Nutrient Mass Flux between Florida Bay and the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

There is a net discharge of water and nutrients through Long Key Channel from Florida Bay to the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary (FKNMS). There has been speculation that this water and its constituents may be contributing to the loss of coral cover on the Florida Keys Reef tract over the past few decades, as well as speculation that changes in freshwater flow in the upstream Everglades ecosystem associated with the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan may exacerbate this phenomenon. The results of this study indicate that although there is a net export of approximately 3,850 (±404) ton N year^?1 and 63 (±7) ton P year^?1, the concentrations of these nutrients flowing out of Florida Bay are the same as those flowing in. This implies that no significant nutrient enrichment is occurring in the waters of the FKNMS in the vicinity of Long Key Channel. Because of the effect of restricted southwestward water flow through Florida Bay by shallow banks and small islands, the volume of relatively high-nutrient water from central and eastern portions of the bay exiting through the channel is small compared to the average tidal exchange. Nutrient loading of relatively enriched bay waters is mediated by tidal exchange and mixing with more ambient concentrations of the western Florida Bay and Hawk Channel. System-wide budgets indicate that the contribution of Florida Bay waters to the inorganic nitrogen pool of the Keys coral reef is small relative to offshore inputs.     

Secular changes in the short-term preventive,positive, and temperature checks to population growth in Europe, 1460 to 1909

Annual variations in births, marriages, deaths, grain prices, and quarterly temperature series in England, France, Prussia, and Sweden are analyzed using a distributed lag model. The results provide support for the existence of the shortterm preventive, positive and temperature checks to population growth. Decreases in fertility and nuptiality are generally associated with increases in grain prices. Increases in mortality appear to be associated with high grain prices, cold winters and hot summers. Changes in these responses over time are examined within the context of economic development.The causes of a high mortality are various; but the greater number of known causes may be referred to five heads: 1) excessive cold or heat; 2) privation of food; 3) effluvial poisons generated in marshes, foul prisons, camps, cities; and epidemic diseases, such as typhus, plague, small pox, and other zymotic diseases; 4) mechanical and chemical injuries; 5) spontaneous disorders to which the structure of the human organization renders it liable. - Farr (1846, p. 164)....a foresight of the difficulties attending the rearing of a family acts as a preventive check, and the actual distresses of some of the lower classes, by which they are disabled from giving the proper food and attention to their children, acts as a positive check to the natural increase of population. - Malthus (1798, Chapter 4).The research on which this paper is based has been funded by grants R01-HD18107 and T32-HD07275 from the U.S. National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. This paper is associated with the author's Basic Patterns in Annual Variations in Fertility, Nuptiality, Mortality, and Prices in Preindustrial Europe,Population Studies 42, 2, 1988, 275-303. I thank Ronald Lee, Ulla Larsen, and Jan de Vries for helpful comments and suggestions.     

Coupling an ocean wave model to an atmospheric general circulation model

A coupled model, consisting of an ocean wave model and an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), is integrated under permanent July conditions. The wave model is forced by the AGCM wind stress, whereas the wind waves modify the AGCM surface fluxes of momentum, sensible and latent heat. We investigate the following aspects of the coupled model: how realistic are the wave fields, how strong is the coupling, and how sensitive is the atmospheric circulation to the spatially and temporally varying wave field. The wave climatology of the coupled model compares favorably with observational data. The interaction between the two models is largest (although weak) in the storm track in the Southern Hemisphere. Young windsea, which is associated with enhanced surface fluxes is generated mostly in the equatorward frontal area of an individual cyclone. However, the enhancement of the surface fluxes is too small to significantly modify the climatological mean atmospheric circulation.This paper was presented at the Second International Conference on Modelling of Global Climate Variability, held in Hamburg 7–11 September 1992 under the auspices of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Guest Editor for these papers is L. Dümenil     

