基于GIS的徐州市火灾应急救援系统设计与实现

为了提高城市火灾应急救援效率,最大限度降低人民群众生命财产损失,以ArcGIS Engine和ArcGIS Object SDK for.Net为桌面GIS应用程序的二次开发框架,构建PC桌面端徐州市火灾应急救援系统.该系统充分利用GIS强大的海量数据存储、查询及分析的特色功能,实现数据管理、信息查询、应急救援、风险评估及案件记录等功能,可解决目前消防指挥部门中诸如人工查询低效导致火场信息不清、救援方案不明确,救援路线不佳导致救援效率低下、人工记录不全面等问题,为徐州城市火灾高效救援提供技术支持.     

滇东南地区中三叠统沉积型锰矿的热释光特征

矿物和岩石的热释光是矿物晶体特征中研究程度较低的领域。将采自滇东南地区中三叠统的锰矿样品分类后进行热释光实验研究。实验发现:上矿段褐红色锰碳酸盐集合体的热释光谱线多两峰型,前特征峰位于250～350℃之间,后特征峰位于350～430℃之间,且前峰的峰值明显低于后峰,热释光强度最大值均出现在最高温度——450℃处,前峰均存在,后峰偶有缺失;下矿段黑色锰氧化物集合体的热释光特征是在280～340℃处为第一峰,而在390±10℃范围内为一拐点,420±10℃处为另一拐点,使热释光谱线呈现阶梯状,但部分样品第一峰缺失。将上、下矿段同类矿样的热释光谱线对比发现:上、下矿段内部的同类型矿石的热释光特征具相似性,上、下矿段之间的同类型矿石的热释光特征几乎无可比性,说明矿石形成时所处环境对热释光谱线的影响大于矿物成分对矿石热释光谱线的影响。     

深海会聚区波导不变量特征研究及应用

为了解决深海会聚区目标及其运动态势难以判断的问题,在研究会聚区形成条件和其声场传播规律以及波导不变量理论的基础上,对典型深海环境不同位置的声强距离-频率分布图中的干涉条纹特征进行理论分析和仿真验证。结果表明,深海会聚区存在与其他区域不同的干涉条纹特征,其对应的波导不变量?值为负。本文提出了利用会聚区特有的干涉条纹特征,对会聚区目标及其运动态势进行初步判断的方法,仿真结果和试验数据表明,判断方法具有可行性和有效性。     

Temporal evolution of backward erosion piping in small-scale experiments

Backward erosion piping (BEP) is a form of internal erosion which can lead to failure of levees and dams. Most research focused on the critical head difference at which piping failure occurs. Two aspects have received less attention, namely (1) the temporal evolution of piping and (2) the local hydraulic conditions in the pipe and at the pipe tip. We present small-scale experiments with local pressure measurements in the pipe during equilibrium and pipe progression for different sands and degrees of hydraulic loading. The experiments confirm a positive relation between progression rate and grain size as well as the degree of hydraulic overloading. Furthermore, the analysis of local hydraulic conditions shows that the rate of BEP progression can be better explained by the bed shear stress and sediment transport in the pipe than by the seepage velocity at the pipe tip. The experiments show how different processes contribute to the piping process and these insights provide a first empirical basis for modeling pipe development using coupled seepage-sediment transport equations.

     

Influence d'un changement climatique dû à une hausse de gaz à effet de serre sur l'agriculture au quebec

Abstract

This study, using a climate change scenario generated by the Canadian Climate Centre (CCC) general circulation model (GCM) examines the impacts of such a climate change on agriculture in southern Quebec. Using a crop model from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), yield responses of a variety of cereals, legumes, oleaginous and special crops to climate change are analysed and discussed.

Results show that under the 2 × CO₂ climate scenario the growing season would be longer and accumulation of corn heat units and growing degree days would be more important than under actual climate (1961–1990). One of the more important results of this study is that, on the one hand yield of C₃ cereals would be lower and that of C₄ cereals higher in most agricultural regions. On the other hand, the direct fertilisation effect of increased CO₂ is not considered. It must be cautioned however that we can not generalise results obtained for one legume crop to all legumes.     

