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731.
732.
733.
Impact of climate change on 24‐h design rainfall depth estimation in Qiantang River Basin,East China
The frequency and magnitude of extreme meteorological or hydrological events such as floods and droughts in China have been influenced by global climate change. The water problem due to increasing frequency and magnitude of extreme events in the humid areas has gained great attention in recent years. However, the main challenge in the evaluation of climate change impact on extreme events is that large uncertainty could exist. Therefore, this paper first aims to model possible impacts of climate change on regional extreme precipitation (indicated by 24‐h design rainfall depth) at seven rainfall gauge stations in the Qiantang River Basin, East China. The Long Ashton Research Station‐Weather Generator is adopted to downscale the global projections obtained from general circulation models (GCMs) to regional climate data at site scale. The weather generator is also checked for its performance through three approaches, namely Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, comparison of L‐moment statistics and 24‐h design rainfall depths. Future 24‐h design rainfall depths at seven stations are estimated using Pearson Type III distribution and L‐moment approach. Second, uncertainty caused by three GCMs under various greenhouse gas emission scenarios for the future periods 2020s (2011–2030), 2055s (2046–2065) and 2090s (2080–2099) is investigated. The final results show that 24‐h design rainfall depth increases in most stations under the three GCMs and emission scenarios. However, there are large uncertainties involved in the estimations of 24‐h design rainfall depths at seven stations because of GCM, emission scenario and other uncertainty sources. At Hangzhou Station, a relative change of ?16% to 113% can be observed in 100y design rainfall depths. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
734.
735.
Interplanetary magnetic clouds (MCs) are one of the main sources of large non-recurrent geomagnetic storms. With the aid of
a force-free flux rope model, the dependence of the intensity of geomagnetic activity (indicated by Dst index) on the axial orientation (denoted by θ and φ in GSE coordinates) of the magnetic cloud is analyzed theoretically. The distribution of the Dst values in the (θ, φ) plane is calculated by changing the axial orientation for various cases. It is concluded that (i) geomagnetic storms tend
to occur in the region of θ<0°, especially in the region of θ≲−45°, where larger geomagnetic activity could be created; (ii) the intensity of geomagnetic activity varies more strongly
with θ than with φ; (iii) when the parameters B
0 (the magnetic field strength at the flux rope axis), R
0 (the radius of the flux rope), or V (the bulk speed) increase, or |D| (the shortest distance between the flux rope axis and the x-axis in GSE coordinates) decreases, a flux rope not only can increase the intensity of geomagnetic activity, but also is
more likely to create a storm, however the variation of n (the density) only has a little effect on the intensity; (iv) the most efficient orientation (MEO) in which a flux rope can
cause the largest geomagnetic activity appears at φ∼0° or ∼ 180°, and some value of θ which depends mainly on D; (v) the minimum Dst value that could be caused by a flux rope is the most sensitive to changes in B
0 and V of the flux rope, and for a stronger and/or faster MC, a wider range of orientations will be geoeffective. Further, through
analyzing 20 MC-caused moderate to large geomagnetic storms during 1998 – 2003, a long-term prediction of MC-caused geomagnetic
storms on the basis of the flux rope model is proposed and assessed. The comparison between the theoretical results and the
observations shows that there is a close linear correlation between the estimated and observed minimum Dst values. This suggests that using the ideal flux rope to predict practical MC-caused geomagnetic storms is applicable. The
possibility of the long-term prediction of MC-caused geomagnetic storms is discussed briefly. 相似文献
736.
�������ǹ�������ĵ���������������Ϸ� 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
???????????????仯????????????????GPS??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????λ?ü????????????????????????????????????GPS??????15????????????25????????????????????????????????????25?????????????????????????????? 相似文献
737.
