An analysis of anomalous weather and cli mate around the M S= 6.2 earthquake of Zhangbei region

ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＡｔｅｉｇｈｔｔｏｔｗｅｌｖｅｏ′ｃｌｏｃｋｏｎＪａｎｕａｒｙ１０,１９９８,ｔｈｅｒｅｏｃｃｕｒｅｄａｓｔｒｏｎｇｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｏｆＭＳ＝６．２ａｔＺｈａｎｇｂｅｉＣｏｕｎｔｙｉｎｔｈｅｎｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔｅｒｎｐａｒ...     

青岛观象台海尔—波普慧星观测

中国科学院紫金山天文台青岛观象台从1996年4月开始到1995年5月1日结束,在138个观测夜,共拍摄Hale-Bopp彗星底片508张。发现:Hale-Bopp彗星在1996年9月24日的一次爆发,1996年10月26日,11月13日的两次可能爆发。在1996年9月23日的底片上,Hale-Bopp呈现巨大的喷流。在1997年2月8日至5月1日期间,Hale-Bopp彗星彗头内存在大量壳层结构。     

Major Earthquakes in and Around Yunnan Province and Variations of Astronomical Time-Latitude Residuals Determined by Yunnan Observatory

In this paper,the features of medium-term anomalies for strong earthquakes and the criteria for the prediction of such earthquakes are discussed,as well as the feasibility of applying the anomalies of astronomical time-latitude residuals to earthquake prediction and their limitation when applied to imminent-term prediction.The criteria used to identify the anomalies of time-latitude residuals for M≥6.0 earthquakes in Yunnan Province and for M≥7.0 earthquakes around Yunnan are also discussed.The last strong earthquake in the data used for testing passed the whole process of earthquake prediction practice.In addition,some special features of the case in which anomalies appeared but no strong earthquake followed are also discussed.     

利用防火墙构建网络安全系统

介绍了河南省气象局目前选用的防火墙类型、防火墙体系结构，以及防火墙技术未来的发展趋势。     

位于预测区边缘附近的地震统计检验问题

对位于地震预测工作所圈定的地震危险区附近的地震的统计检验问题 ,一直是地震预测研究中一个颇有争议的问题。本文以中国地震局全国年度地震趋势会商的情况为例 ,对这一问题进行了探讨。结果表明 ,将所划定的地震危险区适度扩大 ,即将现有的地震危险区范围向外扩大约 0 5° ,可以显著地提高预测地震的“命中率”。但从统计检验的角度说 ,这样做并不能提高实际地震预测的能力 ,亦即并不能使R值有显著的提高。     

A Correlation between Proton Events and Hα Flares and its Possible Interpretation

1 INTRoDUCTIONIt is well known that solar proton flares are maiuly correlated with strong, bright H. flares,in particular, with two ribbon flares. Ellison et al. (l961) were the first to draw attelltion tothe faCt that all cosndc-ray flares had the typical two-ribbon shape. Then, Svestka and Simon(1976) drew uP the "Catalog of Solar Particle Evellts, 195ty1969", and using this Catalog,Dodson and Hedeman could safely identify the flare sources for 50 proton events. Out of the 50idellti…     

1989年10月和1991年3月大同地震的活动断裂

中国地震局地球物理研究所在 1 989年 1 0月 5.8级和 1 991年 3月 5.5级大同地震之后使用由数字地震仪组成的小孔径流动台网对其余震进行了流动观测。通过利用多道地震数据分析软件正确地确定震相 ,修改地壳速度模型等方法 ,高精度地确定了部分余震的震源位置。两次大同地震部分余震的震中分布表明 ,大同地震的主干断裂是北北东走向的断裂 ,同时伴随北西走向的分支断裂的活动。盆地的速度结构可以以双层速度结构模拟 ,其上层为 P波速度为3.1 km/s的沉积层 ,符合大同盆地为火山喷发堆积物的实际情况。     

An Examination of ENSO’s Effect on the Monthly and Seasonal Climate of Hong Kong from a Statistical Perspective

This study aims to examine the effect of El Nino and La Nina on the monthly and seasonal climate of Hong Kong against the ENSO-neutral situation from a statistical perspective. Monthly and seasonal temperature and rainfall of Hong Kong and monthly number of tropical cyclones (TCs) coming within 500 km of the city over the 59-yr (1950-2008) period are examined under three ENSO situations, namely El Nino, La Nina, and ENSO-neutral. It is found that, compared with the ENSO-neutral situation, El Nino tends...     

WRF耦合4个陆面过程对“6.19”暴雨过程的模拟研究

利用WRF模式与4个陆面过程的耦合,对2010年6月19—20日的暴雨过程进行了数值模拟,并分析陆面过程对暴雨强度和范围的敏感性。结果显示：WRF耦合4个陆面过程模拟的雨带和实况分布一致,均为东西向的雨带形状,且均预报出与实况资料相似的强降水中心。在无陆面方案情况下,强降水中心的位置、范围、强度等都发生明显变化。另外地表径流预报量和降水趋势表现一致,由于土壤含水量趋于饱和,多余的降水分配给地表径流,这种剧增的地表径流也是洪水暴涨、水位上升的重要原因。在较湿的土壤状况下,由于净辐射增长,有利于产生厚度更小的边界层高度以及更大的地表向上潜热通量,这也是导致本次降水过程异常增幅的一个重要原因。     

Effects of sedimentary layer on earthquake source modeling from geodetic inversion

Ground deformation as observed with GPS or InSAR has been broadly inverted in constraining source parameter of earthquakes. However, for earthquakes occurring beneath sedimentary basins, the very slow sub-surface shear velocity (v S , down to 200 m/s) may cause substantial bias to earthquake source inversion if simple crustal models are used. For Bohai basin, Sichuan basin and rock-sites, we test effects of sub-surface shear velocity structure on ground deformation, and find that up to a factor of 2 overest...