CO2‐warming,rising sea‐level and retreating coasts: review and critique

A CO₂‐warming atmospheric scenario, whereby increased concentrations of ‘greenhouse’ gases result in higher temperatures that either melt near‐polar ice or cause thermal expansion of ocean waters, thus leading to increased sea‐levels and exacerbated coastal erosion, assumes fundamental but unproven cause‐and‐effect relationships. General circulation models have reinforced claims of an accelerated warming and indirectly given support to the complete scenario, but ignore the point that global climate and not just air temperatures have changed over the past century. Indeed, it is difficult to prove that air temperatures have warmed naturally outside of urban centres over this period. To attribute recent temperature increases to anthropogenic factors and to extrapolate these trends to the future also ignores the historic variability of climate. What is more, an eustatic rise in sea‐level cannot be discerned from the background noise of technically or climatically induced changes. Even if sea‐level was rising, coastal erosion may be accounted for better by a suite of inter‐related climatic factors including changes in rainfall regimes, hemispheric circulation and storminess.     

The dependence of the climate sensitivity on convective parametrization: statistical evaluation

Two sensitivity experiments, in which CO₂ is instantaneously doubled, have been performed with a general circulation model to determine the influence of the convective parametrization on simulated climate change. We have examined the spatial structure of changes in the annual mean and annual cycle for surface temperature and precipitation for both experiments; similarly we have examined changes in the variance for these two fields. We have also computed a range of test statistics in order to obtain reliable measures of the signal-to-noise ratio in the climate change signal from each experiment. We have computed test statistics for the entire globe and for five different region and we contrast the global response with the response in the Australian region taken as a representative sample.We find that the highest signal-to-noise ratios in the change from 1 * CO₂ to 2 * CO₂ are for the change in surface temperature for both experiments with little difference in the global averages between the experiments. Globally averaged precipitation shows a greater noise level but perhaps the greatest contrast between experiments. There are generally significant increases in the temporal and spatial variability of precipitation in the change from the 1 * CO₂ to 2 * CO₂ and with some differences apparent between the two experiments. The temporal variability of surface temperature does not change significantly in any of the 2 * CO₂ cases, and there is little difference between the experiments. There is a significant decrease in the spatial variability of surface temperature in all 2 * CO₂ experiments in all cases and with significant differences in the seasonal variations between different experiments. The spatial variability of precipitation increases in all 2 * CO₂ cases and also with substantial differences in the seasonal variations between the experiments. There are accompanying significantly different spatial pattern correlations for both surface temperature and precipitation. In general we find that the global changes are fairly robust with the differences associated with convective parametrization schemes being very small. However, at the regional level, there are marked differences between experiments with changes both in the means and in the spatial and temporal variances but often with low levels of significance.     

Electron precipitation in a non-uniform glow aurora

Electron intensities at 5 keV >18 keV and >45 keV, were measured on a Petrel rocket flown from Kiruna, Sweden, into a non-uniform glow aurora during the recovery phase of a magnetic bay. The intensities depend on pitch-angle in a way that is consistent with the precipitation being caused by pitch-angle diffusion from reservoirs of geomagnetically-trapped electrons. The scattering process that causes pitch-angle diffusion, and leads to three regions of relatively high intensity, appears to have properties different from the scattering process that leads to two intervening regions of low intensity. A spatial structure in electron reservoir intensity, is attributed mainly to variations in the rate of erosion by pitch-angle diffusion of an initially nearly-uniform reservoir intensity. An expression is derived for the minimum lifetime of trapped electrons undergoing strong pitch-angle diffusion.     

Bringing the other into political ecology: Reflecting on preoccupations in a research field

For all its vitality political ecology often appears to be a project in which work by Anglo‐Americans in particular, if it is not privileged, certainly predominates. This trend reflects wider language and intellectual tendencies in human geography and the social sciences that distort the development of the field by downplaying or obscuring the contributions of many non‐Anglo‐Americans and by naturalizing Anglo‐American assumptions at the heart of research. The latter in turn determine what constitutes ‘good’ work – even as there is no single definition of political ecology. Arguing against this tendency, this paper draws on postcolonial thinking to emphasize the need to reassess and reorient the field as ‘other’ political ecologies are feasible and desirable.