Variability and probability of annual and extreme precipitation over Serbia and Montenegro

Summary Annual precipitation over Serbia and Montenegro is studied in terms of its variability. The dependence of three selected absolute measures of variability (standard deviation, absolute mean deviation and mean absolute interannual variability) from the mean annual precipitation are examined for the area of interest. Two cases of extreme precipitation in Serbia were analysed using the gamma probability density function and some transformations.     

Seasonal ecosystem variability in remote mountain lakes: implications for detecting climatic signals in sediment records

Weather variation and climate fluctuations are the main sources of ecosystem variability in remote mountain lakes. Here we describe the main patterns of seasonal variability in the ecosystems of nine lakes in Europe, and discuss the implications for recording climatic features in their sediments. Despite the diversity in latitude and size, the lakes showed a number of common features. They were ice-covered between 5–9 months, and all but one were dimictic. This particular lake was long and shallow, and wind action episodically mixed the water column throughout the ice-free period. All lakes showed characteristic oxygen depletion during the ice-covered-period, which was greater in the most productive lakes. Two types of lakes were distinguished according to the number of production peaks during the ice-free season. Lakes with longer summer stratification tended to have two productive periods: one at the onset of stratification, and the other during the autumn overturn. Lakes with shorter stratification had a single peak during the ice-free period. All lakes presented deep chlorophyll maxima during summer stratification, and subsurface chlorophyll maxima beneath the ice. Phosphorus limitation was common to all lakes, since nitrogen compounds were significantly more abundant than the requirements for the primary production observed. The major chemical components present in the lakes showed a short but extreme dilution during thawing. Certain lake features may favour the recording of particular climatic fluctuations, for instance: lakes with two distinct productive periods, climatic fluctuations in spring or autumn (e.g., through chrysophycean cysts); lakes with higher oxygen consumption, climatic factors affecting the duration of the ice-cover (e.g., through low-oxygen tolerant chironomids); lakes with higher water retention time; changes in atmospheric deposition (e.g., through carbon or pigment burial); lakes with longer stratification, air temperature changes during summer and autumn (e.g., through all epilimnetic species).     

A comparison of anthropogenic mercury pollution in Kastela Bay (Croatia) with pristine estuaries in Ore (Sweden) and Krka (Croatia)

Anthropogenic mercury pollution was studied in Kastela Bay (Croatia), 10 years after chloralkaline plant (PVC) stopped production. The concentration of total mercury determined in sediments which are composed mainly of calcite and quartz, are in the range 14,280-30,400 ng/g. The values are higher than reported in the literature for Elbe and Seine estuaries and also above 25,000 ng/g used for criterion in remediation project in Minamata Bay. The concentration of methylmercury 6.05-36.74 ng/g are typical for slightly to highly contaminated estuarine sediments. The low ratio of methylmercury to total mercury found in sediments of Kastela Bay is in the range 0.04-0.18%. It can be explained that in this region predominate conditions which do not promote in-situ methylation. Sediments were found to be highly anoxic. Concentrations of total mercury in unfiltered surface waters are in the range 69-145 ng/l and in unfiltered bottom waters in the range 230-1,418 ngl(-1). High concentrations found in bottom waters suggest that either resuspension or partial dissolution of sediments takes place. An experiment performed on filtered and unfiltered waters showed that about 85% of total mercury in surface water and almost 100% in bottom water was retained on 45 microm filters. To demonstrate contrasts, two pristine estuaries from norths and south Europe were studied. Silicious sediments of Ore estuary (Sweden) and calcareous sediments of Krka estuary (Croatia) have total mercury concentrations close to accepted background level. The ratio of methylmercury to total mercury is < or = 1% in all samples with one exception. The highest observed ratio (2.70%) was in the surface sediment from E2 station in Krka estuary measured in March 2000. This location is suitable for studying methylmercury formation in pristine environment.     

Some Consequences of a Class of Gase0us Galactic Halo Models

If a significant fraction of QSO absorption line systems arises in halos of normal galaxies, absorber statistical data will tell us a lot about the structure of the gaseous envelopes of galaxies. Comparison of a class of density profile models for the metal-absorbing halos of luminous galaxies with the recent Lyα empirical data is presented. Cosmological mass fraction contained in such gas is also briefly discussed. It is shown that important constraints on the model parameters can be inferred in this way. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Asteroid Mean Elements: Higher Order and Iterative Theories