Particulate content of savanna fire emissions

As part of the FOS-DECAFE experiment at Lamto (Ivory Coast) in January 1991, various aerosol samples were collected at ground level near prescribed fires or under local background conditions, to characterize the emissions of particulate matter from the burning of savanna vegetation. This paper deals with total aerosol (TPM) and carbon measurements. Detailed trace element and polycyclic hydrocarbon data are discussed in other papers presented in this issue.Near the fire plumes, the aerosols from biomass burning are primarily of a carbonaceous nature (C%70% of the aerosol mass) and consist predominantly of submicron particles (more than 90% in mass.) They are characterized by their organic nature (black to total carbon ratio Cb/Ct in the range 3–20%) and their high potassium content (K/Cb0.6). These aerosols undergo aging during their first minutes in the atmosphere causing slight alterations in their size distribution and chemical composition. However, they remain enriched in potassium (K/Cb=0.21) and pyrene, a polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon, such that both of these species may be used as tracers of savanna burning aerosols. We show that during this period of the year, the background atmosphere experiences severe pollution from both terrigenous sources and regional biomass burning (44% of the aerosol). Daynight variations of the background carbon concentrations suggest that fire ignition and spreading occur primarily during the day. Simultaneous TPM and CO₂ real-time measurements point to a temporal and spatial heterogeneity of the burning so that the ratio of the above background concentrations (TPM/CO₂) varies from 2 to 400 g/kg C. Smoldering processes are intense sources of particles but particulate emissions may also be important during the rapidly spreading heading fires in connection with the generation of heavy brown smoke. We propose emission factor values (EF) for aerosols from the savanna biomass burning aerosols: EF (TPM)=11.4±4.6 and 69±25 g/kg C_{dry plant} and EF(Ct)=7.4±3.4 and 56±16 g C/kg C_{dry plant} for flaming and smoldering processes respectively. In these estimates, the range of uncertainty is mostly due to the intra-fire variability. These values are significantly lower than those reported in the literature for the combustion of other types of vegetation. But due to the large amounts of vegetation biomass being burnt in African savannas, the annual flux of particulate carbon into the atmosphere is estimated to be of the order of 8 Tg C, which rivals particulate carbon emissions from anthropogenic activities in temperate regions.     

Dynamical evolution of NEAs: Close encounters, secular perturbations and resonances

We discuss the main mechanisms affecting the dynamical evolution of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) by analyzing the results of three numerical integrations over 1 Myr of the NEA (4179) Toutatis. In the first integration the only perturbing planet is the Earth. So the evolution is dominated by close encounters and looks like a random walk in semimajor axis and a correlated random walk in eccentricity, keeping almost constant the perihelion distance and the Tisserand invariant. In the second integration Jupiter and Saturn are present instead of the Earth, and the 3/1 (mean motion) and v ₆ (secular) resonances substantially change the eccentricity but not the semimajor axis. The third, most realistic, integration including all the three planets together shows a complex interplay of effects, with close encounters switching the orbit between different resonant states and no approximate conservation of the Tisserand invariant. This shows that simplified 3-body or 4-body models cannot be used to predict the typical evolution patterns and time scales of NEAs, and in particular that resonances provide some fast-track dynamical routes from low-eccentricity to very eccentric, planet-crossing orbits.On leave from the Department of Mathematics, University of Pisa, Via Buonarroti 2, 56127 Pisa, Italy, thanks to the G. Colombo fellowships of the European Space Agency.     

An upper limit on the aperture separation of ion drift meters

An upper limit has been calculated on the effective aperture separation or detector thickness of ion drift meters of two fundamental types. The limit applies to meters which compare currents collected by detectors with different view directions at the same retarding potential and to meters which measure the entire thermal ion distribution function. For both types, a single scanned detector may be employed instead of multiple detectors, in which case the limit applies to twice the radius of curvature of the path followed by the detector aperture during a scan, (i.e. the diameter of a spinning payload). The limit was found to be important in two cases. First, in the F region on spacecraft with stringent electrostatic cleanliness requirements, the 10% error limit was found to be 40 cm. Second, in the E region, the limit was found to be 1 cm.Originally submitted to the journalSpace Science Instrumentation.Deceased.     

Crustal structure of the Rhenish Massif: results of deep seismic reflection lines Dekorp 2-North and 2-North-Q

The reflection seismic line DEKORP 2-N reveals an almost complete cross section through the Rhenohercynian Zone, the most external part of the Variscan orogen in Europe.The northern part of DEKORP 2-N and a NE-directed branch (2-N-Q) reveal the Cretaceous of the Münsterland basin and the underlying folded Palaeozoic rocks. The northward decreasing intensity of folding is depicted in great detail by the highly reflective Late Carboniferous coal-measures and deeper reflections down to the level of the Givetian/Frasnian shallow-water carbonates.In the Devonian and older rocks of the Rhenish Massif, bedding is only represented by relatively weak, short and irregular reflections. These are truncated by stronger, southward dipping reflections, which exhibit the listric curvature and flat/ramp geometry characteristic of faults. In the northern part of the section, the thrusts appear to be blind. From the Ebbe Anticline southwards, prominent reflections can be correlated with important thrust faults known from the surface, such as the Ebbe-, Siegen-, Müsen- and Sackpfeife- Thrusts, as well as further important thrust faults in the Lahn- and Dill Synclines. The basal thrust of the extremely thin-skinned Giessen Nappe is only recognizable for a very short distance.At depth, the thrusts flatten out in a relatively transparent zone between 3–5 s TWT, with strongly reflective bands at its bottom and top. The transparent zone might correlate with a high-conductivity layer detected in a magnetotelluric survey; it represents either graphitic metapelites or a zone with an interconnected, brine-filled pore space. The seismic record relates either to lithological differences, or to rheological boundaries.The lower crust in the north is characterized by a relatively transparent zone, which wedges out towards south under the northern margin of the Siegen Anticline. Comparisons with a similar feature in the ECORS profile »Nord de la France« suggest that the transparent zones in both sections correspond to a pre-Palaeozoic basement, such as it underlies the Brabant Massif. Further south, the lower crust is increasingly reflective.The curvilinear, thrust-related reflections are cut by a conjugate set of much weaker, N- and S-dipping reflectors indicating a later deformation with pure shear. Displacement of some marker reflections suggests late- or post-Variscan compression.In an alternative interpretation, these straight and weak reflections represent the only thrust faults, while the curvilinear elements might relate to bedding.A southward rise of the Moho from approx. 11 to 8.5 s TWT is probably due to Tertiary rifting.

