The use of fuzzy sets in the evaluation of the environment of coastal waters

This paper advocates the use of GIS for the evaluation of the vulnerability of coastal waters and presents a method for mapping their vulnerability to algal blooms. The method incorporates probability mapping of parameters used to describe coastal waters and fuzzy sets. To allow the modelling of processes where some components cannot substitute for other components the 'no trade off' convex combination formula is proposed. The maps of vulnerability for the Gulf of Gdansk, which were created using this method, may be used to find out which rivers and water discharges play a dominant role in eutrophication.     

Comparison of the microwave and soft X-ray emission above a sunspot

The Westerbork Synthesis Radio Telescope (WSRT) 6 cm radio observations of the active region HL 16864 large spot (Strong, Alissandrakis, and Kundu, 1984) are compared with X-ray data obtained from the Flat Crystal Spectrometer (FCS) onboard the Solar Maximum Mission satellite on May 25, 1980. The X-ray data confirm the presence of a temperature depression above the spot umbra in agreement with suggestions obtained from radio data analysis. Significant differences in the spatial distribution of both kinds of emission observed in the corona above this spot are attributed mainly to the strong resonant character of the cyclotron radio radiation. Some differences are also caused by both the relatively low efficiency and the low spatial resolution of the FCS. Deconvolution of X-ray images allows to see the new structures and enhances the mutual correlation between X-ray and radio pictures.     

A multiwavelength study of a double impulsive flare

Extensive data from the Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) and ground-based observatories are presented for two flares; the first occurred at 12:48 UT on 31 August, 1980 and the second just 3 min later. They were both compact events located in the same part of the active region. The first flare appeared as a typical X-ray flare: the Caxix X-ray lines were broadened ( 190±40 km s^-1) and blue shifted ( 60±20 km s^-1) during the impulsive phase, and there was a delay of about 30 s between the hard and soft X-ray maxima. The relative brightness of the two flares was different depending on the spectral region being used to observe them, the first being the brighter at microwave and hard X-ray wavelengths but fainter in soft X-rays. The second flare showed no significant mass motions, and the impulsive and gradual phases were almost simultaneous. The physical characteristics of the two flares are derived and compared. The main difference between them was in the pre-flare state of the coronal plasma at the flare site: before the first flare it was relatively cool (3 × 10⁶ K) and tenuous (4 × 10⁹ cm^-3), but owing to the residual effects of the first flare the coronal plasma was hotter (5 × 10⁶ K) and more dense (3 × 10¹¹ cm^-3) at the onset of the second flare. We are led to believe from these data that the plasma filling the flaring loops absorbed most of the energy released during the impulsive phase of the second flare, so that only a fraction of the energy could reach the chromosphere to produce mass motions and turbulence.A simple study of the brightest flares observed by the SMM shows that at least 43% of them are multiple. Thus, the situation studied here may be quite common, and the difference in initial plasma conditions could explain at least some of the large variations in observed flare parameters. We draw a number of conclusions from this study. First, the evolution of the second flare is substantially affected by the presence of the first flare. Secondly, the primary energy release in the second event is in the corona. Thirdly, the flares occur in a decaying magnetic region, probably as a result of the interaction of existing sheared loops; there is no evidence of emerging magnetic flux. Also, magnetic structures of greatly varying size participate in the flare processes. Lastly, there is some indication that the loops are not symmetrical or stable throughout the flares, i.e. the magnetic field does not act as a uniform passive bottle for the plasma, as is often assumed in flare models.NOAA/Space Environment Laboratory, currently at NASA/MSFC, Ala., U.S.A.Now at Sacramento Peak Observatory, Tucson, Ariz., U.S.A.     

Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters for incomplete and uncertain data files

The maximum likelihood estimation of earthquake hazard parameters (maximum regional magnitudem _max, activity rate λ, and theb parameter in the Gutenberg-Richter distribution) is extended to the cases of incomplete and uncertain data. The method accepts mixed data containing only large (extreme) events and a variable quality of complete data with different threshold magnitude values. Uncertainty of earthquake magnitude is specified by two values, the lower and upper magnitude limits. It is assumed that such an interval contains the real unknown magnitude. The proposed approach allows the combination of different quality catalog parts, e.g. those where the assignment of magnitude is questionable and those with magnitudes precisely determined. As an illustration of the method, the seismic hazard analysis for western Norway and adjacent sea area (4–8°E, 58–64°N) is presented on the basis of the strongest earthquakes felt during the period 1831–1889 and three complete catalog parts, covering the period 1890–1987.     

Hamiltonian formalism for Euler parameters

The Euler-Poinsot equations of rigid body motion are considered. The Euler parameters attitude parametrization is assumed. The Hamiltonian form of these equations is obtained. Two different solutions are shown. A short discussion of free motion in this new treatment is also given.     

Hot accretion discs with thermal Comptonization and advection in luminous black hole sources

We solve for the structure of a hot accretion disc with unsaturated thermal Comptonization of soft photons and with advection, generalizing the classical model of Shapiro et al. The upper limit on the accretion rate due to advection constrains the luminosity to ≲ 0.15 y^3/5 α^7/5 of the Eddington limit, where y and α are the Compton and viscosity parameters, respectively. The characteristic electron temperature and Thomson optical depth of the inner flow at accretion rates within an order of magnitude of that upper limit are ∼ 10⁹ K and ∼ 1, respectively. The resulting spectra are then in close agreement with the X-ray and soft γ-ray spectra from black hole binaries in the hard state and Seyferts. At low accretion rates, bremsstrahlung becomes the dominant radiative process.     

Shallow-generated damage within non-planar strike-slip fault zones: role of sedimentary rocks in slip accommodation,SW Holy Cross Mountains,Poland

International Journal of Earth Sciences - We investigated exhumed damage zones of dextral strike-slip faults dissecting the south-western part of the Mesozoic cover of the Late Palaeozoic Holy...     

Features of the ionosphere behavior before the Kythira 2006 earthquake

In this paper we present specific features of TEC (total electron content of the ionosphere) behavior as possible precursors of Kythira (Southern Greece) earthquake of January 8, 2006 (M6.8). For this purpose, we used both the TEC data of GPS-IGS stations nearest to the epicenter, and TEC maps over Europe. The favorable circumstance for this analysis was the quiet geomagnetic situation during the period prior to the earthquake. One day before the earthquake, a characteristic anomaly was found out as the day-time significant increase of TEC at the nearest stations, up to the value of 50% relative to the background condition. To estimate the spatial dimensions of seismo-ionospheric anomaly, the differential mapping method was used. The ionosphere modification as a cloud-like increase of electron concentration situated in the immediate vicinity of the forthcoming earthquake epicenter has been revealed. The amplitude of modification reached the value of 50% relative to the non-disturbed condition and was in existence from 10:00 till 22:00 UT. The area of significant TEC enhancement had a size of about 4000 km in longitude and 1500 km in latitude.     

GOCE satellite orbit in the aspect of selected gravitational perturbations

In this work, the GOCE satellite orbit is described in the aspect of perturbations in the Keplerian osculating elements. The perturbations come from the Earth and ocean tides, the gravitation of the Moon, the gravitation of the Sun, the gravitation of planets and Pluto, and the relativity effects. These perturbations are computed for the 30-day interval with a sampling of 2 min. To obtain the simulated orbit, the Cowell numerical integration method of 8th order is used. The first part of the work contains the root mean square (RMS) values of aforementioned perturbations due to the specified forces. The perturbations were compared taking into account their RMS characteristics.