Mean orbital elements are obtained from osculating ones by removing the short periodic perturbations. Large catalogues of asteroid mean elements need to be computed, as a first step in the computation of proper elements, used to study asteroid families. The algorithms for this purpose available so far are only accurate to first order in the masses of the perturbing planet; the mean elements have satisfactory accuracy for most of the asteroid belt, but degraded accuracy in the neighbourhoods of the main mean motion resonances, especially the 2:1. We investigate a number of algorithms capable of improving this approximation; they belong to the two classes of Breiter-type methods and iterative methods. The former are obtained by applying some higher order numerical integration scheme, such as Runge–Kutta, to the differential equation whose solution is a transformation removing the fast angular variables from the equations; they can be used to compute a full second order theory, however, only if the full second order determining function is explicitly computed, and this is computationally too cumbersome for a complicated problem such as the N-body. The latter are fixed point iterative schemes, with the first order theory as an iteration step, used to compute the inverse map from mean to osculating elements; formally the method is first order, but because they implement a fixed frequency perturbation theory, they are more accurate than conventional single iteration methods; a similar method is already in use in our computation of proper from mean elements. Many of these methods are tested on a sample of asteroid orbits taken from the Themis family, up to the edge of the 2:1 resonance, and the dispersion of the values of the computed mean semimajor axis over 100 000 years is used as quality control. The results of these tests indicate that the iterative methods are superior, in this specific application, to the Breiter methods, in accuracy and reliability. This is understood as the result of the cancellations occurring between second order perturbation terms: the incomplete second order theory, resulting from the use of a Breiter method with the first order determining function only, can be less accurate than complete, fixed frequency theories of the first order. We have therefore computed new catalogues of asteroid mean and proper elements, incorporating an iterative algorithm in both steps (osculating to mean and mean to proper elements). This new data set, significantly more reliable even in the previously degraded regions of Themis and Cybele, is in the public domain. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Determination of the potential of homogeneous polyhedral bodies using line integrals

For the determination of the potential of irregular inhomogeneous bodies they can be decomposed into (polyhedral) parts of homogeneous density. Efficient formulas for the computation of the gravitational potential (and its first and second derivatives) of homogeneous polyhedral bodies are presented. They are obtained using a transformation of the volume integral into line integrals. The most important property of the solution is that all ten quantities under consideration (potential, 3 components of the gravitation vector, 6 components of the tensor of the second derivatives) can be represented by using only two different line integrals. Furthermore, all coordinate transformations needed in the evaluation are chosen in such a way that they do not appear in the final result. The consequence, favorable for efficient programming, is that the same transcendental expressions along each edge of the polyhedron are needed for all ten quantities; even the same linear combinations of them for individual surfaces are appearing in different formulas. The expressions obtained are probably the simplest possible, which is also reflected in the fact that for the special case of a right rectangular prism they may easily be specialized to the usual well-known formulas. Received 28 Juni 1994; Accepted 13 September 1996     

Periodicity of annual precipitation in different climate regions of Croatia

Summary The periodicity of a 100-year series of annual precipitation over Croatia has been studied by means of power spectrum analysis at 3 stations representing the different climatic regions of Croatia. The annual precipitation variance spectra in the continental lowland (Osijek) and at the north East Adriatic coast (Crikvenica) can be fitted by Markov white noise continuum, but in the transitional region between the Dinaric Alps and the Pannonian lowland (Zagreb-Gri) a non-white noise continuum is necessary. Quasi-periodic oscillations appear in two spectra ranges: short (2.2 and 4.7 years) and medium (25.0 and 33.3 years). These results are compared with those of other authors for other parts of the Europe.With 2 Figures     

Statistical Analysis of Water Quality Parameters in Seven Major Serbian Rivers during 2004‒2013 Period

Rivers on territory of the Republic of Serbia can be separated to three sea drainage basins: Black, Adriatic and Aegean. Majority of rivers belong to the Black Sea drainage basin. The Danube is the most important river in Serbia and one of the most important rivers of Europe. All rivers investigated in this paper represent direct or indirect tributaries of the Danube River and as that, they are belonging to the Black Sea drainage basin. In this study, the water quality status and the spatial and temporal trends of seven major rivers in Serbia were assessed through the application of ten parameters of Water Quality Index. Ten year (2004–2013) public database of environmental data was used. Into considerations were taken differences between every river individually and difference between sample positions on every single river. Based on the chemical parameters of water quality, it can be seen that the biggest rivers in Serbia show different values of WQ parameters. The highest WQ value is measured on the Drina River, while the lowest value is measured on the Ju?na Morava and the Tisza River. Analyses of parameters per period of year show that there is a statistically significant difference between values during warm and cold periods.     

Dynamics of rocking podium structures

A rocking podium structure is a class of structures consisting of a superstructure placed on top of a rigid slab supported by free‐standing columns. The free‐standing columns respond to sufficiently strong ground motion excitation by uplifting and rocking. Uplift works as a mechanical fuse that limits the forces transmitted to the superstructure, while rocking enables large lateral displacements. Such ‘soft‐story’ system runs counter to the modern seismic design philosophy but has been used to construct several hundred buildings in countries of the former USSR following Polyakov's rule‐of‐thumb guidelines: (i) that the superstructure behave as a rigid body and (ii) that the maximum lateral displacement of the rocking podium frame be estimated using elastic earthquake displacement response spectra. The objectives of this paper are to present a dynamic model for analysis of the in‐plane seismic response of rocking podium structures and to investigate if Polyakov's rule‐of‐thumb guidelines are adequate for the design of such structures. Examination of the rocking podium structure response to analytical pulse and recorded ground motion excitations shows that the rocking podium structures are stable and that Polyakov's rule‐of‐thumb guidelines produce generally conservative designs. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.