Emission scenario dependencies in climate change assessments of the hydrological cycle

Anthropogenic global warming will lead to changes in the global hydrological cycle. The uncertainty in precipitation sensitivity per 1 K of global warming across coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) has been actively examined. On the other hand, the uncertainty in precipitation sensitivity in different emission scenarios of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and aerosols has received little attention. Here we show a robust emission-scenario dependency (ESD); smaller global precipitation sensitivities occur in higher GHG and aerosol emission scenarios. Although previous studies have applied this ESD to the multi-AOGCM mean, our surprising finding is that current AOGCMs all have the common ESD in the same direction. Different aerosol emissions lead to this ESD. The implications of the ESD of precipitation sensitivity extend far beyond climate analyses. As we show, the ESD potentially propagates into considerable biases in impact assessments of the hydrological cycle via a widely used technique, so-called pattern scaling. Since pattern scaling is essential to conducting parallel analyses across climate, impact, adaptation and mitigation scenarios in the next report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, more attention should be paid to the ESD of precipitation sensitivity.     

Simulation of soil liquefaction distribution in downtown Mashiki during 2016 Kumamoto earthquake using nonlinear site response

Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - Several sites located between Road No.28 and Akitsu River in downtown Mashiki were liquefied during the mainshock of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. According to...     

Structural variation of babingtonite depending on cation distribution at the octahedral sites

Babingtonite, Ca₂Fe²⁺Fe³⁺[Si₅O₁₄(OH)] (Z?=?2, space group $ P\overline{1} $ ) from Yakuki mine (Japan), Grönsjöberget (Sweden), Kandivali Quarry (India), Baveno Quarry (Italy), Bråstad Mine (Norway), and Kouragahana (Japan), and manganbabingtonite, Ca₂(Mn²⁺, Fe²⁺)Fe³⁺[Si₅O₁₄(OH)], from Iron Cap mine (USA) were studied using electron-microprobe analysis (EMPA), ⁵⁷Fe Mössbauer analysis and single-crystal X-ray diffraction methods to determine the cation distribution at M1 and M2 and to analyze its effect on the crystal structure of babingtonite. Although all studied babingtonite crystals are relatively homogeneous, chemical zonation due to mainly Fe ? Mn substitution is observed in manganbabingtonite. Mössbauer spectra consist of two doublets with isomer shift (I.S.)?=?1.16–1.22 mm/s and quadrupole splitting (Q.S.)?=?2.33–2.50 mm/s and with I.S.?=?0.38–0.42 mm/s and Q.S.?=?0.82–0.90 mm/s, assigned to Fe²⁺ and Fe³⁺ at the M1 and M2 octahedral sites, respectively. The determined ratio of Fe²⁺/total Fe in manganbabingtonite (0.26) was smaller than that in the others (0.35–0.44) because of high Mn²⁺ content instead of Fe²⁺. The unit-cell parameters of babingtonite are a?=?7.466–7.478, b?=?11.624–11.642, c?=?6.681–6.690 Å, α?=?91.53–91.59, β?=?93.86–93.94, γ?=?104.20–104.34º, and V?=?560.2–562.3 Å³, and those of manganbabingtonite are a?=?7.4967(3), b?=?11.6632(4), c?=?6.7014(2) Å, α?=?91.602(2), β?=?93.989(2), γ?=?104.574(3)º, and V =565.09(5) ų. Structural refinements converged to R ₁ values of 1.64–3.16 %. The <M1-O> distance was lengthened due to the substitution of large octahedral cations such as Mn²⁺ for Fe²⁺. The increase of the M1-O8, M1-O8’ and M1-O13 lengths with mean ionic radii is slightly more pronounced than of the other M1-Oi lengths. The lengthened M1-O13 distance leads the positive correlation between Si5-O15-Si1 angle and M1-O13 distance. The increase of Si2-O3-Si1 and Si5-O12-Si4 angles due to the increase of mean ionic radius of M2 is also observed.     

Estimation of Generic Subslab Attenuation Factors for Vapor Intrusion Investigations

Generic indoor air:subslab soil gas attenuation factors (SSAFs) are important for rapid screening of potential vapor intrusion risks in buildings that overlie soil and groundwater contaminated with volatile chemicals. Insufficiently conservative SSAFs can allow high‐risk sites to be prematurely excluded from further investigation. Excessively conservative SSAFs can lead to costly, time‐consuming, and often inconclusive actions at an inordinate number of low‐risk sites. This paper reviews two of the most commonly used approaches to develop SSAFs: (1) comparison of paired, indoor air and subslab soil gas data in empirical databases and (2) comparison of estimated subslab vapor entry rates and indoor air exchange rates (IAERs). Potential error associated with databases includes interference from indoor and outdoor sources, reliance on data from basements, and seasonal variability. Heterogeneity in subsurface vapor plumes combined with uncertainty regarding vapor entry points calls into question the representativeness of limited subslab data and diminishes the technical defensibility of SSAFs extracted from databases. The use of reasonably conservative vapor entry rates and IAERs offers a more technically defensible approach for the development of generic SSAF values for screening. Consideration of seasonal variability in building leakage rates, air exchange rates, and interpolated vapor entry rates allows for the development of generic SSAFs at both local and regional scales. Limitations include applicability of the default IAERs and vapor entry rates to site‐specific vapor intrusion investigations and uncertainty regarding applicability of generic SSAFs to assess potential short‐term (e.g., intraday) variability of impacts to indoor air.     

