ENSO and IOD analysis on the occurrence of floods in Pakistan

Different techniques have been used to discuss the existence of significant relation between the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Various studies present their interaction and influence on the natural disasters (i.e. drought, flood, etc.) over large parts of the globe. This study uses a Markov chain method to investigate the relation between the ENSO and IOD for the period of 62 years (1950–2011) and aggregates their influence on the occurrence of floods in Pakistan. Both data sets show similarities in the formation of transition matrices and expected number of visits from one state to another. The strong values of 2-dimensional correlation and high self-communication of the transition states confirm the existence of a possible relation between ENSO and IOD data. Moreover, significant values of dependency and stationary test endorse the applicability of the Markov chain analyses. The independent analysis shows that strong events of both data sets are co-occurred in the same flood years. During the study period maximum number of floods was observed during summer monsoon season. However, further analysis shows that after 1970, Pakistan observed the highest percentage of floods occurred per year during El Nino, Non-ENSO and positive IOD years. These observations and results demonstrate that climate variability especially ENSO and IOD should be incorporated into disaster risk analyses and policies in Pakistan.     

Chemical Characteristics of Stream Draining fromDudu Glacier: An Alpine Meltwater Stream inGanga Headwater, Garhwal Himalaya

I-DtjcrONAlpine environment enjoys a distinct set of physicochemical conditions asl compared to other aqueous systems. Thehydrochemical characteristics of meltwater draining from thisenvironment are different from the other aqueous ecosystemsdue to their mountainous nature and extreme cold climatic conditions. The high concentration of various chemical constitu.ents in meltwater shows the intensive chemical weathering inthe basin. The rapid physical weathering due tO grinding actionof the gl…     

A study of the roughness effects of multiple windbreaks

A wind-tunnel study of the roughness effect of a network of uniformly spaced long parallel windbreaks has been attempted. The roughness parameterZ ₀ in the well-known logarithmic profile has been obtained as a function of the ratio of the spacingL to heightH of the barriers. In one part of the study, a naturally developing boundary layer was used and the windbreaks were not spread on the entire wind-tunnel floor. Spacing ratiosL/H of 1 to 20 were treated. In the other part of the study, spires were used to thicken the boundary layers artificially and the windbreaks were spread throughout the wind-tunnel floor. In this case, spacing ratiosL/H of 1 to 30 were examined.Values of the roughness parameter obtained from the above two cases have been compared to some (though very few) previously published pertinent values.     

Gravitational clustering of galaxies in an expanding universe

We inquire the phenomena of clustering of galaxies in an expanding universe from a theoretical point of view on the basis of thermodynamics and correlation functions. The partial differential equation is developed both for the point mass and extended mass structures of a two-point correlation function by using thermodynamic equations in combination with the equation of state taking gravitational interaction between particles into consideration. The unique solution physically satisfies a set of boundary conditions for correlated systems and provides a new insight into the gravitational clustering problem.     

Peculiar motions of galaxy clusters: correlation function approach

The correlation function theory on the basis of prescribed boundary conditions provides a deeper understanding in studying the dynamical parameters of galaxy clusters. The approach approximates that the moderate dense systems discussed by a two point correlation function is helpful for describing the dynamical nature of galaxy clusters. The projected theory of two point correlation function for point mass and extended mass structures can be used an alternative tool in measuring the average peculiar motion and temperature profile of galaxy clusters.     

Imaging of Stratigraphic Pinch-Out Traps Within the Lower-Cretaceous Shaly-Sandstone System,Pakistan, Using 3D Quantitative Seismic Inverted Porosity–Velocity Modeling

Incised valleys form excellent stratigraphic pinch-out traps. Traditional seismic data analysis techniques fail to predict quantitatively the porous and low-velocity sand-fills for incised valleys. The 3D quantitative seismic inverted porosity–velocity (3DQSIPV) analysis was applied in the Indus Basin, SW Pakistan. The reflection strength attribute better portrayed the reservoir sandstone and faults compared to seismic amplitude attribute. The sweetness-based continuous wavelet transform authenticated the development of the stratigraphic play. The 17 Hz amplitude delineated the non-porous seal and porous reservoirs of sand-filled incised valley and strand plain, and faults. The integrated model of seismic attributes categorizes the reservoir and seal constituents. The petrophysical modeling corroborated the gas-bearing “sweet-spots” within the stratigraphic-based dynamical system. The facies modeling predicted the for coarse-grained sandstone and fine-grained shales, depositional environments, fluctuations of sea level and their impacts on the overall development of stratigraphic plays. The predicted density and P-wave velocity for the sandstone-filled incised valley of the lowstand system tract were?~?1.4–1.75 g/cc and?~?3217–3802 m/s, respectively. The predicted density and P-wave velocity for the sealing shales facies of strand plain of transgressive system tract were?~?1.9–2.1 g/cc and 2.55–2.7 g/cc and 3900–4700 m/s, respectively. The 3DQSIPV predicted?>?25% porosity and?~?3300 m/s velocity of reservoirs in the west. The eastern zones shows?<?12% porosity and high velocity of?~?4580 m/s. Cross-plots of porosity, velocity, and thickness showed correlation coefficients of R²?>?0.90 for inverted velocity. This workflow may serve as an analogue for the remaining oil and gas fields of the Indus Basins of Pakistan and similar geological settings of divergent plate margins.

     

Microseismic events enhancement and detection in sensor arrays using autocorrelation‐based filtering

Passive microseismic data are commonly buried in noise, which presents a significant challenge for signal detection and recovery. For recordings from a surface sensor array where each trace contains a time‐delayed arrival from the event, we propose an autocorrelation‐based stacking method that designs a denoising filter from all the traces, as well as a multi‐channel detection scheme. This approach circumvents the issue of time aligning the traces prior to stacking because every trace's autocorrelation is centred at zero in the lag domain. The effect of white noise is concentrated near zero lag; thus, the filter design requires a predictable adjustment of the zero‐lag value. Truncation of the autocorrelation is employed to smooth the impulse response of the denoising filter. In order to extend the applicability of the algorithm, we also propose a noise prewhitening scheme that addresses cases with coloured noise. The simplicity and robustness of this method are validated with synthetic and real seismic traces.     

巴基斯坦达尔巴丁(Dalbandin）地震前观测到的电离层foF2异常变化

电离层foF2变化对地震反应非常敏感,与地震有关的电离层扰动变化结果似乎非常有望用于地震短期预测。格林威治时间2011年1月18日20:23分,一次7.2级的大地震发生在巴基斯坦的达尔巴丁(28.73oＮ, 63.92oＥ）。本文研究中,我们必须利用架设在巴基斯坦的伊斯兰堡（33.78oN, 73.06oE）、玛尔坦（32.26oN,71.51oE）和卡拉奇（24.89oN,67.02oE）三个垂直探测台站获得的白天（08:00 a.m. - 05:00 p.m.）小时值数据找出地震前的foF2异常变化特征。结果显示,在达尔巴丁地震前几天,foF2出现了显著变化;并且距离震中最近的台站观测到的频率与幅度异常变化大于较远的位于孕震区边缘的台站。尽管地震异常特征显著,但增加其它电离层参数可以提高foF2异常的高置信度水平。     

Analysis and farmers’ perception of climate change in the Kashmir Valley,India

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Analysis of climatic variables is important for the detection and attribution of climate change trends and has received considerable attention from researchers...     

Bias correction method of high-resolution satellite-based precipitation product for Peninsular Malaysia

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Satellite-based precipitation (SBP) is emerging as a reliable source for high-resolution rainfall estimates over the globe. However, uncertainty in SBP is...