沙尘暴天气的归类判别分析预报模式

在大量分析了历史上 4 0年发生在内蒙古中西部地区的 37场沙尘暴天气过程的基础上 ,总结归纳了其大气环流特征 ,将他们划分成 4个环流类型。参考SaatyT .L .,提出的综合选优的方法[1] ,建立判别矩阵 ,然后计算归类判别预报 ,根据判别函数值判断实时待判样本的归属。参照归属类历史沙尘暴的天气形势和实况出现的范围以及强度作出沙尘暴天气预报 ,并设计了一个沙尘暴天气的归类判别分析预报模式。该模式已较成功地应用于 2 0 0 0年春季内蒙古地区的沙尘暴天气预报业务中 ,取得了较好的预报效果。实践证明 ,它是一个客观化、定量化和计算自动化的实用的预报模式 ,是我们目前作沙尘暴预报的重要技术手段之一。     

加格达奇霜冻灾害的气候背景分析及农业生产对策

系统地分析了国格达奇不同低温指标下霜冻的初、终日和无霜期的气候概况，分析了气候变化趋势并预测了各保证率下初、终霜日出现的日期和日数，提出了相应的农业生产对策和建议。     

乌鲁木齐地区水汞空白值较高原因分析

从蒸馏水的制备过程及乌鲁木齐10号泉的化学成份等方面入手，通过分析认为乌鲁木齐水汞空白值较高的原因是：①在蒸馏水的制备过程中自来水中汞富集到蒸馏水中；②乌鲁木齐10号泉水中含有较高的S^2-，使10号泉水汞测值偏低。另外，还探讨了如何利用水汞空白值来处理水汞资料，从而提高水汞观测资料的质量及其在地震分析预报中的作用。     

Design of environmental decision support system and its application to water quality management

1 IntroductionEnvironmental decision support systems could be divided into two categories by their organizational form and system functions. One is regional environmental analytical system based on commercial GIS and assisted by environmental models, such as BASINS developed by the American NEPA using ARC/VIEW as its user platform and including QUAL2E and NPSM as its prediction tools. The other is environmental information and prediction system based on mathematical models, such as…     

“十五”期间我省地震分析预报数据库建设展望

本文阐述了地震分析预报数据库在地震中短期预报系统中的重要性 ,同时具体提出建立该数据库系统所用的方法和技术途径 ,并给出预期的成果。另外 ,本文还介绍了建立该数据库系统的有利条件极其存在的困难 ,并对解决困难提出了建议。     

Long-term changes in water quality and phytoplankton characteristics in port shelter, Hong Kong, from 1988-1998.

This study analysed monthly physico-chemical and phytoplankton data collected from 10 marine monitoring stations in Port Shelter Hong Kong, from 1988 to 1998. Cluster analysis based on all water quality parameters measured shows that the 10 monitoring stations can be grouped into three clusters: Cluster I consists of stations located in Outer Port Shelter; Cluster II consists of stations located in Inner Port Shelter and Cluster III consists of a single station in Hebe Heaven, a well-sheltered Bay in Inner Port Shelter. Factor analysis shows high positive loadings for nutrients and nutrient ratios in the first two factors of the three clusters, which indicates that the stations of the three clusters were primarily grouped according to their respective nutrient conditions. In Inner Port Shelter, and particularly Station PM5 in the sheltered Hebe Haven, the influence of surface runoff and pollution loading from the surrounding catchment area was apparent. Five stations located along a transect from Inner to Outer Port Shelter were selected for trend analysis. An increasing trend for temperature and a decreasing trend for pH are observed in all Stations except PM10 which is at the mouth of Port Shelter. The results of canonical analysis revealed that temperature and pH could also play an important role in determining the density and biovolume of the minor algal groups in Port Shelter.     

Recent applications of sliding block theory to geotechnical design

The sliding block theory was proposed by Newmark for determining the permanent displacement of embankments and dams under earthquake loading. This paper highlights recent applications of sliding block theory to different geotechnical structures. The equations to determine seismic factor of safety, yield acceleration and permanent displacement are given for rock block, soil slope, landfill cover, geosynthetic-reinforced soil retaining wall, and composite breakwater. The presented equations for seismic stability degenerate to that of static stability in the absence of earthquake. The permanent displacement for various structures can be obtained from that of a horizontal sliding block through a correction factor. A simplified procedure is included for the permanent displacement under vertical acceleration. The sliding block approach is rational for design under high seismic load.     

Post-earthquake investigation on several geosynthetic-reinforced soil retaining walls and slopes during the Ji-Ji earthquake of Taiwan

This paper gives an overview on the application of geosynthetic-reinforced soil structures in Taiwan. Taiwan has an unique topography and geotechnical conditions that rendered a less conservative and more challenging design compared to that of North America, Europe and Japan. The Ji-Ji (Chi-Chi) earthquake of 1999 gave an opportunity to examine the behavior of reinforced soil structures. The performance of several modular-block reinforced soil retaining walls and reinforced slopes at the vicinity of the fault was evaluated. Reinforced structures performed better than unreinforced soil retaining walls. The failure cases were highlighted and the cause of failure was identified. The lack of seismic design consideration could be a major cause of failure. The compound failure mode, the inertia force of the blocks, and the connection stiffness and strength relative to the large dynamic earth pressure, were among major items that would warrant further design consideration.     

水稻本田期冠层叶色变化节奏的光谱监测

以Ｅｘｏｔｅｃｈ１００ＢＸ光谱辐射计对不同类型水稻材料无肥处理本田期的监测结果表明，晚熟类型材料武育粳２号，冠层叶色显示出“三黑三黄”的变化节奏。“三黑”出现的时间是：移栽至分蘖末期，枝梗分化期至颖花分化期，花粉母细胞形成及减数分裂期至始穗期；“三黄”出现的时间是：分蘖末期至枝梗分化期，颖花分化期至花粉母细胞形成及减数分裂期，始穗至灌浆期。中熟类型材料汕优６３，冠层叶色显示出“二黑二黄”的变化节奏。“二黑”出现的时间是：移栽至颖花分化期，花粉母细胞形成及减数分裂期至始穗期：“二黄”出现的时间是：颖花分化期至花粉母细胞形成及减数分裂期，始穗至灌浆期。早熟类型材料亚优２号，冠层叶色显示出“一黑一黄”的变化节奏。“一黑”出现的时间是：移栽至颖花分化期；“一黄”出现的时间是：颖花分化期至灌浆期。     

广州市土地资源的保护和可持续利用研究

本文分析了广州市土地利用的结构及其变化趋势，指出土地利用上存在的主要问题和隐患 为采取有效措施，加强对耕地和环境的保护，以保证土地资源的可持续利用。