Design of environmental decision support system and its application to water quality management

1 IntroductionEnvironmental decision support systems could be divided into two categories by their organizational form and system functions. One is regional environmental analytical system based on commercial GIS and assisted by environmental models, such as BASINS developed by the American NEPA using ARC/VIEW as its user platform and including QUAL2E and NPSM as its prediction tools. The other is environmental information and prediction system based on mathematical models, such as…     

High precision glacial–interglacial benthic foraminiferal Sr/Ca records from the eastern equatorial Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea

Glacial–interglacial variation in the marine Sr/Ca ratio has important implications for coral Sr thermometry [J.W. Beck et al., Science 257 (1992) 644–647]. A possible variation of 1–3% was proposed based on ocean models [H.M. Stoll and D.P. Schrag, Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 62 (1998) 1107–1118]. Subsequently, studies have used fossil foraminifera to test this prediction [P.A. Martin et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 1 (1999); H.M. Stoll et al., Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 63 (1999) 3535–3547; H. Elderfield et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 1 (2000)]. But whether some component of foraminiferal Sr/Ca variation can be uniquely ascribed to seawater Sr variation is still not clear. To address this question, we developed cleaning and analysis techniques and measured Sr/Ca ratios on individual shells of the modern benthic foraminifer Cibicidoides wuellerstorfi. We showed that different size shells have different Sr/Ca ratios; however, samples with shell sizes of 355–500 μm appear to have normally distributed Sr/Ca ratios (1σ=1.8%). For multi-shell measurements (with estimated errors of 0.12–0.39%), the ratio varied by as much as 7.2±0.5% during the last glaciation for two Caribbean records at the same site and by 3.7±0.5% over the past 40,000 yr for one record from the Sierra Leone Rise in the eastern equatorial Atlantic. The two Caribbean records are very similar indicating that the behavior of shell Sr uptake was identical locally and that the shell Sr/Ca ratio faithfully reflects the local environment. The Atlantic record differs from the Caribbean records by as much as several percent. Thus, the foraminiferal Sr/Ca changes cannot be solely due to changes in seawater Sr/Ca unless the glacial deep ocean had spatial variation in Sr/Ca well in excess of the modern ocean. Certain similarities between the three records do exist. Notably, the rate of change of Sr/Ca is similar between 9 and 0 ka (−0.25%/kyr) and between 25 and 16 ka (+0.16%/kyr). This suggests that during these intervals, benthic foraminiferal Sr/Ca was affected by similar large-scale variables. One of these variables may be the average marine Sr/Ca ratio; however, comparison with model predictions [H.M. Stoll and D.P. Schrag, Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 62 (1998) 1107–1118] suggests other factors must also be considered. The discrepancies between the two sites may be related to the different water mass histories for the Caribbean and eastern Atlantic. Our results suggest that variation of the seawater Sr budget only partially contributed to C. wuellerstorfi Sr/Ca records, while other significant factors still need to be quantified. At present we cannot confidently determine past seawater Sr/Ca variation from our foraminiferal records.     

兰山采场下盘边坡岩体结构面的分析与研究

通过对兰家火山露天矿边坡岩体中结构面的研究分析，论述了不同类型的结构面对边坡稳定性的影响程度，强调生产矿山开展岩体结构面分析研究的重要意义。     

“十五”期间我省地震分析预报数据库建设展望

本文阐述了地震分析预报数据库在地震中短期预报系统中的重要性 ,同时具体提出建立该数据库系统所用的方法和技术途径 ,并给出预期的成果。另外 ,本文还介绍了建立该数据库系统的有利条件极其存在的困难 ,并对解决困难提出了建议。     

红辉沸石合成P型沸石试验研究

以广西资源红辉沸石为原料进行合成P型沸石的最佳工艺流程及相关技术参数研究，提出了工艺流程为红辉沸石（酸处理）→水热反应→晶化→洗涤、过滤→烘干→P型沸石产品，最佳工艺技术参数为硅铝摩尔比[n(SiO2)/n(Al2O3)]3-4，碱度4－5mol/L NaOH，晶化温度95－100℃，晶化时间6－8h。     

帕米尔东北缘及塔里木盆地西北部弧形构造的扩展特征

归纳了帕米尔东北缘弧形构造的基本特征 ,分析了塔里木盆地西北部EW向逆断裂背斜带与NNW向隐伏走滑断裂之间的关系。通过塔里木盆地与西南天山和帕米尔东北缘变形特征的对比 ,认为塔里木盆地西北部的变形样式与帕米尔东北缘的弧形构造类似 ,弧形构造具有由帕米尔东北缘向塔里木盆地扩展的特征 ,这种构造是帕米尔向北挤入运动所特有的变形样式     

Pull-apart Basins and the Total Lateral Displacement Along the Haiyuan Fault Zone in Cenozoic

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＩｔｉｓｄｅｂａｔｅｄａｂｏｕｔｔｈｅｔｏｔａｌｌａｔｅｒａｌｄｉｓｐｌａｃｅｍｅｎｔａｌｏｎｇｔｈｅｍａｉｎｂｏｕｎｄａｒｙｆａｕｌｔｓｏｆｉｎｔｒａｐｌａｔｅｂｌｏｃｋｓｉｎｅａｓｔｅｒｎＡｓｉａｃｏｎｔｉｎｅｎｔｉｎＣｅｎｏｚｏｉｃｅｒａ .Ｉｎｔｈｅ 1 970ｓｏｆ2 0ｔｈｃｅｎｔｕｒｙ ,ｓｏｍｅｓｃｉｅｎｔｉｓｔｓｈａｄｅｓ ｔｉｍａｔｅｄｌａｔｅｒａｌｄｉｓｐｌａｃｅｍｅｎｔｂａｓｅｄｏｎｇｅｏｍｏｒｐｈｉｃｄａｔａ .Ｔｈｅｙｐｒｏｐｏｓｅｄｔｈａｔｔｈｅｔｏｔａｌｄ…     

平凉“95．7．19”强对流风暴分析

分析具有代表性的平凉局地强对流风暴过程，揭示了平凉发生强对流天气独特的地形因素。     

有限区域卫星云图资料变分分析的试验研究

资料分析在数值预报中的重要性受到越来越多的关注，星目前常规探测网的时空局限性，利用分辨率较高的非常规资料势在必行。该文利用一个有限区域中尺度模式ＭＭ４，采用变分分析技术对有限区域的常规探空资料和非常规云图资料进行变分分析和数值模拟。     

信息增益在地震趋势估计中的应用

从熵中信息增益的定义出发，将地震中的能量和频度作为一个整体考虑，研究了全球１９００－１９９２斫Ｍ≥６．０地震的信息增益。结果表明，强震前有信息增益减小的特点。信息增益方法的引入，为利用中小地震进入地震跟踪预报提供了一个新途径。