Projected Shifts in Kppen Climate Zones over China and Their Temporal Evolution in CMIP5 Multi-Model Simulations

Previous studies have examined the projected climate types in China by 2100. This study identified the emergence time of climate shifts at a 1?scale over China from 1990 to 2100 and investigated the temporal evolution of K o¨ppen–Geiger climate classifications computed from CMIP5 multi-model outputs. Climate shifts were detected in transition regions(7%–8% of China's land area) by 2010, including rapid replacement of mixed forest(Dwb) by deciduous forest(Dwa) over Northeast China, strong shrinkage of alpine climate type(ET) on the Tibetan Plateau, weak northward expansion of subtropical winterdry climate(Cwa) over Southeast China, and contraction of oceanic climate(Cwb) in Southwest China. Under all future RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios, the reduction of Dwb in Northeast China and ET on the Tibetan Plateau was projected to accelerate substantially during 2010–30, and half of the total area occupied by ET in 1990 was projected to be redistributed by 2040. Under the most severe scenario(RCP8.5), sub-polar continental winter dry climate over Northeast China would disappear by 2040–50, ET on the Tibetan Plateau would disappear by 2070, and the climate types in 35.9%and 50.8% of China's land area would change by 2050 and 2100, respectively. The results presented in this paper indicate imperative impacts of anthropogenic climate change on China's ecoregions in future decades.     

基于聚落演变的岩溶山地聚落体系空间结构整合——以后寨河地区为例

基于高精度遥感影像和实地调查数据,选择黔中高原的典型岩溶山地普定县后寨河流域,探讨了1963~2010年岩溶山地的聚落和人口变迁,建立了基于聚落规模等级发展变迁和人口密度空间分布的乡村聚落发展适宜性和聚落整治类型评价方法。研究区大聚落和较大聚落主要分布在耕地条件和交通条件较好的中部峰丛洼地区东、西两侧,人口密度高值中心对应的往往是大聚落等级。研究区聚落可划分为重点村镇型、优先发展型、有条件扩展型、限制扩展型和迁弃型5类。     

中国农业气候区划新论

作者1983年在本刊发表了“中国农业气候区划再论”以后,陆续出现了很多有关文献,主要的有:(1)国家气象局主持的中国农业气候区划协作组完成的一系列资料、图集和区划;(2)多数省、市、自治区在简明的农业气候区划的基础上又完成了详细的区划;     

南极乔治王岛柯林斯冰帽小冰穹冰心地球化学初步研究

通过对南极乔治王岛柯林斯冰帽小冰穹冰心１００个样品的化学分析结果进行Ｒ型因子分析，将主要环境信息归结到四个因子上，解释总变量方差的９９．１７％．Ｆ１因子特征值为３．７７５，解释变量方差的４１．９５％，为Ｋ＋、Ｍｇ２＋、Ｃａ２＋、ＳＯ４２－组合，主要代表了陆源杂质的输入；Ｆ３因子特征值为３．３３８，解释变量方差的３７．０９％，为Ｎａ＋、Ｃｌ－、Ｂｒ－组合，代表了海源杂质的输入；Ｆ２因子特征值为１．０３０，解释变量方差的１１．４４％，代表ＮＨ４＋离子的输入；Ｆ４因子特征值为０．７８２，解释变量方差的８．６９％，代表ＮＯ３－离子的输入。通过考察代表不同环境的各因子的因子得分值随冰心深度的变化趋势，研究了可溶杂质输入随时间的变化关系。     

黄海冷水团声层析监测数值模拟

海洋冷水团是海洋学家关注多年的问题 ,其监测方法亟待解决。本文将简正波波数层析法用于冷水团监测 ,并对简正波波数层析用于反演黄海冷水团声速剖面进行了数值模拟。数值模拟结果表明 ,简正波波数层析可以用于反演平均声速剖面 ,特别在监测与距离有关海洋环境的声速结构方面大有潜力。     

Multi-Bernoulli Filter for Tracking Multiple Targets Using Sensor Array

This paper presents a multi-Bernoulli filter for tracking the direction of arrival(DOAs) of time-varying number of targets using sensor array. Our method operates directly on the measurements of sensor array and does not require any detection. Firstly, more information is reserved and compared with the after-detection measurements using a finite set of detected points. It can significantly improve the tracking performance, especially in low signal-to-noise ratio. Secondly, it inherits the advantages of the multi-Bernoulli approximation which models each of the targets individually. This allows more accurate multi-target state estimation, especially when targets cross. The proposed filter does not need clustering step and simulation results showcase the improved performance of the proposed filter.     

青岛市垃圾卫生填埋场选址问题研究

垃圾卫生填埋法将是青岛市今后若干年内垃圾处理的主要方法，结合青岛市城市发展的规划思路，提出在保护环境，尤其是海洋环境的基础上，应寻找内陆场地进行垃圾卫生填埋。经遴选，小涧一带最有前景，经论证，认为小涧一带从地形地貌、地表水发育，场地取土条件，环境水文地质条件、构造条件及经济条件等各方面均满足选址要求     

春夏季季风转换期南海南部的异常表层水

对1985－1998年期间的海洋调查温盐深（CTD）资料进行综合分析，发现南海南部春夏季季风转换期存在盐度逆转的异常表层水。实测资料表明，该异常表层水覆盖在南海南部的中部、东部大部分地区。冬季风停止引起苏禄海高温高超国水西向侵入，成为该海区东部近表面异常高盐水的来源之一。海面强的蒸发和表层水弱的垂向混合导致近表面水具有高盐特性，近表面高盐水与其下部保持着冬季遗存的局地低盐水叠置，形成了盐度逆转现象。     

白沙河平原区地下水资源现状供需平衡分析

利用白沙河含水系统数值模拟模型和白沙河平原区需水预测模型的预测结果，对白沙河平原区水资源现状供需状况进行分析，指出：单纯依靠地下水供水时，缺水率达２０％以上，含水层系统有１／５的面积经常处于疏干状态．这一结果为更好地设计管理方案提供了依据。     

A method to predict typhoon waves

Ａｍｅｔｈｏｄｔｏｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｔｙｐｈｏｏｎｗａｖｅｓ￥ＹａｎｇＣｈｕｎｃｈｅｎｇ；ＤａｉＭｉｎｇｒｕｉ；ＧａｏＺｈｉｈｕａ；ＣｈｅｎｇＺｈａｎ；ＸｕＦｕｘｉａｎｇ；ＬｉｕＹｕ；ＬｉＦｅｎｇｊｉｎ；ＬｉＪｉｅ；ＳｕＤｏｎｇｆｕ；ＺｈａｎｇＤａｃｕｏ...