电测量在中国地震预报中的应用

唐山等大地震地电阻率中期下降系压缩应变积累所致 ,为基线缩短、井水位下降所支持。地电阻率、自然电位对起潮力的异常响应及自然电位快急始、慢衰减特殊图象与废油井喷油同步等短临前兆 ,与中期前兆相反显示出向震中迁移的规律 ,表明能量积累从震中向外围传播 ,而能量释放从外围向震中传播。海城地震时喷砂冒水可引起自然电位垂直分量跃变及地光。IIMT法和过剩海洋电流H极化结果表明 ,唐山地震与地壳高阻层及其中存在深大断裂有     

The caustic and other properties of SKP

The caustic of SKP is found at an epicentral distance Δ_C = 129.5° for surface foci and at Δ_C = 128.9° for foci at 400 km depth, by means of amplitude-distance graphs based upon short-period time-domain measurements. These results are essentially confirmed by long-period time-domain measurements of SKP as well as by frequency-domain studies, even though the spectra are less accurate for such determinations. The average period of SKP is $\text{T}\text{= 1.45 ± 0.45}\text{sec}$ from short-period records, significantly different from the corresponding PKP-period of 1.00 ± 0.31 sec. Likewise, the long-period averages of SKP = 10.8 ± 4.5 sec and of PKP = 7.7 ± 3.0 sec are significantly different from each other. A travel-time table of SKP1 is deduced, covering the epicentral distance range of 130–143° and the focal depth range of 100–700 km. All results are based on measurements on seismograms of the Swedish network of stations, deriving almost exclusively from earthquakes in the southwest Pacific area.     

A new large supernova remnant in the southern sky?

A faint filamentary structure on a Southern Schmidt plate is thought to be a supernova remnant.     

Conditional Latin Hypercube Simulation of (Log)Gaussian Random Fields

In earth and environmental sciences applications, uncertainty analysis regarding the outputs of models whose parameters are spatially varying (or spatially distributed) is often performed in a Monte Carlo framework. In this context, alternative realizations of the spatial distribution of model inputs, typically conditioned to reproduce attribute values at locations where measurements are obtained, are generated via geostatistical simulation using simple random (SR) sampling. The environmental model under consideration is then evaluated using each of these realizations as a plausible input, in order to construct a distribution of plausible model outputs for uncertainty analysis purposes. In hydrogeological investigations, for example, conditional simulations of saturated hydraulic conductivity are used as input to physically-based simulators of flow and transport to evaluate the associated uncertainty in the spatial distribution of solute concentration. Realistic uncertainty analysis via SR sampling, however, requires a large number of simulated attribute realizations for the model inputs in order to yield a representative distribution of model outputs; this often hinders the application of uncertainty analysis due to the computational expense of evaluating complex environmental models. Stratified sampling methods, including variants of Latin hypercube sampling, constitute more efficient sampling aternatives, often resulting in a more representative distribution of model outputs (e.g., solute concentration) with fewer model input realizations (e.g., hydraulic conductivity), thus reducing the computational cost of uncertainty analysis. The application of stratified and Latin hypercube sampling in a geostatistical simulation context, however, is not widespread, and, apart from a few exceptions, has been limited to the unconditional simulation case. This paper proposes methodological modifications for adopting existing methods for stratified sampling (including Latin hypercube sampling), employed to date in an unconditional geostatistical simulation context, for the purpose of efficient conditional simulation of Gaussian random fields. The proposed conditional simulation methods are compared to traditional geostatistical simulation, based on SR sampling, in the context of a hydrogeological flow and transport model via a synthetic case study. The results indicate that stratified sampling methods (including Latin hypercube sampling) are more efficient than SR, overall reproducing to a similar extent statistics of the conductivity (and subsequently concentration) fields, yet with smaller sampling variability. These findings suggest that the proposed efficient conditional sampling methods could contribute to the wider application of uncertainty analysis in spatially distributed environmental models using geostatistical simulation.     

Seismic analysis of coupled soil-pile-structure systems leading to the definition of a pseudo-natural SSI frequency

The elastodynamic response of coupled soil-pile-structure systems to seismic loading is studied using rigorous three-dimentional (3D) finite element models. The system under investigation comprises of a single pile supporting a single degree of freedom (SDOF) structure founded on a homogeneous viscoelastic soil layer over rigid rock. Parametric analyses are carried out in the frequency domain, focusing on the dynamic characteristics of the structure, as affected by typical foundation properties such as pile slenderness and soil-pile relative stiffness. Numerical results demonstrate the strong influence on effective natural SSI period of the foundation properties and the crucial importance of cross swaying-rocking stiffness of the pile. Furthermore, the notion of a pseudo-natural SSI frequency is introduced, as the frequency where pile-head motion is minimized with respect to free field surface motion. Dynamic pile bending is examined and the relative contributions of kinematic and inertial interaction, as affected by the frequency content of input motion, are elucidated.     

Dynamic stiffness and kinematic response of single piles in inhomogeneous soil

The effect of soil inhomogeneity on dynamic stiffness and kinematic response of single flexural elastic piles to vertically-propagating seismic SH waves is explored. A generalized parabolic function is employed to describe the variable shear wave propagation velocity in the inhomogeneous stratum. A layered soil with piece-wise homogeneous properties is introduced to approximate the continuous inhomogeneity in the realm of a Beam-on-Dynamic-Winkler-Foundation model. The problem is treated numerically by means of a layer transfer-matrix (Haskell–Thompson) formulation, and validated using available theoretical solutions and finite-element analyses. The role of salient model parameters such as pile-head fixity conditions, pile-to-soil stiffness ratio, surface-to-base shear wave velocity ratio and rate of inhomogeneity is elucidated. A new normalization scheme for inertial and kinematic response of such systems is presented based on an average Winkler wavenumber. With reference to long piles in moderately inhomogeneous soils, results indicate that: (a) kinematic pile response is essentially governed by a single dimensionless frequency parameter accounting for pile-to-soil stiffness ratio, pile slenderness and soil inhomogeneity and (b) definition of a characteristic pile wavelength allows an approximate estimation of pile elastodynamic response for preliminary design or analysis. Issues related to domain discretization and Winkler moduli are discussed.     

1D harmonic response of layered inhomogeneous soil: Analytical investigation

The seismic response of inhomogeneous soil deposits is explored analytically by means of one-dimensional viscoelastic wave propagation theory. The problem under investigation comprises of a continuously inhomogeneous stratum over a homogeneous layer of higher stiffness, with the excitation defined in terms of vertically propagating harmonic S waves imposed at the base of the system. A generalized parabolic function is employed to describe the variable shear wave propagation velocity in the inhomogeneous layer. The problem is treated analytically leading to an exact solution of the Bessel type for the natural frequencies, mode shapes and base-to-surface response transfer function. The model is validated using available theoretical solutions and finite-element analyses. Results are presented in the form of normalized graphs demonstrating the effect of salient model parameters such as layer thickness, impedance contrast between surface and base layer, rate of inhomogeneity and hysteretic damping ratio. Equivalent homogeneous soil approximations are examined. The effect of vanishing shear wave propagation velocity near soil surface on shear strains and displacements is explored by asymptotic analyses.     

A Search for Pulsating, Mass-Accreting Components in Algol-Type Eclipsing Binaries

We present a status report on the search for pulsations in primary componants of Algols systems (oEA stars). Analysis of 21 systems with A0-F2 spectral type primaries revealed pulsations in two systems suggesting that of the order of ten persent of Algols primaries in this range are actually pulsators.