Multi-scale Characteristics and Comprehensive Evaluation of Precipitation Heterogeneity in Guangxi

Aiming at the uneven spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation and frequent occurrence of drought and waterlogging disasters in Guangxi, the multi-scale characteristics and comprehensive evaluation of precipitation heterogeneity can provide scientific support for regional response to drought and waterlogging disasters and intelligent management of water resources. Based on the daily precipitation data of 87 grid points from 1961 to 2017 in Guangxi, the Precipitation Concentration Degree (PCD) and Precipitation Concentration Period (PCP) index were used to build day, pentad, ten days, month, season precipitation heterogeneity of multiple time scale level evaluation system. By using R/S analysis and geographical spatial analysis methods, the space-time evolution characteristics and climate division in Guangxi were discussed. The study showed that the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of PCD and PCP at the diurnal, synoptic and monthly scales were relatively consistent, and the heterogeneity of precipitation in Guangxi could be better expressed than that at the monthly and seasonal scales. The diachronic change of PCD in precipitation in Guangxi shows an increasing trend in northeast China and a decreasing trend in southwest China, and the trend of its future period is the same as the diachronic evolution. The spatial distribution of PCD in Guangxi has significant spatial autocorrelation and stratification heterogeneity, which are mainly reflected in the mean value, coefficient of variation and frequency of PCD. The comprehensive heterogeneity of precipitation in Guangxi is highly dispersed in the northeast, highly concentrated in the south, and slightly concentrated or dispersed in the northwest and central regions. The time-scale within a month is the best scale to express the non-uniformity of precipitation in Guangxi. If the advantages of more stable climatic and ten-day scales and more fine daily scales are taken into account, the use of climatic scale for daily sliding calculation and analysis will be the best way.     

中国黄海沿岸地区环境与社会经济地域关联分析

从地域的角度出发,在分析黄海沿岸地区环境地域结构和社会经济结构的基础上,探讨了二者之间关联联系,并确定了不同地域类型改善环境质量的社会经济调控主导方向     

Comparative Planetary Space Physics

It has been 60 years since the space physics as new branch of geophysics started to grow in 1957 when the space age was opened by a small satellite called sputnik. The knowledge of Earth and planetary space has been significantly extended and deepened, but the questions we are facing today are more challenging. A consensus reached is that we have to regard the Earth (planet) as an integrated system including all spheres from the inner core to the magnetosphere, and we should try to investigate some questions standing on the ground of interdisciplinary study, especially those questions related to Earth’s (planetary) evolution. Space environment as the outer part of a planetary system, commonly exists in all planets but also exhibits strong diversity. Here, we introduce the short history of basic ideas and methods of comparative study, the advantages on understanding of some issues of global scale, and the prospect from comparative perspective.     

毕节煤矿区晚二叠世煤层稀土元素的物质来源

对取自毕节地区晚二叠世11个可采煤层的13个样品的稀土元素(REE)的物质来源进行分析。发现:海洋来源对稀土元素的富集作用极其微弱;来自植物成因的物质来源小于1%;煤样中δEu负异常,而陆源岩具有Eu负异常的特点。结合晚二叠世多期喷发的峨眉山玄武岩,因此认为稀土元素的物质来源主要受陆源影响和控制。     

图们江地区水环境容量及其对区域开发的影响研究

以ＣＯＤ为控制指标,计算了图们江地区５条河流逐月环境容量以及污水达标排放时的允许污水排放量。结果表明,各月环境容量分配极不均匀,丰水期２个月约占５０％,而长达５个月的枯水期环境容量很小,不足全年的１０％;即使以１９９５年污水排放量衡量,污水达标排放时,枯水期图们江干流等５条河流控制断面水质也达不到指定功能水质标准,已无环境容量可利用。因此,河流水环境容量已成为制约图们江地区开发的主要因素,为了确保     

Evaluation of Precipitation Datasets from TRMM Satellite and Downscaled Reanalysis Products with Bias-correction in Middle Qilian Mountain,China

Accurate estimates of precipitation are fundamental for hydrometeorological and ecohydrological studies, but are more difficult in high mountainous areas because of the high elevation and complex terrain. This study compares and evaluates two kinds of precipitation datasets, the reanalysis product downscaled by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) output, and the satellite product,the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission(TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis(TMPA) product, as well as t...     