为探究不同光谱下许氏平鲉的消化代谢水平及外周激素节律,在5种光谱(红光、绿光、黄光、蓝光、白光,光周期12L∶12D)下,通过对许氏平鲉的血清、肠道、肝脏进行24 h (8:00,12:00,16:00,20:00,24:00)取样,结果显示:不同的光谱下许氏平鲉的消化代谢酶活性除胰蛋白酶(TRY)外均具有节律性,红光、黄光下α-淀粉酶(α-AMS)、脂肪酶(LPS)活性的峰值相位与白光组相比左移;胰蛋白酶活性无时间差异性;在绿光、黄光及红光下乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)活性的峰值相位与白光组相比发生左移,在五种光谱环境中,红、黄光影响消化酶活性峰值提前出现;丙酮酸激酶(PK)活性在绿、蓝及红光下峰值相位左移;己糖激酶(HK)的活性在绿、蓝、黄光下,其峰值相位与白光组相比发生左移,在五种光谱环境中,绿、蓝光影响代谢酶活性类峰值提前出现。许氏平鲉血清中褪黑素含量呈现昼低夜高分泌水平;皮质醇的含量表现为在白天降低,午夜显著升高至最高值后又持续降低。峰值相位的改变预示着生理节律的变动,以上结果表明不同光谱可以影响鱼类的生理代谢节律,在今后养殖过程中需要充分考虑光谱对养殖生物的生物学作用,进而制定更为合理的光照条件。 相似文献
738.
主要介绍了开发某道路收费站计重收费系统的方法和实现过程。系统采用SQL Server 2000作为数据库后台,实现计重收费数据和属性数据的统一管理,前台则是在,NET环境下利用C#编程实现,提供对收费站内相关信息的查询和编辑功能。 相似文献
739.
Artificial lighting regimes have been successfully used to inhibit sexual maturity of Atlantic salmon in confinement.However,when these operations are applied in commercial recirculating aquaculture systems(RAS) using standard lighting technology,sexual maturation is not suppressed.In this study,an L_9(3~3) orthogonal design was used to determine the effects of three factors(spectral composition,photoperiod,and light intensity) on the gonadal development of Atlantic salmon in RAS.We demonstrated that the photoperiod at the tested levels had a much greater effect on the gonadosomatic index and female Fulton condition factor than spectral composition and light intensity.The photoperiod had a significant effect on the secretion of sex steroids and melatonin(P0.05),and a short photoperiod delayed sex steroid and melatonin level increases.The three test factors had no significant effects on the survival rate,specific growth rate,relative weight gain,and male Fulton condition factor(P0.05).The optimum lighting levels in female and male Atlantic salmon were LD 8:16,455 nm(or 625 nm),8.60 W/m~2;and LD 8:16,8.60 W/m~2,455 nm respectively.These conditions not only delayed gonadal development,but also had no negative effects on Atlantic salmon growth in RAS.These results demonstrate that a combination of spectral composition,photoperiod and light intensity is effective at delaying the gonadal development of both male and female salmon in RAS. 相似文献
740.
Spatio-seasonal patterns of fish diversity,Haizhou Bay,China 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Spatial-seasonal patterns in fish diversity in Haizhou Bay were studied based on stratified random surveys conducted in 2011.Principal component analysis was conducted to distinguish different diversity components,and the relationships among 11 diversity indices were explored.Generalized additive models were constructed to examine the environmental effects on diversity indices.Eleven diversity indices were grouped into four components:(1) species numbers and richness,(2) heterogeneous indices,(3) evenness,and(4) taxonomic relatedness.The results show that diversity indices among different components are complementary.Spatial patterns show that fish diversity was higher in coastal areas,which was affected by complex bottom topography and spatial variations of water mass and currents.Seasonal trends could be best explained by the seasonal migration of dominant fish species.Fish diversity generally declined with increasing depth except for taxonomic distinctness,which increased with latitude.In addition,bottom temperature had a significant effect on diversity index of richness.These results indicate that substrate complexity and environmental gradients had important influences on fish diversity patterns,and these factors should be considered in fishery resource management and conservation.Furthermore,diversity in two functional groups(demersal/pelagic fishes) was influenced by different environmental factors.Therefore,the distribution of individual species or new indicators in diversity should be applied to examine spatio-seasonal variations in fish diversity. 相似文献