The effect of observational errors on geomagnetic field models based solely on total-intensity measurements

An investigation is made of the changes produced in the spherical harmonic coefficients of a geomagnetic main field model when values of the total intensity synthesized from the model are systematically perturbed. Corresponding differences between the values of the field components from the original model and those from the perturbed model are also derived. The effects of varying the altitude of the perturbed point and of including a small proportion of component data are discussed. It is shown that significant errors can arise in the region of the dip equator when only scalar data are used, but that these errors can be eliminated if the data set contains 10% of well-distributed component data, some of which refers to the equatorial zone.     

Estrogen in a karstic aquifer

Adverse impacts on the health of some fish populations, such as skewed sex distributions, have been noted in surface waters and in laboratory experiments with relatively low concentrations (above 25 ng/L) of natural estrogen (17 beta-estradiol--E2). Sources of E2 to surface and ground waters can include avian, human, and mammalian waste products. The Ozark Plateau Aquifer (OPA) is a karstic basin that receives a significant portion of its water through losing reaches of rivers. Thus, there is a direct connection between surface water and ground water. The OPA was targeted for an E2 study to assess the potential for adverse health effects to aquatic organisms living in the system. Eight springs, which drain the aquifer, were sampled quarterly. The concentrations of E2 in the OPA ranged from 13 to 80 ng/L. For any one sampling event, the concentrations of E2 at the spring waters were statistically similar; however, the concentrations of E2 at all springs varied throughout the year. At Maramec Spring, one of the larger springs, the E2 concentration, was correlated with discharge. Based on the correlation between discharge and E2 concentration, aquatic organisms living in the plateau or in its discharged waters, including the threatened southern cavefish T. subterraneus, are exposed to concentration of E2 above 25 ng/L approximately 60% of the time. This implies that organisms living in karst basins throughout the OPA are likely exposed to E2 concentrations that may adversely impact their reproductive success for a significant portion of each year.     

Linking phytoplankton community composition with juvenile-phase growth in the Northern QuahogMercenaria mercenaria (L.)

This study examined whetherMercenaria mercenaria (L.) (quahog) growth is influenced by variability in phytoplantkon community composition in the waters of Long Island, New York. Field studies conducted during 1999 and 2000 compared juvenile quahog growth and phytoplankton assemblages between West Sayville (WS), an embayment in Great South Bay along Long Island’s south shore where quahog landings have recently declined, and Oyster Bay (OB), an embayment on Long Island’s north shore where quahog landings are still high. Quahogs grew better at OB than WS during both study years. Centric diatoms were typically the dominant phytoplankton species at OB, and pennate diatoms and dinoflagellates characterized WS. At WS, the phytoplankton community consisted of heterotrophic dinoflagellates during a brown tide in 2000 and pennate diatoms afterward. Nanoflagellates were abundant (10⁵–10⁶ cells ml^?1) at WS throughout the summer of 2000. Multiple regression analysis revealed a significant effect of site and temperature on individual clam biomass during both years, but brown tide was only significant during 2000. Biomass comparisons of dominant phytoplantkon taxa with laboratory physiology studies showed that 0B, with its abundance of centric diatoms, likely represented a more nutritional diet for quahogs than pennate diatoms, which were abundant at WS. Small flagellates, which were common at WS, may also have been important for sustaining growth during some months. Variability in plankton assemblages between OB and WS likely represented two distinct, diets that were critical influences on clam growth.     

A review of the causes, effects, and potential management of harmful brown tide blooms caused byAureococcus anophagefferens (Hargraves et sieburth)

Brown tides caused by the harmful algaAureococcus anophagefferens abruptly appeared in some coastal embayments of the northeastern United States (Rhode Island, New York) in 1985. Since then, brown tides have vanished from some bays, chronically reoccurred in others, and recently have exhibited an apparent southern expansion into new regions (e.g., New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia). Brown tides have also recently been detected across the Atlantic Ocean in South Africa. Although blooms ofA. anophagefferens have no known direct, negative effects on human health, they are considered harmful because of their detrimental effects on estuarine organisms, such as suspension feeders (scallops and hard clams) and submerged aquatic vegetation. The selective effect of blooms on pelagic grazers (zooplankton and shellfish) is likely to affect food webs and biodiversity within affected ecosystems. Recent findings indicate brown tides occur in shallow estuaries with long residence times and high salinities (> 25‰). These estuarine characteristics may foster the accumulation of algal biomass and a nutrient environment (high dissolved organic matter and low dissolved in organic nitrogen) as well as a low light regime that encourages rapid cellular growth ofA. anophagefferens. A lack of sufficient grazing control by benthic and pelagic suspension feeders during the initiation phase of blooms is also implicated in brown tide development.     

Copenhagen,Climate Science and the Emotional Geographies of Climate Change

The Pacific island nation-state of Tuvalu featured significantly at the Copenhagen Conference of Parties (COP) 15 climate change negotiations, where the vulnerability of Tuvalu to sea level rise and emotional outpourings of the Tuvaluan delegation contributed to the nation's prominence. In this paper we discuss the likely impacts for Tuvalu of a 1.5°C versus 2°C global warming target and explore sadness and discomfort surrounding discussion of these targets during COP 15. We highlight tensions between science and emotion, arguing that affective encounters can be significant in climate change decision-making. Weeping by a member of the Tuvalu delegation evoked discomfort in the conference plenary. This discomfort briefly unsettled the apparently stable boundaries of convention and protocol that seek to separate emotion from science and politics. We argue that possibilities for change arise when emotions enter climate change negotiations, even though (or perhaps because) these are arenas that privilege rational exchange. Our conclusion urges that more attention be paid to how climate science and emotion are intertwined in climate change politics.     

The 18-cm light curves of the luminous radio supernova candidates in Arp 220

We present multi-epoch observations of Arp 220 with the VLBA and focus on the continuum emission from the luminous radio supernovae (RSNe) whose 1.6-GHz light curves are shown. The supernovae seem to be generally stable or only slowly decaying in flux with time, a result which deviates from the model of Type IIn RSNe. Hints of new eruptions confirm that they are indeed new sources and not supernova remnants, which could be several hundred years old. The slow decay of the sources for which monitoring data were available forces us to reconsider the starburst model for Arp 220 and adopt a more modest value of 0.7 yr⁻¹ for the supernova rate based on these new eruptions. The starburst efficiency should also be modified accordingly which gives rise to the issue of an active nucleus once more. The question is raised whether it is the starburst which creates this active nucleus, something which could affect the evolution of starburst galaxies as a group.