Variable gain feedback control technique of active mass damper and its application to hybrid structural control

A systematic design procedure and an algorithm are devised for variable gain feedback (VGF) control of buildings with active mass damper (AMD) systems. The limit of the stroke length of the auxiliary mass, which is considered to be one of the most important physical constraints for application of AMD systems to actual structures, is studied. A set of variable feedback gains is designed as a function of a single variable that indicates a trade-off between the reduction of the building response and the amplitude of the auxiliary mass stroke, and this variable is on-line controlled to keep the amplitude of the auxiliary mass stroke constant, and within its limits. A design method of static output feedback controller for modal control of buildings with non-classical damping is also presented. Next, an efficient control method for hybrid structural control is developed, with combined use of the VGF control and the static output feedback control. It is shown through numerical examples that the proposed control method effectively adapts the control performance according to the variation in the intensity level of the external excitations in such a manner that the amplitude of the auxiliary mass stroke is kept within its limits and the control power is restrained as well. The application range of the AMD systems is thereby improved significantly. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Solubility of sulfur in some magmas at 1 atmosphere

In order to understand the distribution of sulfur in igneous rooks, we determined the solubility of sulfur in volcanic rock melts (tholeiite basalt, hawaiite and rhyodacite from Hawaii) at various gas compositions and at 1250° and 1300°C and 1 atm total pressure. The solubility of sulfur in the melt passes through a minimum with change in oxygen partial pressure, if other factors are held constant. For the basaltic liquid at 1200°C, most sulfur in the melt is as dissolved sulfide (S^?2) at oxygen partial pressures below 10^?8 atm and as dissolved sulfate at oxygen partial pressures above 10^?8 atm. Based on the present solubility data, 5 per cent is inferred for volcanic gas at 1 atm total pressure in equilibrium with subaerially extruded Hawaiian tholeiite basalt (Pele's hair with 180 ppm S) at 1200°C and 10^?8 atm P_O2.     

Extremely Na- and Cl-rich chondrule from the CV3 carbonaceous chondrite Allende

We report on a study of Al3509, a large Na- and Cl-rich, radially-zoned object from the oxidized CV carbonaceous chondrite Allende. Al3509 consists of fine-grained ferroan olivine, ferroan Al-diopside, nepheline, sodalite, and andradite, and is crosscut by numerous veins of nepheline, sodalite, and ferroan Al-diopside. Some poorly-characterized phases of fine-grained material are also present; these phases contain no significant H₂O. The minerals listed above are commonly found in Allende CAIs and chondrules and are attributed to late-stage iron-alkali-halogen metasomatic alteration of primary high-temperature minerals. Textural observations indicate that Al3509 is an igneous object. However, no residual crystals that might be relicts of pre-existing CAI or chondrule minerals were identified. To establish the levels of ²⁶Al and ³⁶Cl originally present, ²⁶Al-²⁶Mg and ³⁶Cl-³⁶S isotopic systematics in sodalite were investigated. Al3509 shows no evidence of radiogenic ²⁶Mg^∗, establishing an upper limit of the initial ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratio of 3 × 10⁻⁶. All sodalite grains measured show large but variable excesses of ³⁶S, which, however, do not correlate with ³⁵Cl/³⁴S ratio. If these excesses are due to decay of ³⁶Cl, local redistribution of radiogenic ³⁶S^∗ after ³⁶Cl had decayed is required. The oxygen-isotope pattern in Al3509 is the same as found in secondary minerals resulting from iron-alkali-halogen metasomatic alteration of Allende CAIs and chondrules and in melilite and anorthite of most CAIs in Allende. The oxygen-isotope data suggest that the secondary minerals precipitated from or equilibrated with a fluid of similar oxygen-isotope composition. These observations suggest that the formation of Al3509 and alteration products in CAIs and chondrules in Allende requires a very similar fluid phase, greatly enriched in volatiles (e.g., Na and Cl) and with Δ¹⁷O ∼ −3‰. We infer that internal heating of planetesimals by ²⁶Al would efficiently transfer volatiles to their outer portions and enhance the formation of volatile-enriched minerals there. We conclude that the site for the production of Na- and Cl-rich fluids responsible for the formation of Al3509 and the alteration of the Allende CAIs and chondrules must have been on a protoplanetary body prior to incorporation into the Allende meteorite. Galactic cosmic rays cannot be the source of the inferred initial ³⁶Cl in Allende. The problem of ³⁶Cl production by solar energetic particle (SEP) bombardment and the possibility that ³⁶Cl and ⁴¹Ca might be the product of neutron capture resulting from SEP bombardment of protoplanetary surfaces are discussed. This hypothesis can be tested comparing inferred “initial” ³⁶Cl with neutron fluencies measured on the same samples and on phases showing ³⁶S^∗ by Sm and Gd isotopic measurements.     