地磁数据处理与地震关系之探

研究了上海崇明、佘山和杭州这3个地磁台的观测资料在2004年4月21日南黄海ML4．0级、5月26日浙江省舟山群岛ML4．3级和11月15日南黄海％4．6级地震前的异常变化特征,结果表明：杭州台和崇明台数字化地磁观测资料分钟值空间差值于4月14日～17日、4月30日、5月8日出现的异常信息很可能是震磁异常信息;杭州台和余山台数字化地磁观测资料分钟值、模拟观测21时值Z分量地磁场相关系数R值分别在震前2天、24天和震前5天、15天出现了超出2σ值的震磁异常变化：崇明和余山地磁台数字化地磁Z分量分钟值的空间差值异常信息在4月21日南黄海尬4．0级地震前后有所显示。但在5月26日舟山群岛ML4．3级地震前不太明显,可能与谈两个地磁台站相距较近日震中距较近有美．     

反演地表质量变化的附有方差约束的径向点质量方法

针对目前径向点质量方法在反演GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment)时变地球重力场信号时条带噪声和泄漏误差较大的问题,本文提出了一种附有方差约束的径向点质量方法(Variance Constrained Radial Point-Mass Method,VCPM).该方法利用质量块的先验方差信息设计正则化矩阵对质量变化反演进行空间约束,同时为了解决单一的正则化参数不能适应全球质量变化大小不均匀的问题,构建了迭代的正则化处理策略.为了检验VCPM方法的可靠性,本文反演了2003-01-2014-11全球地表质量变化,并与GRACE球谐位系数法、GLDAS2.1水文模型、CSR (University of Texas Center for Space Research,德克萨斯大学空间研究中心)与JPL (Jet Propulsion Laboratory,喷气推进实验室) RL06 Mascon数据在全球的均方根误差、长期趋势、周年振幅以及局部的冰冻圈、陆地流域质量变化进行了对比分析.结果显示VCPM与CSR Mascon在全球、陆地和海洋区域的RMSE按面积加权平均值分别为2.12 cm、4.16 cm和1.25 cm,在全球和陆地区域均低于CSR Mascon与JPL Mascon的相应RMSE (2.22 cm和4.62 cm),在海洋区域仅略大于CSR Mascon与JPL Mascon的RMSE (1.18 cm);在8个陆地流域和内陆海域的时间序列对比中,VCPM与两种Mascon数据在扣除季节项和趋势项后的相关系数在绝大多数区域仍能达到0.86以上;另外相对于传统点质量方法和球谐位系数法,VCPM能有效抑制南极和格陵兰岛等区域的泄漏误差.这表明本文所提出的VCPM方法可以有效去除条带误差、抑制海陆信号泄漏且大幅提高反演结果的精度和空间分辨率,从而为计算高精度高分辨率地表质量变化提供了一种可供选择的有效途径.

     

基于逆时成像的井中观测微地震定位精度分析

微地震定位是非常规和低渗透油气勘探开发和地下工程安全监测的关键环节,其准确性是实现油气储层实时刻画和工程灾害监测预警的重要基础.由于微地震信号具有能量弱、频率高、信噪比低的特点,微地震定位精度易受到采集观测系统布设位置的影响,尤其在井下受限空间与高温高压环境中.基于此,本文提出了一种基于逆时成像的井下微地震采集定位精度分析方法,能定量预测实际采集观测系统布设方案在水平和深度方向上的定位偏差和不确定性.区别于传统定位精度分析方法,该方法基于波形而非走时,适用于复杂非均匀介质,同时考虑了信噪比和震源机制对定位精度的影响.均匀和非均匀介质下的实例应用结果均表明,该方法能有效评价微地震采集方案的预期定位精度,进而反馈采集参数设计,从数据采集的源头改善复杂介质条件下的微地震定位效果.

     

基于球面重力反演苏拉威西地区莫霍面结构

基于球坐标系的地球物理反演能有效避免地球曲率的影响, 适用于大尺度构造研究.本文基于重力异常数据在球坐标系下反演莫霍面深度, 结合数据误差及光滑正则化项建立反演目标函数并求解, 同时将该方法应用于苏拉威西地区.苏拉威西地区具有复杂的断裂系统、年轻的俯冲带, 是研究俯冲起始机制等前沿科学问题的理想场所.目前研究区的地球物理观测尚不充分, 缺乏对莫霍面形成有效约束的地震数据, 对研究区莫霍面的整体认识较少.本文基于卫星重力观测数据, 通过匹配滤波方法提取与研究区莫霍面结构相关的重力异常, 并结合频谱分析确定该地区的莫霍面深度参考值.在反演中, 通过两次随机子抽样交叉验证选择最优的超参数, 包括正则化因子、莫霍面密度差以及参考莫霍面深度, 迭代反演获得莫霍面深度.反演结果表明: 研究区莫霍面平均深度为20.0 km, 深度变化范围为9.2~33.3 km.总体上, 海区莫霍面浅, 约10.0~20.0 km, 陆区莫霍面深, 约25.0~33.0 km, 该结果与Crust1.0全球模型、前人重力反演结果以及地震数据基本相符, 总体上反映了苏拉威西地区的莫霍面变化特征.