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Zusammenfassung Das reflexionsseismische Profil DEKORP 2-N stellt einen fast vollständigen Querschnitt durch das Rhenohercynikum dar.Der nördliche Teil des Profiles 2-N sowie ein SW/NE-verlaufender Abzweig (2-N-Q) zeigen die Transgression der Münsterländer Kreide und das unterlagernde gefaltete Paläozoikum. Schichtgebundene Reflektoren (flözführendes Karbon, devonischer Massenkalk) bilden das Ausklingen der variscischen Faltung nach NW detailliert ab.In den devonischen und vordevonischen Sedimenten des rechtsrheinischen Schiefergebirges erzeugt die Schichtung nur relativ schwache, kurze und unregelmäßige Reflexionen. Diese werden von stärkeren, südfallenden Reflektoren abgeschnitten, die aufgrund ihrer listrischen Krümmung und flat/ramp-Geometrie wahrscheinlich als Überschiebungen zu interpretieren sind. Im Nordteil des Schiefergebirges sind diese Überschiebungen offenbar blind, werden also nahe der Oberfläche durch Faltung kompensiert. Im Ebbe-Sattel und weiter südlich lassen sich die meisten der starken, südfallenden Reflektoren zweifelsfrei mit bekannten Großüberschiebungen korrelieren (Ebbe-, Siegen-, Müsen-, Sackpfeife-Ü, sowie weitere Überschiebungen in der Lahn- u. Dill-Mulde). Die Basisüberschiebung der Giessen-Decke wird nur teilweise abgebildet.Zur Tiefe hin zeigen die Überschiebungen ein zunehmend flacheres Einfallen, und verschwinden in einer relativ transparenten Zone zwischen 3 und 5 s TWT, die im Hangenden und Liegenden durch dünne, stark reflektive Zonen begrenzt ist. Diese transparente Zone entspricht möglicherweise einer Zone hoher integrierter Leitfähigkeit, die in einem begleitenden magnetotellurischen Experiment nachgewiesen worden ist; es handelt sich entweder um einen Graphit-führenden Phyllit-Horizont oder eine mächtigere permeable Zone mit Elektrolyt-gefülltem Porenraum. Die hochreflektiven Bänder über und unter der transparenten Zone entsprechen entweder lithologischen Kontrasten oder rheologischen Grenzen, die vermutlich von einer scherenden Verformung überprägt worden sind.Die Unterkruste im N-Teil des Profiles enthält einen relativ transparenten Bereich, der nach Süden hin unter dem Nordteil des Siegener Sattels keilförmig ausläuft. Ein ähnliches Bild zeigt der Nordteil des ECORS-Profiles »Nord de la France«. Die transparenten Bereiche beider Profile entsprechen wahrscheinlich einem prä-paläozoischen kristallinen Basement, das das Brabanter Massif unterlagert und sich rechtsrheinisch fortsetzt. Südlich des transparenten Keiles wird die Unterkruste zunehmend reflexionsreicher. Die listrisch gekrümmten, an Überschiebungen gebundenen Reflektoren werden von einem konjugierten System schwächerer, N- u. S-fallender Reflektoren abgeschnitten, die auf eine jüngere, bruchhafte Verformung durch reine Scherung hindeuten. Der Versatz einiger älterer Reflektoren deutet auf spät- oder postvariscische Kompression hin.In einer alternativen Interpretation werden nur diese jüngeren Reflektoren als Überschiebungen gedeutet; die älteren, gekrümmten Elemente müßten dann primären lithologischen Grenzen entsprechen.Die Moho steigt von ca. 11 s TWT im N auf 8.5 s TWT unter dem Taunus an. Die Krustenverdünnung im Süden geht wahrscheinlich auf Dehnung im Tertiär zurück.