Calcium-aluminum-rich inclusion found in the Ivuna CI chondrite: Are CI chondrites a good proxy for the bulk composition of the solar system?

Cosmochemists have relied on CI carbonaceous chondrites as proxies for chemical composition of the non-volatile elements in the solar system because these meteorites are fine-grained, chemically homogeneous, and have well-determined bulk compositions that agree with that of the solar photosphere, within uncertainties. Here we report the discovery of a calcium-aluminum-rich inclusion (CAI) in the Ivuna CI chondrite. CAIs are chemically highly fractionated compared to CI composition, consisting of refractory elements and having textures that either reflect condensation from nebular gas or melting in a nebular environment. The CAI we found is a compact type A CAI with typical ¹⁶O-rich oxygen. However, it shows no evidence of ²⁶Al, which was present when most CAIs formed. Finding a CAI in a CI chondrite raises serious questions about whether CI chondrites are a reliable proxy for the bulk composition of the solar system. Too much CAI material would show up as mismatches between the CI composition and the composition of the solar photosphere. Although small amounts of refractory material have previously been identified in CI chondrites, this material is not abundant enough to significantly perturb the bulk compositions of CI chondrites. The agreement between the composition of the solar photosphere and CI chondrites allows no more than ~0.5 atom% of CAI-like material to have been added to CI chondrites. As the compositions of CI chondrites, carbonaceous asteroids, and the solar photosphere are better determined, we will be able to reduce the uncertainties in our estimates of the composition of the solar system.     

Near-infrared study of CIZA J1324.7-5736, the second richest cluster of galaxies in the Great Attractor

We present the result of a deep near-infrared survey of the newly identified X-ray luminous cluster of galaxies CIZA J1324.7-5736 in the Great Attractor (GA) region. In a 35 × 35 arcmin² region, 111 galaxy candidates with   r _{Ks 20} > arcsec  are identified. Comparison of the extinction-corrected   K _s   -band luminosity function of CIZA J1324.7-5736 with those of nearby clusters indicates that the richness class of CIZA J1324.7-5736 is almost the same as, or richer than, the Pavo, Centaurus and Hydra clusters but poorer than the Coma, Perseus and Norma clusters. CIZA J1324.7-5736 is possibly the second richest cluster in the GA region following the Norma cluster. The position of CIZA J1324.7-5736 [in the ( l , b , v ) space] is close to the Centaurus–Crux cluster and the agglomeration of galaxies detected by the Parkes H  i survey. CIZA J1324.7-5736, together with the Centaurus–Crux cluster and the H  i galaxy agglomeration, is most likely to be one of the richest local concentrations in the GA overdensity of galaxies.     

Modulation of galactic cosmic ray anisotropy in heliomagnetosphere: Seasonal variation of sidereal daily variation

In the previous paper (Nagashima et al., 1982), we have reported the yearly averaged modulation of galactic cosmic ray anisotropy in the heliomagnetosphere. In the present paper, we analyze the seasonal (annual) dependence of the modulation, using the frequency modulation method. The seasonal variation of the sidereal daily variation produced from the anisotropy is resolved into variations with proper sideband frequencies, such as solar and anti-sidereal variations. These side-band variations are predominant in the rigidity region of 10² ～' 10³ GV and show the following characteristics.(1) Being similar to the average sidereal variation, they are strongly dependent on the polarity state (‘positive’ or ‘negative’) of the heliomagnetosphere.(2) The side-band variations with frequencies lower than the sidereal frequency (366 cycle/year) generally predominate over those with higher frequencies. The most predominant variations are produced from the component of the uni-directional anisotropy projected to the Earth's rotation axis and could be observed as the solar and anti-sidereal diurnal variations.(3) If the flat neutral sheet of the heliomagnetosphere is replaced with the wavy neutral sheet, side-band variations in the positive state tend to diminish with the increase of the heliolatitudinal extent of the wavy neutral sheet, while those in the negative state almost retain their magnitude.(4) These variations depend also on the observation periods when the Earth is located either in the “toward” field or in the “away” field. This T-A dependence changes with the transition from the positive state to the negative and increases with the increase of the heliolatitudinal extent of the wavy neutral sheet. The most remarkable T-A dependence is observed in solar diurnal variation arising from the component of the unidirectional anisotropy projected to the Earth's rotation axis and can be used for the determination of the direction of the anisotropy.