DETECTING ENERGY-BALANCE MODIFICATIONS AT THE ONSET OF SPRING

The nature of energy-flux transitions during the onset of midlatitude spring has not been widely examined, despite their critical implications for global-scale biospheric measures and climate change. Further conventional assessment of these phenomena across multiple locations is restricted by satellite-derived data limitations, and the paucity of surface measurement sites. In this paper, we explore a new phenology-based strategy for evaluating the spring surface energy-balance shift that can address these concerns. Our technique can reflect native-species responses and atmospheric surface layer change at a variety of sites, using synoptic-scale first leaf and first bloom phenology models. We test the approach at three locations with diverse climates, and within a group of stations in the state of Oklahoma, which has moderate climate variations across an east-to-west gradient. The results show that the onset of spring in midlatitudes is a modally abrupt (rather than gradual) seasonal transition in terms of energy balance (sensible and latent heat levels) and carbon-flux change that can be linked directly to vegetation phenology. The consistent temporal pattern and magnitude of flux variations across diverse sites suggest that this technique has potential as a proxy for spring energy-balance change at many locations. [Key words: phenology, spring, energy balance, North America.]     

Analysis of burnt schist outcrops in the alps: Relation to historical archaeology and Hannibal's crossing in 218 B.C.

Identification of the exact route followed by Hannibal during his invasion of Italia in the Second Punic War is one of the major questions of antiquity and one that historians/archaeologists have long studied. One of the many clues in the ancient literature that can help answer this question is the mention of fired rock, the result of a conflagration Hannibal is reputed to have employed to reduce the size of boulders in a blocking rockslide some distance down from the high col on the Italian side. The only route with evidence of fired rock along the roadway leading into Italia follows the Col du Clapier, one of the possible northern routes discussed by historians. Radiocarbon dating of calcined rocks is not possible, but whereas Time‐of‐Flight Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry (ToF‐SIMS), Field Emission Scanning Electron Microscope (FESEM‐EDS), backscatter electron scanning microscopy (BSE), High Resolution Transmission Electron Microscope (HRTEM), and Raman Spectroscopic data do not provide an age for the burnt rock, compositional evidence of the conflagration derived from these analyses may shed light on Hannibal's actual route. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

On the absence of critical levels in the solar atmosphere

We consider the propagation of linear oscillations in a stratified atmosphere permeated by an oblique but nearly horizontal uniform magnetic field. Our results do not show any of the strong characteristics associated with critical level singularities in the exactly horizontal field case. This suggests that critical levels may be of more mathematical interest than physical relevance in the solar atmosphere where the planar horizontal field approximation is seldom adequate.Currently a Nuffield Foundation Science Research Fellow.     

High-level waste disposal,ethics and thermodynamics

Moral philosophy applied to nuclear waste disposal can be linked to paradigmatic science. Simple thermodynamic principles tell us something about rightness or wrongness of our action. Ethical judgement can be orientated towards the chemical compatibility between waste container and geological repository. A container-repository system as close as possible to thermodynamic equilibrium is ethically acceptable. It aims at unlimited stability, similar to the stability of natural metal deposits within the Earth’s crust. The practicability of the guideline can be demonstrated.     

SIMPLE VALIDATORY TOOLS FOR JUDGING THE PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE OF PARAFAC AND THREE-WAY PLS

The methods PARAFAC and three-way PLS are compared with respect to their ability to predictreversed-phase retention values.Special attention is paid to simple validatory tools,the meaning and useof which are explained.The simple validatory tools consist of percentages of explained variation in the training set and thosethat can be calculated with the use of markers.These markers are special(reference)solutes,the retentionvalues of which are used to gain information about a new object for which predictions are wanted.Different validatory tools can be calculated with the use of these marker retention values:percentagesof used variation and mean sum of squared residuals after applying the model to these marker retentionvalues.The validatory tools are evaluated on their power to estimate their test set counterparts:thepercentages of explained variation in the test set and mean sum of squared prediction errors in the test set.Two different data sets from reversed-phase chromatography are used to evaluate the validatory tools.The first data set has a high signal-to-noise ratio and is measured under the same measurementconditions.The second data set has a low signal-to-noise ratio and is measured under differentmeasurement conditions.Some of the simple validatory tools seem to have relevance to their test setcounterparts,even in the case of the second data set.     

1300 micron continuum and C18O line mapping of the giant molecular cloud cores in Orion, W49, and W51

We present observations of the 1300 micron continuum emission and the C18O spectral-line emission from three well-studied giant molecular cloud cores: Orion, W49, and W51. The observations were obtained at the Five College Radio Astronomy Observatory, and they provide a means to examine the consistency of these two methods to trace the column density structure of molecular clouds. We find a good general correlation between the 1300 micron continuum, which traces the column density of dust, and the C18O J = 2 --> 1 line emission, which traces the column density of molecular gas, when the effects of source temperature are taken into consideration. Moreover, nominal values for the gas and dust abundances and the dust properties reproduce the observed continuum-to-line ratios. Thus, no strong C18O abundance gradients within sources has been found, and it appears that either the C18O emission lines or the submillimeter dust emission may be used to derive the mass column density within molecular clouds accurately.