地震预报现状及未来展望

本文主要收集了国内外地震学者对地震预测现状的论述和对地震能不能预测的争论 ,仅供读者参考。     

三峡库区巫山移民新城址松散堆积体成因机制研究

以巫山移民新城址松散堆积体成因类型为例 ,对三峡库区分布较广的松散堆积体进行了研究。通过对大量新开挖剖面的调查测绘 ,在许多地段发现了堆积与基岩之间的滑坡主滑带 ,说明了在该区分布较广的松散堆积体成因具有复合性。它是构造和岩溶作用前提下形成的滑坡体、崩塌体、泥石流堆积体和岩溶坍陷堆积体。运用高分辨率浅层地震勘探揭示堆积体发育深度可达 40 m至 6 0 m ,通过面波测试可按波速将之划分为三层。最后 ,建立了松散堆积体形成演化的概念模型 ,并运用目前最新版本的离散元软件 (UDEC3.0 )对其中最为重要的一种类型滑崩堆积体的形成演化过程进行了模拟。结果表明 ,该区的层状岩体在长江河流下切过程中 ,形成了区域性的卸荷松动 ,而在岩体下部形成压碎张裂带 ;地下水沿卸荷拉裂带渗入 ,并与压裂带贯通 ,形成了岩溶发育带 ,为滑坡、崩塌、塌陷等表生改造提供了条件。     

新泰市岳家庄金矿构造控矿特征

新泰市岳家庄金矿区位于鲁西地区中南部的下港 -化马湾 -蒙山构造岩浆杂岩带内。该杂岩带发育在新太古代花岗岩—绿岩带中 ,并经受了韧性剪切带和多期次脆性断裂活动的改造。带内分布有燕山期脉岩、火山岩和以金为主的多金属元素组合异常 ,因此是有利的金矿成矿构造带。本文通过对岳家庄金矿区控矿构造体系的详尽分析 ,认为韧性剪切带属中温中部构造层次的压剪性韧性变形。它与雁翎关岩组的复合部位是金富集的有利部位 ,而与北西向脆性断裂叠加部位则是更为重要的控矿构造     

地质样品中微量金银的在线分离富集方法

提出用ＶＳ－Ⅱ型强碱性阴离子交换纤维定量富集、硫脲解脱，流动注射在线分离富集—火焰原子吸收光谱法测定地质样品中痕量金银的分析方法。该方法检出限低，金为１．４μｇ／ｍＬ，银为０．３５μｇ／ｍＬ，相对标准偏差均小于２％，采样频率为１２０次／ｈ，用于地质样品中痕量金银的直接测定，结果令人满意。     

Contamination and distribution of heavy metals in urban and suburban soils in Zhangzhou City,Fujian, China

The urban environment is of growing concern as its continued population increase in China. Due to the urbanization and industrialization, heavy metals have been continuously discharged into the soil recently, and creating the anthropogenic contamination. This study investigated heavy metals contamination in urban and suburban soils in Zhangzhou City, Fujian, China. Multivariate analysis and geographical information system technology were employed in source identification and contamination assessment of heavy metals in the city soils. The survey results indicated that the urban soils were contaminated by heavy metals, especially by Hg, Cd and Pb. The multivariate analysis demonstrated that the distribution of Cu, Zn, Cr and Ni was controlled by pedogenesis, Cd and Pb had been disturbed by industrialization in some urban locations, and Hg was mainly influenced by the hot-spring in some urban park sites. The distribution of heavy metals and soil pollution index suggested the soils of Zhangzhou City have been affected by human activities.     

不同压应力作用下黏土体积变形的微观特征

为了研究黏土体积变形的微观结构变化特征,选取上海第4层淤泥质黏土为研究对象,分别采用各向等压和K0压缩两种方法制备体积变化率相同的土样,经冷冻真空干燥后对土样进行压汞试验并测定土中孔隙大小分布状况。压汞试验结果表明：试验黏土中孔隙可分为大孔隙、中孔隙、小孔隙和微孔隙,小孔隙占据土中孔隙的大部分空间,且其变化能够反映微观结构的主要特性;在各向等压应力状态下,随着压应力增高、体积压缩量增大,黏土颗粒发生空间平移使颗粒间变得更为紧密,孔隙分布曲线变化以孔隙波峰往孔隙变小方向偏移为主要特征,孔隙尺寸变小而孔隙形态基本不变;在K0压缩应力状态下,随着压应力增高,黏土颗粒发生旋转使孔隙变得扁平,表现为孔隙波峰位置基本不发生偏移,而以峰值降低为主要特征,孔隙结构形态明显改变     

Triple-oxygen-isotope determination of molecular oxygen incorporation in sulfate produced during abiotic pyrite oxidation (pH = 2-11)

