基于拉格朗日分析法的中尺度涡精细三维结构研究及其误差估计

在前人的工作中,拉格朗日分析法被用来演示大尺度环流,同时拉格朗日拟序结构可以较好的演示中尺度涡两维结构的发展过程。然而,很少研究关注怎么利用拉格朗日分析法针对中尺度涡三维结构进行演示。与以往利用欧拉方法研究中尺度涡三维结构的工作不同,我们利用拉格朗日分析法,从另一个视角来研究涡旋结构。我们在海山上方模拟出一个理想的气旋涡,涡旋内的下沉流和涡旋旁的上升流形成一个闭合的环流。这种结构很难从欧拉角度来演示。然而,粒子的运动轨迹很好地展示了整个循环:流体在涡旋中旋转下沉,汇聚到底层的上升流区,并通过上升流返回到海表面。我们也将拉格朗日分析法应用于真实的模拟结果中。作为中国南海的一个重要现象,靠近越南中部的海域中的偶极子（反气旋涡/气旋涡）,关于其结构的研究已经比较成熟了,但这些研究主要关注的是海面过程。通过拉格朗日分析,我们很好的演示了偶极子的三维结构:流体在反气旋涡(气旋涡)内部旋转上升(下沉)。更重要的是,粒子的轨迹表明,这两个涡旋之间不存在水团交换,因为强边界急流将它们彼此分开。以上结论均得到了计算误差估计的可信度支持。尽管在强辐散流和强垂直扩散流中,计算误差逐渐增大,但是在一定的时间步长和积分周期内,计算误差始终保持在一个较小的值。     

Modeling of embankment beneath marine deposited soft sensitive clays considering straightforward creep degradation

Abstract

One method straightforwardly describing the creep degradation behavior of soft marine clay is proposed and applied to the embankment modeling. Based on the experimental phenomena, the evolution of creep coefficient of soft structured clay is identified comparing with reconstituted clay, and formulated using the creep coefficient of reconstituted clay and a creep-based structure parameter relating to the inter-particle bonding. The contributions of inter-particle bonding and debonding to creep coefficient are thus considered and the creep degradation behavior is then captured straightforwardly. The creep coefficient is extended to 3D and incorporated into a newly developed elasto-viscoplastic model to describe the creep degradation in a direct way. Based on the correlations, the liquid limit is adopted as the viscosity related input parameter. The model is derived using Newton–Raphson algorithm and implemented into a Finite Element code for coupled consolidation analysis. The general applicability on creep degradation of the model is validated by simulating 1D creep, 1D CRS (constant strain rate) and 3D undrained creep tests. Finally, the enhanced model considering creep degradation is applied and validated by simulating one test embankment and one test fill on marine deposited soft sensitive clays.     

Method for calculating the encounter probability in network space

Probabilistic time geography (PTG) can be used to measure the probability of random encounters between two moving objects. Available PTG methods are based on homogeneous space, while the network space is typically heterogeneous, which constrains individuals to the network. Therefore, the PTG of the network must consider the geographic network. Based on this, we put forward a method for calculating the encounter probability of objects that are moving in a network by considering network constraints on movement. These constraints not only restrict the space‐time accessibility of the moving objects, but also affect the probability of them visiting locations or encountering other objects in space and time. Therefore, in network space, our method improves measures of the likelihood of encounters between moving objects, thereby enabling more accurate predictions of encounter events and their probabilities. Finally, the performance of the method is experimentally evaluated. In the experiment, campus road network data and simulated trip data are used to calculate the encounter probabilities of two moving objects and to determine when and where two moving objects meet with the highest probability.     

中国城市流动人口房租收入比时空格局及驱动因素

针对2012~2016年中国城市不同职业流动人口房租收入比时空变动特征及驱动力的研究表明：①流动人口房租收入比整体上呈“东高西低,南高北低”分异态势,较高及以上等级房租收入比地市集中于东部沿海发达地区及中西部省会城市。②各职业房租收入比逐渐形成金字塔形结构,但职业间房租收入比差距较大。③东部地区流动人口房租收入比多呈向下和平稳混杂分布,中部地区呈向下、平稳和向上镶嵌分布,西部地区以平稳为主,向上转移为辅。④经济、人口、社会及预期因素对房租收入比的解释力依次降低,消费水平、租赁户比例、地产投资密度、人口吸引力及收入水平是影响房租收入比的关键因素。     

Talc-beating serpentinized peridotites from the southern Mariana forearc： implications for aseismic character within subduction zones

