How Waterlogged Microsites Help an Annual Plant Persist Among Salt Marsh Perennials

Annual plants that coexist among perennial dominants might persist in microsites that are stressful to their competitors. In Californian salt marshes, where cover of annual and perennial Salicornia species are negatively correlated, we hypothesized that waterlogged depressions support the annual (Salicornia bigelovii) but not the region’s dominant perennial (Salicornia virginica). In a large restoration site, S. virginica cover was low in naturally formed pools, and our 10-cm depressions decreased its cover by approximately 30% compared to the controls. S. bigelovii grew taller and produced more flowers in waterlogged sites with low soil redox potential, and it completed its life cycle in the 5-cm-deep depressions that we created. Experimentally reducing S. virginica canopy cover in shallow depressions also increased the survival of the annual. In the greenhouse, rhizosphere oxidation was indicated as a mechanism for tolerating waterlogging, as S. bigelovii elevated the soil redox potential by 50 mV more than S. virginica did. Also, in the greenhouse, S. bigelovii seedlings actually suppressed the growth of S. virginica seedlings under increased flooding. We conclude that waterlogged microsites help sustain S. bigelovii in Californian salt marshes and that this increasingly rare plant could be managed by adding shallow depressions to restoration sites.     

Climate change and river flooding: part 1 classifying the sensitivity of British catchments

Effective national and regional policy guidance on climate change adaptation relies on robust scientific evidence. This two-part series of papers develops and implements a novel scenario-neutral framework enabling an assessment of the vulnerability of flood flows in British catchments to climatic change, to underpin the development of guidance for the flood management community. In this first part, the sensitivity of the 20-year return period flood peak (RP20) to changes in precipitation (P), temperature (T) and potential evapotranspiration (PE) is systematically assessed for 154 catchments. A sensitivity domain of 4,200 scenarios is applied combining 525 and 8 sets of P and T/PE mean monthly changes, respectively, with seasonality incorporated using a single-phase harmonic function. Using the change factor method, the percentage change in RP20 associated with each scenario of the sensitivity domain is calculated, giving flood response surfaces for each catchment. Using a clustering procedure on the response surfaces, the 154 catchments are divided into nine groups: flood sensitivity types. These sensitivity types show that some catchments are (very) sensitive to changes in P but others buffer the response, while the location of catchments of the same type does not show any strong geographical pattern. These results reflect the range of hydrological processes found in Britain, and demonstrate the potential importance of catchment properties (physical and climatic) in the propagation of change in climate to change in floods, and so in characterising the sensitivity types (covered in the companion paper).     

Triggering transformative change: a development path approach to climate change response in communities

While climate change action plans are becoming more common, it is still unclear whether communities have the capacity, tools, and targets in place to trigger the transformative levels of change required to build fundamentally low-carbon, resilient, healthy communities. Evidence increasingly supports the finding that this transformation is not triggered by climate policy alone, but rather is shaped by a broad array of decisions and practices that are rooted in underlying patterns of development. Even so, these findings have rarely penetrated the domain of practice, which often remains squarely focused on a relatively narrow set of climate-specific policies. This article builds a conceptual framework for understanding the dynamics of community-level development path transformations that may both dramatically reduce GHG emissions and significantly enhance community resilience. This framework illuminates eight critical enablers of innovation on climate change, each of which is illustrated by compelling examples of community-level experimentation on climate change across the province of British Columbia, Canada. It is concluded that community-based climate (or sustainability) policy might be more likely to trigger development path shifts if it employs a longer time horizon, recognition of adaptability and feedbacks, integrated decision making, and systems thinking.