Aqueous oxidation of sulfide minerals to sulfate is an integral part of the global sulfur and oxygen cycles. The current model for pyrite oxidation emphasizes the role of Fe²⁺-Fe³⁺ electron shuttling and repeated nucleophilic attack by water molecules on sulfur. Previous δ¹⁸O-labeled experiments show that a variable fraction (0-60%) of the oxygen in product sulfate is derived from dissolved O₂, the other potential oxidant. This indicates that nucleophilic attack cannot continue all the way to sulfate and that a sulfoxyanion of intermediate oxidation state is released into solution. The observed variability in O₂% may be due to the presence of competing oxidation pathways, variable experimental conditions (e.g. abiotic, biotic, or changing pH value), or uncertainties related to the multiple experiments needed to effectively use the δ¹⁸O label to differentiate sulfate-oxygen sources. To examine the role of O₂ and Fe³⁺ in determining the final incorporation of O₂ oxygen in sulfate produced during pyrite oxidation, we designed a set of aerated, abiotic, pH-buffered (pH = 2, 7, 9, 10, and 11), and triple-oxygen-isotope labeled solutions with and without Fe³⁺ addition. While abiotic and pH-buffered conditions help to eliminate variables, triple oxygen isotope labeling and Fe³⁺ addition help to determine the oxygen sources in sulfate and examine the role of Fe²⁺-Fe³⁺ electron shuttling during sulfide oxidation, respectively.Our results show that sulfate concentration increased linearly with time and the maximum concentration was achieved at pH 11. At pH 2, 7, and 9, sulfate production was slow but increased by 4× with the addition of Fe³⁺. Significant amounts of sulfite and thiosulfate were detected in pH ? 9 reactors, while concentrations were low or undetectable at pH 2 and 7. The triple oxygen isotope data show that at pH ? 9, product sulfate contained 21-24% air O₂ signal, similar to pH 2 with Fe³⁺ addition. Sulfate from the pH 2 reactor without Fe³⁺ addition and the pH 7 reactors all showed 28-29% O₂ signal. While the O₂% in final sulfate apparently clusters around 25%, the measurable deviations (>experimental error) from the 25% in many reaction conditions suggest that (1) O₂ does get incorporated into intermediate sulfoxyanions (thiosulfate and sulfite) and a fraction survives sulfite-water exchange (e.g. the pH 2 with no Fe³⁺ addition and both pH 7 reactors); and (2) direct O₂ oxidation dominates while Fe³⁺ shuttling is still competitive in the sulfite-sulfate step (e.g. the pH 9, 10, and 11 and the pH 2 reactor with Fe³⁺ addition). Overall, the final sulfate-oxygen source ratio is determined by (1) rate competitions between direct O₂ incorporation and Fe³⁺ shuttling during both the formation of sulfite from pyrite and from sulfite to final sulfate, and (2) rate competitions between sulfite and water oxygen exchange and the oxidation of sulfite to sulfate. Our results indicate that thiosulfate or sulfite is the intermediate species released into solution at all investigated pH and point to a set of dynamic and competing fractionation factors and rates, which control the oxygen isotope composition of sulfate derived from pyrite oxidation.     

建立涌水量曲线方程的最小残差法

本文在综述了目前稳定流涌水量经验方程建立方法的基础上,根据最小二乘法原理,提出了一种新的方法—最小残差法,并给出了计算实例。计算表明,最小残差法是建立稳定法涌水量经验方程的一种较好方法,计算过程在微机上易于实现。     

河北围场早白垩世鲎虫化石性双形现象研究

对产自河北围场下白垩统九佛堂组的65件鲎虫化石标本进行研究。根据其形态特征,认为这些鲎虫化石属于三角围场鲎虫（Weichangiops triangularisYang et Hong, 1980）。有观点认为,具有上肛板的鲎虫为冷水型鲎虫,而不具上肛板的鲎虫为暖水型鲎虫。河北围场采集的鲎虫化石有的具上肛板,有的不具上肛板,目前没有任何证据表明其为冷水型鲎虫与暖水型鲎虫混生的产物。通过研究,对三角围场鲎虫的特征进行了适当修正,认为围场地区的鲎虫化石具1对复眼,因此依据单个复眼而建立的新亚科——围场鲎虫亚科（Weichangiopsinae）不成立,应予以摒弃。三角围场鲎虫存在明显的性双形现象,雄性个体尾部具有上肛板,雌性个体不具有上肛板,这对于鲎虫化石分类研究具有重要的科学价值,可避免在生物分类时发生同物异名现象。     

鄂尔多斯早古生代古构造

用野外露头剖面、钻井剖面和地震剖面相结合的综合研究方法,首先用人工合成记录结合11口井的VSP资料,对鄂尔多斯下古生界进行层位标定。在此基础上,对鄂尔多斯全区下古生界371条共长15 683 km的地震剖面进行了重新处理和地层解释,这大大提高了解释精度。以此为基础,把鄂尔多斯下古生界划分为5个地层单位,即寒武系中下部、寒武系中上部及冶里组和亮甲山组、马家沟群下部、马家沟群上部、平凉组和背锅山组,并作出了它们的等厚图。从这些等厚图可以看出：前4个地质时期的古构造格局为“一隆三凹”,即西缘凹陷、南缘凹陷和东缘凹陷(或东部凹陷)呈“U”形从西南东三面包围着一个中部隆起。最后一个地质时期的古构造格局为“一隆二凹”,即西缘凹陷和南缘凹陷呈“L”形镶嵌在一个巨大的鄂尔多斯隆起的西缘和南缘。到奥陶纪末,鄂尔多斯全区以及整个华北地台均变为隆起区,从而结束了鄂尔多斯隆起和凹陷并存的历史。