerical integrations were restricted to 12 h. It was shown that, at least in the sub-CFL range, increased complexity of the scheme can compensate reduced horizontal resolution. A considerable sensitivity of the schemes with respect to the time step was detected. In the super-CFL mode, several windows on various time scales were found within which the Pudykiewicz, Benoit and Staniforth criterion was satisfied. The time step of 1.44 times the maximum time step allowed by the CFL criterion was used in the semi-Lagrangian runs.The super-CFL, semi-Lagrangian solutions were diverging progressively from the sub-CFL ones as the forecasts advanced. This was also reflected in the energy spectra.Unacceptably large energy losses were encountered in the super-CFL, semi-Lagrangian runs. Most of these losses could be explained by the reduced mean wind speed, i.e., the amplitude of the zero wavenumber wave. At the same time, the energy content in the shorter waves increased. In a more complex model, such a situation would resemble a loss of zonal, and an increase of transient eddy kinetic energy.A trajectory error measure was defined as the maximum absolute value of the distance between the actual arriving point of the particle originating at the estimated departure point, and the grid point assumed to be the arrival point in the semi-Lagrangian procedure. In contrast to the sub-CFL regime, this measure could reach a considerable fraction of the grid distance in the computations with the super-CFL time steps.In the physical system considered, the trajectories are determined only by the velocities at the departure points. With the semi-Lagrangian schemes the distances traveled by the particles are estimated on the basis of the velocities at the points downstream with respect to the departure points. Thus, unless the solution is smooth (in space and time) on the scales of the extrapolation distances/times, the upstream extrapolation does not promise the convergence of the solution.With 16 Figures     

Pressure-temperature and evolution of fluid compositions of Al2SiO5-bearing rocks,Mica Creek,B.C., in light of fluid inclusion data and mineral equilibria

Metamorphosed pelitic rocks from Mica Creek, British Columbia contain sillimanite, kyanite with minor fibrolite and andalusite-bearing quartz pods. Mineral equilibria were used to infer peak P-T conditions and fluid compositions in equilibrium with the solid phases. Fluid inclusions in three schist samples appear to be good indicators of conditions affecting those rocks during and after peak metamorphic conditions. In samples from two localities, fluid inclusions from schist and quartz-rich segregations have densities appropriate to the peak metamorphic conditions. The observed compositions for these fluids (low salinity with 12 mole % dissolved CO₂) agree with calculated values of 0.84 to 0.85, based upon paragonite-quartz-albite-Al₂SiO₅ equilibria. The fluids unmixed as the schists were uplifted and cooled; fluid inclusions trapped during this stage outline a solvus in the CO₂-H₂O-NaCl system. A later influx of fluids containing CH₄ and N₂ accompanied formation of andalusite-bearing plagioclaserich segregations. The restricted association of andalusite-bearing pods and low density fluids suggest a localized but pervasive fluid influx during uplift. Preservation of high density fluid inclusions during uplift and erosion, coupled with evidence for unmixing of H₂O- and CO₂-rich fluids on the solvus, provide constraints on the P-T uplift path.     

Seismic risk assessment of interdependent critical infrastructure systems: The case of European gas and electricity networks

We study the seismic vulnerability of the interdependent European gas and electricity transmission networks from a topological point of view, whereby the electricity network depends on the gas network through gas‐fired power plants. First, we assessed the seismic response for each independent network; then we analyzed the increased vulnerability due to their interdependency. We implemented a probabilistic reliability model that encompasses the spatial distribution of both network structures and their seismic hazard exposure using a Geographic Information System. We characterized the network interdependency using the strength of coupling of the interconnections, together with the seismic response of the independent—gas—network. We calculated the network fragility curves of the independent and dependent networks in terms of various performance measures (connectivity loss, power loss, and impact on the population) and found that the gas network is more seismically vulnerable than the electricity network. The interdependency introduces an extra vulnerability to the electricity network response that decreases with the extensiveness of the networks' damage states. Damage was also evaluated at a local level in order to identify the most vulnerable parts of the network, where it was found that the potential for the highest power loss is located in southeast Europe. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Gagarka gold deposit in the central Urals, Russia

The Gagarka gold deposit was formed in two stages. The gold-telluride ore of the main early stage was formed ～260 Ma ago synchronously with Permian collision, which was accompanied by retrograde metamorphism with mobilization of Au and Te from geochemically similar massive sulfide lodes in the rift zone. The Au-bearing argillic metasomatic rocks of the late stage presumably Mesozoic in age are distinguished by specific geochemistry and locally superposed on the ore related to the early stage. The upper part of the metasomatic column consists of quartz-kaolinite rock, which is confused in many cases with products of Mesozoic-Cenozoic weathering and because of this is not perceived as a guide for hidden Au-bearing argillic alteration, whose resource potential remains underestimated in the Urals.