The serpentinized peridotites overlying the subducted zones in the Izu-Bonin-Mariana (IBM) arc system have been interpret as the cause of the low-velocity layer identified beneath the IBM froearc, in turn few earthquakes occurred along the plate boundary. Chrysotile, which is a low temperature and highly hydrated phase of serpentine with low frictional strength, has been suggested as the low velocity material in the serpentinized peridotites, besides, brucite is inferred to be likely conducive to stable sliding. However, such idea encounters challenging in our serpentinized peridotites from the southern Mariana forearc, which absent both the above minerals. The presence of talc, which characterized by its weak, low-friction and inherently stable sliding behavior, provides new clue. Here we report the occurrence of talc in serpentinized peridotites collected from the landward trench slope of the southern Mariana forearc. We infer that talc is mainly forming as a result of the reaction of serpentine minerals with silica-saturated fluids released from the subducting slab, and talc also occurs as talc veins sometimes. Due to its unique physical properties, talc may therefore play a significant role in aseismic slip in the IBM subduction zone.

     

基于GPS/全站仪的村镇土地外业执法系统的研究与实现

针对我国村镇土地外业执法测量的高精度需求以及现有手段的不足,设计了基于GPS/全站仪的执法测量的业务流程;在PDA环境下建立了该系统,实现了GPS RTK高精度定位以及全站仪信号的读取和解析;并且针对GPS信号遮挡和全站仪控制网布设困难等问题,研究并实现了一种基于公共点自由设站的全站仪坐标转换方法,从而提高村镇土地执法工作的效率和精度。     

基于极限分析上限方法的海底斜坡稳定性评价

极限平衡法仍是当前海底斜坡稳定性的主要工程评价方法,但该法只能给出稳定性分析的近似解答。基于极限分析运动学定理,假定海底斜坡发生对数螺线型滑移破坏模式,将滑体有效自重和简化波浪力等以外荷载形式叠加引入到虚功率方程中,与潜在滑动面上由黏聚力产生的内能耗散率相平衡,建立考虑一阶简化波浪效应的海底斜坡上限解法;利用多变量无导数求极值的逐级迭代方法与最优化技术,结合抗剪强度折减思想,求解波浪加载下不同时刻的海底斜坡稳定性与相应的临界破坏机构,并针对典型算例开展有限元数值解的验证。进而联合采用数值法与上限解,探讨波高、波长、水深等波浪参数对海底斜坡稳定性与滑动机制的影响。结果表明,本文提出的上限解与数值解吻合较好,获得的安全系数与破坏模式等符合一般规律,为波浪作用下海底斜坡的稳定性评价提供了新的途径。     

CMIP6模式对中国近海气象要素模拟评估与预测

为了研究第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)中新提出的“情景模式比较计划”(ScenarioMIP)下中国近海气象要素的变化情况,本文选取了其中6个海气耦合模型,对其模拟的风速、气温、降水进行评估与预测。评估结果表明选取的模式对中国近海模拟效果整体都不错,但在菲律宾群岛附近模拟结果相对欠佳。模型平均预估结果表明未来21世纪中叶4个情景下渤黄海风速夏季增加、冬季减弱;至21世纪末,研究海域夏季15°N以北(南)风速主要呈增加(减小)的趋势,冬季25°N以北(南)风速主要呈减小(增加)的趋势。4个未来情景下的中国近海气温都将持续升高,高纬区域增幅大于低纬。可持续发展情景(SSP1-2.6)能有效减缓升温,其他放任温室气体大量排放的情景(如SSP5-8.5),则会加剧升温。未来中国近海降水变化总体上呈增加趋势,渤黄海与东海降水增幅在SSP5-8.5情景下最大,世纪末分别增加约15.87%与5.61%;南海降水增幅在SSP2-4.5情景下最大,世纪末增加约4.84%。     

枣庄煤炭资源回收利用现状与对策思考

枣庄市素有“鲁南煤城”之称,是因煤而兴的矿业城市,煤炭业在全市经济发展中起着重要的支柱作用。辖区内有陶枣、官桥、滕南、滕北、韩台5个煤田,含煤面积1000余平方千米,占全市土地总面积的23％,现探明储量18．87亿t。滕南、滕北煤田含煤面积较大,资源储量较丰富,主要煤种为气煤、肥煤和天然焦,是优质动力用煤和炼焦配煤。枣庄的煤炭资源自元代末期就开始零星开采,清晚期洋务运动时进入规模开发,距今已有400多年的历史。境内共有各类矿井65对,目前陶枣煤田资源已近枯竭,滕南、滕北煤田已经进入煤炭资源的全面开发期。     

Basic characteristics and controlling factors of anastomsing fluvial systems

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