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981.
Based on a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) simulation over East Asia, future climate changes over the Miyun Reservoir in the 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario are analyzed. The model simulation extends from 1951 to 2100 at a grid spacing of 25 km and is one-way nested within a global model of MIROC3.2_ hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate). The focus of the analysis is on the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, the main water supply for Beijing in northern China. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the observed temperature well but it overestimates precipitation over the region. Significant warming in the 21st century is simulated in the annual mean, December-January-February (DJF) and June-July-August (JJA), although with differences concerning the spatial distribution and magnitude. Changes in precipitation for the annual mean, DJF, and JJA also show differences. A prevailing increase of precipitation in DJF and a decrease of it in JJA is projected over the region, while little change in the annual mean is projected. Changes of the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration to measure the potential water availability are also presented in the paper. 相似文献
982.
983.
984.
提出了适合航空影像区域分割的水平集运算策略,将原始影像首先进行格网分类,对分类后的海岸线格网进行水平集运算提取精确海岛(礁)边缘,并采用多核编程策略提高运算效率。实验表明该方案效果理想,能够正确提取海岛(礁)区域。 相似文献
985.
986.
IMPACTS OF TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES EXPERIENCING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION DURING NORTHWARD PROGRESSION
ON THE RAINFALL OF LIAODONG PENINSULA 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
Both of Typhoon Winnie (9711) and Matsa (0509) underwent an extratropical transition (ET)
process when they moved northward after landfall and affected Liaodong Peninsula. However, Matsa
produced half as much rainfall as Winnie, although it struck Liaodong Peninsula directly while Winnie
passed through the Bohai Sea. The relations between the ET processes and the precipitation over Liaodong
Peninsula are examined. The result shows that the precipitation difference between Winnie and Matsa was
closely related to the interactions between the westerly systems and typhoons during their ET processes.
Winnie was captured by the upper westerly trough and then coupled with it when moving to the
mid-latitudes, and the positive anomaly of moist potential vorticity (MPV) was transported downward from
the upper troposphere over the remnant circulation of the tropical cyclone (TC). It was favorable to the
interaction between tropical warm and wet air and westerly cold air, causing convective cloud clusters to
form and develop. The rain belt composed of several meso-β cloud clusters over the Liaodong Peninsula,
resulting in heavy rainfall. On the other hand, Matsa did not couple with any upper trough during its ET
process and the positive anomaly of MPV in the upper troposphere and its downward transfer were weak.
Only one meso-β cloud cluster occurred in Matsa’s rain belt during its ET process that tended to lessen
rainfall over Liaodong Peninsula. 相似文献
987.
我国大陆上空可降水量的时空变化特征 总被引:6,自引:2,他引:4
利用1958-2001年NCEP/NCAR和ECMWF月平均再分析资料,由地面积分到300 hPa计算了我国大陆上空整层大气的可降水量,对可降水量的时空变化规律及我国大陆上空可降水总量变化特征进行了分析,并利用部分站点探空资料对大气再分析资料获得的结果进行了校验.结果表明:我国大部分地区年平均可降水量表现为减少趋势,而西北地区和华南沿海呈增加趋势;各个季节平均可降水量趋势变化特征并不相同;去除线性趋势的可降水量异常变化主要表现为全国大部分地区一致的年代际振荡,在1965年可降水量由偏多向偏少转变,而在1987年前后可降水量又由偏少向偏多转变;我国大陆上空年平均可降水总量的变化特征主要表现为从1960s中期的持续减少和大致从1980s后期的增加趋势特征. 相似文献
988.
989.
Agricultural Land Use Effects on Climate over China as Simulated by a Regional Climate Model 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2 下载免费PDF全文
ZHANG Dongfeng GAO Xuejie SHI Ying GIORGI Filippo DONG Wenjie 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2010,24(2):215-224
The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) Regional Climate Model version 3
(RegCM3) is used to investigate the climate effects of land use change related to agriculture over China. The model is driven by the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecast 40-yr Re-Analysis (ERA40)data. Two sets of experiments for 15 yr (1987-2001) are conducted, one with the potential vegetation cover and the other the agricultural land use (AG). The results show that the AG effects on temperature are weak over northern China while in southern China a significant cooling is found in both winter (December-January-February) and summer (June-July-August). The mean cooling in the sub-regions of South China (SC) in winter and the sub-regions of Southeast (SE) China in summer are found to be the greatest,up to 0.5℃ and 0.8℃, respectively. In general, the change of AG leads to a decrease of annual mean temperature by 0.5-1℃ in southern China. Slight change of precipitation in western China and a decrease of precipitation in eastern China are simulated in winter, with the maximum reduction reaching -7.5% over SE. A general decrease of precipitation over northern China and an increase over southern China are simulated in summer,in particular over SE where the increase of precipitation can be up to 7.3%. The AG effects on temperature and precipitation show strong interannual variability. Comparison of the climate effects between AG and the present-day land use (LU) is also performed. In southern China, the ratio of temperature (precipitation)changes caused by AG and LU is greater than (closer to) the ratio of the number of grid cells with changed vegetation cover due to AG and LU variations. 相似文献
990.
利用先进的WRF中尺度模式中3种边界层参数化方案(YSU、MYJ和ACM2),模拟了2005年1月25~28日兰州市冬季地面温度和风速的变化,并与同期系留探空和自动气象站的实测资料进行了对比分析。结果表明:对兰州冬季大气边界层地面温度日变化的模拟,局地闭合的MYJ方案优于非局地闭合的YSU和ACM2方案;3种方案模拟的夜间位温廓线较好,白天的较差;在边界层低层,考虑局地和非局地闭合的ACM2方案模拟的位温廓线与观测值比较一致;在边界层上部,局地闭合的MYJ方案则更适合于描述大气湍流对位温垂直分布的影响;3种边界层参数化方案模拟的兰州地区冬季温度场空间分布特征相似,但MYJ方案模拟的夜间温度低于YSU和ACM2方案,白天则高于YSU和ACM2方案。 相似文献