海南省“十五”测震台网运行后台站的维护

海南省“十五”测震台网是集数字化、综合化、自动化技术为一体的大动态、宽频带地震观测系统,在地震速报、预报和地震科学研究中发挥重要的作用。本文通过对海南省测震台站故障情况的分析和总结,介绍地震台站维护的一些经验和方法。     

黑龙江省德都地震发生前后依安102井水位异常及其分析

概述了依安102井水位、声响的映震异常特点,指出了异常水位、异常声响,并非人为因素造成,不受大气降水过程的干扰影响,提出了孕发地震的区域应力—应变异常场同映震水位、映震声响之间,存在着内在的密切联系,结论认为,依安102井的水位异常、声响异常,同孕发德都地震的应力—应变区域异常相呼应,依安102井所在地处于德都地震孕震应力场直接影响范围。     

锈蚀钢筋混凝土框架中节点抗剪强度研究

随着服役时间的增长，侵蚀环境下钢筋混凝土框架节点因钢筋发生不同程度的锈蚀而造成承载性能下降，严重影响建筑结构的安全使用。本文在已有钢筋混凝土框架节点抗剪强度理论模型的基础上，考虑钢筋锈蚀对框架节点受力性能的影响，建立锈蚀钢筋混凝土框架中节点受剪承载力计算公式。通过11组锈蚀钢筋混凝土节点试验数据，对建议理论模型进行验证。研究结果表明，锈蚀钢筋混凝土节点受剪承载力试验值与理论计算值之比的平均值为0.951，方差为0.075，二者吻合较好，本文建议的计算方法可用于锈蚀钢筋混凝土框架中节点承载力分析。     

土层地震反应传递函数的模拟

探讨了用单一土层模型替换复杂场地求解土层场地传递函数的方法,并用ＳＭＡＲＴ－１台阵地震记录对这一方法的可行性进行了研究和讨论,结果表明,只要选取适当的地震波入射角Ψ和土介质的滞回阻尼比ｄ,简化模型的传递函数与实际传递函数能符合得较好,这一方法可用来近似估计缺少详细土质勘测资料地区的土层地震反应的传递函数。     

石咀山市地貌与反应谱间的关系

本文在实地调查的基础上,将宁夏石咀山市按地貌单元分为三个区。对每个地貌单元场地土的动力特性进行了试验研究。根据一维地震反应计算模型,计算求得了各个地貌单元的平均反应谱,讨论了不同类型的地貌单元与其对应的反应谱之间的关系,最后给出了相应的设计反应谱。     

2020年7月12日河北省唐山市古冶区MS5.1地震数值预测

1 研究背景地震预报中测震学指标广泛应用于地震异常分析.顾瑾平等(2001)研究了多项指标综合预测概率,得出综合概率值在0.5以上时,对应地震率80％,测震学指标有其物理意义,若出现高综合概率值时应关注.2020年7月12日,在河北省唐山市古冶区发生MS 5.1后期强余震(39.78°N,118.44°E),震中位于...     

Bayes判别分析法与地震短临预测

建立了一套完整的Bayes判别分析方法,并提出了明确的衡量综合预测结果所冒风险大小的风险代价比Kdn该方法可用于不同时间尺度的地震综合预测。选取云南地区1994～1996年的水氡观测资料,采用X2统计检验法识别前兆异常,利用Bayes判别分析方法对云南地区的强震活动性进行了内符检验和外推预测。在风险代价比Kdn取4的情况下,内符检验的R值可达0．54,外推时空占有率0．07,获得了满意的效果。     

THE RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN EFFICACY OF GEOELECTRICAL RESISTIVITY METHOD IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION AND SITE CONDITION

INTRODUCTION In the past two decades, field observation, laboratory experiments, and the theoretical studies in the study on earthquake prediction have been carried out in several countries, by using ρ_s method, and valuable results have been achieved. The first geoelectrical resistivity (ρ_s) observatory for earthquake forecasting established at     

Transport of water vapor over North China during the drought period in summer of 1980

The features of water vapor transport, such as temporal evolution, vertical structure and spatial pattern, over North China during the prolonged drought in the summer of 1980 have been analyzed through computation of water vapor flux based on the once daily ECMWF grid-point data at 12GMT. The results indicate that it is unlikely that the characteristics of the atmospheric mass divergence, ascending motion and stratification stability in North China were completely opposite to those in the Yangtze River Valley, where the heavy flood occurred in the summer of 1980. It is major differences that the strong ascending motion and significant water vapor convergence overlap fairly well each other in the vertical levels in the Yangtze River Valley, while the maximum ascending motion is accompa-nied by water vapor divergence or weak water vapor convergence in North China. This vertical structure in North China results in insufficient water vapor supply and, therefore, little condensation and precipitation in the middle and upper atmosphere were produced. Additionally, a mode of monthly-scale low frequency oscillation can be found in water vapor flux, which is in correspondence to the fluctuation period of rainfall.