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Résumé Le profil sismique par réflexion DEKORP-2-N représente une transversale quasiment complète à travers la zone rhénohercynienne. La partie septentrionale du DEKORP-2-N ainsi qu'une branche de direction SW-NE (2-N-Q) mettent en évidence la transgression du Crétacé du Münsterland sur le Paléozoïque sous-jacent plissé. Des réflecteurs liés à la stratification (à savoir: le Houiller et les calcaires de plate-forme dévoniens) illustrent de façon détaillée la diminution vers le nord de l'intensité du plissement varisque.Dans les sédiments dévoniens et pré-dévoniens du Massif Rhénan à l'est du Rhin, la stratification ne fournit que que des réflexions relativement faibles, courtes et irrégulières. Elles sont tronquées par des réflecteurs plus intenses, à pendage sud qui, en raison de leur courbure listrique et de leur géométrie en «flat/ramp», doivent être interprétés comme des chevauchements. Dans la partie septentrionale du Massif, ces chevauchements sont apparemment aveugles, c'est-à-dire qu'ils sont compensés, près de la surface, par le plissement. Dans l'anticlinal d'Ebbe, ainsi que plus au sud, la plupart des réflecteurs intenses à plongement sud peuvent être corrélés avec des chevauchements majeurs connus, tels ceux de Ebbe, Siegen, Müsen, Sackpfeife et d'autres encore dans les synclinaux de la Lahn et de la Dill. Le chevauchement basai de la nappe de Giessen n'est que partiellement représenté.Les chevauchements deviennent de plus en plus plats en profondeur pour disparaître dans une zone relativement transparente qui se situe entre 3–5 sec TWT. Celle-ci est prise en sandwich par des zones minces à forte réflectivité. La zone transparente correspond probablement à une zone de conductivité intégrée élevée dont l'existence a par ailleurs été démontrée dans un essai magnétotellurique mené parallèlement. Il s'agit soit d'un horizon phyllitique graphiteux, soit d'une zone perméable plus épaisse dont les pores sont remplis d'électrolyte. Les bandes à haute réflectivité au-dessus et en-dessous de la zone transparente correspondent soit à des contrastes lithologiques, soit à des limites rhéologiques probablement accentuées par la déformation cisaillante.La croûte inférieure dans la partie septentrionale du profil comporte un domaine relativement transparent qui s'amincit vers le S et se termine, en dessous de la partie nord de l'anticlinal de Siegen, en forme de coin. La partie nord du profil ECORS «Nord de la France» montre une image semblable.Les domaines transparents des deux profils correspondent vraisemblablement à un soubassement cristallin pré-paléozoïque qui est sousjacent au Paléozoïque du Massif du Brabant et se prolonge vers l'est au-delà du Rhin. Au sud du coin transparent, la réflectivité de la croûte inférieure va en augmentant. Les réflecteurs listriques liés à des chevauchements sont recoupés par un système conjugué de réflecteurs plus faibles à plongement nord et sud qui indiquent des failles plus récentes. Le déplacement de quelques réflecteurs plus anciens suggère l'effet d'une compression tardiou post-varisque.Dans une interprétation alternative, seuls ces réflecteurs plus récents sont considérés comme correspondant à des chevauchements. Dans ce cas, les éléments courbes plus anciens devraient représenter des limites lithologiques primaires.Le Moho s'élève à partir de 11 sec TWT environ au nord jusqu'à 8.5 sec TWT en-dessous du Taunus. L'amincissement crustal au sud résulterait du régime de distension survenu au Tertiaire.

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DEKORP 2 Nord. x-t- ray-tracing'a. 6,0 6,6 /, — 7,0 8,2 /. 6,25 /. 28 30 . , .

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Abbreviations MORB Mid-Ocean Ridge Basalt - TWT two-way travel time, seconds (s) - CMP common mid-point - VP vibration point - SNR signal to noise ratio     

Evidence linking coronal transients to the evolution of coronal holes

The positions of X-ray coronal transients outside of active regions observed during Skylab were superposed on H synoptic charts and coronal hole boundaries for seven solar rotations. We confirmed a detailed spatial association between the transients and neutral lines. We found that most of the transients were related to large-scale changes in coronal hole area and tended to occur on the borders of evolving equatorial holes.Skylab Solar Workshop Post-Doctoral Appointee, 1975–1977.     

Holocene record of productivity in the NW Iberian continental shelf

A multiproxy approach (textural characteristics, heavy metal concentrations and benthic foraminifera data) was adopted to study the OMEX core KSGX 40, collected at the Galicia Mud Deposit (NW Iberian outer continental shelf) and recording the last ca. 4.8 ka cal BP. Geochemical profiles of Fe, Mn, Zn, Co, Cr, Cu, Ni, Pb, Al and Ca show significant temporal variations. Benthic foraminifera productivity proxy suggests that the recorded muddy events were contemporaneous of a higher C_org flux to the marine benthic environment. The higher flux of organic matter, following a long-term intensification of the upwelling and coinciding with a finer sedimentation, led to depressed levels of oxygen beneath the water-sediments interface and to early diagenetic processes of several redox-sensitive elements.